This is a great bulletin for EB2 - India its a big move by 3 months its actually an intake of the PWMB's. EB3-I also moved by a week. All in all a great bulletin. Unfortunately for me I missed by a few days but can almost see the light now! Congrats to all PWMB’s who are finally current. QBF I hope they actually do quarterly spillover this time it will be a great step forward and ensure good orderly approvals.
Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 09-09-2011 at 04:38 PM.
I am pleasantly surprised with the Oct bulletin and am trying to reason the 3 months forward movement. There are probably 3 - 3.5K pending EB2-I applications up to 15th July'07 (plus there will be PWMBs); so they must be thinking of quarterly spillovers or to fill up the buffer of new applications starting with PWMBs.
Alright ... now this is CRAZY!!!!! CO has moved dates for October by 3 months thus releasing exactly 6K of quota. So without any delay lets first congratulate those who are current (including GCFresher and Monica)!
First I thought of taking the credit by saying "I told you "FIRST WEEK OF JULY" for September bulletin. And yes it is very enticing to take credit except for the fact that this movement occured for next year.
I do not know whether they will use 2011 numbers for October approvals or 2012 EB2IC quota. In the past they have used PY number for CY. So its possible. But whatever it is ... guys this takes it one step closer to do a BTM. Lets hope for one ASAP!!
Originally Posted by narendarrao
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Teddy,
Hopefully, you will be current in the next couple of bulletins as you missed the date by just 1 week. Good luck!
http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bul...etin_5560.html
its here, july 15
this was unexpected!!!!!!!!!!!
definitely a great VB!
One NIU member kept writing to Mr.CO and his boss in the past several weeks to push for the quarter spillover.
I think from now on, their goal is to use 27% of annual quota in the first 3 quarters.
This NIU member said that VB may reach 2008 by December.
Well Teddy ... sad for you. Sucker shouldv'e moved the dates by a few more weeks and made it current but he didn't. But now I am thinking is this his BTM so that he can pull in all PWMBs and then retro in november. We will see.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
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You are verry close...good luck!!
I think it's possible VB will move again in the next VB and Dec VB.
It may retrogress in January 2012.
He did this to FB last year.
That's what I am trying to reason out; is the movement up to 15th July, BTM itself? Because, I don't see enough visas and even with quarterly spillovers, it will be a tough call. We probably need to wait until Nov to see in which direction the visa dates are headed but, I assume almost all PWMBs will go into the pending pool in the next couple of months and PWMB will then probably be a thing of the past!
They may get 5-6k PWMB demand by moving PD to 7/15. Please correct me because I can't remember the data.
Alright .... so my fears are right:
This is from the bulletin
So basically this is his BTM for now. So that he can general enough demand from PWMBs. It would be interesting to see what he would do if the PWMBs are in a couple of thousands. I wish the BTM was at least till Dec 2007.China and India: The current cut-off date is approaching the most favorable date previously reached for applicants from China and India. The rapid forward movement is intended to generate demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices, which currently accounts for over 85% of all Employment-based number use. Once the level of demand increases sufficiently, it may be necessary to slow or stop the cut-off movement, and a retrogression of the cut-offs at some point during the year is a distinct possibility.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
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I am pretty sure this is not end of it. They will try to get demand as much as possible for this quarter. Congrats to all those who became current.
Employment Second:
Worldwide: Current
China and India: The current cut-off date is approaching the most favorable date previously reached for applicants from China and India. The rapid forward movement is intended to generate demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices, which currently accounts for over 85% of all Employment-based number use. Once the level of demand increases sufficiently, it may be necessary to slow or stop the cut-off movement, and a retrogression of the cut-offs at some point during the year is a distinct possibility.
Mexico: Current
Philippines: Current
Last edited by shaumack; 09-09-2011 at 04:44 PM.
hey Q,
what do you think about i/c having same cut off dates, also it is unprecedented to release this many visas in the 1st month itself. the PWMBS are going to take 4-6 months to become demand, so is he going to go by the number of 485 intakes?
this is crazy
also he has used up india + china annual supply in 1 month, + pwmb...
I like the following statement in the bulletin. Clearest sign of BTM:
Employment Second:
Worldwide: Current
China and India: The current cut-off date is approaching the most favorable date previously reached for applicants from China and India. The rapid forward movement is intended to generate demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices, which currently accounts for over 85% of all Employment-based number use. Once the level of demand increases sufficiently, it may be necessary to slow or stop the cut-off movement, and a retrogression of the cut-offs at some point during the year is a distinct possibility.
It's very likely they will get PWMB into the pool in Q1.
However, I believe they will start approving all the guys before 7/15/2007. They will approve as much as they can.
The other thing is: One NIU member heard USCIS cleared a large percentage of the EB2 ROW/EB1 in August/September. There are not many pending EB2 ROW/EB1 any more.
I think Q1 will reach 27% of annual quota and that means they will approve around 38k in Q1. EB2 ROW and EB1 demand is not high and a large percentage of these numbers have to go to EB2 C&I.
Bulletin also warns about retrogression for eb2ic. But the same warning was there in last recent bulletins too. Willl see if this is the same rhetoric.
Congrats all who got current.
who and what is this NIU?
Mr.CO always put this kind of crap into VB. We saw this kind of words several times.
I suspect what happened is: Q4 of FY 2011 approved too much EB1/EB2 ROW. Now they don't have much demand from these folks. At the same time many folks sent him messages about the low consumption of visas in Q1 and Q2 of FY 2011. Now he wants to meet the 27% goal.
If we can see a large of number of approvals of EB2 C&I in next month, that means he changed his old method of visa assignment. In the past, he always assigned 2800/12 to every month. Apparently he changed his old method.
NIU is a organization promoting legal immigration.
www.niunational.org
Many hard working guys are pushing CO and his boss.
pch053 did you also become current, I remember you are also Jul 07 but not sure about your date. Congrats Leo finally!
Friends thanks for your very kind words. Iam happy to finally come this close I need another 2 weeks of movement but Iam seriously hopeful that there will be more testing of the waters. This bulletin passed the litmus test in flying colors.
Based on the below note I believe that the fresh intake will be to atleast have the intake total to match this year’s SOFAD. So say if this year’s SOFAD was 30K then looks like CO will like to have a buffer of 30K (Allowance for porting as 5K) in terms of total 485's for EB2 I/C. The 15% CP ratio is not valid for EB2 India. I believe that another fresh intake of 10K (Max 15K) is very likely but when it will happen is going to be entirely CO's discretion.
China and India: The current cut-off date is approaching the most favorable date previously reached for applicants from China and India. The rapid forward movement is intended to generate demand based on new filings for adjustment of status at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services offices, which currently accounts for over 85% of all Employment-based number use. Once the level of demand increases sufficiently, it may be necessary to slow or stop the cut-off movement, and a retrogression of the cut-offs at some point during the year is a distinct possibility.
Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 09-09-2011 at 05:03 PM.
Something tells me that they have leftover visas from FY2011 which they will tag to PDs apr to july already from inventory .
So PWMBs will be the demand for the next FY 2012
This is just a guess . but who knows.........
Congratulations to everyone PD apr to jul
This is exciting stuff....yum yum!!! My PD of 24Sep2007...getting closer...aur pass aur pass
Last edited by gchopeful123; 09-09-2011 at 05:09 PM.
Yes, I just scraped through and became current; my PD is 11th July'07. I am sure there will be more testing waters to build the buffer of pending applications as there won't be enough enough applications to approve just by moving dates to 15th July'07. Hopefully, we will see some more movement in the next couple of bulletins.
Great that is very good to know, congrats!, mine is 24th so off by just a few days.
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