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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2012

  1. #3526
    Some interesting link:

    Form I-140 Immigrant Petition for Alien Worker Performance Data by Class and Beneficiary Country of Birth
    This quarterly report shows Immigrant Petition for Alien Worker performance data for consular-processed I-140s and does not include any associated dependents. The number of cases approved are displayed by class and beneficiary country of birth.

    PDF:
    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...-2011-june.pdf

    CSV:
    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...-2011-june.csv
    Last edited by eb2visa; 12-30-2011 at 06:24 PM.

  2. #3527
    Data on Individual Applications and Petitions

    Data as of September 30, 2011
    Published Novemberr 29, 2011

    This report provides the total number of receipts and approvals, by quarter,
    for all applications and petition form types submitted to USCIS for adjudication.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...eData_FY11.pdf

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...eData_FY11.csv

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/New%20Str...9q3backlog.pdf


    http://www.governmentattic.org/4docs..._2008-2010.pdf
    Last edited by eb2visa; 12-30-2011 at 07:23 PM.

  3. #3528
    Some interesting chart, look for EB1 and EB2 not including NIV

    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf

  4. #3529
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    Quote Originally Posted by eb2visa View Post
    Some interesting chart, look for EB1 and EB2 not including NIV

    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf
    Thank you. If its accurate(or near accurate) that's going to help a lot !

  5. #3530
    This is just released today and from DHS website. 100% accurate, unless DHS - Citizenship and Immigration Services Ombudsman shows something wrong
    Last edited by eb2visa; 12-30-2011 at 09:17 PM.

  6. #3531
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    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    Thank you. If its accurate(or near accurate) that's going to help a lot !
    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf

    Quick glance here are year wise(not sure if it FY or CY) EB2 I140 receipts for all countries (not including NIW):

    2007- 60000 +
    2008 - 30000
    2009 - 17000
    2010 - 35000
    2011(Q1 & Q2) - 35000

  7. #3532
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    Quote Originally Posted by eb2visa View Post
    This is just released today and from DHS website. 100% accurate, unless DHS - Citizenship and Immigration Services Ombudsman shows something wrong

    True --

  8. #3533
    One more :

    I-485 Approval and Pending inventory details:

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf


    Data as of October 31, 2011
    Published December 29, 2011
    Last edited by eb2visa; 12-30-2011 at 09:56 PM.

  9. #3534

  10. #3535
    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf

    Quick glance here are year wise(not sure if it FY or CY) EB2 I140 receipts for all countries (not including NIW):

    2007- 60000 +
    2008 - 30000
    2009 - 17000
    2010 - 35000
    2011(Q1 & Q2) - 35000
    What am I missing here??

    Isn't this like "REALLY" great news for Eb2 2009 and early 2010 people?

    Spec? Gurus?

  11. #3536
    Look at the I-485 inventory details from my post.

  12. #3537
    I-485


    Approval- 29,969 Denials- 7,559 Pending -2,411

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf

  13. #3538
    I-485

    Data as of October 31, 2011
    Published December 29, 2011

    Approval- 29,969 Denials-7,559 Pending-2,411

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf
    Last edited by eb2visa; 12-30-2011 at 10:08 PM.

  14. #3539
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    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf

    Quick glance here are year wise(not sure if it FY or CY) EB2 I140 receipts for all countries (not including NIW):

    2007- 60000 +
    2008 - 30000
    2009 - 17000
    2010 - 35000
    2011(Q1 & Q2) - 35000
    Of these around 3-3.5k/year are porting cases.

  15. #3540
    Did you looked at the 485 approval details from above link, it is very interesting, they didn't have much pending cases as of Oct 31st. I think thats why this big jump. and if we see the stats, around 30,000 are approved for 2011+oct. Seems to be there could be a big jump next month.

  16. #3541
    Please look at the 485 links too, it has more exiting details...

  17. #3542
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    eb2 visa thanks for the link



    Look at the numbers yay!!!!
    Kanmani -

    As many of 2008 and 2009 PERM cases were getting approved i subsequent FY with quite delay (in 2009 and 2010)....many 2009 cases are in FY2010 numbers.
    I am trying to plot this on Spec's PERM data (with assumption of 2 month lag in PERM approval and I140 filing)...have not got anything concrete yet. May be lets wait for Spec's input.
    Last edited by suninphx; 12-30-2011 at 10:53 PM.

  18. #3543
    Thanks for the links.

    I can't make sense of the I485 numbers. It says 29,969 approvals for both 2010 & 2011. Is this for all EB1/2/3 for all countries? If yes, it seems to be too low.

    I-140 numbers make sense. 30k approvals for 2008 translates to 2500 perms/month. Number of I-140 approvals in 2009 is only 17000, there could be some good movement int he next couple of bulletins. Keeping fingers crossed!

    Quote Originally Posted by eb2visa View Post
    I-485


    Approval- 29,969 Denials- 7,559 Pending -2,411

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf

  19. #3544
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    This data is only for USCIS field offices. This does not include case majority of cases handled by service centers (TSC and NSC).

    Quote Originally Posted by eb2visa View Post
    I-485

    Data as of October 31, 2011
    Published December 29, 2011

    Approval- 29,969 Denials-7,559 Pending-2,411

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-oct.pdf
    NSC
    PD: Sep 2007
    RD: 10-Nov-2011
    ND: 15-Nov-2011
    EAD/AP approval: 27-Dec-2011
    FP Date:-06-Jan-2012
    I-485 approval:- 25-Jan-2012
    GC in Hand:- 30-Jan-2012

  20. #3545
    I think the I-485 numbers doesn't include ROW...

    This is the old link and it also presents the same numbers for 2010. This has 2009 approval details too.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...a_2011-sep.pdf

  21. #3546
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    Quote Originally Posted by dorais View Post
    Thanks for the links.

    I can't make sense of the I485 numbers. It says 29,969 approvals for both 2010 & 2011. Is this for all EB1/2/3 for all countries? If yes, it seems to be too low.

    I-140 numbers make sense. 30k approvals for 2008 translates to 2500 perms/month. Number of I-140 approvals in 2009 is only 17000, there could be some good movement int he next couple of bulletins. Keeping fingers crossed!
    That's not entirely true. These are receipt data. These 30000 would include some of 2008 plus earlier years data too.

  22. #3547
    If these includes number from earlier years, it will be Great News, as they might have already take care

  23. #3548
    You are on the right track. If we take this I140 data and subtract the average processing times (for both perm and I140) for each year, we would get some approximation on perm conversion.

    Quote Originally Posted by suninphx View Post
    That's not entirely true. These are receipt data. These 30000 would include some of 2008 plus earlier years data too.
    Last edited by dorais; 12-30-2011 at 11:08 PM. Reason: Incorrect assumption

  24. #3549
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    Quote Originally Posted by dorais View Post
    Actually these are approval data. But you are on the right track. If we take this I140 data and subtract the average processing times (for both perm and I140) for each year, we would get some approximation on perm conversion.
    dorais- I am referring to this link
    http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/c..._petitions.pdf

    On page 7 it talks about receipt data not approvals.

  25. #3550
    Approval rates are almost 100%

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