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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

  1. #7226
    goforgreen, I am in the same situation as yours. If it gets current in Nov, then will go ahead with my trip in Dec. If it gets current in December, will try to make sure the attorney files 485 on Dec 1st and then leave. I did not buy the tickets yet, will buy them when there is some clarity.

  2. #7227
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by goforgreen View Post
    Guys, congratulations to everyone who is current, may you get your GC/EAD soon. Its good to see Q, Teddy, Spec and Veni's predictions come true albeit a month late. My PD is Dec 2007, I've a question regarding filing 485 and India travel. I'm currently on H1(extension approved, stamping not done) and I'm planning to make an India trip in December 2011. If my date becomes current in Nov - Dec 2011, can I apply for 485 in Novemeber and still be able to go to India in December without impacting the 485 application? Friends please help, I dont want to miss applying after waiting for 4 years for this opportunity.
    Quote Originally Posted by evoori View Post
    I have the same question.. only difference is I am traveling in Feb next year..(PD Sep 2007 and H1 Stamped)..
    any suggestions on how I485 filing could affect our trip to home ?? TIA
    Quote Originally Posted by gcoracle View Post
    goforgreen, I am in the same situation as yours. If it gets current in Nov, then will go ahead with my trip in Dec. If it gets current in December, will try to make sure the attorney files 485 on Dec 1st and then leave. I did not buy the tickets yet, will buy them when there is some clarity.
    Yes you can travel without 485 receipt, EAD/AP in hand.

    Please refer to "Adjustment of Status and Travel : Your Questions Answered!" posted on MurthyDotCom.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  3. #7228
    Yoda
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    me too...

    got BC for me and my wife... they were registered 3 or 4 years after the birth date. When my parents were in USA last time, i got two affidavits from them in the USA.

    My wifes parents sent their affidavits from India.

    We did all these just to be safe than sorry... it does not take much to get an affidavit done in India.. few hundred bucks (rupees) i guess...


    If any one wants the affidavit template... (given to me by my company attorneys)... you can find it in post #7490 if this thread...

    cheers!
    Last edited by skpanda; 09-14-2011 at 03:53 PM. Reason: typo

  4. #7229
    thanks N... on other note... went thru this article

    http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.co...ober-2011.html

    My opinion is, he is definitely following this forum... i can make it out by the wordings used... And also, i feel he is right in the estimations keeping in view of the current allocations for EB1/EB2 ROW... any comments uncles and aunties???

  5. #7230
    sogaddu, I actually think he does have his own ideas too, and he in fact does analysis for various categories and a multitude of immigration matters. I agree about the wordings usage, about PWMB etc. But overall looks like helpful guy, he replies to everyone's questions, in a polite manner, although it's clear the website is for commerical gains, nothing wrong in that.

    His analysis is good on this one, everyone has his point of view and assumptions in calculations, as well as the stuff posted by me from Ron Gotcher's forum yesterday, all in all, point to good stuff coming our way, a steady 2-3 months movement in the next two or three bulletins. I was especially psyched up by Ron Gotcher's admission of actual NVC fee bills for EB2, and the pattern he pointed out he got them in. We now have proof of NVC fee bill being a reality from famous attorney directly himself, not even his para-legals or associates.

    But the only thing which kills me is why DOS moved only till 15th July 2007, and not 15th August 2007. By their own admission, they know that 15th July 2007 is not the lastmost favorable date EB2 I/C were ever at, they say it's nearing the most favorable date. It's also clear that they know concept of PWMB, and this move is only to take in guys who missed it last time. So why did they not just move it to August 15th 2007 in first shot itself. What is in their mind. I am bit perplexed. We will have to definitely just wait and watch and see events unfold.

    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    thanks N... on other note... went thru this article

    http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.co...ober-2011.html

    My opinion is, he is definitely following this forum... i can make it out by the wordings used... And also, i feel he is right in the estimations keeping in view of the current allocations for EB1/EB2 ROW... any comments uncles and aunties???
    Last edited by nishant2200; 09-14-2011 at 02:01 PM.

  6. #7231
    Nishant,

    As you had typed via ur Iphone that they are following the FB trend taking few thousands packets of applications, I am now perplexed why are u questioning urself

  7. #7232

    3 Centuries

    And we entered our page 300, we would have reached it much sooner if we wouldn't have cleaned the noise. What a wonderful forum. I really enjoy being here.

  8. #7233
    There was a post long back on some chinese website from a guy who was very excited about the NVC feel bills and had said that there was similar stuff in FB, so I researched FB, and pointed out to similar trend.

    Hence we found proof that he was correct.

    I am only perplexed about why only they moved till july 15th 2007 and not 15th august 2007. that gives me a bit of doubt about what they are trying to do. but 90% I feel they will follow the trend.

