APPLICATIONS FOR IMMIGRATION BENEFITS
http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...s-2011-aug.pdf
plus there is some other data report linked on latest oh law firm breaking news.
I am yet to read the above pdf properly, but just put the link and info for everyone to see in meanwhile.
the line:
WHAT IT SHOWS: Immigration application receipts decreased 27 percent compared to the number received in August 2010. August 2011 approvals decreased by 28 percent, denials decreased by 17 percent, and pending increased less than 3% compared to August 2010.
is very important. let's delve on this a bit.
Originally Posted by nishant2200
My feeling is that the report looks good for us.
I am assuming they are referring to entire universe of ways one can get a green card.
It is showing that:
a. Incoming applications are lesser than last year
b. Approvals are lesser than last year, but denials have also decreased, so maybe balances out a bit. EB I-485 I think though, has very less denials anyways, so less approvals might be indicating less approvals in family based and other ways of getting in.
c. There is still lot of pending stuff, and seems to me, they have hit a plateau. They either need some funding and hire of extra resources, else they are not going to do away with backlog very soon. I will say there will be fee increases for sure this year it seems. As well as the premium processing for EB1C category in next year planned, looks certain, they need money to process backlog.
d. They have begun to start releasing data for immigration for FY 2011 !
Basically it confirms why there was huge SOFAD last year.
what else, chime in with your thoughts. or correct/enhance mine. I am really looking forward to someone saying this is good news, and we should not fear the 25k SOFAD mark, and CO will move dates a lot. This is for FY 2011 but I think when predicting future, CO has to look at this trend of last year.
Last edited by nishant2200; 10-13-2011 at 04:26 PM.
http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/usc...00082ca60aRCRD
I-485 performance data
Data as of August 31, 2011
Published October 12, 2011
so must be just yesterday.
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updates: I think the I-485 Indo Chinese is to be ignored, it's not us, it's some special way of getting GC, just google I-485 indo chinese and you will see. So only I-485 Employment Based applies to us.
It just for field offices, not for main centers like Texas, Nebraska etc. I don't this report is much useful, let's see if Spec or anyone else finds any use.
Last edited by nishant2200; 10-13-2011 at 04:37 PM.
Sir, i defer with respect. But i think there is already lots of information on the first page and also on Facts thread which can help a lot of people to determine where things stand. Even if the format you suggested is filled (with all the effort by Guru's) our new friends still ask question (when am i current?) in the thread becasue its easy to get answer (no offense to anyone). My suggestion would be to have a link in the Signature or somewhere (if it helps)..
Leo; EB2I; PD: 11/01/2008; NSC; MD: 01/03/2012; RD: 01/04/2012; ND: 1/12/2012; FP Scheduled: 02/22; EAD/AP: 02/22; CPO email: 03/09/2012; GC 3/15/2012; what next???? India Trip????
Folks, what impact do you think the current build-up of demand for EB2-I&C will have on I-485 processing time esp. EB2-ROW. Will it add a couple of months permanently? 6 months? This may result in a one time benefit for EB2-I&C this year as EB2-ROW consumption will drop because of processing delays (Same will be the case with EB1 too). From next year, this delay will be built-in and would continue to hold. This also means new I-485 filers from EB2-I&C will see longer processing times of their cases than current processing times.
kd2008, until now USCIS had a huge pre-adjudicated inventory already, and now they have to build up inventory each year up-front. So I don't see any holes in your argument. It is after all additional work for them to do. More reason why they should move dates early on and not hang tight till ending stages.
I am not a lawyer, and it's always best to consult an immigration attorney.
I agree with kd2008 that EB2ROW could take some hit owing to the EB2IC movement. Not sure EB2IC would face any additional delays though. Because when you have X number of applications in a bucket with same/similar PDs, not sure IF CIS would differentiate them based on the country-limits. If they DO they will certainly have to retrogress the dates, following month. There is definitely a huge juggling-task though for a month or two for CIS.
I said month or two because, by the time additional EB2IC 485's become eligible for a visa number, it could be Jan/Feb and they will have enough visas from first two quarters and have a better understanding of number-progression for September 2012.
On a completely different topic from predictions: Does any one know if the A# assigned during I-140 stage would remain same all the way to GC? ( Like on other applications as well)
Simple answer: yes. Some of us who have multiple I-140s have different A#s, but I believe when you apply for the I485 all your numbers are merged into the number on the I-140 with the PD that you're using (earliest PD).
