EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

[kd2008]

Thanks kd. so basically it's this statement in AILA's news:

"Mr. Oppenheim reminds AILA that DOS cannot "see" the I-140 cases that are approved and for which adjustment of status had been requested prior to September 2010, though he can "see" cases for which consular processing is requested."

Based on this, I hope he goes a bit further than those 6 months talked about, and goes until at least September 2010.

Hey, you will anger Sept 2010 and beyond folks! Let us hope it is as large as possible, and that it spells out more movement in coming months.

[cbpds1]

Remember few months ago we used to worry when we can apply for EAD, its good we moved to when can we get GC, Times r changing for good !!

Any thoughts from folks on where the PD could end up in say Nov 2012, i.e, where's the line for actual Green Card approvals this year? I know we don't have demand data for the past few months of date movements, but that hasn't really stopped us from predicting in the past. Teddy/Q/Spec/KD/Nishant any ideas? I checked the Facts and Data thread but didn't come across any updates there.

Also is Trackitt working for anyone? I've been wanting to check stats but can't seem to access it for the past couple of days.

[mesan123]

Source: Ron forum

The Congressional Research Service released a report titled: Numerical Limits on Employment-Based Immigration: Analysis of the Per-Country Ceilings. This report articulates the pros and cons of the per country limits.
http://www.imminfo.com/Resources/Misc/R42048.pdf

[kd2008]

http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussi...page/last_page

Posted by pulijalahari (46) 3 hours 26 minutes ago
to captainhaddock:

my friend got an NVC fee notice whose PD is June 30 2010.
Does it mean it will move till that date??

I hope it is true!

[qriousjunta]

Guys, do anyone have experience filing I-485 for future employment? if so when to switch payroll to sponsoring employer? after 485 approval or when PD is current and to file 485?

[nishant2200]

Guys, do anyone have experience filing I-485 for future employment? if so when to switch payroll to sponsoring employer? after 485 approval or when PD is current and to file 485?

I do not have experience with it, but you are supposed to join your GC job when you get the physical GC in hand.

[tjprofile]

i got an email from my attorney that we (2010 filers until june ) should be ready with the documents. He even setup a call for the filers. I hope it will reach atleast June 2010

When your attorney mentioned it as June 2010, is it June 1st or June 30th 2010??

[vp5856]

Guys, do anyone have experience filing I-485 for future employment? if so when to switch payroll to sponsoring employer? after 485 approval or when PD is current and to file 485?

You can join the future employer after getting EAD but ideally best to stay on H1 status with current employer or transfer H1 to future employer. You can always fall back to EAD if there are any EAD/485 issues. Reverse is not possible.

[vp5856]

You can join the future employer after getting EAD but ideally best to stay on H1 status with current employer or transfer H1 to future employer. You can always fall back to EAD if there are any H1 issues. Reverse is not possible.

Correction H1 issues.

[qriousjunta]

Thanks , thats a good point once EAD is used back to H1 is not possible, it is always better to stay in H1 until Greened.
A) Stay in H1 with current employer --> File for 485 --> get EAD --> move to sponsor-er
B) Transfer H1 to sponsor-er --> File for 485 --> get EAD --> continue with sponsor -er
I am wondering what if the future end client and current employer are same, why would uscis approve H1 transfer? I have heard in forums many a times people transfer H1 from consulting company to full-time employment(where they worked as consultant) ,but could not find any one done the reverse H1 transfer. Any thoughts?

[vp5856]

Thanks , thats a good point once EAD is used back to H1 is not possible, it is always better to stay in H1 until Greened.
A) Stay in H1 with current employer --> File for 485 --> get EAD --> move to sponsor-er
B) Transfer H1 to sponsor-er --> File for 485 --> get EAD --> continue with sponsor -er
I am wondering what if the future end client and current employer are same, why would uscis approve H1 transfer? I have heard in forums many a times people transfer H1 from consulting client to full-time with the same client as primary employer, but could not find any one done the reverse H1 transfer. Any thoughts?

H1 is non-immigration based while EAD/485 immigration based. I don't think for H1 transfer USCIS considers any immigration related details apart from whether you are on H1 extension when they approve H1 based on perm/labor or I-140.

Can you re-phase last couple of lines in marked in bold? Could not get it.

[qriousjunta]

updated my post, i appreciate your reply. But my question is not related to immigration and H1.

"people transfer H1 from consulting company to full-time employment(where they worked as consultant) ,but could not find any one done the reverse H1 transfer as full-time employee to consulting for the same job"?

[vp5856]

updated my post, i appreciate your reply. But my question is not related to immigration and H1.

"people transfer H1 from consulting company to full-time employment(where they worked as consultant) ,but could not find any one done the reverse H1 transfer as full-time employee to consulting for the same job"?

qriousjunta,
If the client (full-time employment(where they worked as consultant)) is not willing to file your GC and there is a mutual understanding between you and your consulting company, that you will rejoin after getting your GC then why not?
And to answer your question if I got it right, you would not reverse transfer you h1 to consulting company - your client would not allow it, and why would you do that if you are doing fine with this/client on h1 status, unless your consulting company trying to threaten you to rejoin on H1.
In reality these cases are very rare.

[qriousjunta]

qriousjunta,
If the client (full-time employment(where they worked as consultant)) is not willing to file your GC and there is a mutual understanding between you and your consulting company, that you will rejoin after getting your GC then why not?
And to answer your question if I got it right, you would not reverse transfer you h1 to consulting company - your client would not allow it, and why would you do that if you are doing fine with this/client on h1 status, unless your consulting company trying to threaten you to rejoin on H1.
In reality these cases are very rare.

True it is neither my employers wish ( but it is their inability to procure me a 1-140 PD recapture ) nor my consulting firm's threaten to join them in H1 for them to make money. We are all in mutual agreement for me to turn green.
I agree to your point that these are very rare in reality, but the fact is - this is an effect of this syndrome.

[kd2008]

http://aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=36980

Unclassified Phone numbers

I V Control and Reports Division Charles
Oppenheim L415 SA1
202-663-1087

Anybody want to give a call?

[manubhai]

Just a reminder:

If you are interested in being on the conference call which is part of the response to the petition concerning "Foreign graduates with Advanced US Degrees"... please check the following thread and RSVP.

The call is tomorrow, February 1, at 1:30 PM EST.

Link to post: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...degree-holders

Disclaimer: Not sure WHAT you/we will gain by spending time on this call. Hopefully, it will be more than some usual political BS.

[rasknorr]

I found this link.. nothing is different than the gurus already posted, but only thing i am positive is - "They stated that it is unlikely that the dates will advance by a full year" -- does this mean, it could be more than 6 months!!! any thoughts?

http://timesofap.com/immigration/201...advance-again/

The U.S. Department of State (DOS) Visa Office has confirmed that EB2 priority dates will advance again in the March 2012 Visa Bulletin. The exact amount of forward movement is not yet known, as it largely depends upon case filing rates. The DOS projects that the EB2 cutoff dates will move by at least a few months in March 2012. The DOS estimates that an advance of as much as six months could occur. They stated that it is unlikely that the dates will advance by a full year. Updates on this important topic will be reported to MurthyDotCom and MurthyBulletin readers as reliable information becomes available.

[suninphx]

Spec,

Thanks!

Here are my number

Jan - July 2007 --- 811
Aug07- Mar 08 ----585


Will follow up by end of Jan.

Spec,

Here are numbers as on today :

Jan - July 2007 --- 824
Aug07- Mar 08 ----685

[Spectator]

Spec,

Here are numbers as on today :

Jan - July 2007 --- 824
Aug07- Mar 08 ----685

suninphx,

Here are mine:

-- VB ------- Priority Dates ---------------- Jan 03 -- Jan 17 -- Jan 31
October VB -- PD Apr 15 2007 to Jul 14 2007 --- 100 ----- 107 ----- 113 (+6 cases)
November VB - PD Jul 15 2007 to Oct 31 2007 --- 238 ----- 278 ----- 331 (+53 cases)
December VB - PD Nov 01 2007 to Mar 14 2008 --- 191 ----- 286 ----- 336 (+50 cases)
January VB -- PD Mar 15 2008 to Dec 31 2008 ---- 15 ----- 176 ----- 310 (+134 cases)

[Spectator]

I have made a new thread under Advocacy & Petitions - EAD for H4 Holders

[suninphx]

suninphx,

Here are mine:

-- VB ------- Priority Dates ---------------- Jan 03 -- Jan 17 -- Jan 31
October VB -- PD Apr 15 2007 to Jul 14 2007 --- 100 ----- 107 ----- 113 (+6 cases)
November VB - PD Jul 15 2007 to Oct 31 2007 --- 238 ----- 278 ----- 330 (+52 cases)
December VB - PD Nov 01 2007 to Mar 14 2008 --- 191 ----- 286 ----- 336 (+50 cases)
January VB -- PD Mar 15 2008 to Dec 31 2008 ---- 15 ----- 176 ----- 310 (+134 cases)

Spec,

Thanks!

Do you have any analysis to share? Even if it may be early days.

[Spectator]

Spec,

Thanks!

Do you have any analysis to share? Even if it may be early days.

suninphx,

I would like to wait to see the USCIS Inventory numbers.

October and November VB numbers are certainly now in the range I was expecting.

It really is early days.

As you can see, there were still significant additions to the November numbers even after 3 months, so it makes it difficult to know how December and January will progress. Some basic extrapolation says they may increase to expected levels, but every month may be quite different. For instance, most of the October VB cases were added to Trackitt fairly quickly.

[suninphx]

suninphx,

I would like to wait to see the USCIS Inventory numbers.

October and November VB numbers are certainly now in the range I was expecting.

It really is early days.

As you can see, there were still significant additions to the November numbers even after 3 months, so it makes it difficult to know how December and January will progress. Some basic extrapolation says they may increase to expected levels, but every month may be quite different. For instance, most of the October VB cases were added to Trackitt fairly quickly.

Ok - let's wait for inventory numbers then.

[shreyasai2004]

Upcoming month's visa bulletin: March 2012 (Coming Soon)

in web site hopefully visa bulletin will release by this friday

[vizcard]

I seriously doubt the VB will come out this week. If it does then great but I can't imagine it'll come out before mid to later next week.