    Quote Originally Posted by cbpds1 View Post
    Nishant,

    As you had typed via ur Iphone that they are following the FB trend taking few thousands packets of applications, I am now perplexed why are u questioning urself

  9. #7234
    Couple of questions for people who have already filed I-693 and got the vaccination done:

    a. I got vaccinated in India for almost every vaccine suggested on USCIS website but i don't have any record to prove that. Do i need to take all the vaccines again?
    b. Where can i find the list of civil surgeon for getting the I-693 filled.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    PD -4/3/2009 | I-485 Filing Date - 4/17/2012 | Receipt Date:4/25/2012 | Date current since : Feb 2019 | Card Being Produced: 5/2/2019

  10. #7235
    Yoda
    Join Date
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    Location
    Florida
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    Friends... i got a response to the petition we signed earlier... looks like our noice could be heard.. with these things... not sure if it will actual result in any push...for reforms..


    From: "Senator Marco Rubio" <Do_Not_Reply@Rubio.senate.gov>
    Date: September 14, 2011 12:49:42 PM EDT
    To: <?????????????@gmail.com>
    Subject: Interim Response
    Thank you for taking the time to contact me. I have received your message and I welcome the opportunity to address your concerns. As you await a response, please know that our office is working towards best serving the state of Florida. I appreciate hearing your views, and I understand how important these issues are to you. Please expect my response in the near future. In an effort to serve you better, please do not duplicate e-mails into the web-form, as it may serve to delay the response to your concerns. If you need immediate assistance with a federal agency, please call (866) 630-7106 toll-free in Florida. You may also contact the Orlando regional office at (407) 254-2573 or the Miami regional office at (305) 418-8553. Please do not mail correspondence to the Washington DC Office as it will delay the response to your request for assistance
    Last edited by skpanda; 09-14-2011 at 02:06 PM.

  11. #7236
    http://www.uscis.gov/civilsurgeons

    this will answer your b.

    also the form's instructions: http://www.uscis.gov/files/form/i-693instr.pdf see page 6 for answer to a.

    Quote Originally Posted by Nishant_imt View Post
    Couple of questions for people who have already filed I-693 and got the vaccination done:

    a. I got vaccinated in India for almost every vaccine suggested on USCIS website but i don't have any record to prove that. Do i need to take all the vaccines again?
    b. Where can i find the list of civil surgeon for getting the I-693 filled.

  12. #7237
    guess they want to regulate the inflow of applications as USCIS still giving out GC's in September.

    Secondly USCIS is tired and need some rest !! after processing 30k apps in 3 months.




    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    There was a post long back on some chinese website from a guy who was very excited about the NVC feel bills and had said that there was similar stuff in FB, so I researched FB, and pointed out to similar trend.

    Hence we found proof that he was correct.

    I am only perplexed about why only they moved till july 15th 2007 and not 15th august 2007. that gives me a bit of doubt about what they are trying to do. but 90% I feel they will follow the trend.

  13. #7238
    No You dont need to take the vaccines.

    Civil Surgeon's office will run a blood test for anti-bodies present in your blood against those vaccines you have already taken in India . They will conclude from the results what all you have taken ,and what all you have to take .


    Quote Originally Posted by Nishant_imt View Post
    Couple of questions for people who have already filed I-693 and got the vaccination done:

    a. I got vaccinated in India for almost every vaccine suggested on USCIS website but i don't have any record to prove that. Do i need to take all the vaccines again?
    b. Where can i find the list of civil surgeon for getting the I-693 filled.
    Last edited by Kanmani; 09-14-2011 at 04:00 PM.

  14. #7239
    Quote Originally Posted by skpanda View Post
    me too...

    got BC for me and my wife... they were registered 3 or 4 years after the birth date. When my parents were in USA last time, i got two affidavits from them in the USA.

    My wifes parents sent their affidavits from India.

    We did all these just to be safe than sorry... it does not take much to get an affidavit done in India.. few hundred bucks (rupees) i guess...


    If any one wants the affidavit template... (given to me by my company attorneys)... feel free to PM me... I will send them across..

    cheers!

    Dear skpanda,
    Can you please PM me the template for the birth affidavit.
    Thanks again.

  15. #7240
    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    sogaddu, I actually think he does have his own ideas too, and he in fact does analysis for various categories and a multitude of immigration matters. I agree about the wordings usage, about PWMB etc. But overall looks like helpful guy, he replies to everyone's questions, in a polite manner, although it's clear the website is for commerical gains, nothing wrong in that.

    His analysis is good on this one, everyone has his point of view and assumptions in calculations, as well as the stuff posted by me from Ron Gotcher's forum yesterday, all in all, point to good stuff coming our way, a steady 2-3 months movement in the next two or three bulletins. I was especially psyched up by Ron Gotcher's admission of actual NVC fee bills for EB2, and the pattern he pointed out he got them in. We now have proof of NVC fee bill being a reality from famous attorney directly himself, not even his para-legals or associates.

