EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[GCGCGCGC]

Friends - did you act on this?

If not - then you should.

Otherwise how do you expect the system to change?

Thank you Q for sharing, Yes I did.

[delguy]

Normally it shouldn't take that long time to get EAD approved, but currently their main focus may be on approving as many GCs as possible, and that's where they seem to have deployed most of their manpower. Because of that EAD/AP applications processing may be either on a hold or on a slow burner.

I wish this was true but by looking at the pace of 485 approvals trickling in, I doubt there is any urgency at USCIS to issue GCs on priority. On the contrary the priority seems to be wasting as much GCs as they can.

[cciedata11]

Friends - did you act on this?

If not - then you should.

Otherwise how do you expect the system to change?

I did for the first time.

[08jul11]

Do we know if USCIS is honoring the date of filing chart(ie: 01AUG2011) for EB2 starting June 1st?

Sorry, couldn’t find it explicitly on visa bulletin

[MKPD2015]

Do we know if USCIS is honoring the date of filing chart(ie: 01AUG2011) for EB2 starting June 1st?

Sorry, couldn?t find it explicitly on visa bulletin

No. They are honoring only Final Action Dates.

[shaisri]

I see hundreds of 2012 filers getting this update per trackitt. Not sure if it is a bug or someone actively looking at these applications.

We got the same message! Did anyone get a rfe after this update? I saw one person did bit wanted to check if it was a coincidence

[korlakunta08]

Good luck you are very close.

I am waiting for RFE ,I submitted my I-485J and got approval, then they sent medical RFE in 2019 Feb and submitted the evidence.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

I have been using the USCIS Case Tracker app search feature to see 250 cases before and after mine to check if there is any movement toward approvals for cases submitted in the first week of October. There have been very few but a lot of them seem to have interview requests lined up though I have not got any updates on my case.

[ImmiGiveMe]

I was checking the no of approved I-485 (Indian EB2 Primary applications) on trackitt and this how the numbers stack up by quarter as of today:

FY21-Q1: 26
FY21-Q2: 44
FY21-Q3: 103* (We still have one more month left)

Doesn't it show that USCIS have picked up pace in recent months. So the predicted visa wastage will not be that bad. Thoughts?

[MKPD2015]

I was checking the no of approved I-485 (Indian EB2 Primary applications) on trackitt and this how the numbers stack up by quarter as of today:

FY21-Q1: 26
FY21-Q2: 44
FY21-Q3: 103* (We still have one more month left)

Doesn't it show that USCIS have picked up pace in recent months. So the predicted visa wastage will not be that bad. Thoughts?

I agree, especially from last week of April, the approvals were more compared to prior quarters (from people posting here and trackitt and other telegram groups).I also believe the wastage will not be that bad. Even CO said in the latest chat that they thought USCIS wouldn't be able to process more visas last year and that they picked up speed last summer. I am hopeful there will be more approvals this summer as well.

[aGCHopefull]

I agree, especially from last week of April, the approvals were more compared to prior quarters (from people posting here and trackitt and other telegram groups).I also believe the wastage will not be that bad. Even CO said in the latest chat that they thought USCIS wouldn't be able to process more visas last year and that they picked up speed last summer. I am hopeful there will be more approvals this summer as well.

It has certainly picked up but is it really going to catch up? Most likely no! I still think there would be large volume of visa wastage. In addition to USCIS processing speed and interview requirements, we would have to watch out for tons of RFEs for medicals. I wish laywers should not have misguided to not file medicals.

[gammaray]

The above statement is exactly what I call an emotional response. The famous nobel prize winner psychologist, Daniel Kahneman calls it "System 1" thinking. The OP here is rightfully adopting a "System 2" thinking by carefully collecting all the facts before making the right decision for his/her unique situation. No decision should be a no-brainer in this difficult situation. The point here is to help the parents, and not to get yourself in trouble. If that can be better accomplished by he traveling to India personally, then by all means, he should do that, but ONLY after giving proper consideration to all the relevant facts. One should read Kahneman's book, "Thinking, Fast and Slow" to learn more on this subject.