NSC (originally TSC, transferred to NSC on 02/13/13) |-| PD - 04/25/08 |-| MD - 01/19/12 |-| RD - 01/27/12 |-| ND - 01/31/12 |-| Check Encashed - 02/02/12 |-| NRD - 02/04/12 |-| FPND - 02/09/12 |-| FPNRD - 02/17/12 |-| FP Early Walk-In - 02/24/12 |-| EAD/AP Approval & card production notice - 03/07/12 |-| EAD/AP RD - 03/12/12 |-| EAD/AP renewal RD - 12/11/12 |-| EAD/AP renewal approval - 01/22/13 |-| 485 Approval notice - 09/04/13 |-| GC RD - 09/11/13|
Unlike H1b, I-140 with limited service centres, the I-485 applications are submitted to the Field offices, get pre-adjudicated there and sent to National Service centre. isn't?
Am I missing any thing?
If I am correct, then there are roughly 86 field offices to handle the pile of applications, so there wont be any notable delay .( my opinion but I really dont know )
Can someone please respond to this?
Based on website if someone had TB in past the skin test will always show positive. Will chest x-ray also show results positive?
What are the options in such cases.
Murthy's Recommendations: Be Prepared
"Most importantly, individuals who have priority dates that will become current in November must take steps toward preparing their cases for filing. Others, whose priority dates are not yet current but are close to the new cutoff date, may want to begin gathering all the documents and information needed for their I-485 filings. This will avoid unnecessary delays and will enable their cases to be filed in the first month that the priority date is available"
source : http://www.murthy.com/bulletin.html
Last edited by Kanmani; 10-14-2011 at 07:35 AM.
Spec
I was trying to use an alternative calculation for the combined effect of the three multipliers that you use in calculations (Eb2/Total Perm, I-140 approval rate, Dependent ratio). The product for your multipliers is close to 0.9 (that Veni observed can be approximated with 1).
I took the actual EB2 visas issued for India and China from annual reports of visa office. If we take the total visas approved for Eb2-I and Eb2-C from 2003 - 2010 and divide them by corresponding total PERMs for India and China from June2002-May2006 then we can get an approximation of the combined multiplier. The overall assumption is that all the visas issued between 2003 to 2010 belong to priority dates between June 2002 to May 2006. I picked June 2002 to allow for 6 months approval time and May 2006 was the ending priority date for 2010. Here are my questions/issues
1. Does the approach seem reasonable or do you see some obvious flaws.
2. I was able to get the visas issued from the DOS site. For Perm i used the data provided by you in Facts and Data section but it only has complete data for 2007 onwards so i am missing 2002 to 2006.
3. The actual EB2-I visas issued in 2004, 2005 and 2008 are in 14-16K but they are only 3719 and 6203 in 2006 and 2007 which didn't seem right.
If you see value in doing this i can go ahead with the calculations and we can see how much this multiplier differs from 0.9.
Guys,
Got my medicals done and blogged my experience here.
Hope it helps someone.
gc0907 kudos to you. A lot of people go through medicals but very few people write it down so well for others!
Why don't you create a new thread in the same location as vaccination. You can either reproduce the whole article or simply include the link.
I think that will keep it visible forever and help a lot of people.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
This is good information. Thank you for taking the time to do this.
you rock bud... very helpful
http://youtu.be/h0b5VGrKVG4 -- GC Journey in KOLAVERI Song!!!!!
hey tackle... like your avatar... very colorful...
Ghostwriter.... did the GC wait make you like this? just wondering, rest in peace bro...abb GC ka kya karna... kidding...ur avatar is spooky dude, right in time for halloween....
aur Nishant and others... getting ready to get electrocuted? .....
http://youtu.be/h0b5VGrKVG4 -- GC Journey in KOLAVERI Song!!!!!
Thanks for putting it together, It would help somebody, Mine started with blood test(titer) to determine what vaccines are already present and tetanus shot and PPD .Waiting for results, have appointment with Doc(list on USCIS website for my zipcode) on Tuesday.
I checked mitbbs today. A Chinese EB2 submitted his/her case on August 1st and already got his/her GC in hand! Only 2 and half months for PWMB! It's so fast!
This is his/her progress:
8/1 RD
9/26 FP
10/11 AP
10/13 485
Roughly how many approvals do you see in mitbbs for EB2-C in the month of Oct. There are around 50+ approvals for EB2-I in trackitt so far in this month.
gc0907
Thanks a ton for taking the time to document this very well and it really helps plan things.
Today nytimes published an article indicating the surge in the number of students now pursuing bachelor degrees in usa from India.Also reflects the trend for master's too. Might help in some assumptions in SOFAD for later years .
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/14/wo...ed-states.html
I also know a couple of families who were in April third-last week 2007, they too got theirs this week. It's raining GCs it seems.
Not sure if this was discussed in the calculations.. but noticed this in some other thread.. http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...-2011-june.pdf ... the numbers are bit weird.. Gurus anyone help decipher the data from this pdf ..
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