EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

[whereismygc]

Friends - write a letter to your senator and congressman asking some action to avoid potential visa wastage. Here is a template.

https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...ll=1#post82412

[smuggymba]

At this rate and hypothetically assuming with some improvements, USCIS issues 150K green cards in FY2021.
Any idea on how far would the backlog clear out ?

Thanks

I might even be a bigger problem, I'm still not seeing people in Jan/Feb 2010 getting RFE's enmasse. So, what's the point of moving dates to Dec 2010 when TSC isn't doing anything.

My PD is March 2010 and I did a congressional inquiry and the response was a mere template with no real update saying - we will get to your file when we get to your file.

Anyone from Jan/Feb 2010 - Did you get RFE's yet?

[mr00us]

At this rate and hypothetically assuming with some improvements, USCIS issues 150K green cards in FY2021.
Any idea on how far would the backlog clear out ?

Thanks

If we are basing our analysis by extrapolating the first quarter data, I think we may be in for a pleasant surprise. Reason is, first quarter which is Oct-Dec is mostly holiday season and the processing is bound to be slow then. If second quarter data also shows the trend, I would understand. Moreover DOS and USCIS must be coordinated for the dates to move. I do anticipate some wastage, but that has always happened and it should not be more than 10%.

Last time these lawyers sued USCIS and we know how it went for us. I would 100% stand behind any effort to recapture lost visa numbers but pushing USCIS for process faster may not end well for us.

Some fault for visa wastage lies with us also. While filing in mass in October 2020, most folks knew that they will be current in 2 years. Especially folks in 2011 but still many of us saved a few hundred dollars and did not send medicals. Reason can be anything to not submit the medicals, the lack of it generates RFE, time waste and hence visa wastage.

[dharmindesai]

Zen, Thanks. My intention was to make everyone work harder towards their immigration goal and not take anything for granted. One or two errors in the immigration front might push GC by 8 or 10 years. Having gone through the process, I don't want someone to wait another 8 or 10 years for their GC after getting EAD+AP's. While for most of the folks an EAD is as good as GC, for some jobs, GC makes a lot of difference. I sincerely hope for issual of as many GCs as possible or the FA dates to progress so that kids don't age out.

Idliman, based on my personal situation I do agree with you and appreciate your view point....though for a lot of individuals I feel this whole situation might be a zero sum game; you gain some on the immigration front but lose some on the career front or vice-versa.

Having said that you have provided some great guidance to me; wish I had reached out to this forum sooner. Hopefully for the greater good of everyone in the similar situation (waiting 10+ years for gc), more people take the immigration process seriously or at least try to make some informed decisions.

sometimes chasing the gc does look like an exercise in futility....perhaps like a dog running behind a mailman but then never know a day might come when the dog is rewarded with a special treat (though it has to make sure to survive until then )

[Zenzone]

I might even be a bigger problem, I'm still not seeing people in Jan/Feb 2010 getting RFE's enmasse. So, what's the point of moving dates to Dec 2010 when TSC isn't doing anything.

My PD is March 2010 and I did a congressional inquiry and the response was a mere template with no real update saying - we will get to your file when we get to your file.

Anyone from Jan/Feb 2010 - Did you get RFE's yet?

Not me personally. I have first hand friends who have gotten RFEs for Meds and they became current in the April Bulletin. But they are not TSC, they are from NSC (National Benefits Center) rather.

[smuggymba]

Not me personally. I have first hand friends who have gotten RFEs for Meds and they became current in the April Bulletin. But they are not TSC, they are from NSC (National Benefits Center) rather.

Yes this issue is specific to TSC. On trackit, people with late April PD's have physical GC in their hands. TSC is fkin up big time here.

[vedu]

Guys,

I have a question. What happens to your pending EAD and/or AP applications if your GC gets approved first? Does USCIS reject those other applications or do they remain in pending status forever?

[incredible]

Guys,

I have a question. What happens to your pending EAD and/or AP applications if your GC gets approved first? Does USCIS reject those other applications or do they remain in pending status forever?

That is correct. They get rejected.

[vedu]

That is correct. They get rejected.

Thank you. That's good to know. I have a pending AP application and now I know what to expect.

