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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

  1. #4426
    Agree with this. I checked their site and found that some of their emails from CO in 2010 were accurate for July 2010 bulletin. I had also heard from NIU member on some forum/ call. I do think they work for same cause and may have channel established with CO.

  2. #4427
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    krish... i guess the movement should be same as discussed in the last two pages... please give them a read... and whether it would be a sustained movment or a BTM... as of now it is only guess work... cant say for sure...by the way my pd is oct 22 2007... same boat...
    Thanks soggadu..I hope the process for both of us gets done as soon as possible if not next month. Good luck!!

    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    krishnav,

    Because porting and PWMB cases coming on stream can use up the normal allocation, my feeling is that dates wouldn't move much until next spillover season, unless it is done specifically to allow a new intake. The numbers of PWMB ramp up significantly from May onwards.
    OK..thats what I thought..Thanks Spec.

  3. #4428
    Quote Originally Posted by krishnav View Post
    Thanks soggadu..I hope the process for both of us gets done as soon as possible if not next month. Good luck!!
    Thanks bud... as of now just enjoying with what i have...lets see what sep has in store for us...dont want to keep hopes high... aaya toh aaya baaki sab maaya...
    Last edited by soggadu; 07-18-2011 at 02:52 PM.

  4. #4429
    Quote Originally Posted by indiaeb2 View Post
    Thanks Soggadu. I read but not sure what is the final prediction. can you please summarize it or please let me know if i have a chance in sep 2011 to file my 485
    summary is that there is some speculation of more numbers left over for this FY... so they may clear the back log... what they do after that is anybody's guess... this scenario has not come before for EB category...may be an year move or sustained couple of months move or even stay put at July end and clear the PWMBs and porting cases before going forward for a move... all billion dollar questions no body can answer with confidence... i am not sure if i answered ur question or added more confusion to it...but this the reality for now...
    Last edited by soggadu; 07-18-2011 at 02:55 PM.

  5. #4430
    I agree with S.

    If they don't move PD intentionally for new intake, Indian folks may have to wait for another year to get PD move again. In this FY, Mr.CO didn't move Indian EB2 PD at all before spillover season started in May. For China EB2, they may move PD slowly because there are still around 3000 new demand for 2007 if they can clear 2007 wave.

    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    krishnav,

    Because porting and PWMB cases coming on stream can use up the normal allocation, my feeling is that dates wouldn't move much until next spillover season, unless it is done specifically to allow a new intake. The numbers of PWMB ramp up significantly from May onwards.

  6. #4431
    Thanks Soggadu. Your last sentense made my day " am not sure if i answered ur question or added more confusion to it."....
    I am clear now.. looks like only God knows

  7. #4432
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    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    summary is that there is some speculation of more numbers left over for this FY... so they may clear the back log... what they do after that is anybody's guess... this scenario has not come before for EB category...may be an year move or sustained couple of months move or even stay put at July end and clear the PWMBs and porting cases before going forward for a move... all billion dollar questions no body can answer with confidence... i am not sure if i answered ur question or added more confusion to it...but this the reality for now...
    Perfect summary. It's painful to wait especially for those on the cusp both of reality (2007 PDs) and of projections (Q1, Q2 2008).

  8. #4433
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    Thanks bud... as of now just enjoying with what i have...lets see what sep has in store for us...dont want to keep hopes high... aaya toh aaya baaki sab maaya...
    lol this is so funny

    aaya toh aaya baaki sab maaya...

  9. #4434
    Quote Originally Posted by vizcard View Post
    Perfect summary. It's painful to wait especially for those on the cusp both of reality (2007 PDs) and of projections (Q1, Q2 2008).
    not even my PD...but my date of birth is also on cusp.... damn it...now i see the reason why it is all like this... lol...

  10. #4435
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    not even my PD...but my date of birth is also on cusp.... damn it...now i see the reason why it is all like this... lol...
    LOL!
    btw, great summary Soggadu

  11. #4436
    Quote Originally Posted by Monica12 View Post
    LOL!
    btw, great summary Soggadu
    hey...moniiiiicaaaaa... where have you been... i guess with the summary i added more confusion...now everybody is so confused that they stopped asking questions ...lol....welcoming all to the C club... refer to the header to know what C is ;-)....
    Last edited by soggadu; 07-18-2011 at 03:33 PM.

