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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations)

  1. #2076
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Feb 2021
    Location
    Seattle
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    78
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    No. I filed in 2012 and only submitted the medicals then. Only ppl in early 2009 who were close to getting current in the past have gotten RFE's and submitted medicals. later 2009/2010 folks haven't been contacted since 2012 it seems.

    I'm March 2020 EB2 - no RFE so far or ever in the last. TSC.
    Thanks for the clarification!

  2. #2077
    Quote Originally Posted by android09 View Post
    Getting an RFE does not mean your case is going to be adjudicated right away. While there are implications regarding financial costs of Medicals for a family, it could imply perhaps processing is going to be imminent in the next few months?
    Based on trackitt numbers, it does look like USCIS is issuing bio-metrics appt based on I-485 application received date.

    If USCIS is anticipating forward movement for EB cases, wouldn't it be prudent for USCIS to send bio-metrics appt for Oct 2020 filers based on Priority Date rather I-485 Received Date? EB3 got moved until end of 2014 in Oct 2020 and there will be lot of wastage if USCIS continue to issue appt based on Received Date.

  3. #2078
    Quote Originally Posted by SG2020 View Post
    Thanks for the detailed reply...I had tried to research before posting but couldn't find the complete answers.

    Just a couple of quick follow ups:

    1. Fragomen provided the same reason - that they don't have the original application and so can't apply in PP. However, the application was sent the normal route. Job/company/location are all same. Once we get the receipt notice, should I push for sending a request for PP update?

    2. Still not clear about the whole 'free agent' and 'work in the "GC" job that you and employer signed up for after getting GC' part. I will try to look up AC21 guidelines.
    Regarding 1. One of my friend has exactly same situation. Working for same employer and downgraded to EB3 in October, Fragomen filed his I-140 in regular and after he got the receipt, converted to PP. He already got his I-140 approved too in PP.

  4. #2079
    Hello Gurus,
    I am a longtime silent follower and really appreciate all GURUS here who are helping others. If you have few mins, could you please provide your comments for below questions?
    My PD is EB2 June 2010 and I filled 485 during Oct-2020 and I already got my EAD 2 weeks back.

    During my Oct-2020 I485J, Our attorney filed I485J with the SOC Code as 15-1122 which stands for Computer Security Analyst [https://www.nj.gov/labor/lpa/employ/.../cape_ind.pdf]. After 14 yrs work with the same employer[ same end client], I moved to an Architect role. This was mentioned in I485J within the description section along with old job title as Sr.Security Administrator.

    Currently I have direct job offer "Director - IT" from end-client where I am currently working for the past 14 yrs [all my 14 yrs H1 life is with this one single client ]. Due to resource consolidation, the end client is pushing me to join as a direct employee asap. I have explained the 180 days rule and they are ready to hire me by April-May 2021 timeframe.

    Questions:

    1) If I keep staying with my current employer [as Technical Architect], will the existing I485 will have any issues in approval stage since my SOC code and my current title is not matching?
    2) If I move my job and join new employer as "Director-IT" title, will it cause any issues to my I485 approval? [It is same job role with a different tittle]
    3) If I decided to move on EAD[ new employer wont sponsor H1B or GC], what docs do I need to keep in handy? [ I have my I140 copy and PERM advertisement copy. Do I need Labor[PERM] copy or any other docs?]
    4) Since we applied I485 and I485 by October only, will they ask I486J again if the date moves to current by June-July timeframe? [ New Employer is ready to provide I485J].

    I really prefer to get the GC and then move my job as it is always safe. However, my dilemma is not to miss a management role.

    If the new employer is not ready to wait for another 6-8 months delay, I may need to join by April-May 2021 timeframe.

  5. #2080
    Hi Everyone,
    I am a silent reader of this forum. My PD is EB2 28th April 2010, service center TSC. Just wanted to get some thoughts on how you think the priority date movement will be impacted now that the Green Card ban has been lifted. Do we reckon dates will still move to atleast 1st May 2010 for EB2? I am hoping I will get current in the next few months. but given the fact that the horizontal spillover likely will be reduced with all the CP cases consuming these numbers, I do not feel very optimistic. Also the processing center is TSC , which has not been sending out RFEs like nebraska has.