[seepz123]

Hi,
I am having to urgently travel to India to take care of my covid affected parents. I am a 2012 filer who yet to receive GC, and working on a EAD. My plan is to travel using my AP. I tried reading the recent rules to see if I would be permitted to travel back on a AP, but cannot determine it for sure. Here is the link to the information I am looking at - https://in.usembassy.gov/covid-19-information/

I will be grateful if someone on the forum can comment on if using AP for travel back to USA would be allowed looking at the current rules.


I apologies if I have posted this in the wrong thread, and request the moderators to move it out if this is an inappropriate question here.

Thanks

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Yes this issue is specific to TSC. On trackit, people with late April PD's have physical GC in their hands. TSC is fkin up big time here.

I am with NBC and there has been no progress after FP. I used the USCIS case tracker app to check for 500 cases before and after and other neighboring hundreds of cases and though many of them have been assigned RFEs or Interviews, there have been very few approvals.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Hi,
I am having to urgently travel to India to take care of my covid affected parents. I am a 2012 filer who yet to receive GC, and working on a EAD. My plan is to travel using my AP. I tried reading the recent rules to see if I would be permitted to travel back on a AP, but cannot determine it for sure. Here is the link to the information I am looking at - https://in.usembassy.gov/covid-19-information/

I will be grateful if someone on the forum can comment on if using AP for travel back to USA would be allowed looking at the current rules.


I apologies if I have posted this in the wrong thread, and request the moderators to move it out if this is an inappropriate question here.

Thanks

I can provide one quick datapoint that if you have a USC child, you can come back.

https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...xceptions.html

[qesehmk]

Hi,
I am having to urgently travel to India to take care of my covid affected parents. I am a 2012 filer who yet to receive GC, and working on a EAD. My plan is to travel using my AP. I tried reading the recent rules to see if I would be permitted to travel back on a AP, but cannot determine it for sure. Here is the link to the information I am looking at - https://in.usembassy.gov/covid-19-information/

I will be grateful if someone on the forum can comment on if using AP for travel back to USA would be allowed looking at the current rules.


I apologies if I have posted this in the wrong thread, and request the moderators to move it out if this is an inappropriate question here.

Thanks

To my knowledge US hasn't banned Indians from traveling. Also COVID and AP are two mutually exclusive issues. If your AP is in good standing you should be back in without issues. Also US to my knowledge has no quarantine requirements anymore. The only thing I would suggest is travel on an American airline like United. I wouldn't want to deal with Indian airlines at this time (simply because they are too bureaucratic and if there is even a minor issue it can get into a bureaucratic nightmare.)

All the best and do post your experience as I am sure it will be useful for everybody.

[gammaray]

If we are basing our analysis by extrapolating the first quarter data, I think we may be in for a pleasant surprise. Reason is, first quarter which is Oct-Dec is mostly holiday season and the processing is bound to be slow then. If second quarter data also shows the trend, I would understand. Moreover DOS and USCIS must be coordinated for the dates to move. I do anticipate some wastage, but that has always happened and it should not be more than 10%.

Last time these lawyers sued USCIS and we know how it went for us. I would 100% stand behind any effort to recapture lost visa numbers but pushing USCIS for process faster may not end well for us.

Some fault for visa wastage lies with us also. While filing in mass in October 2020, most folks knew that they will be current in 2 years. Especially folks in 2011 but still many of us saved a few hundred dollars and did not send medicals. Reason can be anything to not submit the medicals, the lack of it generates RFE, time waste and hence visa wastage.

Sounds like you saw the latest Reddy & Neumann video. The June bulletin's chat with Carlie -- he indicated last year USCIS was slow in the first quarter as well, but recovered to reach 90-95% of the visa limit. But that was a normal year and it was 90-95% of the regular 140K limit. In a COVID year with USCIS working at 60-70% capacity for at least half the year, logic would dictate that they can't possibly get to 90% of a much higher 265k visa limit. But maybe logic is not applicable and they magically are able to process a large number. Hope is a good thing.

[smuggymba]

Anyone here - Did you file supplement J/ AC21 by yourselfs or do we need a lawyer? I file my EAP/AP so save money but not sure on the AC21/Supp J..Any feedback

[Moveon]

Thank you. That's good to know. I have a pending AP application and now I know what to expect.

