Page 182 of 321 FirstFirst ... 82132172180181182183184192232282 ... LastLast
Results 4,526 to 4,550 of 8002

Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

  1. #4526
    Anytime between feb6th to feb10th...

  2. #4527
    The march bulletin is critical for Dec 11 filers as well. In Feb end - March their 485s will hit the sweet spot and be ripe, especially for NSC.

    Looking at inventory report, however flawed it might be, if this is what CO is being presented, another 6 months to in fact even a year move is not impossible.

    After next inventory, we might be able to see more stable figures. However upto Dec filers should get GC, the line for GC issuance is tending to be extended from Dec 2007 to Q1 2008 in my mind. Key is that QSP should continue and hence the pressure on USCIS to consume the monthly n% of visas. For E2IC we are still in the zone of mostly pure 485 filers whose 140 is already approved.
    Last edited by nishant2200; 02-05-2012 at 08:42 PM.
    I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.

  3. #4528
    I sense a feeling from the gurus that the inventory report is not complete and that the numbers are bad compared to what the inventory report projects. Can you please explain the basis for this feeling. I feel the numbers aren't as bad as projected by gurus and should be close to the inventory report.

    From my personal experience I can say there were not many PERM applications in second half of 2008 and first half of 2009. My labor application was sent only in later half of 2009 just because I was sliding into my 6th year of H1. I work for a fortune 100 company and there are very few applications for 2008 from my company and that to majority of them in first half. I also contemplated to get GC applied from a desi consulting company as a backup but no one was willing to apply in 2008 and 2009 citing ongoing audits, In fact desi companies were cancelling all the perms if the employee was not working for them or if they sense it is a candidate for audit, I think PERM data for 2008 is little skewed so we should increase the OR factor to .65.

    I think there would be around 8500 485 apps for 2008 as some one suggested. This is my logic and I have an incentive in low numbers.

    Also some of the guys working as consultants are stuck in India on visa stamping issues whose dates became current and are not able to apply. I already know two people in such situation and think it might be one of the contributor for low numbers but these people should be applying in a month or two if their dates are still current.
    Last edited by srisri; 02-05-2012 at 10:54 PM.

  4. #4529
    Guru
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Bay Area
    Posts
    825
    Quote Originally Posted by srisri View Post
    I sense a feeling from the gurus that the inventory report is not complete and that the numbers are bad compared to what the inventory report projects. Can you please explain the basis for this feeling. I feel the numbers aren't as bad as projected by gurus and should be close to the inventory report.

    From my personal experience I can say there were not many PERM applications in second half of 2008 and first half of 2009. My labor application was sent only in later half of 2009 just because I was sliding into my 6th year of H1. I work for a fortune 100 company and there are very few applications for 2008 from my company and that to majority of them in first half. I also contemplated to get GC applied from a desi consulting company as a backup but no one was willing to apply in 2008 and 2009 citing ongoing audits, In fact desi companies were cancelling all the perms if the employee was not working for them or if they sense it is a candidate for audit, I think PERM data for 2008 is little skewed so we should increase the OR factor to .65.

    I think there would be around 8500 485 apps for 2008 as some one suggested. This is my logic and I have an incentive in low numbers.

    Also some of the guys working as consultants are stuck in India on visa stamping issues whose dates became current and are not able to apply. I already know two people in such situation and think it might be one of the contributor for low numbers but these people should be applying in a month or two if their dates are still current.
    If you project only 8500 applications for PD 2008 then it's OR of ~.30 and very very aggressive IMO. But I agree that PD2008 data is going to be interesting.

  5. #4530
    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    If you project only 8500 applications for PD 2008 then it's OR of ~.30 and very very aggressive IMO. But I agree that PD2008 data is going to be interesting.
    True, let me restate my assumption, it can be between 8500 to .65 of OR.

  6. #4531

    Demand Data

    Will they at least release the demand data today?

  7. #4532
    For all those who have become current in the last few months, I wonder if people have started receiving I-485 approvals. Is there a way to check which dates are currently being processed by the USICS like are they doing Mar 08 or Nov 08...

  8. #4533
    Quote Originally Posted by just_curious View Post
    Will they at least release the demand data today?
    Hopefully.

  9. #4534
    Quote Originally Posted by aguy007 View Post
    For all those who have become current in the last few months, I wonder if people have started receiving I-485 approvals. Is there a way to check which dates are currently being processed by the USICS like are they doing Mar 08 or Nov 08...
    Please read earlier posts here and u ll also find approval trend (from trackitt) for lil bit detailed information,,,
    they r still processing 07 cases...

