EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

[qesehmk]

Trackitt based predictions updated. You can read at

http://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showth...=1716#post1716

In summary - the trend is holding strong. backlog clearance through Aug 2007 is not ruled out.

[natvyas]

Q

Can we expect to receive a heads-up from your source this month as well?

Regards
Nat

[qesehmk]

Of course we will try.

Q

Can we expect to receive a heads-up from your source this month as well?

Regards
Nat

[qblogfan]

I agree. It's all about money.

The law firms don't give a damn to our EB immigrants who have been waiting for many years. They only want to squeeze more money from us. The employers don't want us to have freedom because they want to squeeze more money from us. The USCIS/DOS don't give us a damn and plan to squeeze more fees from us.

Q, law firms will not vehemently oppose something which may lead to porting, or fees in terms of people hiring them to renew apps, fill out forms, pay for advice on same or similar prioir to changing, sign onto G28s to appear as attorney. They don't really care about anyone's well being, it's a business. Lobby groups, ombudsman, AILA, ... These guys I have seen take up well being issues.

[grnwtg]

Yes, as per lawyer it is valid secondary evidence. Actually he told me I will be ok, but I want to be careful. I also found a 'one and same person' affidavit on a immigration website, maybe I will just keep that ready.

Thats good, but in my case is 'affidavit' fine? . I am not sure how to justify in affidavit. I am still not sure why last names were omitted/why they cannot correct for my FIL, MIL.
Nishant/OthersPlease suggest me if anyone has this experience

[kd2008]

Testing image in a post



Q, OK here is how you may post your image and not have people login to view it.

the task is to "host" the image and obtain a URL for it. There are many "free image hosting" services. One example is tinypic (http://www.tinypic.com/) . These free image hosting sites are usually supported by advertising. Moderate caution is advisable as in any Internet situation where you appear to be getting something for nothing. Once you have the finished image in a file, in one of the standard formats such as .jpg or .png, you go to the free hosting site, upload the image, and the site will give you the address of the place where it's hosted the image. Tinypic is an example of one that helpfully formats the complete "IMG code"--the url surrounded by the two IMG tags--so you can copy and paste it in directly.

For example,

[IMG] http://www.uscis.gov/images/layout/logo.jpg [/IMG]

shows the above USCIS image. (There is no space between MG] and http and no space between .jpg and [/ )

[grnwtg]

Affidavit works great. My wife submitted the same. Dont expect any hiccups. I am not aware of any "Required" format. We just made up our own.


Amen to that. TATAs were / are / and will be the best Corporate house in India. I have nothing but outstanding experience with them.




Nishant no worries ... I personally like this one thread model better because it works better for people. I and others will work in the background to move appropriate topicss to appropriate threads.


Revocation is legal only if employers revokes within 6 months. After 6 months AC21 applies and I-140 becomes irrevocable. That's my understanding. Others please correct me if I am wrong.

Thanks Q for confirming.

[druvraj]

FYI,
just noticed that USCIS has officially posted the I485 inventory (May 2011) on their site.

http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/usc...00082ca60aRCRD

Earlier we had access to this somewhere in the site but not along with prior inventory.

Can some tell me how can people after July File 485? Could someone also help me understand the numbers in the document titled All Employment-Based I-485 Inventory pending at the Service Centers and Field Offices as of June 2011?

Thanks in advance.

[testuser]

Hi All,

Before I ask my question I want to say thanks to all the gurus who are contributing to this forum. This is possibly the best forum for EB2 Information.

Thank you guys. You are helping hundreds of people looking for more information about the process.

My question is about the PERM Breakdowns For PD...

I downloaded the PERM data from www.flcdatacenter.com, for the years 2008,2009,2010.
Opened the Data in Excel.
Added filter and then filtered only data for India and China for PERMs which are certified and I found these were number of PERMs Certified...

