EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

[Jitesh]

September Visa bulletin has brought disappointment to many.EB2-I has not moved at all.
What is USCIS up to?

[nishant2200]

we know who you are

n*5+123 -> mesan123 -> n*6+123

sorry, couldn't resist

One of the moderators will solve your problem hopefully.

First of all congrats Q....have a blast today...your approval changed moods of many of us today

now i am not able to login with my userid(mesan).....logged in 5 times with wrong password...had tough day at work...didnt count how many times entered wrong......

i tried the process of reseting the password after 15 minutes, i get the password, even i enter that i am not able to login...

Guru's unlock my mesan account and let me know the steps i need to follow to relogin ....

[leo07]

Guys, last year, TeddyK, Spec were all trying to set our expectations right, but we still got carried away with June VB. I guess it's only human to want-more. Let's try to keep our expectations under check.

Realistically, I do not see EB2I becoming current anytime soon. EB2C is a possibility by the end of 2012 year or early 2013.

I also hoping for option 1. Do you see either of the options being exercised in near future?

[nnnnnn123]

someone recognized me thatz good...

will wait for moderators msg....

we know who you are

n*5+123 -> mesan123 -> n*6+123

sorry, couldn't resist

One of the moderators will solve your problem hopefully.

[mygctracker]

Huge Huge congratulations Q. Enjoy your Greenary.

Gurus,

One simple question. On I-485 chart can we assume that the inventory atleast till March 2007 has been cleared by now?

http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...une%202011.pdf

I don't understand why the inventory chart still shows numbers against months we thought already cleared. What am I missing here?

TIA.

[veni001]

Huge Huge congratulations Q. Enjoy your Greenary.

Gurus,

One simple question. On I-485 chart can we assume that the inventory atleast till March 2007 has been cleared by now?

http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...une%202011.pdf

I don't understand why the inventory chart still shows numbers against months we thought already cleared. What am I missing here?

TIA.

Those are the cases pending due to RFE, Background Checks, awaiting response for RFE....etc.

[qesehmk]

Pls check your private inbox.

someone recognized me thatz good...

will wait for moderators msg....

[mygctracker]

Those are the cases pending due to RFE, Background Checks, awaiting response for RFE....etc.

Thanks Veni. Is there a way to know (roughly) the inventory for people waiting to file I-485?

[march272010]

I am new comer to this forum, was going through flcdatacenter.com. Created 2007,2008,2009,2010 perm data as per the mdb files, hope this might help for further analysis.

thanks

[Jan2008]

Many congratulations Q =)

[aary09]

its right happened with my colleague who filed under eb3I back in 2008 got his GC within 6 months by charging spouse 's country of birth who was Indian born in Europe.

Country of Chargeability is what counts.

Where you born, that's the country of chargeability. In fact, you can even count your spouse's country of birth as chargability if that favors you. The lawyer puts a letter to USCIS indicating to charge spouse's country of birth, as there is no official box in the forms for this.

Let me give you one workflow, which I believe causes significant bleeding from EB2 ROW, which could have come to us.

Many indians settled in middle east many years back. Many of them are quite well off. Their kids born in middle east (Dubai, UAE, etc). They send these kids to India on engineering, medical etc, they can afford the donation fees needed. Next these guys come to USA to do masters. And next when they start working, few years down the line, EB2 ROW, since they were not born in India. I believe children of Indians born in foreign countries like this, are occupying a fair chunk of EB2 ROW. Trackitt trend maybe analysed to come to some formal percentage.

Very good observation vedu. I was just telling Teddy of this few days back.

Note: whatever I say, is for observation, learning, analysis purpose. Should not be counted as my positive or negative opinion about such events or workflows. It is what it is..

[GCWala]

All , wanted to let you know that my friend with PD : 04-Apr-2007 got his approval today.I am newbie to this thread, but have been reading the forum comments for a very long time. Thank you all for your contribution.

Congrats Q-----------

[skpanda]

Good to know that backlog will be cleared till 15th April so there wont be any retrogession (there were some concerns in previous posts by some people that retrogession may happen).

All , wanted to let you know that my friend with PD : 04-Apr-2007 got his approval today.I am newbie to this thread, but have been reading the forum comments for a very long time. Thank you all for your contribution.

Congrats Q-----------

[veni001]

Thanks Veni. Is there a way to know (roughly) the inventory for people waiting to file I-485?

mygctracker,
You can estimate demand based on monthly PERM breakdown posted in FACTS AND DATA SECTION
Use EB2:EB3 ratio 70:30, apply denial rate at 140 stage(~15-20%) and average EB2-140 to 485 ratio 2.05.

[veni001]

I am new comer to this forum, was going through flcdatacenter.com. Created 2007,2008,2009,2010 perm data as per the mdb files, hope this might help for further analysis.

thanks

march272010,
Please check FACTS AND DATA SECTION for this data.

Note: EB1,EB4,EB5 does not require PERM Labor.

[MeraNoAayega]

I think the next quarterly inventory report (in oct-nov,11) from uscis should give us a good idea...

[nnnnnn123]

Hi Q,

I have replied back your message in private inbox..

Pls check your private inbox.

[10102007]

All,

Is there a public liaison at the office (DoS or USCIS - wherever all this is done)? If yes, a small group with a few of us can go meet and have a talk. It may not do much. Bit these small ripples can become big waves. Atleast for the future set of applicants, things may change.

If not, as someoneone had pointed out a few pages before, we could file a FoIA request asking for the breakdown of numbers.

[tikkahyd]

Congrats Q !!!
Can you explain the procedure to write to a senator about your case ?
I am current now and am taking an InfoPass next week to en-quire about my case status.
But wanted to get ready in case InfoPass yields nothing new.

Thanks !!

[familyguy]

Guys, did any one see this...
http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AA53

It looks like this is the final stage... a lot of people will benefit, if this becomes effective


Title: Nonimmigrant Classes; Spouses and Children of Lawful Permanent Residents; V Classification
Abstract: Section 1102 of the LIFE Act of 2000 amends the Immigration and Nationality Act to create a new nonimmigrant classification V for the spouses and children of lawful permanent residents awaiting the availability of an immigrant visa number in the appropriate preference category in accordance with the State Department's monthly Visa Bulletin. Eligible spouses and children of lawful permanent residents residing abroad that obtain the V nonimmigrant visa from the Department of State may work and reside in the United States on the basis of the V classification until they can apply for adjustment of status to that of lawful permanent resident. Certain eligible spouses and children of lawful permanent residents already present in the United States may be granted V classification until they can apply to adjust status to that of lawful permanent resident.

There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

[srimurthy]

congrats Q.
A question to all. I got a copy of my I-140 and can see the A-XXXX number, but could not find it in the FLC Datacenter. Also I tracked the SRC number for I-140 at USCIS earlier when it was filed and it showed that it was approved. So what is the way to check the A-xxxx number is correct or not and also get the PD date. It has a date when the labor was filed listed but I am not sure if that should be considered the PD date?
Thanks for the answers.

[ssvp22]

create a new nonimmigrant classification V for the spouses and children of lawful permanent residents awaiting the availability of an immigrant visa number

I dont think we fall under this category.

[nnnnnn123]

if this happens ...it will be little bit of relief as only one of us need to go through this H1b extension tension in family...and finding jobs with an EAD is better than H1b

There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) , the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AB92

[ssvp22]

There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) , the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AB92

Is it for people who have used AC21 to change employers? Which means they have filed for 485?

[familyguy]

Yeah.. we don't fall under this category.. but I know few people who got stuck in India as their spouses are LPR's...

I dont think we fall under this category.