WhereismyGC.com Related Discussion & Updates

[whereismygc]

When will the update be available --- after considering the June2016 VB? I am looking for EB3-I. Will this retro in EB2-I impact EB3-I?

EB2-I shouldn't retro doesn't have any bearing on EB3-I's chances whatsoever.

There is nothing in VB that warrants an update to WhereismyGC. So we will keep the forecast as is at least until July 2016.

[GCwaiting]

What is the impact of the April 2016 Inventory numbers on your prediction especially for EB3-I.

[whereismygc]

Dear Users,

Recently the Apr 2016 485 Inventory Report was released.

We looked for any reasons that force us to update the forecast.
Here are the insights from the report:
1. EB4 may be running under and may yield some numbers.
2. EB1 is having more demand than supply. So much so that it will probably eat up any spillover from EB4/5 as well.
3. EB3 seems to be holding steady and not showing any reduction in inventory. That is very surprising and kind of bad news for EB3I. We will explain later below.
4. EB2 also holding steady - this was expected bad news for EB2I. No surprises there.

So the biggest takeaway is that EB3-I may not rely as much on spillover from EB3-ROW as one would have thought. Because the inventory is steady, one can say that ROW is actually utilizing its full allocation. The gut feel does not validate that however. We will investigate further and possibly update the forecast by weekend.

Thanks & Regards,

[GCwaiting]

So the biggest takeaway is that EB3-I may not rely as much on spillover from EB3-ROW as one would have thought. Because the inventory is steady, one can say that ROW is actually utilizing its full allocation. The gut feel does not validate that however. We will investigate further and possibly update the forecast by weekend.

Thanks & Regards,

Thanks. Will wait for the update.
Do you feel EB3 will reach the expected filing date of 07/01/2005 without spillover?
Most forums are stating that there will be a spillover from EB3-ROW to EB3-I & EB3-I will move quite ahead.
What makes you say that EB3-ROW will be utilizing its full allocation?

[whereismygc]

Site is updated. Please see the commentary section on site to understand the changes, rationale and impact.

[mechanical13]

Site is updated. Please see the commentary section on site to understand the changes, rationale and impact.

Haven't looked at the paid subscription/commentary, but noticed that the dates for EB2I seems to have gotten a little better on the free forecast. I likely missed something, but is there reason to believe that near term dates (mid 2009 dates) will likely get greened this year? My priority date is in July 2009, and the forecast suggests that we should be greened by June 2017. Prior to this update, the window was Jan 2017-May 2018.

[whereismygc]

Haven't looked at the paid subscription/commentary, but noticed that the dates for EB2I seems to have gotten a little better on the free forecast. I likely missed something, but is there reason to believe that near term dates (mid 2009 dates) will likely get greened this year? My priority date is in July 2009, and the forecast suggests that we should be greened by June 2017. Prior to this update, the window was Jan 2017-May 2018.

We will answer this today. But going forward we will let WhereismyGC site tell what changes why when and how?

What has changed from prior to new (changed) model is:

------------------------| Old ---------------| New ---------------|
1. ROW EB2:3 mix -------| 75:25 -------------| 60:40 --------------|
2. 485 Processing time -| 4-5 months --------| 8 months -----------|
3. ROW New demand ------| Oct 2015 onwards --| Mar 2015 onwards ---|

The commentary (paid part) contains more details.

[GCwaiting]

July 2016 VB was quite a disappointment especially for EB3-I.
The predictions given by DOS for EB3-I ... is disappointing
"Indications are that there will be “otherwise” unused numbers available under the Worldwide limit. This should allow the September date to reach early 2005."

All forums predicted good spillover from EB3-ROW to EB3-I.
At the minimum, it was predicted that it would meet the filing date of 07/01/2005.

How does this July Visa Bulletin change WhereismyGC forecast? Are you planning any updates?

[whereismygc]

July 2016 VB was quite a disappointment especially for EB3-I.
The predictions given by DOS for EB3-I ... is disappointing
"Indications are that there will be “otherwise” unused numbers available under the Worldwide limit. This should allow the September date to reach early 2005."

