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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

  1. #4751

    Post I've filled in Current Address...

    When renewing my passport I have filled in my current US address at that time. That was 4 years ago and did not have any problems for the address.
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    Thank you all for the advice.
    One more question on it.

    In the application form which address shall I fill for Address to be Printed in Passport?
    Will it be my Indian home address or the current US Address?
    Pertaining to the same section, what will be the Other Address?
    I am confused about the address issue.

    Appreciate all your help.

    Deb

  2. #4752
    In few hours, I will be in office. I have my passport app saved as pdf. I will see n let u know. I wud like to say US address for current n India for permanent. Will confirm.

    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    Thank you all for the advice.
    One more question on it.

    In the application form which address shall I fill for Address to be Printed in Passport?
    Will it be my Indian home address or the current US Address?
    Pertaining to the same section, what will be the Other Address?
    I am confused about the address issue.

    Appreciate all your help.

    Deb

  3. #4753
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    FY 2011 Q1&Q2 Usage Breakdown

    Friends,
    The following is the breakdown i derived after going through various data sources for Q1&Q2

    I140 Denials(Average EB1-2-3)

    FY2011(Q1+Q2)
    Completions = 35,3331
    Approvals = 30,820
    Denials = 4,511 (~13%)

    If we take EB1 denial rate as 25% then based on PERM breakdown EB2 will be at 10% and EB3 will be at 5%.

    AOS(485) Breakdown

    EB1 = 10,692 (including ROW-M-P EB2 NIW)
    EB2ROWMP = 13,645
    EB2I = 2,800
    EB2C = 2,000
    EB3 = 12,563
    EB4 = 4,690
    EB5 = 419
    Total AOS approvals = 46,812
    USCIS Data shows 45,981 (diff =1.8% )

    CP Breakdown(Based on AOS Vs CP %)

    EB1 = 1,253
    EB2 = 599
    EB3 = 3,969
    EB4 = 1,735
    EB5 = 978
    Total CP approvals = 8,533
    Total EB Usage(Q1+Q2) = AOS+CP = 55,345

    I will try to post my calculations over the weekend, in the mean time if this breakdown doesn't make any sense, rip it apart!
    Last edited by veni001; 07-22-2011 at 07:22 AM.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  4. #4754
    I would greatly appreciate any feedback on the following issue. My PD is March 19 2007 and my date will be current beginning August 1st. I applied for my advance parole document in early May (almost 80 days)and have not received it to date. Would it reasonable to assume that USCIS will process my greencard application and will simply cancel my AP application? Also, I have only been fingerprinted once. The fingerpriting took place when I applied for my first EAD card in the fall of 2007. Do I need to contact USCIS about getting the fingerprinting updated? Will not doing so hold up my the processing of my green card application? Is it unusal for people to not get a new fingerprinting appointment with every EAD/AP renewal?

  5. #4755
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    Thank you all for the advice.
    One more question on it.

    In the application form which address shall I fill for Address to be Printed in Passport?
    Will it be my Indian home address or the current US Address?
    Pertaining to the same section, what will be the Other Address?
    I am confused about the address issue.

    Appreciate all your help.

    Deb
    We should mention Indian Address...(I have done the same last year).

  6. #4756
    New members are so very welcome to this wonderful forum. Everybody here looks to your active participation and contribution. Please keep the thread postings relevant to the topic. If you need to ask questions not related to the thread, please start a new thread. It helps to lessen the load on our moderators who work on a voluntary basis. Thank you for your cooperation.
    Last edited by kd2008; 07-22-2011 at 08:51 AM.

  7. #4757
    I was just checking Trackitt approvals for EB2 India -

    May 2011 approvals - 154

    June 2011 approvals - 264

    July 2011 approvals so far - 257

  8. #4758
    Quote Originally Posted by new2gc View Post
    We should mention Indian Address...(I have done the same last year).
    I vaguely remember that we need to give two addresses. Permanent is Passport address and for communication ( Dont remember, How its named in the application form) its US address.
    Coming to Notary, in previous occasions i got free notary done at wachovia, citi and bank of america ( probably some branches act tough on it). I still remember doing notary to around 50 documents for my wife's Master's and Citi bank guy signed it on every document and stamped it freely( if you have any account with them). I will be disappointed to pay for notary when we are getting less then 2% of interest rates from Banks.