    This forum has great posts , which are really helpful and provide the motivation to get through each day given the awfully long wait.
    Last edited by Wizoz2; 02-25-2021 at 02:58 PM.

  6. #2081
    Sensei
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    Seattle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wizoz2 View Post
    Hi Everyone,
    I am a silent reader of this forum. My PD is EB2 28th April 2010, service center TSC. Just wanted to get some thoughts on how you think the priority date movement will be impacted now that the Green Card ban has been lifted. Do we reckon dates will still move to atleast 1st May 2010 for EB2? I am hoping I will get current in the next few months. but given the fact that the horizontal spillover likely will be reduced with all the CP cases consuming these numbers, I do not feel very optimistic. Also the processing center is TSC , which has not been sending out RFEs like nebraska has.

    This forum has great posts , which are really helpful and provide the motivation to get through each day given the awfully long wait.
    Hi,

    I just read this analysis on trackitt.Its called 'Nuts and Bolts' by a user called 'gcseeker1999'.He/she explains the entire process and predictions in details. It clarified a lot fo things for me.

    https://www.trackitt.com/usa-discuss...121k-so/page/1

  7. #2082
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Feb 2021
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    Seattle
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    Quote Originally Posted by may2011 View Post
    Hi,

    I just read this analysis on trackitt.Its called 'Nuts and Bolts' by a user called 'gcseeker1999'.He/she explains the entire process and predictions in details. It clarified a lot fo things for me.

    https://www.trackitt.com/usa-discuss...121k-so/page/1
    Read his/her first and last post.Basically they are optimistic about visa numbers for FY2021.They anticipate PD reaching mid 2011.But they anticipate processing delays.So even if ones PD is current in 2021, due to processing delays the applicant might be pushed to FY2022. They expect retrogression mainly for EB3 as apparently many cases in EB3 are via 'Consular Processing'.For EB2, the GC issuance hinges on processing times.

  8. #2083
    Quote Originally Posted by greenjpr View Post
    Hello Gurus,
    I am a longtime silent follower and really appreciate all GURUS here who are helping others. If you have few mins, could you please provide your comments for below questions?
    My PD is EB2 June 2010 and I filled 485 during Oct-2020 and I already got my EAD 2 weeks back.

    During my Oct-2020 I485J, Our attorney filed I485J with the SOC Code as 15-1122 which stands for Computer Security Analyst [https://www.nj.gov/labor/lpa/employ/.../cape_ind.pdf]. After 14 yrs work with the same employer[ same end client], I moved to an Architect role. This was mentioned in I485J within the description section along with old job title as Sr.Security Administrator.

    Currently I have direct job offer "Director - IT" from end-client where I am currently working for the past 14 yrs [all my 14 yrs H1 life is with this one single client ]. Due to resource consolidation, the end client is pushing me to join as a direct employee asap. I have explained the 180 days rule and they are ready to hire me by April-May 2021 timeframe.

    Questions:

    1) If I keep staying with my current employer [as Technical Architect], will the existing I485 will have any issues in approval stage since my SOC code and my current title is not matching?
    2) If I move my job and join new employer as "Director-IT" title, will it cause any issues to my I485 approval? [It is same job role with a different tittle]
    3) If I decided to move on EAD[ new employer wont sponsor H1B or GC], what docs do I need to keep in handy? [ I have my I140 copy and PERM advertisement copy. Do I need Labor[PERM] copy or any other docs?]
    4) Since we applied I485 and I485 by October only, will they ask I486J again if the date moves to current by June-July timeframe? [ New Employer is ready to provide I485J].

    I really prefer to get the GC and then move my job as it is always safe. However, my dilemma is not to miss a management role.

    If the new employer is not ready to wait for another 6-8 months delay, I may need to join by April-May 2021 timeframe.
    First meet the 180 day deadline for AC21. I think your underlying I-140 is already approved. So that should not have a problem after 180 days. If not wait for I-140 to be approved. Don't hesitate. Take-up the full time offer, but plan ahead and hire a good attorney. Like Q mentioned, AC21 is seldom denied. The attorneys can wordsmith and add functional roles to get AC21 / I-485J approved.

    Q1 & Q2. No. Please browse through USCIS PM Chapter 5.It explains you the factors that USCIS considers in approving AC21. If the company is onboard, the attorneys can justify "Director" by providing a "Functional Title". As GC is for future job they can even provide a I485J for "Non-Director" position and let you work in the current role till you get a GC. You may have to technically work in that position after getting GC, but there is no way of enforcing that. The only thing USCIS looks at while applying for N400 is where you worked after getting GC and whether you worked there for a "reasonable" time. Maybe you can take on some additional duties after GC to perform the functions in GC/PERM/I485J. *wink*

    Q3. Looks like you already have everything. Remember the USCIS adjudicator that is going to review your I485J does not know anything technical about your job. Its like a street peddler trying to sell a micro-architecture. So, as long as the justification sounds reasonable, he is going to approve it. If it were me, I would come-up with AC21 / I-485J job description by wordsmithing to match closely with PERM and give it to your attorney / HR as a start. A good attorney helps a lot.

    Q4. I485J serves two purposes. First time, it stands for bonafide job offer. The second time it is for portability. USCIS can ask for any of these if they wish. Recently I saw some RFEs that asked for confirmation that the applicant plans to work in that job. GC is given based on a contract between you and the company. You promise to work in that position after GC. The company promises to offer you that position after GC. That is the whole purpose of I485J process.

    Spend some good money and hire a good attorney. Or use the attorneys from initial PERM/I-140, pay them and ask for justification. Nothing works like money. But you are the best judge of the job justification as it was your job.

    Good Luck.
    LPR Since 07MAY2021

  9. #2084
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by Wizoz2 View Post
    Hi Everyone,
    I am a silent reader of this forum. My PD is EB2 28th April 2010, service center TSC. Just wanted to get some thoughts on how you think the priority date movement will be impacted now that the Green Card ban has been lifted. Do we reckon dates will still move to atleast 1st May 2010 for EB2? I am hoping I will get current in the next few months. but given the fact that the horizontal spillover likely will be reduced with all the CP cases consuming these numbers, I do not feel very optimistic. Also the processing center is TSC , which has not been sending out RFEs like nebraska has.

    This forum has great posts , which are really helpful and provide the motivation to get through each day given the awfully long wait.
    Just remember that only around 10-15% of the cases in EB are dependent on CP. I would not worry much about the CP at this time. Remember one thing, before the spillover happened for the most years 35K (in EB2/EB3 categries) visas were enough for the ROW cases with some exceptions. Just because there is a spillover of additional 110k in EB does not mean, more people from ROW will start applying (CP or otherwise). So though lifting the bans will have some impact around the edges it will not stop the regular movement. The regular movement stops only if the visa numbers are wasted.
    Last edited by vsivarama; 02-25-2021 at 05:44 PM.

  10. #2085
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    First meet the 180 day deadline for AC21. I think your underlying I-140 is already approved. So that should not have a problem after 180 days. If not wait for I-140 to be approved. Don't hesitate. Take-up the full time offer, but plan ahead and hire a good attorney. Like Q mentioned, AC21 is seldom denied. The attorneys can wordsmith and add functional roles to get AC21 / I-485J approved.

