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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

  1. #3601
    Quote Originally Posted by abcx13 View Post
    Live tweeting from USCIS and DoS AILA Panel -
    https://twitter.com/LilySAxelrod
    https://twitter.com/gsiskind
    I quickly browsed through the feed, no mention of EB immigration. As usual it's always a bottom priority.
    NSC, EB2-I->EB3-I, PD:2/12, RD:11/4/20, ND:2/13/21, I-140(EB3):6/3/21, FP:7/16/21, I-693 (interfile): 7/22/21(delivered/no-ack), RFE(I-693):8/7/21, RFE-R: 8/10/21, EAD/AP: None, I-485 (Approved): 10/27/2021

  2. #3602
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    Right here in galaxy
    Posts
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    That's because AILA was involved


    Quote Originally Posted by LightAtEndOfTunnel View Post
    I quickly browsed through the feed, no mention of EB immigration. As usual it's always a bottom priority.

  3. #3603
    Quote Originally Posted by Sebiswaiting View Post
    That's because AILA was involved
    Yes, they never ask for anything that could be helpful to EB. Even when they used to do AILA checkins with Charlie, there were no questions specifically about date movements for EB-India/China.

  4. #3604
    Quote Originally Posted by LRT_INDIA View Post
    Hi Mates,

    Need your suggestion on my case.

    PD: 29th September, 2011 in EB-2
    Filed: EB-2 to EB-3 downgrade on 29th October, 2020 along with I-485, I-765 and I-131 and waiting for my I-140 in EB-3.

    Planning to request premium processing for my EB-3 I-140 since it is pending for more than 7 months. My case went to Nebraska where my previous EB-2 140 approved

    I moved to new employer in July 2021 and Perm process started 2 months back. My previous employer is co-operative and they are open torehire after I-485 approved. I am also willing to join back them after my case approved.

    Do I need to need to move back to my previous employer now or I can work with current employer until my I-485 approved?

    Thanks for your guidance.

    Regards,
    Laxmi

    My cousin got GC 2 weeks back. his date is may 2010. why take headache... you will get GC in next 2 months..

  5. #3605
    Quote Originally Posted by oraclept View Post
    My cousin got GC 2 weeks back. his date is may 2010. why take headache... you will get GC in next 2 months..
    Some value their career or money change over GC. If I read the posts correctly, applying for citizenship after 5 years alleviate any problems of not working with sponsored employee. Since GC is valid for 10 years, there is 5 more years to apply for naturalization.
    PD: EB3-I 24 Feb-2011
    I-485, I-765, I-131 applied : 26 OCT 2020 BIOMETRICS : 19 MAR 21 RFE : 13 APR 21 RFER : 14 MAY 21 EAD APPROVED : 17 JULY 21
    I-485 Interview and Approval : 15 DEC 21 CARD Received : 23 DEC 21

  6. #3606
    Cyrus Mehta
    @cyrusmehta
    ?
    9m
    At DOS open forum at AC21 Charlie said India EB-2 FAD in July Bulletin will be 6/1/2011; EB-3 FAD India will be 1/1/2013.

    Spillover for next year prob 150k
    https://twitter.com/ejtaub/status/1403351309886107650
    Back to Charlie O: Barring any legislative or other changes, expect FY22 family limit to remain at 226,000. Remote that could increase but not likely. FY22 EB limit should be "at least 290,000, prob thousands higher." That is more than double usual limit.
    Last edited by Turbulent_Dragonfly; 06-11-2021 at 09:28 AM.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  7. #3607
    The not very good news...

    https://twitter.com/ejtaub/status/1403359136637726723

    Charlie: USCIS is doing an extraordinary job processing EB cases based on staffing levels. We believe if USCIS can't get to the Oct-Dec 2020 cases this year, they should have enough ready to go early in FY22 to make a big dent.

    Everyone working a peak capacity with limited staff

    elissa taub
    @ejtaub
    ?
    12m
    Replying to
    @ejtaub
    Sounds like USCIS will not come close to approving all eligible AOS apps this fiscal year.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  8. #3608
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    The not very good news...

    https://twitter.com/ejtaub/status/1403359136637726723

    Charlie: USCIS is doing an extraordinary job processing EB cases based on staffing levels. We believe if USCIS can't get to the Oct-Dec 2020 cases this year, they should have enough ready to go early in FY22 to make a big dent.