  10. #4535
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    A Galaxy Far far Away
    Posts
    3,337
    Quote Originally Posted by aguy007 View Post
    For all those who have become current in the last few months, I wonder if people have started receiving I-485 approvals. Is there a way to check which dates are currently being processed by the USICS like are they doing Mar 08 or Nov 08...
    aguy007,

    See post #4621. That will give you some idea.

    Out of about 500 approvals on Trackitt for EB2-I this FY, only 26 are for dates beyond July 2007.

    Around 70% of applications submitted since October 2011 for PD of July 14, 2007 or earlier are still pending. In addition there are still applications that were already pending with an earlier RD.

    Less than 10% of those applications submitted since October 2011 with a PD between July 15, 2007 to October 31, 2007 have been approved to date.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  11. #4536

  12. #4537
    Guru
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Bay Area
    Posts
    825
    Article from CM's blog. I just hope that realistic scenario plays out.

    http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.co...r-fy-2012.html

  13. #4538
    Hello
    Sorry for posting in the wrong thread. But i have an urgent situation so need help.
    I have to send my I-485 documents this month. I have a valid H-1 and my spouse has a valid H-4 for another 2 years. Due to some family emergency, my spouse has to go to india by end of this week. We will be done with our medicals (I-693), etc. by then but might not be able to send the application.
    So my situation is: We have all the documents ready and my wife leaves the country before we send out the application. i know one should wait for atleast I-485 receipt notice before leaving.
    i wonder how will USCIS know whether my wife was in the country when i sent our application.
    I will be here and take care of the whole application process, however my wife has to go.
    Please advice. Should we take this risk?
    Thanks a Lot.

  14. #4539
    Quote Originally Posted by GCI140 View Post
    Hello
    Sorry for posting in the wrong thread. But i have an urgent situation so need help.
    I have to send my I-485 documents this month. I have a valid H-1 and my spouse has a valid H-4 for another 2 years. Due to some family emergency, my spouse has to go to india by end of this week. We will be done with our medicals (I-693), etc. by then but might not be able to send the application.
    So my situation is: We have all the documents ready and my wife leaves the country before we send out the application. i know one should wait for atleast I-485 receipt notice before leaving.
    I wonder how will USCIS know whether my wife was in the country when i sent our application.
    I will be here and take care of the whole application process, however my wife has to go.
    Please advice. Should we take this risk?
    Thanks a Lot.
    100% risk .
    Both CBP (Customs and Border protection) & USCIS comes under Department of Homeland Security . Every individual's non-immi/immigrant file can be pulled out from any computer within the Department of Homeland Security. If we submit our I-94, our departure is registered from which both the agencies can verify the status.

    For example an Immigration Officer from the International terminal can print your latest H1b approval from his computer while an I-485 adjudicator can print your latest I-94 submitted at the Airport any time.
    Last edited by Kanmani; 02-06-2012 at 02:14 PM.

  15. #4540
    Waiting for receipt is not critical IMHO. As long as the day the lawyer sends it to USCIS the applicant was in US, that's what matters more.

    So better ask your lawyer. Another thing is ... if going to India is so critical, then she can file after she comes back.

    Just in case there is retro and she misses filing after she comes back, the impact is primarily ONLY on her ability to have EAD rather than on her time to obtain GC.

    So if that can be sacrificed then probably she should leave withut filing 485.

    Quote Originally Posted by GCI140 View Post
    Hello
    Sorry for posting in the wrong thread. But i have an urgent situation so need help.
    I have to send my I-485 documents this month. I have a valid H-1 and my spouse has a valid H-4 for another 2 years. Due to some family emergency, my spouse has to go to india by end of this week. We will be done with our medicals (I-693), etc. by then but might not be able to send the application.
    So my situation is: We have all the documents ready and my wife leaves the country before we send out the application. i know one should wait for atleast I-485 receipt notice before leaving.
    i wonder how will USCIS know whether my wife was in the country when i sent our application.
    I will be here and take care of the whole application process, however my wife has to go.
    Please advice. Should we take this risk?
    Thanks a Lot.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  16. #4541
    You can send your own 485 as soon as possible and if the dates do not retrogress in the Mar bulletin (and it is likely that they will not, at worst they will stagnate) then you have until the end of Mar to file spouse's 485. Do NOT take the risk of misrepresenting something. You have come so far - at this last stretch make sure to play everything completely by the book.
    Quote Originally Posted by GCI140 View Post
    Hello
    Sorry for posting in the wrong thread. But i have an urgent situation so need help.
    I have to send my I-485 documents this month. I have a valid H-1 and my spouse has a valid H-4 for another 2 years. Due to some family emergency, my spouse has to go to india by end of this week. We will be done with our medicals (I-693), etc. by then but might not be able to send the application.
    So my situation is: We have all the documents ready and my wife leaves the country before we send out the application. i know one should wait for atleast I-485 receipt notice before leaving.
    i wonder how will USCIS know whether my wife was in the country when i sent our application.
    I will be here and take care of the whole application process, however my wife has to go.
    Please advice. Should we take this risk?
    Thanks a Lot.
    EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary

  17. #4542
    Yoda
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    369
    curtains down for the DD and/or VB today. Hopefully tomorrow...