    Q1 & Q2. No. Please browse through USCIS PM Chapter 5.It explains you the factors that USCIS considers in approving AC21. If the company is onboard, the attorneys can justify "Director" by providing a "Functional Title". As GC is for future job they can even provide a I485J for "Non-Director" position and let you work in the current role till you get a GC. You may have to technically work in that position after getting GC, but there is no way of enforcing that. The only thing USCIS looks at while applying for N400 is where you worked after getting GC and whether you worked there for a "reasonable" time. Maybe you can take on some additional duties after GC to perform the functions in GC/PERM/I485J. *wink*

    Q3. Looks like you already have everything. Remember the USCIS adjudicator that is going to review your I485J does not know anything technical about your job. Its like a street peddler trying to sell a micro-architecture. So, as long as the justification sounds reasonable, he is going to approve it. If it were me, I would come-up with AC21 / I-485J job description by wordsmithing to match closely with PERM and give it to your attorney / HR as a start. A good attorney helps a lot.

    Q4. I485J serves two purposes. First time, it stands for bonafide job offer. The second time it is for portability. USCIS can ask for any of these if they wish. Recently I saw some RFEs that asked for confirmation that the applicant plans to work in that job. GC is given based on a contract between you and the company. You promise to work in that position after GC. The company promises to offer you that position after GC. That is the whole purpose of I485J process.

    Spend some good money and hire a good attorney. Or use the attorneys from initial PERM/I-140, pay them and ask for justification. Nothing works like money. But you are the best judge of the job justification as it was your job.

    Good Luck.

    I really appreciate your time and detailed response. I wish that Q has some kind of thumbs up rating system to appreciate helps like this.

    X number of thumbs-up, provide his free Q stock [wink]

  11. #2086
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    Just remember that only around 10-15% of the cases in EB are dependent on CP. I would not worry much about the CP at this time. Remember one thing, before the spillover happened for the most years 35K (in EB2/EB3 categries) visas were enough of the ROW cases with some exceptions. Just because there is a spillover of additional 110k in EB does not mean, more people from ROW will start applying (CP or otherwise). So though lifting the bans will have some impact around the edges it will not stop the regular movement. The regular movement stops only if the visa numbers are wasted.
    Thanks that is very re-assuring. I can hope to be current in the next 6 months then.

  12. #2087
    Quote Originally Posted by may2011 View Post
    Read his/her first and last post.Basically they are optimistic about visa numbers for FY2021.They anticipate PD reaching mid 2011.But they anticipate processing delays.So even if ones PD is current in 2021, due to processing delays the applicant might be pushed to FY2022. They expect retrogression mainly for EB3 as apparently many cases in EB3 are via 'Consular Processing'.For EB2, the GC issuance hinges on processing times.
    Thanks i did read the post and it was very re-assuring

  13. #2088
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by Wizoz2 View Post
    Thanks that is very re-assuring. I can hope to be current in the next 6 months then.
    I can see you getting current in next 1-2 months.

  14. #2089
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Aug 2013
    Location
    Austin, TX
    Posts
    49
    Is there a validity around Supp-J, when would USCIS consider sending RFE requesting for a new Supp-J? Or do they request it when the RFE for medicals is sent out? Not sure of the trend.

  15. #2090
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    United States
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    54
    March 2021 bulletin out, some of you are happy at the same time anxious. Please take a deep breath. Let me share my perspective. Most people have not seen this kind of VB dates move for EB2 atleast in past few years. Just a caution VB dates jumping up and down like a monkey is not new and historically has been there, Post 2014 onward started EB2-I in snail pace. Prior to that it was always roller coaster rides and EB3 had that for many decades. So Strap you boots, this kind of trend possibly will be there for atleast another year till End of 2022 if no law changes. May be we need a volatility index (VIX) for EB2/3-I. Historically it was due demand-supply gap , what later come back is retrogression cycles primarily due to demand shoot up. This year we dont need to worry about Supply side, because FY2020 FB SpillOver(SO)got us record level of "good surplus of Green Card 261,000 Green Cards instead of 140,000".

    Not to worry for next few months till Sep 2021 bulletin ideally it should be forward movement for EB2/3-India.