    Everyone working a peak capacity with limited staff

    elissa taub
    @ejtaub
    ?
    12m
    Replying to
    @ejtaub
    Sounds like USCIS will not come close to approving all eligible AOS apps this fiscal year.
    How about 2012 filers? There are still tons of 2012 applicants waiting on RFE?
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  9. #3609
    Quote Originally Posted by ak7419 View Post
    How about 2012 filers? There are still tons of 2012 applicants waiting on RFE?
    Shouldn't 2012 filers be eligible to raise SR with their service center? Service center is obliged to provide an update. Also you should be able to schedule an info-pass appointment. People think this is not really an urgent issue (may be for USCIS but not for you). This is really once in a decade opportunity for backlogged countries. There was absolutely no hope otherwise from law makers and presidents who lied through their rears for over two decades pledging for immigration reform.
    NSC, EB2-I->EB3-I, PD:2/12, RD:11/4/20, ND:2/13/21, I-140(EB3):6/3/21, FP:7/16/21, I-693 (interfile): 7/22/21(delivered/no-ack), RFE(I-693):8/7/21, RFE-R: 8/10/21, EAD/AP: None, I-485 (Approved): 10/27/2021

  10. #3610
    Hello everyone, I have a question regarding my GC process and looking to get feedback on the general approach from gurus on this forum

    - I have a EB2 priority date from my previous employer of Oct 2011.
    - I switched jobs in 2019, PERM process was initiated in 2019 and after COVID delays (recruitment process to be specific since offices were closed), the new PERM was submitted to DOL in Jan 2021.
    - With latest PERM trends and I'm estimating to get PERM approval by Aug 2021 and file concurrently for I-140/485

    My question, should I wait till Oct to file in EB2 ? (since USCIS is only accepting FADs) Or should i concurrently file in EB3 directly (FAD will be current) ? Does it even matter at this point if i file in EB2 or EB3 in Aug/Sept time frame? Looking forward for feedback.

  11. #3611
    Maybe time for Sri to move EAD+H1B posts out of this thread ;-)

    Coming back to predictions, surprised that not a single question was asked today in the AILA conference about starting to release pending inventory again, which is a shame.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  12. #3612
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    Maybe time for Sri to move EAD+H1B posts out of this thread ;-)

    Coming back to predictions, surprised that not a single question was asked today in the AILA conference about starting to release pending inventory again, which is a shame.
    Bad news is Charlie seems to have thrown in the towel finally when asked if USCIS will be able to adjudicate 262K visas. Unfortunately, every 20 numbers lost will add an additional 1.2 days to the wait. So factoring in a total of 50K AOS applicants per year (EB2 + EB3 queues combined), a loss of 50K GCs will result in 3000 days/8.3 yrs of additional wait for the later PDs.

  13. #3613
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    Bad news is Charlie seems to have thrown in the towel finally when asked if USCIS will be able to adjudicate 262K visas. Unfortunately, every 20 numbers lost will add an additional 1.2 days to the wait. So factoring in a total of 50K AOS applicants per year (EB2 + EB3 queues combined), a loss of 50K GCs will result in 3000 days/8.3 yrs of additional wait for the later PDs.
    Charlie is putting the ball firmly in USCIS's court by moving EB2 to June 1 2011 and EB3 into 2013. A lot will depend on how many RFEs for medicals are generated in the next month. After that it will be too late even for USCIS to expedite granting GCs. All the downgrade applications stuck in Tardy Service Center(TSC) are another big roadblock.

  14. #3614
    Quote Originally Posted by rsnake View Post
    Charlie is putting the ball firmly in USCIS's court by moving EB2 to June 1 2011 and EB3 into 2013. A lot will depend on how many RFEs for medicals are generated in the next month. After that it will be too late even for USCIS to expedite granting GCs. All the downgrade applications stuck in Tardy Service Center(TSC) are another big roadblock.
    Even NSC is slow! I filed a downgrade at NSC in Oct and have heard nothing since then. No biometrics and no EAD/AP.

  15. #3615
    Quote Originally Posted by rsnake View Post
    Charlie is putting the ball firmly in USCIS's court by moving EB2 to June 1 2011 and EB3 into 2013. A lot will depend on how many RFEs for medicals are generated in the next month. After that it will be too late even for USCIS to expedite granting GCs. All the downgrade applications stuck in Tardy Service Center(TSC) are another big roadblock.
    And USCIS will do its part by puncturing the ball.

