If I'm not wrong the Mr. CO has mentioned that there will be movement once the date reaches Aug. Now the question is when will they reach Aug. Per the current calculations we'll hit June end by Sep 1 and then 1-2 weeks every month. Based on that we should see BTM or STM in first qtr next year.
I see 3 EB2-I approvals in Trackitt for August. One of them has PD which was current in August Bulletin. this one has PD of 3/9/07, so maybe our Victorian itself.
I also see 1 EB2-C approval in August, but his PD was current as of July Bulletin.
One EB1-B approval in August, and no EB1-C (our favorite bashing category) so far.
slow going so far from trackitt in first two days. although we should of course give people time to update their profiles. also just like last time, they maybe slow to begin, notifications maybe down again, and so on.
But they are working.
The problem with that is the potential outstanding cases left after the September VB.
If the Sept VB moves, say, to the end of June 2007, that leaves around 3.7k pre-adjudicated cases left plus any PWMB that become ready to adjudicate plus porting.
Moving the COD beyond August 15 2007 for BTM in October 2011, makes all those cases eligible for approval in October itself. That is around 70% of the initial 5,606 allocation to EB2-IC.
In Q1 only 27% of the overall EB total is available.
It isn't impossible, but it does have difficulties.
If the September VB can approach August 15 2007, or even late July 2007 then it becomes very possible. Both China and India have large numbers in July 2007.
That, at least, is my concern.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
qbf I was thinking about exactly the same thing yesterday and so I checked trackitt.
Here are some interesting things I found:
~900 YTD approved
~900 pending which are current
~500 pending from above were last updated prior to April 2011. (i.e. its possible they are already approved but never updated).
But still that leaves 400 EB2I cases that current as well as updated on trackitt in the last 3 months but are still pending!!!
In fact this statistics made me seriously think about what Spec suggested - "Was the movement in Jul / Aug BTM"???
That is too pessimistic a thought for now. I really don't know.
As per our source ...(its a california baba - one can say Kali Baba!!) he was in India until recently .... said was going to return first week of August. We will check w him late this week or early next week.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
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Spec
My bad. I didn't realize you were talking about Aug / Sep 2008. I thought you were talking about this Jul/Aug movement. As per 2008 I don't have any comments.
As per BTM - My "theory" is it should happen early in the year preferably Q1 or latest Q2. If its Q2 or Q3 then it might as well be SFM rather than BTM.
Thanks for the info on Min Max and Law. So in that case - I do like your suggestion about April May moevment. But then I would be worried about the ability to process intake that late in the year. So I do not know how they will sovle this problem.
We alread agree in terms of coordination between agencies and the difficulty in maintain sustained slow forward movement.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
I am sorry. Just a thought ... of course based on facts.
But there are some other good facts that run contrary to these facts. Basically the trackitt approved trend still points to a very favorable result i.e. clearing of all backlog till Jul 8th, 2007. Will post later in the day.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Guys, Instead of wondering how the dates will move post July/Aug 2007, is there a way to contact DOS asking them to explain their plans? Couple of days ago I sent an email to visabulletin@state.gov and so far I haven't received any reply yet.. Is there any other way to contact them?
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