EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

[qesehmk]

I am sorry. Sometimes I do talk like a Jerk. Thanks for taking it easy.

Point taken..I wish my source is Mr.Charles Oppenheim

[belmontboy]

I just get a feeling that there wont be any BTM in this bulletin. Also, i feel that DS under CO operates differently. They dont like to move the dates and then retrogress. One small movement to get new applications will happen somewhere in May/June 2012 which will account for the expected spillover for that year and wont retrogress back again. USCIS is very capable of processing 485's in 30-45 days. Another movement can happen in July/Aug 2012 to make sure that visa numbers are not wasted. I think going forward this is the fashion in which we will see the DS operates. Its good in a way, brings some predictability into the system.

If the new intake happens in may/june 2012, there will be visa wastage for sure. Also 30-45 days for processing new 485's is impossible - as procedures like biometrics, security check take lot of time.
Any new intake has to happen no later than Q2 of 2012 (USCIS calendar year)

[ssvp22]

While we are waiting ... those interested in making a living by starting a visa bulletin predictions blog this would be quite interesting statistics for today since morning:
Views: 7226. Ad Revenue: 0.39 dollars :-)



Product Page views Clicks Page CTR CPC Page RPM Estimated earnings
AdSense for Content 7,226 0 0.00% — $0.05 $0.39

No one has become rich from Adsense/Adwords combo except Google.

[pdfeb09]

While we are waiting ... those interested in making a living by starting a visa bulletin predictions blog this would be quite interesting statistics for today since morning:
Views: 7226. Ad Revenue: 0.39 dollars :-)
Product Page views Clicks Page CTR CPC Page RPM Estimated earnings
AdSense for Content 7,226 0 0.00% — $0.05 $0.39

Just to show my appreciation for your efforts Q, I clicked on a couple of your add banners ..!!

[nishant2200]

Just to clarify on behalf of Q, the money made is donated to charities.

See: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...ations-We-Made

[vchirakala]

wow ...no updates for 1Hr 10 min s...
Still waiting for the bulletin :-)

[nishant2200]

wow ...no updates for 1Hr 10 min s...
Still waiting for the bulletin :-)

Yeah dude, I will say it again. This wait is killing me.

When the fate is already decided, why so much delay. Last time they released it like 6.45 AM PST, the next day after demand data released.

[vchirakala]

May be it will be current ..thats why so much suspense...

[pg_at_q]

as someone said earlier...maybe they are waiting for the fed minutes to come out

[vchirakala]

that was me ...

[zenmaster]

The web developer who is suppose to move the link from UAT to Prod. is on lunch break guys.... wait until his lunch is over

[pg_at_q]

dude...u got a lot of theories...maybe it'll be current...maybe it's due to fed minutes...you'll make it good in the law field..or even CSI ...(jk...u know that...lol!)

[mesan123]

is it normal??? do they release bulletin in late afternoon's . i also know last time they released by 10am EST and removed it again for few hours and then re-released it

Yeah dude, I will say it again. This wait is killing me.

When the fate is already decided, why so much delay. Last time they released it like 6.45 AM PST, the next day after demand data released.

[neospeed]

Yeah dude, I will say it again. This wait is killing me.

When the fate is already decided, why so much delay. Last time they released it like 6.45 AM PST, the next day after demand data released.

CO might be crunching numbers left over from family based that will go to employment for the next year, based on that they will move dates accordingly.

[nishant2200]

is it normal??? do they release bulletin in late afternoon's . i also know last time they released by 10am EST and removed it again for few hours and then re-released it

yes, the bulletin which got released and raised dates to March 8th, 2007, was released at PST lunchtime around. I remember because I was driving back from an excellent pizza lunch around 12.45 PST, when my friend, who always calls me as soon as VB is out, called me up to inform. so it can be in fact released that late too.

[qesehmk]

Just to show my appreciation for your efforts Q, I clicked on a couple of your add banners ..!!

Appreciate the gesture ... even if its a joke. But please don't unless there is genuine interest.

Just to clarify on behalf of Q, the money made is donated to charities.
See: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...ations-We-Made

Thanks Nishant. So far we have made more in donations than received revenues. But I repeat - DO NOT CLICK UNLESS GENUINELY INTERESTED. We don't really need a lot of money to run this site. So dont worry about financials of the site.

is it normal??? do they release bulletin in late afternoon's . i also know last time they released by 10am EST and removed it again for few hours and then re-released it

CO did say the bulletin is definitely coming today afternoon.

[chinni27]

SEP 11 VB PD will be 8th May 07 or 16th Jun 07.

[vchirakala]

chinni ...

please let us know the source.

[dec2007]

My pd is dec31,2007, eb2i. That was a very odd date chosen by my lawyer..by the way, he was great. Back in 07, He used to call me after work hrs and forced me to get the papers quickly...bad luck he is no more working in that firm..

For me to get current, im hoping the news about NVC receipt dates is correct, so that dates move to 2008.

[pdfeb09]

Just to clarify on behalf of Q, the money made is donated to charities.

See: http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...ations-We-Made

Thanks nishant2200 !! My post was in a lighter vein....but Knowing, what I know now, just increases my respect for Q.

[natvyas]

since we are all waiting for the VB to come out, in the meantime should be discuss the implications of the COD moving to Sept 1?

Just a thought

[Gclongwait]

My pd is dec31,2007, eb2i. That was a very odd date chosen by my lawyer..by the way, he was great. Back in 07, He used to call me after work hrs and forced me to get the papers quickly...bad luck he is no more working in that firm..

For me to get current, im hoping the news about NVC receipt dates is correct, so that dates move to 2008.

I can assure you the news is correct, atleast for fee receipts until Mar 2008. The bigger issue is if that news even means anything. I guess we will come to know soon. tick..tock..tick..tock

[qblogfan]

Thanks for your kind words.

maybe rodnyb's news is accurate. what I meant was that mitbbs does not have this information flowing around. maybe rodnyb got this news from other sources.

Q I will go by our friend qbf on this, we accept his authority. However if rodnyb's news really turns out to be true I will give him a hi5.

[nishant2200]

I can assure you the news is correct, atleast for fee receipts until Mar 2008. The bigger issue is if that news even means anything. I guess we will come to know soon. tick..tock..tick..tock

I have always been very curious on this. Have you actually seen such a notice receipt, or know personally a person who got it and can vouch for him/her. Just really curious.

[nishant2200]

since we are all waiting for the VB to come out, in the meantime should be discuss the implications of the COD moving to Sept 1?

Just a thought

The biggest implication would be, PWMB would be removed out of the calculations, and then only unknowns left for predictions would be porting and of course, the SO sources of EB1, EB2 ROW, EB5 and theoretically EB4, their usage pattern.