One should also read "Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance" and "The Elephant in the Brain" and "Emotional Intelligence" and "Until the End of Time: Mind, Matter and Our Search for Meaning in an Evolving Universe", to try to get a cosmic perspective, to understand what is truly important to, and, in life and how to lead it. See what I did there? Citing "famous" authors or books is not basis of what is right and what isn't. But maybe for some people "getting yourself in trouble" is associated with their personal well-being and not of their families, in that case, there isn't much left to say really.

[gammaray]

It has certainly picked up but is it really going to catch up? Most likely no! I still think there would be large volume of visa wastage. In addition to USCIS processing speed and interview requirements, we would have to watch out for tons of RFEs for medicals. I wish laywers should not have misguided to not file medicals.

I am not sure it's misguided. Lawyers recommend based on their experiences with USCIS. Sending paperwork to USCIS that has not been requested can possibly have the opposite affect of slowing things down and I think that's where it's coming from. However with the unique situation of rapidly moving dates with a deadline to meet the visa quota, maybe sending documentation in advance for the folks nearing the dates might make sense. I believe some of the larger law firms are currently debating changing to that strategy.

[vedu]

One should also read "Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance" and "The Elephant in the Brain" and "Emotional Intelligence" and "Until the End of Time: Mind, Matter and Our Search for Meaning in an Evolving Universe", to try to get a cosmic perspective, to understand what is truly important to, and, in life and how to lead it. See what I did there? Citing "famous" authors or books is not basis of what is right and what isn't. But maybe for some people "getting yourself in trouble" is associated with their personal well-being and not of their families, in that case, there isn't much left to say really.

Sorry If I gave you any wrong misinterpretation in my earlier post. I would rather take every interaction with others as a learning opportunity than trying to prove any point to anybody. I genuinely cared for OP's post and hence gave him suggestions based on my limited view of the world. I have been through exactly the same situation last year that he is currently going through.

And thank you for listing these books. I am always looking for good books to read and will certainly look into these to see if they are up my alley.

[gammaray]

Sorry If I gave you any wrong misinterpretation in my earlier post. I would rather take every interaction with others as a learning opportunity than trying to prove any point to anybody. I genuinely cared for OP's post and hence gave him suggestions based on my limited view of the world. I have been through exactly the same situation last year that he is currently going through.

And thank you for listing these books. I am always looking for good books to read and will certainly look into these to see if they are up my alley.

Sure no worries, and all I was suggesting to the OP was taking care of family should be first, especially with a disease you don't know what the outcome would be. Everything else can be figured out. Travel, jobs, career, money and whatever else can all be revived. A life can't. Anyhow.

"Zen and TAMM" is one of the most profound philosophical books. Definitely the second most that I've read, after "The Critique of Pure Reason" -- which is just a tough read. ZTAMM is definitely recommended. And I am passionate about cosmology, so any Brian Greene books (Until the end of time, Elegant Universe) are recommended, if questions of the nature of the Universe, of space and time, of our origins, fascinates anyone.

[vsivarama]

And I am passionate about cosmology, so any Brian Greene books (Until the end of time, Elegant Universe) are recommended, if questions of the nature of the Universe, of space and time, of our origins, fascinates anyone.

I am a cosmology buff myself. But, I am too lazy to read. I have lost count of the number of documentaries I have watched though. I try and listen to audio books whenever I can on these topics to cover up for my laziness. Looks like we need our on thread in this subject!!

[MeraNumber09]

Sorry If I gave you any wrong misinterpretation in my earlier post. I would rather take every interaction with others as a learning opportunity than trying to prove any point to anybody. I genuinely cared for OP's post and hence gave him suggestions based on my limited view of the world. I have been through exactly the same situation last year that he is currently going through.

And thank you for listing these books. I am always looking for good books to read and will certainly look into these to see if they are up my alley.

Kudos vedu for exemplary restraint and demonstrating the art of de-escalation!

[qesehmk]

"Zen and TAMM" is one of the most profound philosophical books. Definitely the second most that I've read, after "The Critique of Pure Reason" -- which is just a tough read. ZTAMM is definitely recommended.

I did computer science back in mid 90s. One of our crazy (i.e. great) teachers used to recommend ZTAMM. It is that old classic. Never read it though. I was a prolific reader until google came about. And then I only read soundbytes. The art of sitting 18 hours straight to finish a book in one sitting is lost forever on me.

I am a cosmology buff myself. But, I am too lazy to read. I have lost count of the number of documentaries I have watched though. I try and listen to audio books whenever I can on these topics to cover up for my laziness. Looks like we need our on thread in this subject!!

Me too! I generally watch anything related to cosmology. The latest AI driven cosmology is producing some mindboggling results and so are unbelievably ingenuous experiments such as LIGO!! Probably this is THE best time to be an astrophysicist.

Both of you - if you like Cosmology, AstroPhysics - this rather old discussion at CalTech is funny and profound at the same time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU6TkfCGlX8

Kudos vedu for exemplary restraint and demonstrating the art of de-escalation!

Yes indeed. Particularly in times of stress, it can be very easy to misinterpret some of the harmless things others say. But generally this forum has been lucky we rarely see fights. I have to be honest - i am quite a hot headed person myself. Many others on the forum are actually better than me.

[qesehmk]

I did for the first time.

Very good. Coming from India we are not used to questioning authority. But in US it is not just ok but it is your right to question authority. Or even better, the authority is truly seen as public servants.

Glad you did it and I hope all others do so.

[kb2013]

Anyone considering this? Looks like it will be beneficial for applicants from India and try to save visa numbers that will otherwise get wasted
https://www.visalaw.com/delays-for-i...faq/?locale=en

[qesehmk]

Anyone considering this? Looks like it will be beneficial for applicants from India and try to save visa numbers that will otherwise get wasted
https://www.visalaw.com/delays-for-i...faq/?locale=en

Definitely worth a look folks. Doing something is better than nothing.

My own feeling is that lawyer's statement ...
QUOTE
We also believe that USCIS’ delays are thwarting Congress’ intent that where there is demand, all immigrant visas be used, and that in doing so is violating their legal obligation to use all available numbers each year.
UNQUOTE
may not be acceptable. There is no mandate that the visas be used. And that's even when there is no covid. When there is COVID USCIS will use it to fullest advantage.

However - I do think it is worth trying folks. Don't sit quiet. No other people in the world would take such blatant discrimination. Why can't Indians fight back?

[mitul75]

Friends - did you act on this?

If not - then you should.

Otherwise how do you expect the system to change?

I just did! And I wholeheartedly agree that we should try to come out of our shell and speak out about injustice and unfair practices that push us back as skilled immigrants who contribute so much to this society. This is exactly opposite to how other immigrant communities in the minority have acted - in unity and solidarity with fellow immigrants.

I would urge everyone to write to your local congressman or senator asking them to take action on impending wastage of visas - the template is there and you just go and fill it out online. It took me less than 5 minutes to complete. Maybe it won't be enough to move the needle, but what's there to lose in trying? Think about it, even if 5% of visas are wasted this year, that amounts to 13K visas, which is equivalent to 6 months of movement in the most heavily backlogged category. Wastage in the magnitude of 50-60K as predicted by some will set us back by several years, which is inexcusable.

[SG2020]

I just did! And I wholeheartedly agree that we should try to come out of our shell and speak out about injustice and unfair practices that push us back as skilled immigrants who contribute so much to this society. This is exactly opposite to how other immigrant communities in the minority have acted - in unity and solidarity with fellow immigrants.

I would urge everyone to write to your local congressman or senator asking them to take action on impending wastage of visas - the template is there and you just go and fill it out online. It took me less than 5 minutes to complete. Maybe it won't be enough to move the needle, but what's there to lose in trying? Think about it, even if 5% of visas are wasted this year, that amounts to 13K visas, which is equivalent to 6 months of movement in the most heavily backlogged category. Wastage in the magnitude of 50-60K as predicted by some will set us back by several years, which is inexcusable.

I second that. My wife had joined the H4-EAD lawsuit and we got it approved on the day the lawsuit was filed. Please note that this lawsuit won't be a class action - so only those who join will benefit.

[immibie]

My wife had joined the H4-EAD lawsuit and we got it approved on the day the lawsuit was filed. Please note that this lawsuit won't be a class action - so only those who join will benefit.

My spouse's H4 EAD expired a month back and she's staring at a job loss if she doesn't receive her EAD in the the next month or so, which going by the current processing times is pretty much impossible. Would you please throw some light on which law firm filed your law suit, the costs involved and the chances of success.

[AceMan]

The art of sitting 18 hours straight to finish a book in one sitting is lost forever on me.

I got married !!!