Thankyou @GCVijay.
@HarepathekaIntezar - the cost quoted by my wife's lawyers is in many thousands. If there is a possibility that GC through me would roughly come around the same time as through my wife's (given that I have gone through multiple EAD renewals and Medicals, while she has yet to apply for a 485), then I would as well stick to my application and wait it out. That is the logic.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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Before qesehmk and Spec, forecasting was lazy and emotional - like what you see in trackitt. It was this forum that brought in clarity and removed confusion (for people smarter than IQ 70). So, please don't be so condescending. This website has definitely helped me make rational career choices.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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General Question on best way to approach any upcoming EB3 AOS filing opportunity but with a new PERM/new employer; For someone who has a PD that doesn't qualify in current EB2 filing but does qualify potential movement in EB3 for filing AOS (PD > May1, 2010), what is the best approach for a new PERM petition with a new employer. The couple options I can think of, assuming prior EB2 PD is portable ;
1. File New PERM (with new employer) in EB3 category and when date becomes available in EB3 , port prior EB2 PD and concurrent file I140 & I-485
OR
2. File New Perm with new employer in EB2 category and when date becomes available in EB3, downgrade with prior EB2 PD and concurrent file I140 & I-485, hopefully in premium processing.
Any suggestions or advice on which approach is best, given that EB2 perm is good in both categories, hence future proofing that better if a need for upgrade arises?
We only provide forecast. We do not provide legal advice. You should speak with your lawyer.
But it seems, you may want to retain the old GC application (speak with old employer and leave on good terms) and also file a new EB3 application with new employer. That way you will have best of both worlds.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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Thank you! yes, the old employer is on good terms and hasn't revoked the GC application, so PD can be ported over.
Logically, that makes sense to start the new petition as EB3, but was checking if I do the PERM petition as EB2 and then downgrade into EB3 at the time of I-485, if/when it is available?
Now on WhereismyGC users will be eligible for a refund when you do not receive a GC despite our forecast.
Here is our full refund policy. You will be eligible for a refund under following circumstances.
- Duplicate payments and purchases are eligible for a full refund.
- Used plans are eligible for a partial refund. Refund will be calculated after deducting the used portion of your subscription or by subtracting full plan rate of next smaller duration plan (whatever is minimum). The minimum deductible is always $5.
- Inaccurate forecasts are eligible for a refund when the forecast predicted GC in current USCIS year (Oct-Sep) but you did not receive your GC. The refund will be the full value of your plan purchased if less than 365 days. For plans bigger than 365 days a prorated value for 365 days will be eligible for refund.
For all the above situations please send an email to sales@whereismygc.com with appropriate proof of your claim.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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My friend people with intricate knowledge of how the calcualtions work are trying to make money off of us -
'Please subscribe to a paid plan to view.' at - https://www.whereismygc.com
Not saying they should n't, but just giving you the reason why this forum is just speculation at this point.
This is absolute rubbish. Yes Q owns the paid site (I think) - but he never pushed that site in the forum discussions. There is very little credible prediction on the site because there is no (reliable) data to predict anymore - nothing can be done more than simple guesswork so that's what you see here.
Q maintains a very civil, very informative forum. At one time this was home to wonderful people who did great predictions and helped anyone who needed help. A few of those are still around (and the rest got their GCs so are not fully engaged anymore) - and I still come here frequently because I find value in it. What Q does outside of this forum is no concern of mine or yours. If he tried to monetize some part of his expertise without devaluing this forum then kudos to him.
As far as Spec - man - I don't even know what to say. Spec is dealing with the same problem of data availability and reliability I think. Where its possible, he is continuing his great work. He is one of most extraordinary anonymous online presence I have ever seen - what he does (and the extent of skill/knowledge he has) deserves respect .
Yes - we are all frustrated with the wait, but lets not take that out on Q and Spec.
EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary
Hello EB22010Dec,
I don't know how to say it without advertising WhereismyGC here. But since you raised the point, let me explain a few things about me, WhereismyGC, this blog and forecast as an art and science.
1) WhereismyGC - Yes WhereismyGC is a paid website that provides algorithmic (rather simulations based) forecast. Which hopefully explains why it is NOT FREE.
2) This blog - was - is - and will remain FREE. It is a collective effort that has helped many in the past and continues to do so. People are welcome to share calculations, objective information, and personal experiences or anything pertinent frankly! The GC journey is tough and for many it is a comfort to see others in same situation not to mention the ability to do so objectively, and in a civil manner.
3) Me (Q) - I received my GC in 2011. I launched WhereismyGC in Mar 2013. I continue to manage this blog and I also run WhereismyGC. I try to keep this blog clean and focused on its goal.
4) Forecasting as an art and science - Forecasting is difficult because past hardly predicts future with any accuracy. Forecasting is also difficult because even if you identify all input variables ... they don't necessary fit into a mathematical equation or a set of equations. Nobody on this forum or no tool including WhereismyGC will EVER be 100% accurate. But there a few basic principles that if followed ... anybody can predict with good amount of accuracy. 1) use data 2) make good assumptions 3) know the dynamics of the system (e.g. inputs outputs and how they affect each others) 4) simplify the equation but not oversimplify 5) dampen your enthusiasm and add an element of conservatism.
I am very proud of WhereismyGC and how elegantly I have designed and programmed it and how well it forecasts with little effort on my part.
But by no means buying paid forecast is necessary to enjoy/use this forum. Actually the backlog situation is so bad that I will be happy for you all if you just focused on your life and career and just forgot the GC.
My best wishes to all and apologies for this distraction on this thread. I will keep this open for any potential follow up questions and then move this tomorrow to WhereismyGC thread.
Last edited by qesehmk; 04-08-2019 at 10:25 AM.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
totally agree @imdeng. This is a great forum and i have never seen Q push his site. in fact there was free access to that site for forum members for some time if i recall correctly.
The speculation has gone silent because there is nothing to speculate about . Without Pending Inventory we have Zero visibility as to what the size of the Queue is so how to we figure out the speed of movement? lol
USCIS has some mysterious rationale about why they don't want to disclose that report. i heard a rumor or some memo about they want you NOT to have the information to stop reverse porting.
which is just bad bad news if its true.
EB-2 I Priority Date - 06/19/2009 I-485 Filed - 10/2015
We just donated $100 to Paani foundation which is a non-profit founded by Amir Khan and is doing great job in solving drought problem in Maharashtra.
They are organizing a "Maha-Shramadan" on May 1st. We all in US can not participate but can possibly donate. If you donate money to them at JALMITRA; you can deduct the same amount from any WhereismyGC purchase during the month of May. Just send us your donation receipt and we will refund you the same amount upto your purchase.
Thank you for your support to this cause. We are doing this out of sheer goodwill. We are not related in any way to Paani Foundation.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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WhereismyGC Forecast model updated for year 2020.
There will be a few more core updates by end of December. And then depending on need we will finetune it further in Q1/Q2 next year.
This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
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Hi Folks,
I have a very tricky situation and have to make some very important decisions. I was hoping the experts here could help me. Thanks in advance. I have approved I-140 in EB2 & 3 with priority date in July end 2010. I am currently on an H1B which is valid until the next 3 years. My eldest kid is in high school currently and the younger one is in middle school. Wife is also working on an H1B. We had Canada PR. The PR card will expire in a month's time. I am a premium subscriber of WhereisMyGC and per that my estimated date for EB3 is Average - Jul 2020 and Pessimistic is Sept 2020. So this is very close and I think I can easily survive this time. Now here are my questions.
1. Do these dates make sense? When I read the posts on this thread, I get a completely different picture. People are talking about it is going to take 4-5 years just to clear 2009 and all that. Then how come the 'whereismyGC' dates are so optimistic? Should I base my decision based on those dates?
2. The other plan which I was thinking was to just take off to Canada (alone) and secure the PR of Canada, so that kids and wife and come there if in case we can not survive here in this mad place (we are currently both are on H1 and it makes it our situation difficult and not so safe). I will have to spend about 2 years or more (in case I have further plans) in Canada and then come back.
The only reason I am thinking of Canada option is that I am too scared of a pessimistic scenario here if the GC dates simply do not move and it takes 5,6,7 years more to be current. I simply don’t want me and my family to go through that torture and uncertainty.
I know it is me who has to make the final decision, but it would help if you can provide your feedback on issues likes date movement, discrepancy between street opinion and ‘whereismyGC’ estimates.
Thanks so much
Optimistic as always :-)
I agree with Excalibur, there is no scenario in which you will be current by September 2020. If miraculously new legislation gets passed the dates might move but not this year for sure. So don't count on this from happening. There might be a situation where a recession kills the demand but in that case we all have other things to worry about.
I can't tell you to take Canada option or not, but I can tell you the US option isn't looking too bright
Iatiam
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