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Thread: EB2 Predictions (Rather Calculations) - 2011

  1. #3351
    My priority date is Sep 24, 2007 (EB2). Do the experts here think I have any chance of being current in the Sep 2011 visa bulletin. Obviously, I had missed the July 2007 fiasco and waiting since ages to apply for I-485 and EAD/AP. Thanks.

  2. #3352
    I am a n00b here and will therefore defer to the experts here and their analysis. Can someone volunteer to reply to Ron G's post here with some analysis so that there is some sharing of information. This will really help everyone to get insight on expected cut off dates for upcoming visa bulletins.

    http://www.immigration-information.c...houghts-14625/

  3. #3353
    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    I am a n00b here and will therefore defer to the experts here and their analysis. Can someone volunteer to reply to Ron G's post here with some analysis so that there is some sharing of information. This will really help everyone to get insight on expected cut off dates for upcoming visa bulletins.

    http://www.immigration-information.c...houghts-14625/
    Do you know if Ron ever answered the latest PD in 2008 of the NVC notice that they received?

  4. #3354
    gchopeful .... checked the site you refer to. RonG is saying he is going to publish his findings. So there is nothing there to really comment on.

    Besides we pretty much do a lot better discussions here itself. So unless there is something new that other sources point to.... not sure what you are requesting of us.

    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    I am a n00b here and will therefore defer to the experts here and their analysis. Can someone volunteer to reply to Ron G's post here with some analysis so that there is some sharing of information. This will really help everyone to get insight on expected cut off dates for upcoming visa bulletins.

    http://www.immigration-information.c...houghts-14625/
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  5. #3355
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    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    I am a n00b here and will therefore defer to the experts here and their analysis. Can someone volunteer to reply to Ron G's post here with some analysis so that there is some sharing of information. This will really help everyone to get insight on expected cut off dates for upcoming visa bulletins.

    http://www.immigration-information.c...houghts-14625/
    gchopeful,

    I agree with Q.

    Besides, a couple of people have raised legitimate questions in that thread which Ron can either not understand or wishes to ignore, since he didn't answer either satisfactorily (at all actually).

    His previous attempts (when talking about EB2-I and EB3-I) have not only been hopeless, but factually incorrect.

    I am sure we will discuss his findings, once they are published.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  6. #3356
    Can one of us point him to this wonderful discussion forum??

    Ron somehow always abstained from any calculations or predictions pending any credible information about the numbers at the district offices. Ron indulging in some data analysis is surprising.

  7. #3357
    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    In the months of Jan - Feb '11 he was giving information like " the porting numbers were around 15000 , and all the available visa numbers would goto the eb3 to eb2(porting) guys" , which in turn he was inviting clients indirectly for consultation .

    3 months later , he drew a diff picture . I think he is forgetting things or different persons in his law firm are answering for him .
    I completely agree. There is a big banner on his website, asking if you want to upgrade. Even of late, murthy bulletins are always talking about how they can help in upgrade. So basically, all these lawyers are just looking at this new opportunity as their new cash cows.

  8. #3358

    I agree...

    If you see my older posts on this forum or IV, you'd see me defending RonG religiously. Not any more.

    My current impressions about RonG is that he just gives information from the top of the stack. Nothing really serious there, beyond a show to attract clients. He does provide quick legal answers that would cost money in some other places. I will give him that much credit. But, please don't count on him for serious answers in the public forum. He picked up the numbers game, just because it's the talk-of-the-town this time of the year.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kanmani View Post
    In the months of Jan - Feb '11 he was giving information like " the porting numbers were around 15000 , and all the available visa numbers would goto the eb3 to eb2(porting) guys" , which in turn he was inviting clients indirectly for consultation .

    3 months later , he drew a diff picture . I think he is forgetting things or different persons in his law firm are answering for him .

  9. #3359
    Wow...I had no intention of opening a can of worms. My suggestion was just to see if such a discussion with Ron G would help anyone as currently these are the only 2 forums which provide some good info. Anyways, lets drop this and I would request the experts here to continue their good work.

  10. #3360
    I do not see any EB2India approvals in July 2011 so far in trackit. Last approval was on 06/27.

    Any one has any update?

