First of all Behes ki aankh...Originally Posted by nishant2200
Secondly... doesnt Eb2 on the whole need to be current to provide any kind of spilover to any category of EB3?
..a moment of silence... it's like miandad's six off chetan all again... but i am sure we are going to bounce back...
I feel we are going to see the train moving from oct with SFM...
Last edited by soggadu; 08-09-2011 at 03:49 PM.
Well they come to the tipping point, see only 3 months left, last quarter, they say "ooops", and make EB2 current, but still at least for that FY, most of the leftover goes to EB3 ROW. Right.
So does this mean every year it's going to advance by 1 year? That gives a simple formula :
Year of PD + 5 years = GC year +/- 6 months
I Strongly believe it is coz of SA in EB3.. EB2IC didn't loose anything to EB3..
Last edited by evoori; 08-09-2011 at 03:54 PM.
I completely agree with 1), 2) & 3). On 4) there should be some caution getting I140 approved in the past and now may not be the same thing.
Great Post Nishant!
Well said, while we feel for all there are human issues on all sides but the way people from retrogressed countries are suffering due to wait is unfair. Right now look at all PWMB's it will take us full 5 years to get EAD / AP. The situation for EB3 for all countries is bad in their own unique way. Pre 2007 folks are stuck with EAD / AP only with dates crawling ROW folks included, post 2007 mostly people are trying to file in EB2.
Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 08-09-2011 at 03:54 PM.
you'd get out next month. Don't worry. We will see steady movement starting October, at least by a week or two with each VB. Good Luck.
agree 100%.
Mr.CO always finds different excuses to justify what he does.
the truth is that nobody is monitoring what he does.
he does not give a damn to EB immigrants at all.
While we are suffering, he is still eating/sleeping/shitting very well.
excuse my language. that's the truth.
Extremely disappointing visa bulletin with dates not moving at all for EB2IC. I am more frustrated because there is no clarity or transparency offered at all on part of the USCIS or DOS. Bulletin after bulletin, the saga of endless waiting continues.
I am going to quote a world famous unknown personality who said on some other forum:
This whole prediction game is like predicting the number of beans in a jar - except in this case there is a whole other jar that exists but no one knows how many beans are in there. So no matter how accurate your prediction of the number of beans in the visible jar, you will always be wrong since there is a hidden jar that we don't even see.
I rest my case. USCIS wins.
Last edited by Jonty Rhodes; 08-09-2011 at 04:02 PM.
Nishant, we can always count on you to bring a very practical perspective. Though massively disappointed, i think we need to continue to focus on what we need to do to be successful in whatever we are pursuing.
On a lighter note - one of my colleagues has PD of 4/21/2007 and we are working on the same project. He had been preparing all the documents needed to file 485 for last couple of weeks. We were in a client meeting and all of a sudden he blurts out "What the f***", every one is looking at him quizzically as it was totally inappropriate. Only after the meeting we realized that he was checking visa bulletin during the meeting and he was reacting to visa bulletin and not to what client team was saying :-) I need to go and explain this to program manager now :-)
This is cruel. But you should be current any month now.
gcseeker great advice. I especially strongly recommend 3 & 4 on your list.
Would've liked to. I belong to the state that has the distinct honor of passing SB1070Those from here wouldn't be a bad idea to get together for a drink. We will ask Jack Brown to send us whatever he is going to smoke tonight
Harick ... thanks .. we need this tonight !!
As per next year .... I would bet that the SOFAD next year should be similar to what we will see this year unless Kazarian situation changes.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Another example of the crap Washington DC is putting people through. CO could have easily moved the dates (BTM), taken a year to clean up the cases, and keep them ready by April.
Q, I have bolded what you said. Your argument is incorrect. What it means is: out of the total porting numbers, 2.2K were between Jan 2002 and Sept 2002. The rest were between Sept 2002 and Apr 2007. We really don't yet know how many in total, but a rough estimation may be made by adding the decrease in demand data of EB3-I between Sept 2002 and Apr 2007 and the 2.2K.
Yes, agree.
The reason why he is not doing BTM is that he does not care at all........
BTM does not make any difference to his life, he is still eating/sleeping/shitting very well everyday.
Thousands of families are on the edge because of his action, but he just does not care........
We have been stuck to this deep hole for too long. Endless waiting is killing all these talented people. I just don't believe people can focus on work while being treated like shit by DOS/USCIS.
Well said. While we get into the details and intricacies in the calculations here, I feel the Visa Office/CO just think in broad strokes and decide on what is going to be the easiest for the agencies to cope with. Hence, on hindsight, the expectations for "making PD current" etc seem over the top now.
legislative change is the only way out. While our friends who are PWMB or PDs in 2007 can wait for the VB to move one week every month for most of next fiscal year, folks like me with PDs in 2008 (we know there huge density of applications the whole of 2008) and beyond are doomed to wait at the mercy of spillovers.
KD the whole argument is not incorrect. But I agree that it can be made more accurate if we include post 2002 porting cases.
We will know exact number when we see teh Oct 2011 inventory and then compare with Oct 2010.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Actually if you look at this another way CO is just the administrator his job is to ensure that the allocations are met. Unfortunately the system is so complex with too many rules that intersect each other his job is tough. At the end of the day the problem is that the numbers are way to less. We are all SOFAD dependent in 2009 it was 10K, in 2010 it was 26K now in 2011 its 30K plus, unfortunately it’s time for all of us to set realistic expectations. The dream run has raised expectations to a very high level.
I agree w Teddy. CO is trying to do his job best. His hands are tied by the laws and the numbers available.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
As every one predicted the Labor clearance caused the ROW to utilize more visas, otherwise they would spilled over to I/C. In May they did not see I-140 demand, which kicked in June/July onwards, then they stopped moving dates.
Only hope for the year is a bill that removes country limit on EB category. Hope for the best.
ok guys lets crunch some data for coming year. We might get uscis inventory pretty soon.
As the inventory was updated in May with the Local office demand I think the only way would be to wait for the next one in October and then extrapolate to a year. Otherwise you can assume that EB3 I itself had atleast 2K LO demand that makes porting 6K. Let me know if Iam missing something.
Guys, what are the various data reports we are expecting in upcoming months now, that we should watch out for. So that we can start the analysis again.
I think. to calculate EB3->EB2 porting, we also need to consider CP/district office cases that never showed up in the inventory but I am not sure, how significant is this one.
Another way to do it would be to look at EB2 actual approvals and then comparing that with Oct 2010 inventory.
I know either approachs will have some distortion due to LO cases. But may be we can triangulate using 2 -3 different methods.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
why not send this mail to the Prez this and he will use it in his campaign speech to gain emotional votes
qblogfan,
I understand your pain, trust me it'll be 14 years tomorrow, I really understand what you are talking about.
At the end of the day, CO, as I see is doing much better job than his predecessors. He is doing his best to not waste visa numbers, and wiggle enough room for CI categories with in his bounds.
Like Teddy and Others mentioned, our expectations were high and the information/reasoning provided is not enough to convince either forward movement/no-movement.
Hang in there mate, I really wish you well. If you see the difference between yesterday-today-tomorrow is just our 'expectations'.
Best!
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