Financial Year - Certified PERM(China) - Certified PERM(India) - Total
2008 - 1210 - 7198 - 8408
2009 - 1090 - 6403 - 7493
2010 - 1778 - 14872 - 16650

My question is, I don't want to offend anyone by asking this, are there more ways of filing PERM as the data in the flcdatacenter and FACTS and DATA section do not match.

Looking at the data from flcdatacenter, I was under the impression that the priority date might move to 2010 in a year or two as there were fewer PERMS. But I am not sure looking at the data in FACTS and DATA section.

Thanks in advance.

[Gclongwait]

Hi All,

Before I ask my question I want to say thanks to all the gurus who are contributing to this forum. This is possibly the best forum for EB2 Information.

Thank you guys. You are helping hundreds of people looking for more information about the process.

My question is about the PERM Breakdowns For PD...

I downloaded the PERM data from www.flcdatacenter.com, for the years 2008,2009,2010.
Opened the Data in Excel.
Added filter and then filtered only data for India and China for PERMs which are certified and I found these were number of PERMs Certified...

Financial Year - Certified PERM(China) - Certified PERM(India) - Total
2008 - 1210 - 7198 - 8408
2009 - 1090 - 6403 - 7493
2010 - 1778 - 14872 - 16650

My question is, I don't want to offend anyone by asking this, are there more ways of filing PERM as the data in the flcdatacenter and FACTS and DATA section do not match.

Looking at the data from flcdatacenter, I was under the impression that the priority date might move to 2010 in a year or two as there were fewer PERMS. But I am not sure looking at the data in FACTS and DATA section.

Thanks in advance.

You need to change your search to certified or certified expired

[nishant2200]

Hi All,

Before I ask my question I want to say thanks to all the gurus who are contributing to this forum. This is possibly the best forum for EB2 Information.

Thank you guys. You are helping hundreds of people looking for more information about the process.

My question is about the PERM Breakdowns For PD...

I downloaded the PERM data from www.flcdatacenter.com, for the years 2008,2009,2010.
Opened the Data in Excel.
Added filter and then filtered only data for India and China for PERMs which are certified and I found these were number of PERMs Certified...

Financial Year - Certified PERM(China) - Certified PERM(India) - Total
2008 - 1210 - 7198 - 8408
2009 - 1090 - 6403 - 7493
2010 - 1778 - 14872 - 16650

My question is, I don't want to offend anyone by asking this, are there more ways of filing PERM as the data in the flcdatacenter and FACTS and DATA section do not match.

Looking at the data from flcdatacenter, I was under the impression that the priority date might move to 2010 in a year or two as there were fewer PERMS. But I am not sure looking at the data in FACTS and DATA section.

Thanks in advance.

Unless a PERM is withdrawn or rejected, it counts. They all automatically expire after 180 days.

[July2007PD]

whats going on

[whereismygclost]

Silence before the Storm or is it the sadness at losing the first test match with England?

[soggadu]

whats going on

complaints of Noise to signal ratio increasing, making most of the frequent visitors to just read than comment...

[soggadu]

Silence before the Storm or is it the sadness at losing the first test match with England?

sach bolo bhai... r u applying for GC (labor+140+485 again) because the first one was lost?

[testuser]

I checked the data for Certified and Certified Expired too, but the data doesn't match.

Here is the data:
Financial Year Certified(China) Expired(China) Certified(India) Expired(India) Total
2008 1210 2118 7198 9371 19897
2009 1090 1022 6403 4984 13499
2010 1778 2274 14872 14058 32982

Also, why would the USCIS consider the Expired PERMs as they cannot be used again by the company for any other employee.

Thanks in advance.

[whereismygclost]

haan bhai ..saachi main my labor filed in 2003 was lost in the manual labor backlog reduction centers era before PERM started.All waste. I now have a PD of 3 Oct,2007 EB2-I. Dekhte hain mera number finally kab ayega!!

[Monica12]

still 2 weeks before Sep VB comes out...this wait is killing me...sighhh...
How to pass time ??????