My AP was pending while GC got approved .Got a letter of rejection a few weeks later saying that "Rejected because your AOS is no longer pending. AP is issued only if AOS is pending at the time of application and approval" .

[Moveon]

Anyone here - Did you file supplement J/ AC21 by yourselfs or do we need a lawyer? I file my EAP/AP so save money but not sure on the AC21/Supp J..Any feedback

My advise will be to use a lawyer . One mistake can cause several months of delay or even years if it retrogresses . EAD/AP is fine , I have done it for my spouse . Sup-J as a response to an RFE is better handled by the lawyer.

[FlowerPot]

EB2 05/12/2011 here and moved from original PERM/I-140 approved location (Chicago) to new location (Dallas) based on job transfer with same employer. Applied I-485 pack (incld. 485J that mentions my prev. position still available for me if GC approved) in Oct'20 and case is with NBC (MSC). Recently, received my 485J Receipt as well. When it comes to adjudication and field offices, will it be the location where job is available (Chicago) or home address (Dallas) Or MSC itself will take final decision on the case when it gets current in coming months?

[suninphx]

To my knowledge US hasn't banned Indians from traveling. Also COVID and AP are two mutually exclusive issues. If your AP is in good standing you should be back in without issues. Also US to my knowledge has no quarantine requirements anymore. The only thing I would suggest is travel on an American airline like United. I wouldn't want to deal with Indian airlines at this time (simply because they are too bureaucratic and if there is even a minor issue it can get into a bureaucratic nightmare.)

All the best and do post your experience as I am sure it will be useful for everybody.

Q- there is a travel ban for certain travelers from India in place:

https://www.murthy.com/2021/04/30/ne...vid-19-spread/

There are obviously exceptions:

https://www.murthy.com/2021/05/05/ex...curb-covid-19/

[Positive]

To my knowledge US hasn't banned Indians from traveling. Also COVID and AP are two mutually exclusive issues. If your AP is in good standing you should be back in without issues. Also US to my knowledge has no quarantine requirements anymore. The only thing I would suggest is travel on an American airline like United. I wouldn't want to deal with Indian airlines at this time (simply because they are too bureaucratic and if there is even a minor issue it can get into a bureaucratic nightmare.)

All the best and do post your experience as I am sure it will be useful for everybody.

If you are present in India for 14 days and a non citizen, you may face the travel ban unless you fit one of the exceptions such as you are parent of a US citizen.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-...-disease-2019/

[seepz123]

If you are present in India for 14 days and a non citizen, you may face the travel ban unless you fit one of the exceptions such as you are parent of a US citizen.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-...-disease-2019/

Thank you for all the responses here. I hope being the parent of a US citizen should help me get back on my valid AP. Will post my experiences as I navigate this new normal

[vedu]

Thank you for all the responses here. I hope being the parent of a US citizen should help me get back on my valid AP. Will post my experiences as I navigate this new normal

Seepz123,

Sorry to know about your situation and hope your parents will recover soon. My personal advice to you is not to travel to India on AP at this time. I know it is a difficult situation, but think rationally and not emotionally. There is not much you can do there to help your parents. Let your close relatives take care of the situation and you provide financial help from here as necessary. Your date is current and you should get your GC any time now. Follow up with USCIS and your local senator, explain to them the urgency of the situation. With GC in hand, travel will be very safe.

If you still decide to travel without GC, good luck and hope everything works out for you.

[vedu]

My AP was pending while GC got approved .Got a letter of rejection a few weeks later saying that "Rejected because your AOS is no longer pending. AP is issued only if AOS is pending at the time of application and approval" .

Thank you for sharing your experience, Moveon.

[qesehmk]

Q- there is a travel ban for certain travelers from India in place:

https://www.murthy.com/2021/04/30/ne...vid-19-spread/

There are obviously exceptions:

https://www.murthy.com/2021/05/05/ex...curb-covid-19/

Thanks Sun. This should be greatly useful to anybody considering travel. It seems most of us would qualify as parents of US citizens it seems.

[march1612]

Quick update, I opened Service request with TSC as my PD is current for about two months now with my PD in March-2010. TSC closed my service request stating that they acknowledge that my case is outside of the processing time but ask me to continue to wait until a through processing is done. Not sure what it "thorough processing" means and do not see any RFE issued in my case.

Any thoughts?