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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

  1. #2476
    Quote Originally Posted by fishelusa View Post
    I suspect NBC with MSC is heavily backlogged to process biometrics it seems. I applied in oct 2020 no update on biometrics schedule.
    I got FP done in first week of Dec. I did apply in the first week of Oct though at the Dallas Lockbox and received a receipt from MSC. No EAD/AP approval yet, and my attorney thinks there is a chance they will issue the GC directly.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  2. #2477
    Quote Originally Posted by ak7419 View Post
    I have been current since November and my case is TSC. I have not had any RFE since 2016. Still waiting to hear from TSC. I have no idea how they are issuing RFEs.

    I am not expecting that I will receive GC in hand for another 3 months. My NSC counterparts have already received their GC two or three months ago.
    That's harsh. I just got current (March 2010) so it seems we're in for no hope if ppl in november are still waiting. Damn.

  3. #2478
    One more thing to thank Biden admin for.

    Form I-944 (Declaration of self-sufficiency) not required anymore.

    https://www.uscis.gov/i-944
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  4. #2479
    Hello Everyone. I'm a first time poster here. First of all, thank you to all of you for provide well thought out, on-point advice to all who come here.

    I'm EB2I with a DEC 2010 PD; filed for AoS in Oct 2020 (not TSC) and have received my EAD/AP after biometrics. Here is my question about the GC allocation process:

    I've read some posts by GCseeker1999 on tr*ck*tt where it was mentioned that the GC issuance is prioritized according to the degree to which the applicant's paperwork has been processed. In detail, suppose there are 2 AoS applicants, both of whom are current per the VB. The first applicant has approved EAD/AP etc. while the second one is still awaiting his biometrics.

    Is it true then, that the first applicant who has all his/her ducks lined up (all paperwork complete pending the GC interview) will be issued a GC before the 2nd applicant? In your experience, is there empirical evidence to justify the same?

    Appreciate your thoughts, TIA.

  5. #2480
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    One more thing to thank Biden admin for.

    Form I-944 (Declaration of self-sufficiency) not required anymore.

    https://www.uscis.gov/i-944
    This is awesome news ! Maybe its just good riddance of some inconvenience for EB community, but this had a lot of effect on the Family visa applications.
    PD EB3-I 10-28-2010; RD 10-23-2020 LPR 08-26-2021

  6. #2481
    Yoda
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    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    This is awesome news ! Maybe its just good riddance of some inconvenience for EB community, but this had a lot of effect on the Family visa applications.
    This is a nuisance for EB community as it effects less than 1% for EB applicants but slows down 100% of the applications. It was in put in place to slow down processing, as the previous admin could not legally deny issuing GCs to immigrants.

  7. #2482
    Pandit
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    So, the TSC have approved virtually no cases even as back as Sept 2009 priority dates; they haven't even issued RFEs.
    Green card approved on 6/28/2021
    EB2-India; PD 2/10/2010; I-485 RD 3/22/2012 at TSC; RFE received 05/08/21: I-693 (Medical), "Job Offer Letter", and Biographic info (G-352A). RFE response received by USCIS 6/4/21; Officer # XM2027

  8. #2483
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
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    In case it gets lost in other postings, I've posted a summary of the FY2020 DOS Visa Report here.

    Here's the top level numbers:

    FY2020-EB Visa Approvals

    EB Approvals

    - Country --- EB1 ----- EB2 ----- EB3 ----- EB4 ---- EB5 ---- Total

    CHINA ----- 4,766 --- 3,118 --- 3,499 ----- 256 -- 1,564 --- 13,203
    INDIA ---- 17,014 --- 2,599 --- 3,194 ----- 734 ---- 613 --- 24,154
    MEXICO ---- 1,413 --- 1,613 --- 3,796 ----- 906 ----- 47 ---- 7,775
    PHIL. ------- 271 --- 1,079 --- 3,411 ----- 236 ------ 9 ---- 5,006
    ROW ------ 23,739 -- 34,718 -- 28,921 --- 8,274 -- 1,363 --- 97,015

    TOTAL ---- 47,203 -- 43,127 -- 42,821 -- 10,406 -- 3,596 -- 147,153


    Last edited by Spectator; 03-15-2021 at 05:34 PM.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  9. #2484
    Thanks Spec for posting the numbers. EB2 approvals are really ridiculous. They didn’t approve the allocated 2800 visas.

  10. #2485
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    As I said it should not be any issue as long as it is within the same org. Eg One Engineering VP's org to another . As long as you/company can keep the job description within what was filed for the I-140 you are safe . Its very easy when you are in the same company for two reasons
    1. The RFE if ever issued typically asks for a new Supp-J only if you changed employers . In your case you are in the same company, so you will not have to respond to it .
    2. The USCIS realizes that our job functions cannot be the same for years at end just because we were born in India. Your perm.I-140 I am sure was was filed with a generic description that would give you the flexibility to switch fields . You just need 50% overlap in the worst case .

    Go for it man. Don't live in fear.
    I am closing on an internal offer. However, the office location is different within bay area. Does it matter from a GC perspective?

  11. #2486
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    I am closing on an internal offer. However, the office location is different within bay area. Does it matter from a GC perspective?
    Within Bay Area is considered the same Metropolitan Area . Should not cause any issues .