  9. #4759
    Quote Originally Posted by kd2008 View Post
    New members are so very welcome to this wonderful forum. Everybody here looks to your active participation and contribution. Please keep the thread postings relevant to the topic. If you need to ask questions not related to the thread, please start a new thread. It helps to lessen the load on our moderators who work on a voluntary basis. Thank you for your cooperation.
    I agree with kd..Please open a new thread for questions not related to this thread....
    But Academic, I will quickly try since you asked...
    First welcome to the forum... I dont know if they will just approve GC or the AP first.
    but it's not unusual for them to approve GC with just one set of FP ...there are many cases on Trackitt where GC were approved where the applicants were FP just once in 2007 (What I noticed though was that most of these people never applied again for AP/ EAD renewal)
    I on the other hand, have got a FP notice every year when I applied for AP renewal..Good luck in August

  10. #4760
    So did we already calculated percentage of indian/china folks in EB1 category rejected? . If it is row, most likely it might come to eb2 affected next year quota but if they are India/china they come to eb2 but stand in queue.

    Quote Originally Posted by veni001 View Post
    Friends,
    The following is the breakdown i derived after going through various data sources for Q1&Q2

    I140 Denials(Average EB1-2-3)

    FY2011(Q1+Q2)
    Completions = 35,3331
    Approvals = 30,820
    Denials = 4,511 (~13%)

    If we take EB1 denial rate as 25% then based on PERM breakdown EB2 will be at 10% and EB3 will be at 5%.

    AOS(485) Breakdown

    EB1 = 10,692 (including ROW-M-P EB2 NIW)
    EB2ROWMP = 13,645
    EB2I = 2,800
    EB2C = 2,000
    EB3 = 12,563
    EB4 = 4,690
    EB5 = 419
    Total AOS approvals = 46,812
    USCIS Data shows 45,981 (diff =1.8% )

    CP Breakdown(Based on AOS Vs CP %)

    EB1 = 1,253
    EB2 = 599
    EB3 = 3,969
    EB4 = 1,735
    EB5 = 978
    Total CP approvals = 8,533
    Total EB Usage(Q1+Q2) = AOS+CP = 55,345

    I will try to post my calculations over the weekend, in the mean time if this breakdown doesn't make any sense, rip it apart!

  11. #4761
    I agree wiht Leo and Nishant, the current address would be your US address and and Permanent/other addres would be your India address. That is what I filled in my application and I have US address in my new passport.

    Quote Originally Posted by leo07 View Post
    When renewing my passport I have filled in my current US address at that time. That was 4 years ago and did not have any problems for the address.
    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    In few hours, I will be in office. I have my passport app saved as pdf. I will see n let u know. I wud like to say US address for current n India for permanent. Will confirm.

  12. #4762
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    Thank you all for the advice.
    One more question on it.

    In the application form which address shall I fill for Address to be Printed in Passport?
    Will it be my Indian home address or the current US Address?
    Pertaining to the same section, what will be the Other Address?
    I am confused about the address issue.

    Appreciate all your help.

    Deb

    Hope this helps. I have used this for my renewal with no issues.

    http://www.immihelp.com/nri/indianpa...ion-guide.html

  13. #4763
    Quote Originally Posted by harick View Post
    I agree wiht Leo and Nishant, the current address would be your US address and and Permanent/other addres would be your India address. That is what I filled in my application and I have US address in my new passport.
    confirmed.

    permanent address: I put India

    Other address: I put USA

  14. #4764
    Quote Originally Posted by sandeep11 View Post
    Hope this helps. I have used this for my renewal with no issues.

    http://www.immihelp.com/nri/indianpa...ion-guide.html
    actually I remember now, I too used this same website thanks sandeep

  15. #4765
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    Jan 2011
    Location
    South-West
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    1,053
    Quote Originally Posted by grnwtg View Post
    So did we already calculated percentage of indian/china folks in EB1 category rejected? . If it is row, most likely it might come to eb2 affected next year quota but if they are India/china they come to eb2 but stand in queue.
    grnwtg,
    EB1ROWMP Vs EB1IC are 2/3:1/3, if we translate EB1-i140 denials in the same ratio then it is 1000 and 500.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  16. #4766

    Please Stick to the Topic

    It is my earnest request to please stick to the topic. 'Passports' etc can be easily discussed in aother thread. If you have questions related to any other topic, open a new thread. This defeats the purpose of this valuable thread altogether and causes distractions.

    I am pretty sure all your questions would be answered.

  17. #4767
    Veni,

    Thanks for the numbers. Shouldn't the entire/complete number be of consequence for us at this point?.(for this year, not for next years sofad)
    How would splitting the EB1 denials help? This question is out of curiosity to understand, not being smart pants here

    Best!

