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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

  1. #6251

    No movement in Sep Visa Bulletin

    September Visa bulletin has brought disappointment to many.EB2-I has not moved at all.
    What is USCIS up to?

  2. #6252
    we know who you are

    n*5+123 -> mesan123 -> n*6+123

    sorry, couldn't resist

    One of the moderators will solve your problem hopefully.


    Quote Originally Posted by nnnnnn123 View Post
    First of all congrats Q....have a blast today...your approval changed moods of many of us today

    now i am not able to login with my userid(mesan).....logged in 5 times with wrong password...had tough day at work...didnt count how many times entered wrong......

    i tried the process of reseting the password after 15 minutes, i get the password, even i enter that i am not able to login...

    Guru's unlock my mesan account and let me know the steps i need to follow to relogin ....

  3. #6253
    Guys, last year, TeddyK, Spec were all trying to set our expectations right, but we still got carried away with June VB. I guess it's only human to want-more. Let's try to keep our expectations under check.

    Realistically, I do not see EB2I becoming current anytime soon. EB2C is a possibility by the end of 2012 year or early 2013.


    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    I also hoping for option 1. Do you see either of the options being exercised in near future?

  4. #6254

    Wink

    someone recognized me thatz good...

    will wait for moderators msg....


    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    we know who you are

    n*5+123 -> mesan123 -> n*6+123

    sorry, couldn't resist

    One of the moderators will solve your problem hopefully.

  5. #6255
    Huge Huge congratulations Q. Enjoy your Greenary.

    Gurus,

    One simple question. On I-485 chart can we assume that the inventory atleast till March 2007 has been cleared by now?

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...une%202011.pdf

    I don't understand why the inventory chart still shows numbers against months we thought already cleared. What am I missing here?

    TIA.

  6. #6256
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mygctracker View Post
    Huge Huge congratulations Q. Enjoy your Greenary.

    Gurus,

    One simple question. On I-485 chart can we assume that the inventory atleast till March 2007 has been cleared by now?

    http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/Green%20C...une%202011.pdf

    I don't understand why the inventory chart still shows numbers against months we thought already cleared. What am I missing here?

    TIA.
    Those are the cases pending due to RFE, Background Checks, awaiting response for RFE....etc.
    Not a Legal advice/opinion, please check with good immigration attorney.

  7. #6257
    Pls check your private inbox.

    Quote Originally Posted by nnnnnn123 View Post
    someone recognized me thatz good...

    will wait for moderators msg....
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  8. #6258
    Quote Originally Posted by veni001 View Post
    Those are the cases pending due to RFE, Background Checks, awaiting response for RFE....etc.
    Thanks Veni. Is there a way to know (roughly) the inventory for people waiting to file I-485?

  9. #6259

    07,08,09,10 Perm data tables

    I am new comer to this forum, was going through flcdatacenter.com. Created 2007,2008,2009,2010 perm data as per the mdb files, hope this might help for further analysis.

    thanks
    Attached Images Attached Images

  10. #6260
    Sophomore
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    Many congratulations Q =)

  11. #6261
    its right happened with my colleague who filed under eb3I back in 2008 got his GC within 6 months by charging spouse 's country of birth who was Indian born in Europe.



    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    Country of Chargeability is what counts.

    Where you born, that's the country of chargeability. In fact, you can even count your spouse's country of birth as chargability if that favors you. The lawyer puts a letter to USCIS indicating to charge spouse's country of birth, as there is no official box in the forms for this.

    Let me give you one workflow, which I believe causes significant bleeding from EB2 ROW, which could have come to us.

    Many indians settled in middle east many years back. Many of them are quite well off. Their kids born in middle east (Dubai, UAE, etc). They send these kids to India on engineering, medical etc, they can afford the donation fees needed. Next these guys come to USA to do masters. And next when they start working, few years down the line, EB2 ROW, since they were not born in India. I believe children of Indians born in foreign countries like this, are occupying a fair chunk of EB2 ROW. Trackitt trend maybe analysed to come to some formal percentage.

    Very good observation vedu. I was just telling Teddy of this few days back.

    Note: whatever I say, is for observation, learning, analysis purpose. Should not be counted as my positive or negative opinion about such events or workflows. It is what it is..

  12. #6262
    All , wanted to let you know that my friend with PD : 04-Apr-2007 got his approval today.I am newbie to this thread, but have been reading the forum comments for a very long time. Thank you all for your contribution.

    Congrats Q-----------
    Last edited by GCWala; 08-10-2011 at 11:31 PM. Reason: Congrats Q

  13. #6263
    Yoda
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    Good to know that backlog will be cleared till 15th April so there wont be any retrogession (there were some concerns in previous posts by some people that retrogession may happen).



    Quote Originally Posted by GCWala View Post
    All , wanted to let you know that my friend with PD : 04-Apr-2007 got his approval today.I am newbie to this thread, but have been reading the forum comments for a very long time. Thank you all for your contribution.

    Congrats Q-----------

  14. #6264
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mygctracker View Post
    Thanks Veni. Is there a way to know (roughly) the inventory for people waiting to file I-485?
    mygctracker,
    You can estimate demand based on monthly PERM breakdown posted in FACTS AND DATA SECTION
    Use EB2:EB3 ratio 70:30, apply denial rate at 140 stage(~15-20%) and average EB2-140 to 485 ratio 2.05.

  15. #6265
    Guru veni001's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by march272010 View Post
    I am new comer to this forum, was going through flcdatacenter.com. Created 2007,2008,2009,2010 perm data as per the mdb files, hope this might help for further analysis.

    thanks
    march272010,
    Please check FACTS AND DATA SECTION for this data.

    Note: EB1,EB4,EB5 does not require PERM Labor.

  16. #6266
    I think the next quarterly inventory report (in oct-nov,11) from uscis should give us a good idea...

  17. #6267
    Hi Q,

    I have replied back your message in private inbox..

    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Pls check your private inbox.

  18. #6268
    All,

    Is there a public liaison at the office (DoS or USCIS - wherever all this is done)? If yes, a small group with a few of us can go meet and have a talk. It may not do much. Bit these small ripples can become big waves. Atleast for the future set of applicants, things may change.

    If not, as someoneone had pointed out a few pages before, we could file a FoIA request asking for the breakdown of numbers.

  19. #6269
    Congrats Q !!!
    Can you explain the procedure to write to a senator about your case ?
    I am current now and am taking an InfoPass next week to en-quire about my case status.
    But wanted to get ready in case InfoPass yields nothing new.

    Thanks !!

  20. #6270
    Sensei familyguy's Avatar
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    Guys, did any one see this...
    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AA53

    It looks like this is the final stage... a lot of people will benefit, if this becomes effective


    Title: Nonimmigrant Classes; Spouses and Children of Lawful Permanent Residents; V Classification
    Abstract: Section 1102 of the LIFE Act of 2000 amends the Immigration and Nationality Act to create a new nonimmigrant classification V for the spouses and children of lawful permanent residents awaiting the availability of an immigrant visa number in the appropriate preference category in accordance with the State Department's monthly Visa Bulletin. Eligible spouses and children of lawful permanent residents residing abroad that obtain the V nonimmigrant visa from the Department of State may work and reside in the United States on the basis of the V classification until they can apply for adjustment of status to that of lawful permanent resident. Certain eligible spouses and children of lawful permanent residents already present in the United States may be granted V classification until they can apply to adjust status to that of lawful permanent resident.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

    They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

    The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

    This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

  21. #6271
    Yoda
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    congrats Q.
    A question to all. I got a copy of my I-140 and can see the A-XXXX number, but could not find it in the FLC Datacenter. Also I tracked the SRC number for I-140 at USCIS earlier when it was filed and it showed that it was approved. So what is the way to check the A-xxxx number is correct or not and also get the PD date. It has a date when the labor was filed listed but I am not sure if that should be considered the PD date?
    Thanks for the answers.

  22. #6272
    Quote Originally Posted by familyguy View Post
    create a new nonimmigrant classification V for the spouses and children of lawful permanent residents awaiting the availability of an immigrant visa number
    I dont think we fall under this category.

  23. #6273

    Smile

    if this happens ...it will be little bit of relief as only one of us need to go through this H1b extension tension in family...and finding jobs with an EAD is better than H1b

    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) , the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

    They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

    The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

    This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AB92

  24. #6274
    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    There is a good chance of EAD to H-4 dependents (AC21) , the proposed rule getting implemented . Because it is just an admin fix ,not like immigration reform passing thro all corners of the congress.

    They have to publish in the Federal Register and wait for any public opinion , objections etc and go on......

    The new EAD ( combined) arrived via this route (NPRM).

    This new rule {Allowing Certain H-4 Dependent Spouses to Apply for Employment Authorization } making is already started , and is in the proposed rule stage here.......

    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&agencyCd=1600

    http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAg...&RIN=1615-AB92
    Is it for people who have used AC21 to change employers? Which means they have filed for 485?

  25. #6275
    Sensei familyguy's Avatar
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    Yeah.. we don't fall under this category.. but I know few people who got stuck in India as their spouses are LPR's...

    Quote Originally Posted by ssvp22 View Post
    I dont think we fall under this category.

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