All forums predicted good spillover from EB3-ROW to EB3-I.
At the minimum, it was predicted that it would meet the filing date of 07/01/2005.

How does this July Visa Bulletin change WhereismyGC forecast? Are you planning any updates?

We have updated WhereismyGC forecast 2 days back. Today we also updated the commentary. Both things require paid membership - except the FREE forecast.

[whereismygc]

Today Supreme court tied on immigration executive actions and thus the block on Obamas executive immigration actions remains in place.

Read further ...
CNN News - http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/23/politi...urt/index.html
NBC News - http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/...policy-n582961

[GCwaiting]

Hi
What is your prediction for EB3I - March 2005 now?
I see that your forecast date is from Nov2015 to April 2017 a range of about 1.5 years. This is too large a range !!!
Now that Aug VB is announced, when will you update this forecast?

[asaxena2]

Hi
What is your prediction for EB3I - March 2005 now?
I see that your forecast date is from Nov2015 to April 2017 a range of about 1.5 years. This is too large a range !!!
Now that Aug VB is announced, when will you update this forecast?

---------------------------------------------

Are we expecting an update ??

[asaxena2]

Today Supreme court tied on immigration executive actions and thus the block on Obamas executive immigration actions remains in place.

Read further ...
CNN News - http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/23/politi...urt/index.html
NBC News - http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/...policy-n582961

--------------------------------------

Will there be an update to whereismygc.com based on August 2016 visa bulletin

[whereismygc]

--------------------------------------

Will there be an update to whereismygc.com based on August 2016 visa bulletin

Hello asaxena2,

We updated the commentary but left the forecast untouched.

The forecast for EB23IC is not going to hold now. We don't want to update it without any intelligent data point and just to match the visa bulletin after the fact. So while we admit it is inaccurate, we don't want to change it just for the sake of it.

[whereismygc]

FREE ! FREE !! FREE !!!

WhereismyGC is being offered completely FREE until Saturday midnight.

Our apologies in advance for not being able to entertain any questions from users with FREE plan. Enjoy the FREE plan.

www.whereismygc.com

p.s. - You have to subscribe to the Day plan which is FREE until Saturday midnight.

[asankaran]

The tool shows Jan 1, 2009 to be current by Sept 2016 avg and pessimistic by Oct 2016. Do you guys think that would have happen realistically ?

[whereismygc]

The tool shows Jan 1, 2009 to be current by Sept 2016 avg and pessimistic by Oct 2016. Do you guys think that would have happen realistically ?

Hello Asankaran,

You may want to subscribe to WhereismyGC emails. We generally comment on visa bulletins and latest forecast updates every month. As per the latest situation - we have updated the model to suit current visa bulletin (obviously not to forecast what is already knows but rather being able to forecast 2017).

[whereismygc]

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From all of us at WhereismyGC, have a happy thanksgiving to you and your family.

[whereismygc]

We have updated the forecast model at WhereismyGC based on latest 485 data as well as latest NVC (Consular Processing) data. Paid Subscription required to view the updated forecast.

[whereismygc]

The website forecast is updated to reflect following things from latest 485 inventory.

1. Apparent end of India EB3 to EB2 porting. Same is true for china EB2 to EB3 porting.
2. Slightly lower EB2 ROW demand.

Check your forecast HERE.

[whereismygc]

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[whereismygc]

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Only 3 hours and 15 minutes left before this deal expires. Remember our site already has a FREE forecast but today we are opening up the "Paid" forecast plan for a "Day" completely FREE.

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[whereismygc]

The DoS published visa bulletin for May 2007.

There is good movement for EB3-India in filing dates. For EB2-India there is minor retrogression in filing dates. The overall trend is in line with our predictions so far.

[derekjbj]

Mr Q, any idea when the updated Forecast will be generated based on latest inventory reports?

[qesehmk]

Mr Q, any idea when the updated Forecast will be generated based on latest inventory reports?

Moved to the appropriate thread.