[orangeca]

Gurus- No more analysis on the '63% increase'. Should it give 'full tension' to guys with PD in FEB-2008 as in PD might not reach that date even in FY2012? Will appreciate any comments..

That is a great find, familyguy!

From that document, "Note there has been a 63% increase in cases filed FY 2011 over cases filed in FY 2010"

Oh boy! Not good, not good!

[kd2008]

I checked the data for Certified and Certified Expired too, but the data doesn't match.

Here is the data:
Financial Year Certified(China) Expired(China) Certified(India) Expired(India) Total
2008 1210 2118 7198 9371 19897
2009 1090 1022 6403 4984 13499
2010 1778 2274 14872 14058 32982

Also, why would the USCIS consider the Expired PERMs as they cannot be used again by the company for any other employee.

Thanks in advance.

A reading of about 40-50 pages of this thread may be useful or should I say is needed. Search terms like certified expired etc and you will get you answers. I understand that you are trying to satisfy your curiosity. So no offense taken at your questions. But the Gurus have been put through a wringer before they were able to put that data out.

DOL takes a snapshot of its database before publishing. If an application has been approved 6 months a ago then its appears as certified-expired, if less than 6 months then certified. Even then there are more nuances to it that's why this thread is over 200 pages long. DOL does not care what happens to the application and USCIS has nothing to do with this database.

Q, Spec, V, would it be possible to post a simple algorithm on how go about calculating PERM data. Every newbie wants to know how to do that themselves.

[soggadu]

haan bhai ..saachi main my labor filed in 2003 was lost in the manual labor backlog reduction centers era before PERM started.All waste. I now have a PD of 3 Oct,2007 EB2-I. Dekhte hain mera number finally kab ayega!!

Sorry to hear about that bhai jaan... chodo issi bahane hum dono ek hi mahiney ka PD vaale hue...

[qesehmk]

Spec / Veni

KD has a good point. Can you please post your magic formula where it is not clear?

Also ... I just chcked the FACTS section ... and wondere if some of those threads are redundant.

Personally I do not update any of those threads EXCEPT "TRACKITT BASED PREDICTION". So the rest started by "admin" can be deleted if you have already them covered somewhere. Pls advise.

A reading of about 40-50 pages of this thread may be useful or should I say is needed. Search terms like certified expired etc and you will get you answers. I understand that you are trying to satisfy your curiosity. So no offense taken at your questions. But the Gurus have been put through a wringer before they were able to put that data out.

DOL takes a snapshot of its database before publishing. If an application has been approved 6 months a ago then its appears as certified-expired, if less than 6 months then certified. Even then there are more nuances to it that's why this thread is over 200 pages long. DOL does not care what happens to the application and USCIS has nothing to do with this database.

Q, Spec, V, would it be possible to post a simple algorithm on how go about calculating PERM data. Every newbie wants to know how to do that themselves.

[soggadu]

I checked the data for Certified and Certified Expired too, but the data doesn't match.

Here is the data:
Financial Year Certified(China) Expired(China) Certified(India) Expired(India) Total
2008 1210 2118 7198 9371 19897
2009 1090 1022 6403 4984 13499
2010 1778 2274 14872 14058 32982

Also, why would the USCIS consider the Expired PERMs as they cannot be used again by the company for any other employee.

Thanks in advance.

arey uncle... yehi baat pe itni behas hui hein ki voh topic ki behes ki aank bhi ho gayi... best thing is to either PM/wait for S/V to respond or ithihas ki pannon ko pado... i mean read the previous pages ...

Testuser naam rakh ke... humara knowledge test toh nahi kar rahe ho na...

[soggadu]

still 2 weeks before Sep VB comes out...this wait is killing me...sighhh...
How to pass time ??????

pray for my PD to get current :-)

[Monica12]

pray for my PD to get current :-)

LOL ! buddy...I'm praying everyday! still time pass nahi ho raha....
Your sense of humor and the analysis on this forum is keeping me sane