Spec thanks for your analysis and thoughts. Aug saw a huge acceleration in EB2 ROW and EB1 approvals pretty much in line with the clearance rate of the I140 backlog. The figures speak for themselves.
EB2 ROW
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Aug 2011 - 68
Aug 2010 - 44
EB1
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Aug 2011 = 37
Aug 2010 = 18
Looking at the ROW and EB1 figures looks like both definitely consumed their regular monthly allocations. I think this year will see huge optimization and speeding up of I140 backlog, September should see even more acceleration in I140 as the resources are virtually free from approving EB2 I/C I485 cases this time. Now another interesting thing to note is that the 485 process is well optimized PWMB cases those who applied in July are all consistently seeing approvals. From SOFAD considerations Q1 trend will hold the key if the consumption of EB2 ROW and EB1 continues at this kind of rate then Q1 may not generate any SOFAD at all. I would tend to agree more with your SOFAD figure of 32K, looks like everyone before 15-APR-20-07 should see approvals since even the PWMB's are being approved. September won't be adding any EB2 I/C PWMB's anyway. I believe more than anything any movement even by 1 week for China will be a good indicator. If China dates do not move then the scenario of unapproved cases before 15-APR may hold true and China does not have significant porting but in essence 250 per month is a very small number so nothing can be said for sure, we can be sure however if China moves by 2 weeks which can match their inventory for later half of April if this holds true then the agencies did a perfect job in setting the cutoff dates.