Q you started talking like CO...trying not to give your exact PD. We need to start a new thread "Q's EB2 PD Predictions (Rather Calculations)"As per me, I think my date is Mar 28th or so.
Q you started talking like CO...trying not to give your exact PD. We need to start a new thread "Q's EB2 PD Predictions (Rather Calculations)"As per me, I think my date is Mar 28th or so.
There is no commentary on EB2 (for that matter on anything). For the last few bulletins they have been putting in lot of info and caveats.
I get a feeling that they realized they are going to be able to clear up the backlog and based on the above mentioned 'no commentary' in bulletin - They will make EB2 IC current in August or Sept VB.
I know i am dreaming... but atleast i will be happy for 1 or 2 months with this possible pipe dream.
Congratulations to friends who will get greened in next 1 month or so. Please pray for rest of us!!
Honest to God .... I have lost track of all my documentation because I am so much more concerned about my career. Although my career is held back and there were errors in GC processing; I do defer everything to the lawyers - not by choice - but by compulsion. I am 99% confident that date is Mar 28th though and 100% confident it is later than 21st March.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
With Aug bulleting, Q will get his gc and teddy gets to file 485
kudos to you both buddies
I agree. Without doing any number crunching or reading with clarity (trying to juggle many things right now). .... I believe Jul-Aug 2007 is a very fair possibility and listen carefully now .... if July-Aug becomes a fair possibility then moving the dates by at least a year ahead of that i.e. Jul-Aug 2008 is not at all difficult. So those folks with PDs 2008 stay alert and prepared.... there is a decent "chance" that you may become current "for a brief period of time"
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Happy to see the visa bulletin with cut off date of 08 March 2007. I hope to be greened soon in the coming month![]()
Last edited by gcwait2007; 06-09-2011 at 04:16 PM. Reason: typo
From oct2006-mar8,2007 the china + India inventory number is 10,500. If that's all they have left for SOFAD why would they use all in July
just noticed, the inventory between Mar 2007-Aug2007 is interestingly matches close to 10,500
it it too optimistice to think backlog will be cleared in Aug bulletin and sept is going to give a chance for new filers
Last edited by bieber; 06-09-2011 at 04:21 PM.
My PD is EB2I 14FEB2007 and as per JUL-11 visa bulletin i am current.
My question Is --> I have got Canada visitor visa on Tuesday 7th Jun and i have plan to go to Vancouver for next weekend 17,18,19 Jun on AP. based on this Jul11 Bulletin i am sure i can go but wanted see if there are any hidden adverse affects if at all.
Please share your thoughts...
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
I would impagine they will have atleast 10K SOFAD for August/Sept VBs. Pending Demand for those two months will be more or less 10K. I have a feeling that they will consume 7K or so to take us June-07 in August VB and leave the rest 3K or so for Sept VB (just in case EB1 and EB2 ROW sees some unexpected approvals).
In the Sep VB they will utlize the 3K SOFAD and advance the dates by atleast 1 year (worst case) to Current (best case) so that they can build EB2IC pipeline for FY 2012 and further.
This is just a possibility!
Inventory difference between 15th Oct 2006 and 8th Mar 2007
China : 5529 - 2109 = 3420
India : 15578 - 7206 = 8372
The total inventory difference is 11792. I would say that the movement is ~ 12K. Remember before the July bulletin the target was 24K in 3 months now 50% is completed. This effectively renders the preadjudicated EB2 I + C demand to 10-12K range.
The PWMB total from May to Jul is 5K. PWMB for now are insignificant to date movements because they are like virtual demand will come to the fore only when the dates move till that point. Now the way forward as many of you have asked. The August bulletin is going to be extremely critical; we now have 10-12K preadjudicated numbers post 8th Mar 2007. So even if we get 6K in the next 2 bulletins it should be ok. However looks like the next bulletin will also be a long shot and September will be like finishing touches.
Now we have to be cognizant to the fact that 15 + 12K = 27K SOFAD has been consumed we have crossed last years figures already. So we should keep our optimism a little bit guarded as well as to how much more we can get. I still feel that the preadjudicated numbers will be enough but looks like they will be barely enough so to cover all of them they may move the dates to 01-Aug-2007 or 01-Sep-2007 by the Sep bulletin for sure to get every one of them.
The gate definitely has to be opened it should either happen in Sep 2011 or Oct 2011 bulletin. The intake should be sufficient to maintain a 40K buffer. If the dates hit 01-Aug-2007 which I believe is 60% sure then the next intake should be till mid 2008. We will be adjusting this based on the Aug bulletin. The critical things are that people who are current should get approved that’s the key to move forward. Good luck to everyone.
Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 06-09-2011 at 05:21 PM.
There are currently 13 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 13 guests)