    We have a problem, The new villain is "Processing times". This would not make no sense for many, But hold your thoughts - think through it - if dates are moving wildly to a territory where runway is small(means Green Card issuance by Sep 30th 2021 i.e 8 more months) what can happen. To give an example quoting my friend who filed in EB3-I on October 2020 bulletin after waiting decade and his Priority Date is May 6th 2010, yes he is direct EB3 filer. He got his physical receipt 2 weeks back. Now his date is current for March 2021, will he get green card in March 2021? or June 2021? or August 2021?

    I guess with above example , people will be able to realize have the new villain in town i.e "Processing times for 485" is going make or break for EB2-I and EB3-I.

    Geerally once 485 is filed a person who is current in FAD ,it takes 8 months to 16 months to get Green Card, in some case its beyond that. These timeframes are pre-covid, now with covid, government efficiency is at rock bottom. Not their fault, but Corona situation has crippled most USCIS offices and they are working in 60-70% capacity. Just a week back February USCIS issued all receipts notices till October 30th 2020 filers.

    Based on my calculation, Green Card Numbers wise there is enough GC for India to cover 2010 and easily to mid 2011 for both EB2-I and EB3-I and also good part is EB1-I is near current.
    Department of State(DoS) who is in-charge of Visa Bulletin Final Action Dates(FAD) can even move the dates for EB2/3 to 2011, BUT PROBLEM is - HOW DHS/USCIS is going to issue Green Card? Without Biometric done(3 months from receipt), and background checks with FBI etc (takes 60 more days), how can USCIS issue Green Cards. Plus now we have Interview mandate, assume that will get waived off.

    The problem of processing delay is not just for EB1/2/3-I ,its even for ROW filers , not fixing this will have catastrophic impact to FY2022. Needless to say India backlog this is golden opportunity to get to dates till near 2012.

    If USCSI do speed up processing, review queues and process right application then there is good chance that almost all EB2-India and EB3-India filers in 2010 as well as till mid 2011 will comfortably get cleared by Sep 30th 2021. Else its is whoever on luck factor will get and residuals will get carried over to FY2022 which makes things worse.

    USCIS should do below and roll up sleeves up step up processing focussing on right set of PD 485 to issue Green Cards. Point 1 and 2 below are super critical for new filers to get GC this year.

    1) USCIS need to Collect Biometric ASAP who can be potentially current for Year FY2021 giving them Priority to EB1-I till 2020, EB2/3-I India till atleast till mid 2011.
    2) On a War footing initiate background checks for the above so that they get FBI checks and all background is cleared.
    3) Issue RFE for all 2012 filers of EB2-India and clear till May 2010 in next 3 months.
    4) STOP Interview mandate for Employment Based Green Cards issuance. This stupid process for EB creates 3 - 6 months unnecessary delay for GC issuance.

    Failure of this will lead to retrogression cycles for FY2022 and zig-zag movements again which is shame if we are back to old decade old problem where date can be stuck in 2011 or even go back.

    The make or break deal is going to be how USCSI is going to improve processing, else by Q4FY2021 randomly people will get Green Cards on a wide spectrum and next year if its like a normal year, retrogression cycles kicks in.

    Just visualize giving few example, So lets us assume there are 2 people A &B with exact same Priority date in EB3-I with December 2010

    Example 1 - people in crowded Application Support Centers(ASSC) in East and West Coast , certain crowded cities where there is quite a backlog on getting Biometric issued, by this pace it is going to take till May/June.

    Person A lives in New Orleans, LA and has his Biometric Done already in February
    Person B lives in populous City in CA or NY, his Biometric delayed and possibly done by May/June 2021, due to covid/capacity issues in ASC

    Example 2 - timing on application filed

    Person A 485 case was filed during October 2nd week and hence was able to get appointment for Biometric in December/January and all his side is cleared including he got EAD/AP.
    Person B filed 485 on October 30th and just got receipt in February and lives in a populous City. Ram jane when he is going to get Biometric.

    Example 3 - Slow processing Service Center or due to his/her bad luck in paper work an RFE kicks in

    Person A filed though have got biometric and his office just need to look at the file and issue GC.
    Person B filed 485 on October 30th but just got physical receipt in February and lives in a populous City.