  16. #3616
    Quote Originally Posted by rsnake View Post
    Charlie is putting the ball firmly in USCIS's court by moving EB2 to June 1 2011 and EB3 into 2013. A lot will depend on how many RFEs for medicals are generated in the next month. After that it will be too late even for USCIS to expedite granting GCs. All the downgrade applications stuck in Tardy Service Center(TSC) are another big roadblock.
    it is 1st July 2011 i think for EB2 not 1 June 2011.

    https://www.murthy.com/2021/06/11/ne...visa-bulletin/

  17. #3617
    Hello everyone, I have a question regarding my GC process and looking to get feedback on the general approach from gurus on this forum

    - I have a EB2 priority date from my previous employer of Oct 2011.
    - I switched jobs in 2019, PERM process was initiated in 2019 and after COVID delays (recruitment process to be specific since offices were closed), the new PERM was submitted to DOL in Jan 2021.
    - With latest PERM trends and I'm estimating to get PERM approval by Aug 2021 and file concurrently for I-140/485

    My question, should I wait till Oct to file in EB2 ? (since USCIS is only accepting FADs) Or should i concurrently file in EB3 directly (FAD will be current) ? Does it even matter at this point if i file in EB2 or EB3 in Aug/Sept time frame? Looking forward for feedback.

  18. #3618
    Hello everyone, I have a question regarding my GC process and looking to get feedback on the general approach from gurus on this forum

    - I have a EB2 priority date from my previous employer of Oct 2011.
    - I switched jobs in 2019, PERM process was initiated in 2019 and after COVID delays (recruitment process to be specific since offices were closed), the new PERM was submitted to DOL in Jan 2021.
    - With latest PERM trends and I'm estimating to get PERM approval by Aug 2021 and file concurrently for I-140/485

    My question, should I wait till Oct to file in EB2 ? (since USCIS is only accepting FADs) Or should i concurrently file in EB3 directly (FAD will be current) ? Does it even matter at this point if i file in EB2 or EB3 in Aug/Sept time frame? Looking forward for feedback.

  19. #3619
    Hello guys
    My PD is Eb2 india Aug 13 2010, I will be filing i140 premium and i485 This week
    My lawyer is snail paced! When can I realistically expect GC ?

  20. #3620
    Sharing my case updates - My 485 application case status changed online to reflect that an RFE was sent on 6/10 (yet to receive the mail). PD - 01/2011 (EB2-I). Also, Form-J Supplement shows as approved too on 6/10. All processed by the National Benefits Center. Also, my EAD/AP have been approved since January and biometrics were done in January too.
    Last edited by Zenzone; 06-14-2021 at 10:38 AM.

  21. #3621
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    One thing to note, as a lot of people seem to be of the opinion that GCs are received in order of PDs. But that's not how it works. While PD does play a part where the officer may start reviewing the case sooner for an earlier PD as its current earlier than later PDs. But with FADs moving 8-10 months last few bulletins the processing will shift from PDs to first come first served. It just means the way the applications are received/stacked up. So anyone applying now would be on the back of the queue when it comes to the applications that are current. So a person with a 2011/2012 PD who applied Oct 2020 will stay ahead of the 2010 applications let's say filed in June 2021 as long as the dates are current for 2011/2012. Yes if the dates retrogress it's a different story.

  22. #3622
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    One thing to note, as a lot of people seem to be of the opinion that GCs are received in order of PDs. But that's not how it works. While PD does play a part where the officer may start reviewing the case sooner for an earlier PD as its current earlier than later PDs. But with FADs moving 8-10 months last few bulletins the processing will shift from PDs to first come first served. It just means the way the applications are received/stacked up. So anyone applying now would be on the back of the queue when it comes to the applications that are current. So a person with a 2011/2012 PD who applied Oct 2020 will stay ahead of the 2010 applications let's say filed in June 2021 as long as the dates are current for 2011/2012. Yes if the dates retrogress it's a different story.
    Good point though. Given the news about USCIS process efficiency, I suspect a retrogression is on the cards in Jan 2022 timeframe. Any thoughts ?
    PD: August 13 2010, EB2 India; RD: 06/18/2021, ND: 06/24/2021

  23. #3623
    Quote Originally Posted by vidya_garu View Post
    Good point though. Given the news about USCIS process efficiency, I suspect a retrogression is on the cards in Jan 2022 timeframe. Any thoughts ?
    Charlie mentioned that there will be 290K visa available for FY 2022. so no question of Retrogression though there will be lots of visa wastage due to USCIS inability.

  24. #3624
    I think things are beginning to move now. Let's hope for the best!

  25. #3625
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Mar 2021
    Location
    DFW
    Posts
    13
    Hello all,
    I have joined a new employer on EAD, and now want to submit the I-485J form. The lawyer from my last employer will charge us $2,500 to file I-485J form. The form looks very simple and I plan to do it on my own. Do any of the experts here know the process to revoke G-28, so that the last employer lawyer is dis-associated from my case?

    Thank you.

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