superdesi, please continue to post what your judge as good information. My only intention was to comment rather than criticize. And generally all other members too I trust meant similar. Thank you for the contribution!
Originally Posted by superdesi2100
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Yes, all the lawyers only want to make more money.
I saw some Chinese lawyers are distributing rumors about H1B and they always claim H1B is going to be exhausted soon and encourage people to apply for H1B as soon as possible. In fact the truth is H1B still has more than 60% in this year.
They don't put any efforts into the data analysis and the only thing they do is to create more fear and make money from it.
As far is porting is concerned, those who wanted to port have done it. And porting numbers will only decrease going forward.
Hi Teddy,
Similar question....when you say people with pre-october PDs will get their GCs this year...do you mean get GC in their hands or Get EAD or become current (and apply for EAD)??
ron commented today on the same link, that now he expects dates to move well into 2008. Looks like he changed his opinion after oct bulletin released.
If I understand correctly, I think Teddy meant that pre-Oct PDs will receive their GCs in hand by the end of FY'12 and not just apply for I485 & EAD.
The rapid forward movement is intended to generate demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices, which currently accounts for over 85% of all Employment-based number use.
What is this 85%? Gurus pls enlighten
That's AOS demand. CP accounts for 15% usage. Is that what you are asking?
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
And just for EB2 its actually max 3%. so CO gotta take even more for USCIS for E2 intake.
Excellent ... excellent point. Thanks.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
We are seeing demand data probably from last couple of years, we do have info regarding annual visa consumption as well and most of the gurus and pandits analyzed this data and gave out their predictions.
....and sophomores like me also predicted
I think, with the data, which we have right now, it is any one's guess including myself, who just reads, asks questions when needed, but doesn't contribute.
I request all gurus and pandits to get the data about the CO's movement w.r.t VB, to predict the unpredictable nature of CO. Not that I am criticizing Mr CO by saying he is unpredictable, I felt that I am OK to say what I wanted since you guys are all my friends.
Nayekal
Hmm it is getting to an interesting point. Just a few posts ago Soggadu was talking about Maa and then Q said he had CO's Maa's and now you are talking about an psycho analysis trip of the CO's behaviour.
Wink Wink...see where this is going. (Clears throat).For the right price (supaari) we can get the right talent to perform an rendition on the CO...get him to a pleasant place (like Libya) and then perform the psycho analysis you requested.
CO: Where am I...
Kidnapper: Let us talk about the Nov bulletin
CO: Dont attempt anything foolish.I have instructed the Mumbai consulate to take care of things if something bad happens to me..
Kidnapper: Err...Let us not be hasty. Let us talk about your childhood for a change...
CO: What.....No...Not that please.
Kidnapper: Is it true your chocolates were snatched from you when you were a child...
CO(curving up into a fetal position) : Stop .....you have no right .
We are seeing demand data probably from last couple of years, we do have info regarding annual visa consumption as well and most of the gurus and pandits analyzed this data and gave out their predictions.
....and sophomores like me also predicted
I think, with the data, which we have right now, it is any one's guess including myself, who just reads, asks questions when needed, but doesn't contribute.
I request all gurus and pandits to get the data about the CO's movement w.r.t VB, to predict the unpredictable nature of CO. Not that I am criticizing Mr CO by saying he is unpredictable, I felt that I am OK to say what I wanted since you guys are all my friends.
Last edited by gcseeker; 09-12-2011 at 08:44 PM.
gcseeker, LoL!! I was clearly joking but the funny thing is Nayekal may not be...
nayekal only EB2IC demand has excellent visibility. We still continue to guess eB1 EB2ROW usage. So what we do is not quite "no-brainer". But I wouldn't venture to predict somebody;s behavior!! Besides to be honest ... the discretion has only impacted timing rather than the magnitude of the SOFAD available.
....and sophomores like me also predicted
...
I request all gurus and pandits to get the data about the CO's movement w.r.t VB, to predict the unpredictable nature of CO.
...
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Double duh..
My request is in a lighter vein, which most of us will interpret in our own way...some take it as a joke and some may not.
Sometimes, I feel we are just over analyzing..Reading too much inbetween lines.
No one expected the kind of movement last year. In hindsight, yes we have an explanation for all the movement and can even say it was anticipated. I have never been in the number game, and I have no facts to support this, but my Gut feeling says that there will be movement 2011-2012 upto end of 2008.
Feel free to beat this post to death if you wish
Hi RMS_V13
Eventhough you say you were never been in the number game, actually you are . Just by reading Q's forum , your subconscious mind is calculating the numbers and as the result here you are , your mind delivers the analysis to your gut feeling .
Your are really but partially in the game my friend .
Dear Q,
Could you please share your thoughts on the possibility of me getting current (PD 17-Sep-2007, EB2 -I). I have been an avid follower of this site and the folks here are wonderful.
Thanks so much my friends!
pch053 thanks for clarifying.
I believe that everyone with a PD before Oct 20007 should have their GC in hand by Sep 2012. Oct - Dec 2007 folks are borderline but will get a chance to file for their 485's.
Beta nishant... doing great... all the folic acid i gave you is showing its worth now... lol... jokes apart, great point N... as i have previously mentioned, fab five it is on this forum ;-)...
Last edited by soggadu; 09-13-2011 at 10:08 AM.
Damn it... so it's like a maze then huh.... i wish i get the portkey to get out of this soon (reference hari puttar) ... on other note, i have outsourced numerical analysis to the fab five and receive reports everyday ;-)....
Last edited by soggadu; 09-13-2011 at 10:10 AM.
ok ji ok!!!!...Please stop saying it again and again.... !!!! it hurts where it shouldnt when i read this.... Waahhhh....
Sogaddu, u officially qualify for EB1C now.
Just for you Sogaddu (Oct 2007) if it feels better, this will be refined several times its just the start of the year.
Following is a brief summary for EB2-I by Sep 2012.
Before Oct 2007 - Actual GC in hand
Oct - 2007 - 485 filing highly likely. GC 80%.
Nov - 2007 - 485 filing highly likely. GC 50%.
Dec- 2007 - 485 filing highly likely. GC 20%.
Going to work after vacation, hopefully by late afternoon, can catch up more with forum, and use actual keyboard
The Oct VB has infused life into us, the talk of hibernate for 7 months is gone!
Excellent summary, it is very pragmatic. If not for porting, I would put Oct 2007 as 100% and Nov 2007 as 80%
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