  12. #4437
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    hey...moniiiiicaaaaa... where have you been... i guess with the summary i added more confusion...now everybody is so confused that they stopped asking questions ...lol....welcoming all to the C club... refer to the header to know what C is ;-)....
    LOL !
    you are toooo... funny Soggadu
    I can't stay away from the C club for too long, now can I ? especially when there is entertainment involved too......
    Last edited by Monica12; 07-18-2011 at 03:40 PM.

  13. #4438
    Quote Originally Posted by Monica12 View Post
    LOL !
    you are toooo... funny Soggadu
    I can't stay away from the C club for too long, now can I ? especially when there is entertainment involved too......
    No you cant... we are all ABCD's for this reason... entertainment is just a by product of C club...

    ABCD --> American based confused desi...
    Last edited by soggadu; 07-18-2011 at 03:47 PM.

  14. #4439
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    No you cant... it's in our life style... we are all ABCD's for no reason... entertainment is just a by product of C club...

    ABCD --> American based confused desi...
    LOL! That is correct.
    Hopefully Sep VB will take care of some of that confusion....
    Actually, whenever I need some entertainment...I just look at your avatar...it totally cracks me up...
    Last edited by Monica12; 07-18-2011 at 03:49 PM.

  15. #4440
    Quote Originally Posted by Monica12 View Post
    LOL! That is correct.
    Hopefully Sep VB will take care of some of that confusion....
    Actually, whenever I need some entertainment...I just look at your avatar...it totally cracks me up...
    yes...through my avatar, i tirelessly keep dancing giving a hope to the EB community... damn... where is my EB2 ratna...

  16. #4441
    Quote Originally Posted by neospeed View Post
    lol this is so funny

    aaya toh aaya baaki sab maaya...
    As we get closer and closer to Sep VB, I will start chanting this mantra more and more....

  17. #4442
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    yes...through my avatar, i tirelessly keep dancing giving a hope to the eb community... Damn... Where is my eb2 ratna...
    lmao !!!!!!

  18. #4443

    I-485 Performance data published by USCIS today

    I don't know if this is useful data for the number crunchers in this forum...though I'd post anyway.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...2011-april.pdf

  19. #4444
    Thanks!

    This is quite unprecedented. USCIS published demand and split all kinds of 485 into various categories by year EB vs FB vs station.

    As you can see the denial rate is huge .. almost 25% for EB this year. This is a good news for next years EB spillover since those people wont be backlogged anymore. Will post later if I find something more interesting.

    Quote Originally Posted by cantwaitlonger View Post
    I don't know if this is useful data for the number crunchers in this forum...though I'd post anyway.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...2011-april.pdf
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  20. #4445

    I-485 EB approvals till March 2011 - Direct proof!

    Q, Please also check out this!

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...11-2nd-Qtr.pdf

    Form Receipts Approvals
    I-485 36,492 45,981
    I-140 42,096 30,820
    Last edited by kd2008; 07-18-2011 at 04:28 PM.

  21. #4446
    Quote Originally Posted by cantwaitlonger View Post
    I don't know if this is useful data for the number crunchers in this forum...though I'd post anyway.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...2011-april.pdf
    looks like this is the very first time such information is made public, I hope this information will yiled more clarity

  22. #4447
    Quote Originally Posted by cantwaitlonger View Post
    I don't know if this is useful data for the number crunchers in this forum...though I'd post anyway.

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...2011-april.pdf
    man they are denying a lot!

  23. #4448
    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    man they are denying a lot!
    we are not seeing any I/C screaming about denials right... is it happening in ROW domain mainly? just wondering...

  24. #4449
    Quote Originally Posted by soggadu View Post
    we are not seeing any I/C screaming about denials right... is it happening in ROW domain mainly? just wondering...
    I was thinking the same... there is not much about denials on Trackitt.

  25. #4450
    Quote Originally Posted by kd2008 View Post
    Q, Please also check out this!

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Resources...11-2nd-Qtr.pdf

    Form Receipts Approvals
    I-485 36,492 45,981
    I-140 42,096 30,820
    Also for EB-5

    I-526 1,572 455

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