Yes. Case in point here is there is a recession right now and ROW is already current for EB1/2 right now. Anyways, ppl. have done the analysis on this extensively and the gc forecaster also accounts for these changes and scenarios pretty well.
Yes. Case in point here is there is a recession right now and ROW is already current for EB1/2 right now. Anyways, ppl. have done the analysis on this extensively and the gc forecaster also accounts for these changes and scenarios pretty well.
This can happen during Q1 of next fiscal.Originally Posted by Zenzone
I would assume CO would gradually increase the dates as he may not have the complete spill over numbers come October 2020. He will go conservative first and then slowly increase the dates
EB1-3 would get 28.6% and 7% to EB 4/5.
EB1 is set to get 4.5 from last year FB spill over, Furthermore, EB1 ROW is current and EB1I demand is not as great as EB2I. So, this year FB spill over + spill over from eb4/5 which they will consume.
That is good to know but visas can be wasted. I have no doubt that in an optimistic scenario spill over will be applied but how much of the available is the question! CO is not know to be very aggressive with dates.
Just to add, this year is a big exception! Never in the past history is EB poised to get such a spill over. The number available for EB is going to surpass all the previous years.
Last edited by NJMavarick; 05-22-2020 at 11:54 AM.
Correction - never in the recent history.
But prior to 2009 it was routine for EB2-I to get 10-20-30K spillover.
Perhaps you are suggesting fall across from FB to EB... if so then that may be correct.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Yup - I am talking about the latter but thanks for confirming!
Could you point to where your calculations are for how far the categories can go?
Didn’t mean to belittle your effort but we have seen this movie multiple times. Folks (including myself) get too excited about something and then it turns to nothing. If the powers that be don’t want to move forward the dates there are enough rules to play with and we can’t do jack.
Are you aware of the gc forecasting tool?? I got my subscription sometime back. Can anyone post the link here? Using my mobile now and don’t have it handy. Separately, I understand your frustration. Emotions aside, as Q also pointed out in some old posts, there will be good numbers should the administration allocate them next fiscal. Period.
Good Tuesday morning folks. Trump's EO 2.0 is scheduled to be released this week. Ironically the tag line for "2.0" the movie is "Scientists help the government investigate a threat that is beyond understanding." Who's going to be the winner influencing the "Donald"? Is it going to be Miller or Kushner?
Politico link: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/0...er-bans-276510. Just understand that Politico is often accused of being biased in favor of Republicans / Trump. Though this is a topic for a separate debate.
Good read. Regardless, there will be restrictions at the end of the day.
https://www.thestatesman.com/world/h...502891324.html
Not sure about the chance of passing but looks like a bi-partisan effort.
AILA, Justice Action Center, and Innovation Law Lab, with pro bono support from Mayer Brown LLP, have filed a lawsuit on behalf of U.S. citizens and LPRs petitioning for their children and derivative relatives to join them in the U.S. who would “age-out” while the administration’s ban is in place.
https://www.aila.org/advo-media/pres...uit-to-protect
EB aging out children parents should file a law suite against DOS for wasting EB visas.
Steve King loses primary after racist comments
https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/02/politics/steve-king-iowa-primary-election/index.html
Yeah!!! He is a vile human being and hopefully never sniff another position of power.
AILA and the American Immigration Council sent a letter to congressional appropriators urging Congress to appropriate $1.2 billion dollars in temporary funding to USCIS only if the funding includes safeguards related to transparency, accountability, and efficiency. In other words, they want strings (conditions) to be attached to the $1.2B bailout of USCIS.
Link to AILA Letter.
The following might affect spillover for backlogged folks.
* Reinstituting the agency’s 2004 “deference” policy, giving adjudicators discretion of when to require in-person interviews, and reusing previously captured biometrics for all form types; (meaning cancelling of interviews)
* Expanding premium processing to other form types (I-539, I-765 and I-485)
* DHS should immediately suspend its public charge rule. (Wishlist; Its not going to happen in Stephen Miller's era)
* Recapture unused green cards (Wishlist; Not going to happen)
Ooh. No mention of 2 year medical test validity waiver during COVID; No mention of I-140 EADs; The original 60 day CP EO issued on April 22nd had a 50 day clock on the next recommendations (which is June 11, 2020). It is very chaotic. A lot of players and lot of goal posts being moved. Next week is going to be a reality show thriller staring the "Donald".
Plain optics! This is going nowhere but I would take recapture with two hands (if that is possible)
Thanks for posting though...good read.
Last edited by NJMavarick; 06-05-2020 at 11:02 AM.
Don't know how much of these will come to pass, but there are dark days ahead.
https://www.immigration.net/2020/06/...on-immigrants/
Literally nothing new in this article. Its basically a full wish list of immigration hawks. Remains to be seen how much of these ideas see the light at the end of the day. Remember we are already in June and any regulatory change will take time for administrative implementation even if comment periods are potentially bypassed (sigh) and the clock is running out. Entry bans through presidential proclamations are possible but expect plenty of carve outs even there. All said and done this is an equally pro-business administration and therefore rhetoric will be super tough but implementations will likely continue be pro-business especially when the election hinges on a swifter economic recovery. Atleast that's what the history says in the past 4 years!
As far as barring entry goes, remember MOST consulates are still closed and there is zero visa issuance (immigrant or non-immigrant). Needless to mention the ban in international travel from MOST countries to/from the USA due to the pandemic. A proclamation nevertheless will make for another political maneuver to please an uneasy base as they run out of bullets to fight the slump seen in the polls especially recently.
Last edited by Zenzone; 06-09-2020 at 02:49 PM.
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/kpoll...60484608-n_Wn/
https://twitter.com/gsiskind/status/...763108864?s=09
as per the lawyer(s) its going to be at least 90 days.
https://www.uschamber.com/sites/defa...bans_potus.pdf
https://thehill.com/latino/502431-ko...are-work-visas
As expected US Chamber of Commerce and Koch foundation are revving up their efforts.
Last edited by Zenzone; 06-15-2020 at 02:21 PM.
No matter what administration's original position has been ... if Koch asks something ... this administration will make double the effort to make sure that does not happen. Why so? This goes back to Koch's refusal to endorse trump during 2016 primaries. In fairness to Trump, Koch is the personification of American war machine, and Trump ran on anti war platform. So the bottomline is - whatever Koch is asking, not going to happen.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Okay! What about The US Chamber of Commerce?? Also, let's then blow the sirens that its doomsday! Its not that either. So I disagree with you. All I'm trying to say is there are many forces in play. Some for and some against.
Last edited by Zenzone; 06-15-2020 at 03:11 PM.
That's ok. Ours are just opinions. My opinion is he is going to do all it takes to keep his base energized. And the way to keep base energized is to harp on all fault lines. Immigration is probably the biggest fault line. Ergo ...
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
So DACA survives the Supreme Court test. As an outsider to that process, I do understand the plight of Dreamers. We at least had a definitive choice to come here and make a life but they had no choice and suddenly asked to leave what is their home in every sense. Shame on the people on both sides that they can't have consensus on this to pass a law to address that.
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