  12. #2487
    Sophomore
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Within Bay Area is considered the same Metropolitan Area . Should not cause any issues .
    I always thought there are 2... San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcma.htm). Please check before making a decision. When in doubt, check with your firm's attorney.

  13. #2488
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    ....In your case you are in the same company, so you will not have to respond to it .
    Always respond to an RFE--even if the info requested is trivial, irrelevant/immaterial to your case, or even if it was already submitted before.
    Green card approved on 6/28/2021
    EB2-India; PD 2/10/2010; I-485 RD 3/22/2012 at TSC; RFE received 05/08/21: I-693 (Medical), "Job Offer Letter", and Biographic info (G-352A). RFE response received by USCIS 6/4/21; Officer # XM2027

  14. #2489
    Quote Originally Posted by nbk1976 View Post
    So, the TSC have approved virtually no cases even as back as Sept 2009 priority dates; they haven't even issued RFEs.
    that is true.
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  15. #2490
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Within Bay Area is considered the same Metropolitan Area . Should not cause any issues .
    Quote Originally Posted by SG2020 View Post
    I always thought there are 2... San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcma.htm). Please check before making a decision. When in doubt, check with your firm's attorney.
    Thank you. Just spoke to the hiring manager. He is ok with keeping the current location. thanks!

  16. #2491
    Quote Originally Posted by rocketfast View Post
    The Eb1-I guys maintain a tracker for MSC with a sample space of > 500 people. According to it, 39% of the people that applied after October 1st are yet to get biometrics appointment. I follow it to get a general idea of approvals.

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...#gid=497246112

    There are also a couple of Chinese telegram groups that crawl the USCIS case status page to figure out the rate of approvals. There is a decent spike in activity over the last couple of weeks. But, still a long way to go for them to not waste any GCs.
    great find! thanks!

  17. #2492
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    In case it gets lost in other postings, I've posted a summary of the FY2020 DOS Visa Report here.

    Here's the top level numbers:

    FY2020-EB Visa Approvals

    EB Approvals

    - Country --- EB1 ----- EB2 ----- EB3 ----- EB4 ---- EB5 ---- Total

    CHINA ----- 4,766 --- 3,118 --- 3,499 ----- 256 -- 1,564 --- 13,203
    INDIA ---- 17,014 --- 2,599 --- 3,194 ----- 734 ---- 613 --- 24,154
    MEXICO ---- 1,413 --- 1,613 --- 3,796 ----- 906 ----- 47 ---- 7,775
    PHIL. ------- 271 --- 1,079 --- 3,411 ----- 236 ------ 9 ---- 5,006
    ROW ------ 23,739 -- 34,718 -- 28,921 --- 8,274 -- 1,363 --- 97,015

    TOTAL ---- 47,203 -- 43,127 -- 42,821 -- 10,406 -- 3,596 -- 147,153


    Thanks Spec. As always this is incredibly valuable.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  18. #2493
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Within Bay Area is considered the same Metropolitan Area . Should not cause any issues .
    Quote Originally Posted by SG2020 View Post
    I always thought there are 2... San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA (https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oessrcma.htm). Please check before making a decision. When in doubt, check with your firm's attorney.
    Just an update: Spoke to the attorney. She suggested:
    - to postpone the start date of the new job to after the 180 day i485 pending period to be on the safe side and that it is quite close in terms of time (end of April).
    - I may also need to file i485j if there is material change in the job description.

  19. #2494
    Sensei
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    It should show in the "Preference classification" Box that is next to the "Priority Date "
    It does not show in preference classification in mine

  20. #2495
    Re: ac21 180 day rule
    If my i485 receipt date is 10/28/2020, what should be my join date to a new job with ac21 portability. Is it 04/26/2021 or 04/27/2021? is the receipt day inclusive of the count? thanks!

  21. #2496
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    Re: ac21 180 day rule
    If my i485 receipt date is 10/28/2020, what should be my join date to a new job with ac21 portability. Is it 04/26/2021 or 04/27/2021? is the receipt day inclusive of the count? thanks!
    calendar date. 04/29/2021 should be the joining date.
    EB3(2)-Dec-2013 (RD-Oct/29/2020, ND-Jan/30/2021)
    APP No-SRC2190090XXX
    Approved- I140 (Aug-11-2021)
    Completed- BM (Aug-25-2021)
    I693-Interfiled (Sep-28-2021)
    I765/131-Case approved (Jan-18-2022)
    Pending- 485

  22. #2497
    Quote Originally Posted by LeoAugust View Post
    calendar date. 04/29/2021 should be the joining date.
    Thanks. Not sure though I understand:
    Oct: 3 days
    Nov: 30
    Dec: 31
    Jan: 31
    Feb: 28
    March: 31
    Total: 154

    So you need another 26 days in April. So a start date of 04/27 would honor the 180 day pending period, no?

  23. #2498
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    Re: ac21 180 day rule
    If my i485 receipt date is 10/28/2020, what should be my join date to a new job with ac21 portability. Is it 04/26/2021 or 04/27/2021? is the receipt day inclusive of the count? thanks!
    Wow, counting the specifics ! You must have a spectacular offer in hand or want to leave your employer real bad.

  24. #2499
    Quote Originally Posted by android09 View Post
    Wow, counting the specifics ! You must have a spectacular offer in hand or want to leave your employer real bad.
    Yes - the current job is no less than jail. Counting days - literally !

  25. #2500
    Just put it in excel...do a formula for 180+receipt date..join the next day!

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