    For all above 3 examples, the possibility of Person A get Green Card in FY2021 (ending Sep 30th) is high but Person B can get left out, get rolled over to FY2022 issuance and there how many SO will again drive his/her Green Card.

    Good news as of now is EB1-India moved 7 months and soon will be current and that is going give vertical SpillOver to EB2-I. Another good news is EB3-I looks have legs now, it just need to run. Fingers crossed. So FY2021 now all bets are on USCIS hope they drastic "Processing times improvements for 485" to make it amazing year for Indians in backlog and get relief, hope all till 2011 get cleared by Sep 30th 2021. That will keep the ball rolling for FY2022. Fingers crossed.

    --posted by gcseeker in trackitt

  16. #2091
    Quote Originally Posted by H1b2006 View Post
    March 2021 bulletin out, some of you are happy at the same time anxious. Please take a deep breath. Let me share my perspective. Most people have not seen this kind of VB dates move for EB2 atleast in past few years. Just a caution VB dates jumping up and down like a monkey is not new and historically has been there, Post 2014 onward started EB2-I in snail pace. Prior to that it was always roller coaster rides and EB3 had that for many decades. So Strap you boots, this kind of trend possibly will be there for atleast another year till End of 2022 if no law changes. May be we need a volatility index (VIX) for EB2/3-I. Historically it was due demand-supply gap , what later come back is retrogression cycles primarily due to demand shoot up. This year we dont need to worry about Supply side, because FY2020 FB SpillOver(SO)got us record level of "good surplus of Green Card 261,000 Green Cards instead of 140,000".

    Not to worry for next few months till Sep 2021 bulletin ideally it should be forward movement for EB2/3-India.

    We have a problem, The new villain is "Processing times". This would not make no sense for many, But hold your thoughts - think through it - if dates are moving wildly to a territory where runway is small(means Green Card issuance by Sep 30th 2021 i.e 8 more months) what can happen. To give an example quoting my friend who filed in EB3-I on October 2020 bulletin after waiting decade and his Priority Date is May 6th 2010, yes he is direct EB3 filer. He got his physical receipt 2 weeks back. Now his date is current for March 2021, will he get green card in March 2021? or June 2021? or August 2021?

    I guess with above example , people will be able to realize have the new villain in town i.e "Processing times for 485" is going make or break for EB2-I and EB3-I.

    Geerally once 485 is filed a person who is current in FAD ,it takes 8 months to 16 months to get Green Card, in some case its beyond that. These timeframes are pre-covid, now with covid, government efficiency is at rock bottom. Not their fault, but Corona situation has crippled most USCIS offices and they are working in 60-70% capacity. Just a week back February USCIS issued all receipts notices till October 30th 2020 filers.

    Based on my calculation, Green Card Numbers wise there is enough GC for India to cover 2010 and easily to mid 2011 for both EB2-I and EB3-I and also good part is EB1-I is near current.
    Department of State(DoS) who is in-charge of Visa Bulletin Final Action Dates(FAD) can even move the dates for EB2/3 to 2011, BUT PROBLEM is - HOW DHS/USCIS is going to issue Green Card? Without Biometric done(3 months from receipt), and background checks with FBI etc (takes 60 more days), how can USCIS issue Green Cards. Plus now we have Interview mandate, assume that will get waived off.

    The problem of processing delay is not just for EB1/2/3-I ,its even for ROW filers , not fixing this will have catastrophic impact to FY2022. Needless to say India backlog this is golden opportunity to get to dates till near 2012.

    If USCSI do speed up processing, review queues and process right application then there is good chance that almost all EB2-India and EB3-India filers in 2010 as well as till mid 2011 will comfortably get cleared by Sep 30th 2021. Else its is whoever on luck factor will get and residuals will get carried over to FY2022 which makes things worse.