    PS:btw, I agree with moving the misc items to a different thread. I have contributed to those items as felt appropriate to answer the question first

    Quote Originally Posted by veni001 View Post
    grnwtg,
    EB1ROWMP Vs EB1IC are 2/3:1/3, if we translate EB1-i140 denials in the same ratio then it is 1000 and 500.
    Last edited by leo07; 07-22-2011 at 12:35 PM.

  18. #4768
    Hi Spec/ Q - What is the expected moment sepetember moment. will my PD AUg6th07 be current or atleast do you guys see in 1 or 2nd Q of 2012. your thoughts. Thanks

  19. #4769
    http://wws.princeton.edu/research/pw.../591d_2010.pdf just in case we need a break from regular activities...

    indiaeb2... Q is in the Q to get his GC next month, Spec is speculating on something important... in the mean while, i can answer your question...

    Currently the rumour/word on the street is that we have 7K visa numbers available for EB category. So out of 7K we can expect around >4K to be spilled over or used for EB2 I/C. If you look at the header of this thread, you can play a small math game... spec has a wonderful table suggesting number of visas needed for movement ahead. So you can get an idea min 4K max 7K...

    Scenario 2: As we are reaching end of backlog, CO (not computer operator) can go for BTM which will be for an year or so and move back dates to current levels, or else SFM which mean moving in bits and pieces but in forward direction... No real formula or algorithm to say what will happen, prediction itself is a pre addiction which everybody wants to know and tell...but not that easy in this situation...my 2 cents have either irritated you or calmed you down...but this is reality... no sure shot number in this game for now... adios...

    update: It seems all the 7k is for us and only us(EB2 I/C)... so look for atleast 01 Aug
    Last edited by soggadu; 07-22-2011 at 02:53 PM.

  20. #4770
    Quote Originally Posted by valuablehurdle View Post
    It is my earnest request to please stick to the topic. 'Passports' etc can be easily discussed in aother thread. If you have questions related to any other topic, open a new thread. This defeats the purpose of this valuable thread altogether and causes distractions.

    I am pretty sure all your questions would be answered.
    Hurdle bhai... This is a good point... but to make this happen we all have to promise that we visit those threads too and make valuable contributions without any hurdles than just taking these posts off our way in this thread... agree? disagree? or like my wife does agree to disagree? :-) ...live and let live...

  21. #4771
    Thanks Soggadu for your views. I keep asking this coz i am really stuck with my desi firm and wanted EAD to move out of him and work. I find jobs but he get the money. Atleast i hope by end of FY2012 i can file my i485 for my EAD.

  22. #4772

    Thumbs up

    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    confirmed.

    permanent address: I put India

    Other address: I put USA
    Thanks for the confirmation.
    As always I received the best possible answers here.

    Cheers to this forum!

    Deb

  23. #4773
    Based on my understanding, Mr.Co said 7k will be applied to EB2 China/India.

    He said the number is slightly lower than the demand left in September.

    I read the original posts and this is my understanding.

    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    http://wws.princeton.edu/research/pw.../591d_2010.pdf just in case we need a break from regular activities...

    indiaeb2... Q is in the Q to get his GC next month, Spec is speculating on something important... in the mean while, i can answer your question...

    Currently the rumour/word on the street is that we have 7K visa numbers available for EB category. So out of 7K we can expect around >4K to be spilled over or used for EB2 I/C. If you look at the header of this thread, you can play a small math game... spec has a wonderful table suggesting number of visas needed for movement ahead. So you can get an idea min 4K max 7K...

    Scenario 2: As we are reaching end of backlog, CO (not computer operator) can go for BTM which will be for an year or so and move back dates to current levels, or else SFM which mean moving in bits and pieces but in forward direction... No real formula or algorithm to say what will happen, prediction itself is a pre addiction which everybody wants to know and tell...but not that easy in this situation...my 2 cents have either irritated you or calmed you down...but this is reality... no sure shot number in this game for now... adios...

  24. #4774
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    Hurdle bhai... This is a good point... but to make this happen we all have to promise that we visit those threads too and make valuable contributions without any hurdles than just taking these posts off our way in this thread... agree? disagree? or like my wife does agree to disagree? :-) ...live and let live...
    Agreed!! I will contribute in whatever way I can in the other threads.

  25. #4775
    Quote Originally Posted by indiaeb2 View Post
    Thanks Soggadu for your views. I keep asking this coz i am really stuck with my desi firm and wanted EAD to move out of him and work. I find jobs but he get the money. Atleast i hope by end of FY2012 i can file my i485 for my EAD.
    Your story is same as most of the people here bud...please hang in there.... sabr ka phal GC hota hein meere dost...

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