  18. #4543
    Thanks Kanmani, imdeng & Q
    I guess then i will go ahead and file mine and wait for my wife to come back and file her's.
    Let's assume that dates will not retrogress and i will stay current for another 2-3 months (my PD is jan 2009), how much time do i have to file her 485?
    I am sure i will have to file her's before mine is approved, correct?
    SherJang

  19. #4544
    No bulletin today ?

  20. #4545
    Hi All

    I have lost my job on Jan 15th and I will on Payroll of the company till Feb 15th. I have 2 question.

    1.I am H1 B right now.Till when I will be eligible to look for job without moving to H4.

    2.My husband 485 has been filed on feb 1st .So does it effect our GC if I dont move to H4 immediately?

    3.DO I need to move to H4 immediately if I dont get the job?WHen is the grace period?

    Thanks
    Nija

  21. #4546
    Gurus ..please advice .

  22. #4547
    You are in status as long as if you carry I-485 receipt notice before Feb 15th .
    You need to wait until get EAD to resume work.
    No need to move H4 as long as you already applied I-485 and last payroll is Feb 15th.

  23. #4548
    You should be fine regarding the status as you already filed 485. You will be considered AOS status. Some people advise to maintain both h-1/h-4 status to be on safe side but i think its just redundant.

    Quote Originally Posted by nijor.deha View Post
    Hi All

    I have lost my job on Jan 15th and I will on Payroll of the company till Feb 15th. I have 2 question.

    1.I am H1 B right now.Till when I will be eligible to look for job without moving to H4.

    2.My husband 485 has been filed on feb 1st .So does it effect our GC if I dont move to H4 immediately?

    3.DO I need to move to H4 immediately if I dont get the job?WHen is the grace period?

    Thanks
    Nija

  24. #4549
    Guru
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    New York
    Posts
    1,564
    Quote Originally Posted by nijor.deha View Post
    Hi All

    I have lost my job on Jan 15th and I will on Payroll of the company till Feb 15th. I have 2 question.

    1.I am H1 B right now.Till when I will be eligible to look for job without moving to H4.

    2.My husband 485 has been filed on feb 1st .So does it effect our GC if I dont move to H4 immediately?

    3.DO I need to move to H4 immediately if I dont get the job?WHen is the grace period?

    Thanks
    Nija
    I'll try my best to answer.
    1. You can look for a job at any point. There is no immigration issue as to when you can start or stop looking for jobs.
    2. I don't think it affects it but I would discuss it with your lawyer. Maybe there is some notification that needs to be done. Better to check with your lawyer.
    3. There is no official grace period. Technically you should have a H4 receipt before your H1 ends but it really depends on when your current company informs USCIS of your job status.

  25. #4550
    #1 - You can always look for a job. That doesn't require any status. But to accept a job you need emp authorization. Unless your previous employer cancels your H1, you can transfer that h1. Or you can utilize your EAD assuming you also filed 485 w your husband.
    #2 - If you filed 485 along with your husband then you already have a dual status H1 + AOS. Your H1 status is cancelled due to job loss. But AOS continued to be valid and doesnt impact your GC as a secondary applicant.
    #3 - You don't need to move to H4 since you already have AOS pending status. God forbid if your husband loses job before 180 days AND husband's employer cancels the underlying 140 then the 485 will be cancelled and the day 485 is cancelled both of you will be out of status. Until this chain reaction actually takes place - both of you are in good status


    Quote Originally Posted by nijor.deha View Post
    Hi All

    I have lost my job on Jan 15th and I will on Payroll of the company till Feb 15th. I have 2 question.

    1.I am H1 B right now.Till when I will be eligible to look for job without moving to H4.

    2.My husband 485 has been filed on feb 1st .So does it effect our GC if I dont move to H4 immediately?

    3.DO I need to move to H4 immediately if I dont get the job?WHen is the grace period?

    Thanks
    Nija
    Quote Originally Posted by GCI140 View Post
    Thanks Kanmani, imdeng & Q
    I guess then i will go ahead and file mine and wait for my wife to come back and file her's.
    Let's assume that dates will not retrogress and i will stay current for another 2-3 months (my PD is jan 2009), how much time do i have to file her 485?
    I am sure i will have to file her's before mine is approved, correct?
    SherJang
    You have until the last day of the month when your dates are current.
    Last edited by qesehmk; 02-06-2012 at 05:58 PM.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 8 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 8 guests)

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •