EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[LightAtEndOfTunnel]

I didn't know USCIS considers repeated expedite requests. Will try that. Thanks krnashvom8

Yeah my close friend managed to get his ER approved on third attempt after getting shot down twice by live chat agents. He spoke to a person on USCIS phone line, used somber voice, described his story, managing house household on a single paycheck, paying mortgage, bills, sending two kids to day care etc. Nothing he spoke was untrue but sometimes you establish a personal connection if you speak 1:1 vs chat. He received EAD for his wife (not for him though) within 45 days of ER being opened.

[idliman]

I didn't know USCIS considers repeated expedite requests. Will try that. Thanks krnashvom8

Please read through our thread on Congressman / Senator process. It will take its own time. I had waited close to 4 weeks to get a response through that Channel each of the last two times. Two or three years ago, we would get reply from congressman in 1 or 2 days.

Also the situation with EAD/AP's is not so good. Many from Oct 2020 AOS are still waiting. I was talking to a person in my office and was discussing about some ROW folks whose EADs have not been approved for 6 months or so. So they are also after Congressman route. The famous quote of today was One person who never had a backlog asking why should I do it and why can't the company/attorney do it to expedite? All the timings / normal processing times are being stretched across the board for all applications.

I would think that most of the 2012 folks should clear (approvals) this year. The wait times in field offices are 12+ months and sometimes 18+ or 20+ months. Any good percentage of approvals for Oct 2020 filers is a real bonus as of now. Still a lot of applicants who filed 12+ months before are still waiting (ROW or Non-ROW).

So all I can tell you is put in whatever effort it takes to get your case approved or expedited. You have a genuine job loss type reason. You know all the tools that you can use for this process. The success may depend on the AO dealing your case or the agent who picksup your call on a particular day. Bear all of this in mind and don't get frustrated in this process. Good Luck.

[abcx13]

The steps USCIS did in FY 21.

1. Removed the need for I944.
2. Requested public for suggestions to improve the process.
3. Removed H4/L2 biometric need.
4. Allowed applicants who got rejection notice after January, to refile even the dates were not current.
5. Simplified the 485 application.
6. The visa bulletin dates started releasing faster than previous timelines.
7. Most of the delay/incomplete forms resulted in November visa bulletin, releasing on the last day of October

When there is a sincere attempt from the Administration and USCIS to skip mandated AOS interviews, a frivolous lawsuit by this specific lawyer can result in USCIS reinstating the interviews as mandatory.

It is important to know your rights, it also important to know the other parties rights.

If you have some time read through https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazarian_v._USCIS

Lawyers claim the above lawsuit is a win for them as USCIS was forced to change the policy with tightening up of EB1A and B and still continuing.

The removal of the H4/L2 biometrics was in response to a lawsuit from what I understand.

In other news, I saw Reddy Neumann has filed a FOIA request for I485 inventory data. I am a bit surprised David Bier or someone else hasn't already done this.

[AceMan]

The removal of the H4/L2 biometrics was in response to a lawsuit from what I understand.

In other news, I saw Reddy Neumann has filed a FOIA request for I485 inventory data. I am a bit surprised David Bier or someone else hasn't already done this.

H4/l2 biometric requirement is suspended and not removed. I misspoke earlier.

The image you see on my profile is the 140 data posted by David from early 2020.

[Zenzone]

In my case it was the Director's id. I expect it would be one of his reports working on the case.

For me its just the Director's name and hence my question about the officer id above.

[abcx13]

When there is a sincere attempt from the Administration and USCIS to skip mandated AOS interviews, a frivolous lawsuit by this specific lawyer can result in USCIS reinstating the interviews as mandatory

Btw, where do you guys see this? I think this is true based on the Greencardly sample data but just curious if there is any other way to confirm that they are waiving interviews. I guess just anecdotally that lots of GCs being issued here without an interview?

[iamdeb]

The steps USCIS did in FY 21.

1. Removed the need for I944.
2. Requested public for suggestions to improve the process.
3. Removed H4/L2 biometric need.
4. Allowed applicants who got rejection notice after January, to refile even the dates were not current.
5. Simplified the 485 application.
6. The visa bulletin dates started releasing faster than previous timelines.
7. Most of the delay/incomplete forms resulted in November visa bulletin, releasing on the last day of October

When there is a sincere attempt from the Administration and USCIS to skip mandated AOS interviews, a frivolous lawsuit by this specific lawyer can result in USCIS reinstating the interviews as mandatory.

It is important to know your rights, it also important to know the other parties rights.

If you have some time read through https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kazarian_v._USCIS

Lawyers claim the above lawsuit is a win for them as USCIS was forced to change the policy with tightening up of EB1A and B and still continuing.

Greg and his team of lawyers is out there to screw us again like he did in 2015........after the 2015 fiasco the filing date concept was introduced and for next 5 years there was no movement in EB2-I.....with this new lawsuit USCIS is going to stall approving 485 by reinstating interviews or by any other means......

[LightAtEndOfTunnel]

H4/l2 biometric requirement is suspended and not removed. I misspoke earlier.

The image you see on my profile is the 140 data posted by David from early 2020.

Hey @Ace, where do I see high-res image of your avatar. All I see is a thumb-nail.

[AceMan]

Greg and his team of lawyers is out there to screw us again like he did in 2015........after the 2015 fiasco the filing date concept was introduced and for next 5 years there was no movement in EB2-I.....with this new lawsuit USCIS is going to stall approving 485 by reinstating interviews or by any other means......

It is really interesting to see 6 years back USCIS advanced the dates to July 2011 and pulled it back by 2 years. The timing of the new lawsuit matches when the filing dates moved past July 2011. What a coincidence !!!

[abcx13]

Does anyone have any thoughts on this Greencardly scraped data which shows a daily avg of 1800 GCs mailed? That means 657k GCs for the whole year. I'm not sure how many of those would be FB, parents and kids of USC, other asylum cases, etc.

[GCkaLADDU]

Yeah my close friend managed to get his ER approved on third attempt after getting shot down twice by live chat agents. He spoke to a person on USCIS phone line, used somber voice, described his story, managing house household on a single paycheck, paying mortgage, bills, sending two kids to day care etc. Nothing he spoke was untrue but sometimes you establish a personal connection if you speak 1:1 vs chat. He received EAD for his wife (not for him though) within 45 days of ER being opened.

Agree 100% as long as it's a genuine case which can justified if additional details are requested. I was able to expedite my AOS EAD via calling USCIS and explaining why I needed it (financial loss). Sent the proof as well.

They did approve my i-765 for 2 years yesterday and status shows 'Card is being being produced'

[gc2021]

Agree 100% as long as it's a genuine case which can justified if additional details are requested. I was able to expedite my AOS EAD via calling USCIS and explaining why I needed it (financial loss). Sent the proof as well.

They did approve my i-765 for 2 years yesterday and status shows 'Card is being being produced'

How Did you know that it is approved for 2 years ?? Is it Initial EAD or extension??

[GCkaLADDU]

Its initial EAD.

USCIS online account has a tab for documents related to your case and I see that they had uploaded the approval notice. It had the validity period details.

[MeraNumber09]

JULY Priority dates released: Final Action Dates
EB2 : 01JUN11
EB3: 01JAN13

[andhraguy]

July visa bulletin is available
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...july-2021.html

[rsnake]

it is 1st July 2011 i think for EB2 not 1 June 2011.

https://www.murthy.com/2021/06/11/ne...visa-bulletin/

Looks like I was right about it being 1st Jun 2011 and not July. Looks like Murthy.com made a mistake.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Its initial EAD.

USCIS online account has a tab for documents related to your case and I see that they had uploaded the approval notice. It had the validity period details.

I created an account and I only see status updates. Where did you create the account where they upload notices etc?

[rsnake]

JULY Priority dates released: Final Action Dates
EB2 : 01JUN11
EB3: 01JAN13

EB2-I FAD moving by 6 months in one month is historic given the 1 or 2 days movement just 1 year ago. I don't think anyone could have anticipated it. Congrats to everyone who will become current in July. Now let us hope the USCIS doesn't waste too many visas..

Filing dates have also been advanced for EB2 and EB3, not sure if USCIS will honor them.

EB2 - 01DEC11
EB3 - 01FEB14

[rsnake]

I created an account and I only see status updates. Where did you create the account where they upload notices etc?

I have this question too. There seem to be two different systems in USCIS, MyUSCIS where your login id is your email, and also a different one at https://egov.uscis.gov/casestatus/displayLogon.do which takes a username. However I am not able to sign up for the second one, it takes me to the signup for the first one which I already did.

[sling10]

Help needed !

I presume I will be able to file 485 this October. Should I work with the employer now and get the 485-J supplement and keep it ready or is it too early at this point in time ? Is there some requirement that the date the employer signs the form should not be too far off from the date the 485 is submitted to USCIS ?

[GCkaLADDU]

I created an account and I only see status updates. Where did you create the account where they upload notices etc?

I got an online account# (details were mailed by USCIS) as my case started with an IOE (USCIS Electronic Immigration System). May be that's why i am able to view these details as it was an 'Electronic' case. It was a standalone filing after getting receipt notice for i-485. Screenshot on how it looks like below:

Capture1.jpg

[idliman]

Help needed !

I presume I will be able to file 485 this October. Should I work with the employer now and get the 485-J supplement and keep it ready or is it too early at this point in time ? Is there some requirement that the date the employer signs the form should not be too far off from the date the 485 is submitted to USCIS ?

The DF date is 01DEC11. Why do you think you have to wait till Oct 2021 to be FA current. Why cant you be current in the next bulletin itself?

[sling10]

The DF date is 01DEC11. Why do you think you have to wait till Oct 2021 to be FA current. Why cant you be current in the next bulletin itself?

Hello idliman ! Are you thinking that the FAD will reach Nov 2011 before Oct 2021 ? Per Charlie, isn't the EB2 FAD movement going to slow down after the July bulletin for this fiscal year ? Also, I don't expect USCIS to start accepting DOF dates before Oct 2021.

Assuming my PD of Nov 2011 will only be current in the Oct bulletin, is it too early for me to start working the employer on the 485 Supplement J right now ? Will there be any issues if the date the employer signs the 485J is say in the next 2-3 weeks whereas I file the 485J along with the 485 only in October ?

[LightAtEndOfTunnel]

Guess I'll be current in July visa bulletin but haven't even received bio-metric appointments yet or no progress what-so-ever other than the receipt notification that was mailed out in Feb-2021. This is so frustrating.

[montyp80]

The DF date is 01DEC11. Why do you think you have to wait till Oct 2021 to be FA current. Why cant you be current in the next bulletin itself?

I think both EB2 And EB3 will reach the current Filling dates in next bulletin and then will not move for Sept Bulletin.

Basing this based on last 2 years of movements in Aug and Sept bulletin.

This will give USCIS up to 2 months to catch up and approve GC in FY2021 for everyone current as of 1st August (yup, wishful thinking).

Prediction for August VB:
EB2I - 01 Dec 2011
EB3I - 01 Feb 2014