EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

[cbpds1]

This is not based off my PD, but many folks with PD =Apr 2008 who applied for Consular Processing have got emails to pay their 485 fees.

hence the prediction of apr 2008

I am having similar vibes too, especially after the "Source" information. But sometimes we get colored by our own PD, and we tend to see what we want to see. But still, I can dream for two more days at least, before Friday, I get awakened

I hope it's friday, else my entire weekend, I will be tense!

[skpanda]

Quick Q -

EB2

If we see DOS demand data for June 2011 - Demand is almost 0 for 'ROW'.
However USCIS June 2011 inventory - Invenotry/Demand is 9.5K for ROW.

Does this mean that the 9.5K for ROW in inventory have issues like RFE etc and DOS does not consider them as potential demand in near future?

Anybody knows why we have this discrepancy.

[qesehmk]

Or all those 9.5K are taking them time through USCIS processing machine. Right. There doesn't have to be an issue. Even normal processing takes some time.

Quick Q -

EB2

If we see DOS demand data for June 2011 - Demand is almost 0 for 'ROW'.
However USCIS June 2011 inventory - Invenotry/Demand is 9.5K for ROW.

Does this mean that the 9.5K for ROW in inventory have issues like RFE etc and DOS does not consider them as potential demand in near future?

Anybody knows why we have this discrepancy.

[neospeed]

Quick Q -

EB2

If we see DOS demand data for June 2011 - Demand is almost 0 for 'ROW'.
However USCIS June 2011 inventory - Invenotry/Demand is 9.5K for ROW.

Does this mean that the 9.5K for ROW in inventory have issues like RFE etc and DOS does not consider them as potential demand in near future?

Anybody knows why we have this discrepancy.

January 1, 2011 9,250 20,350 125 29,725

Jan 1st 2011 data from dos. USCIS data is from June 2011.

[skpanda]

Understood... but just wondering that DOS does not consider this as demand (since its possible that 75% of those will be approved some time in future)

Or all those 9.5K are taking them time through USCIS processing machine. Right. There doesn't have to be an issue. Even normal processing takes some time.

[leo07]

Thanks Q for the "Breaking News". You,TeddyK and I need to wait for the "happiest" news, "happier" is ok, but wouldn't take us out of the Q.


Best!

[qesehmk]

Demand is only those applications that are "DOCUMENTARILY QUALIFIED".

Understood... but just wondering that DOS does not consider this as demand (since its possible that 75% of those will be approved some time in future)

[shaumack]

Just read this on Chinese website where they also quote Q's blog. Feb 2007 then it be.

"The Indians got similar message with my company attorney. I believe this
information is from the same source with mine. My company attorney believes that the PD will be Feb.2007 and 6000-8000 SO will be released in July. The Indians have the same information. information is from the same source with mine. My company attorney believes that the PD will be Feb.2007 and 6000-8000 SO will be released in July. The Indians have the same information."

[skpanda]

yes... happy/happier/happiest has different meanings for individuals.

For my PD in Dec 2010. For July VB

Happy for me is - Feb/March 2007
Happier for me is - Aug 2007
Happiest - CURRENT

Good luck to all and may they get 'happiest' information soon!

Thanks Q for the "Breaking News". You,TeddyK and I need to wait for the "happiest" news, "happier" is ok, but wouldn't take us out of the Q.


Best!

[tanu_75]

Just read this on Chinese website where they also quote Q's blog. Feb 2007 then it be.

"The Indians got similar message with my company attorney. I believe this
information is from the same source with mine. My company attorney believes that the PD will be Feb.2007 and 6000-8000 SO will be released in July. The Indians have the same information. information is from the same source with mine. My company attorney believes that the PD will be Feb.2007 and 6000-8000 SO will be released in July. The Indians have the same information."

I love how it says the "Indians", as if its a bunch of Chinese folks in an action movie discussing around a table "Our Indian friends are saying that the dates are going to move". No offence taken by the way, just funny and it is true.

If anyone measured the productivity on I/C EB immigrants in the first 10 days of every month, god will they be surprised.

[skpanda]

Thanks for clarifying...

Demand is only those applications that are "DOCUMENTARILY QUALIFIED".

[skpanda]

yeah.. this is so addictive...

If anyone measured the productivity on I/C EB immigrants in the first 10 days of every month, god will they be surprised.