    USCIS should do below and roll up sleeves up step up processing focussing on right set of PD 485 to issue Green Cards. Point 1 and 2 below are super critical for new filers to get GC this year.

    1) USCIS need to Collect Biometric ASAP who can be potentially current for Year FY2021 giving them Priority to EB1-I till 2020, EB2/3-I India till atleast till mid 2011.
    2) On a War footing initiate background checks for the above so that they get FBI checks and all background is cleared.
    3) Issue RFE for all 2012 filers of EB2-India and clear till May 2010 in next 3 months.
    4) STOP Interview mandate for Employment Based Green Cards issuance. This stupid process for EB creates 3 - 6 months unnecessary delay for GC issuance.

    Failure of this will lead to retrogression cycles for FY2022 and zig-zag movements again which is shame if we are back to old decade old problem where date can be stuck in 2011 or even go back.

    The make or break deal is going to be how USCSI is going to improve processing, else by Q4FY2021 randomly people will get Green Cards on a wide spectrum and next year if its like a normal year, retrogression cycles kicks in.

    Just visualize giving few example, So lets us assume there are 2 people A &B with exact same Priority date in EB3-I with December 2010

    Example 1 - people in crowded Application Support Centers(ASSC) in East and West Coast , certain crowded cities where there is quite a backlog on getting Biometric issued, by this pace it is going to take till May/June.

    Person A lives in New Orleans, LA and has his Biometric Done already in February
    Person B lives in populous City in CA or NY, his Biometric delayed and possibly done by May/June 2021, due to covid/capacity issues in ASC

    Example 2 - timing on application filed

    Person A 485 case was filed during October 2nd week and hence was able to get appointment for Biometric in December/January and all his side is cleared including he got EAD/AP.
    Person B filed 485 on October 30th and just got receipt in February and lives in a populous City. Ram jane when he is going to get Biometric.

    Example 3 - Slow processing Service Center or due to his/her bad luck in paper work an RFE kicks in

    Person A filed though have got biometric and his office just need to look at the file and issue GC.
    Person B filed 485 on October 30th but just got physical receipt in February and lives in a populous City.

    For all above 3 examples, the possibility of Person A get Green Card in FY2021 (ending Sep 30th) is high but Person B can get left out, get rolled over to FY2022 issuance and there how many SO will again drive his/her Green Card.

    Good news as of now is EB1-India moved 7 months and soon will be current and that is going give vertical SpillOver to EB2-I. Another good news is EB3-I looks have legs now, it just need to run. Fingers crossed. So FY2021 now all bets are on USCIS hope they drastic "Processing times improvements for 485" to make it amazing year for Indians in backlog and get relief, hope all till 2011 get cleared by Sep 30th 2021. That will keep the ball rolling for FY2022. Fingers crossed.

    --posted by gcseeker in trackitt
    Good post! Thanks.

  17. #2092
    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    It has been reported that few EB2 candidates from 2011 got their GC this month. Are we looking at a one year movement for that category next month?

    Could not resist!!! When are the aayas going to be gayas?
    I did not expect this coming from you @Aceman :-)

    How can 2011 guys get GC when 2009 guys like me are still waiting for RFE?! It would have been a clerical error, wouldn't it?
    Last edited by ak7419; 02-25-2021 at 04:46 PM. Reason: redundant message now
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  18. #2093
    Quote Originally Posted by Wizoz2 View Post
    Hi Everyone,
    I am a silent reader of this forum. My PD is EB2 28th April 2010, service center TSC. Just wanted to get some thoughts on how you think the priority date movement will be impacted now that the Green Card ban has been lifted. Do we reckon dates will still move to atleast 1st May 2010 for EB2? I am hoping I will get current in the next few months. but given the fact that the horizontal spillover likely will be reduced with all the CP cases consuming these numbers, I do not feel very optimistic. Also the processing center is TSC , which has not been sending out RFEs like nebraska has.