    But the only thing which kills me is why DOS moved only till 15th July 2007, and not 15th August 2007. By their own admission, they know that 15th July 2007 is not the lastmost favorable date EB2 I/C were ever at, they say it's nearing the most favorable date. It's also clear that they know concept of PWMB, and this move is only to take in guys who missed it last time. So why did they not just move it to August 15th 2007 in first shot itself. What is in their mind. I am bit perplexed. We will have to definitely just wait and watch and see events unfold.
    on this note, I am really worried if they plan to move dates again for 3 months instead of 3.5/4 months..... 3 months mean Oct 15..... Keeping my fingers, matter of fact whole body crossed.... Please god either > Oct 22 or < Oct 1.... Can't take anything else...

  16. #7241
    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    Dont worry they will make it as July 15 2008
    comon now, move it couple more weeks

  17. #7242
    Yoda
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
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    Birth Affidavit Template

    I have received quite a few requests for affidavit template.. hence i thought i will attach it here.

    If the zip file does not work, below is the cut/paste - You may have to format it in a word document.

    **************

    SWORN AFFIDAVIT


    I, _____________________________________________do hereby depose and say:
    Name of Person Signing

    That I was born on _____________________ in _____________________________;
    Date of Birth Place of Birth


    That I am a citizen of _______________________ and that I presently reside at:
    Country

    _________________________________
    Street


    _________________________________
    City, State


    That I make this affidavit in order to demonstrate my knowledge of the date and place of

    birth of _____________________________.

    That I __________________________________________________ ____________
    State Nature of Relationship, I.E. Mother, Father, Aunt, Family Friend, Etc.

    and through this relationship I have personal knowledge that _______________________

    is the natural child of __________________________________________________ ____
    Name Both Parents

    and was born on _______________________ in ______________________________;
    Date of Birth Place of Birth


    That the above statements are made to the best of my knowledge and belief.

    ______________________________________
    Name of Person Making Affidavit


    (NOTARY SEAL)







    ************************************************** *****

    Enjoy!
    Attached Files Attached Files
    Last edited by skpanda; 09-14-2011 at 03:52 PM.

  18. #7243
    Soggadu

    From your lips to god's ears...if it requires me to get hold of an tambura and sing like the old movies in a dilapidated temple would gladly do that for you. Atleast the fear of me singing should force the man above to do his job . Jokes aside ...just have an hunch next bulletin might move also by 4 months exactly . Just based on psychology (CO) has been very conservative and he need not have moved the dates to July untill unless they were serious about taking in a lot more apps.

    Now I hope the CO does not do this the slow way (death by a thousand cuts ) by moving it 3 weeks each bulletin untill Sep 2012 and pushes the buttons now.



    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    on this note, I am really worried if they plan to move dates again for 3 months instead of 3.5/4 months..... 3 months mean Oct 15..... Keeping my fingers, matter of fact whole body crossed.... Please god either > Oct 22 or < Oct 1.... Can't take anything else...

  19. #7244
    skpanda

    attached .zip file is not working

  20. #7245
    Soggadu,

    Understand your pain buddy. This wait is killing me. I have become a Q forum addict and it's all numbers in the brain even during sleep. It is tough because we are very close to our dates becoming current but yet too far away. Feel sorry for the guys who missed it by a week or two.

    Let's hope we get to apply for our 485 this year.

  21. #7246
    Thank You!

    Quote Originally Posted by skpanda View Post
    I have received quite a few requests for affidavit template.. hence i thought i will attach it here.

    Enjoy!

  22. #7247
    Soggadu, Gcseeker

    I think Aug15th (or 17th to be exact) will be a hard stop atleast for one bulletin

  23. #7248
    Bieber

    I personally think the PD will halt at Apr15 2008 next FY.. added 3 more months buffer.....( Moreover can't imagine Soggadu bhai's posture)

  24. #7249

    Processing Times

    Folks,
    Great forum, great number crunching. Regarding the processing times, just wanted to quote my friends case as a reference. His PD is 07MAR07 and is a PWMB, got current in July VB, applied 485 on 07/01/11, got FP done on 07/15/11 and had GC in hand on 08/20/11. Everything is super quick, happened in ~45days. The processing times are assumed as 4-6 months, but do you guys think USCIS has improved on that front and no longer need such long times. One instance is not a basis, but in case if people heard similar processing times else where too.

    Thnx

  25. #7250
    Yoda
    Join Date
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    Florida
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    369
    i cut/pasted the content,. All the best!!


    Quote Originally Posted by bieber View Post
    skpanda

    attached .zip file is not working

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