[chirag.n]

its like the united nations...the indians are doing this so lets do that...like bush used to call it...strategery

I love how it says the "Indians", as if its a bunch of Chinese folks in an action movie discussing around a table "Our Indian friends are saying that the dates are going to move". No offence taken by the way, just funny and it is true.

If anyone measured the productivity on I/C EB immigrants in the first 10 days of every month, god will they be surprised.

[cbpds1]

USCIS can help us get rid of this addiction

yeah.. this is so addictive...

[leo07]

- One who is waiting for Demand Data so that they can estimate how far it goes by September of this year
- One who thinks could become current this VB and anxiously waiting to see the result.

There could be some intersection between these two sets, depending on where the individual falls on the spectrum

[veni001]

Friends,

So finally our source had a discussion with CO in Visa Office.

Here is what CO had to say - "There will be significant movement in July. If people were happy with the June movement, they will be happier with the movement in July."

I guess it means the dates will definitely move past Jan 07.

Good luck everybody! And a BIG thanks to our source! He has asked all of us to "pray" for him since he is current and is expecting a GC anytime now. My best wishes to him!!

Q,
Great news Thanks to you and your Source.

[srinivasj]

lol..i fall into second set..I have been waiting for the bulletin to see if my date could be current for the last 4 years..

- One who is waiting for Demand Data so that they can estimate how far it goes by September of this year
- One who thinks could become current this VB and anxiously waiting to see the result.

There could be some intersection between these two sets, depending on where the individual falls on the spectrum

[veni001]

All Guru's:

I have been a silent reader of this forum and this is somewhat first post for me. firstly i want to thank you people for all the courage you people have given me finally i bought a house even though my PD is Aug 2008. I have learned from this forum that GC is nothing in front of my happiness and family. Thanks Q's Source for this information. I am happy for everybody who will get current.

Thought :

why are all people saying now also they will not do 2007 fiasco. actually this should not be a 2007 fiasco because in 2007 both Eb2 and 3 became current now they are looking at just eb2 current (no offense to eb3). So this is just half the fiasco. just my thought.

S

sha_kus,
Post July 2007 Fiasco there are more EB2I&C filings than EB3 ( based on the data sources). Making EB2I&C current could result in any where between 100k-150k new i485 filings!

[veni001]

We are in 100 page today. Thank you so much to Q,Veni,Teddy and Spec.This forum is giving lot of hope and courage to everyone

Want to thank each one of you for participation and contribution.

[pravara]

I love how it says the "Indians", as if its a bunch of Chinese folks in an action movie discussing around a table "Our Indian friends are saying that the dates are going to move". No offence taken by the way, just funny and it is true.

If anyone measured the productivity on I/C EB immigrants in the first 10 days of every month, god will they be surprised.

-->I too love Z Injians...

[tanu_75]

-->I too love Z Injians...

Thank you, come again.

No offence meant to I,C or ROW.

[donvar]

This is not based off my PD, but many folks with PD =Apr 2008 who applied for Consular Processing have got emails to pay their 485 fees.

hence the prediction of apr 2008

As read from previous posts, they send fee request a year in advance.
Early 2008 PD will not reach until 2012 Q3 (that too only if USCIS/DOS wish to create a buffer) . Our Gurus have created so much PWMB demand that it has become difficult for dates to progress into early 2008 until 2012 Q3/Q4.

[leo07]

Thanks for the "Facts & Data". Looks cool.

Did anyone correlate PERM for year (A), 140-Data for a year (A+1) & 485 data for year A+2?( for ROW )
and
PERM for year (A), 140-Data for a year (A+1) ( for IC)

Just out of curiosity, of course there would be people who filed I-140 in each of those years and would have contributed to the economy & statistics alike. ( like me? )

Some crazy thoughts.

[cbpds1]

As read from previous posts, they send fee request a year in advance.
Early 2008 PD will not reach until 2012 Q3 (that too only if USCIS/DOS wish to create a buffer) . Our Gurus have created so much PWMB demand that it has become difficult for dates to progress into early 2008 until 2012 Q3/Q4.

Did u get a chance to calculate till when the PD will move if we need 20K buffer?......there isnt 20k PWMB folks.....plus they dont calculate the excat date for buffer since they might deny some applications, so chill !!

[veni001]

Demand data used for Monthly EB Cutoff Dates for FY 2010 & FY 2011 (March 2010 - June 2011) is available in FACTS AND DATA section now.