    This forum has great posts , which are really helpful and provide the motivation to get through each day given the awfully long wait.
    FB SO for FY 2021 is a done deal. CP opening for FB GC processing likely impacts the SO for next fiscal only. IMO, you should be current imminently.
    Last edited by Zenzone; 02-25-2021 at 04:48 PM.

  19. #2094
    Quote Originally Posted by ak7419 View Post
    I did not expect this coming from you @Aceman :-)

    How can 2011 guys get GC when 2009 guys like me are still waiting for RFE?! It would have been a clerical error, wouldn't it?
    I am not USCIS, I am just another ordinary person with reasonable amount of jealousy and no malicious intent !!!

    I think they are selecting from the October filers who have already completed every other steps needed. No other logical reason I can think off. USCIS appear not to have any realistic demand.
    PD: EB3-I 24 Feb-2011
    I-485, I-765, I-131 applied : 26 OCT 2020 BIOMETRICS : 19 MAR 21 RFE : 13 APR 21 RFER : 14 MAY 21 EAD APPROVED : 17 JULY 21
    I-485 Interview and Approval : 15 DEC 21 CARD Received : 23 DEC 21

  20. #2095
    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    I am not USCIS, I am just another ordinary person with reasonable amount of jealousy and no malicious intent !!!

    I think they are selecting from the October filers who have already completed every other steps needed. No other logical reason I can think off. USCIS appear not to have any realistic demand.
    How about interview? :-)

    I thought 2009 folks who applied in 2012 would be low hanging fruits for USCIS but no, they work in their own mysterious ways :-P
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  21. #2096
    Hello, my PD is in Dec 2009 TSC service center and it's current in March bulletin. I didn't receive any REF's yet but I started medicals now and will have it in next couple of days. I was wondering can I proactively send the medicals and I-485J to USCIS?
    Last edited by cool_guy_2004; 02-25-2021 at 05:22 PM.

  22. #2097
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_guy_2004 View Post
    Hello, my PD is in Dec 2009 TSC service center and it's current in March bulletin. I didn't receive any REF's yet but I started medicals now and will have it in next couple of days. I was wondering can I proactively send the medicals and I-485J to USCIS?
    Technically you can send an "interfile" request which is also used for a host of other purposes. You can talk to your company lawyer. You need not wait for an RFE. Sometimes it's best to draw attention to yourself by being proactive than risking your file collecting dust for a few more weeks.
    Last edited by vsivarama; 02-25-2021 at 05:31 PM.

  23. #2098
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_guy_2004 View Post
    Hello, my PD is in Dec 2009 TSC service center and it's current in March bulletin. I didn't receive any REF's yet but I started medicals now and will have it in next couple of days. I was wondering can I proactively send the medicals and I-485J to USCIS?
    I would advise you against getting the medicals or sending it w/o an RFE. The USCIS will not honor it else everyone would start doing it. Ask your Doc to not sign it as yet as the Medicals need to be signed within 30 says of submission . TSC is going slow and the recent events in Texas might have delayed the RFEs.
    Hang in , you will get your GC this Fiscal .
    Best of luck

  24. #2099

    Lightbulb

    Quote Originally Posted by greenjpr View Post
    I wish that Q has some kind of thumbs up rating system to appreciate helps like this.
    There is a rating/compliements system! Do you see a Star right under the post on left side. Just click that.

    I have tried to make it more intuitive. But customization just isn't available.

    p.s. - Let me know if you have problem viewing it. Send me screenshot of any post other than your own.
    Last edited by qesehmk; 02-25-2021 at 07:23 PM.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  25. #2100
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    313
    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    I am not USCIS, I am just another ordinary person with reasonable amount of jealousy and no malicious intent !!!

    I think they are selecting from the October filers who have already completed every other steps needed. No other logical reason I can think off. USCIS appear not to have any realistic demand.
    That should not they be approving all EB2 applied in 2012 with a PD date prior to Apr 2010. They are exempt from interviews and stuff and have applied for EAD multiple times and their biometrics done too.
    Only part is their medicals may be required and that may have been done a couple of time too by now.

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