  11. #3361

    New Prevailing wage data online

    Data for 7/2011 to 6/2012 is now available at
    http://www.flcdatacenter.com/OESWizardStart.aspx

    they have changed some job codes. for eg, 15-1032 is now 15-1133

  12. #3362
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    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    Wow...I had no intention of opening a can of worms. My suggestion was just to see if such a discussion with Ron G would help anyone as currently these are the only 2 forums which provide some good info. Anyways, lets drop this and I would request the experts here to continue their good work.
    gchopeful,

    No can of worms opened as far as I am concerned.

    As with Leo, I like Ron and he performs a really good service to people on his site for free.

    There is nothing wrong with trying to attract clients - that's his business after all.

    Everybody says he is an excellent lawyer - I just think number crunching or analysis is not his forte.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  13. #3363
    pls don't worry about it. people here are nice and helpful. pls don't take any offense. as spec said we all too read Ron's letters. And i have also found them useful. Its just that his predictions is not something that i have been particularly fond of. pls continue to contribute. I am very confident none of these people wanted to discourage you from posting.

    p.s. - If you haven't read. ... just read some of the analysis done in FACTS and DATA section primarily by Spec and Veni. Its fabulous. Teddy who runs his own thread on IV also contributes very significantly here. I hope you get to read their perspectives and find them useful.

    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    Wow...I had no intention of opening a can of worms. My suggestion was just to see if such a discussion with Ron G would help anyone as currently these are the only 2 forums which provide some good info. Anyways, lets drop this and I would request the experts here to continue their good work.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  14. #3364
    Quote Originally Posted by gcwait2007 View Post
    I do not see any EB2India approvals in July 2011 so far in trackit. Last approval was on 06/27.

    Any one has any update?
    damn this has me on edge too. still nothing on trackitt.

  15. #3365

    PDJan09

    This is a really good forum for good information. I hope EB2 Jan 09 would be current atleast by sept 2012. Any chances? Little worried about the EB3 porting to EB2.

  16. #3366
    Oracle pch053's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nishant2200 View Post
    damn this has me on edge too. still nothing on trackitt.
    This has left me a bit surprised too! I wasn't expecting that many approvals on 7/1 as it was the start of the long weekend. But I was hoping that the floodgates of approval will open from today. Hopefully, we will see approvals coming in later this week; else, I will be a touch worried on any further progress of EB2-I/C PDs.

  17. #3367
    Maybe their IT system has some problem. So people are just not notified yet.

  18. #3368

    Pwmb

    Someone posted at my work that they r PWMB with Aug 2006 PD and they filed for 485 in June and they have got a finger printing notice for July 20, does this mean they will get greened within This fiscal year numbers

  19. #3369
    S/he may get lucky. But more than likely not. S/he is going to have to wait upto 6-9 months from the dates of filing 485.

    Quote Originally Posted by ifaith View Post
    Someone posted at my work that they r PWMB with Aug 2006 PD and they filed for 485 in June and they have got a finger printing notice for July 20, does this mean they will get greened within This fiscal year numbers
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  20. #3370
    Oracle pch053's Avatar
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    If they will be fingerprinted in July, then chances are that they will be greened within this years numbers as there will be still 2+ months after the fingerprint date. I was seeing in trackitt that clean cases have been approved within 3 months but I am totally relying on the posts in trackitt. However, most of the PWMB cases have their PDs after March'07, so they will probably need to wait for next year's quota.

    Q,
    Do you think even clear cases without any RFEs are taking 6 - 9 months? I know the current USCIS processing dates to be Oct/Dec'10 but we have seen 2011 approvals in trackitt.

    Thanks!
    Last edited by pch053; 07-06-2011 at 12:35 AM.

  21. #3371
    The average time to get GC for ROW EB2 is 6 months. The median time is 4 months. So an Indian EB2 once becomes current should take similar time.

    9 months may be is overkill. I agree with that. But its still unlikely that unless somebody filed in or before May, that they will get a number from 2011 quota. They will get it pretty soon. But it could come out of 2012 quota rather than 2011.

    Quote Originally Posted by pch053 View Post
    If they will be fingerprinted in July, then chances are that they will be greened within this years numbers as there will be still 2+ months after the fingerprint date. I was seeing in trackitt that clean cases have been approved within 3 months but I am totally relying on the posts in trackitt. However, most of the PWMB cases have their PDs after March'07, so they will probably need to wait for next year's quota.

    Q,
    Do you think even clear cases without any RFEs are taking 6 - 9 months? I know the current USCIS processing dates to be Oct/Dec'10 but we have seen 2011 approvals in trackitt.

    Thanks!
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  22. #3372

    Thumbs up

    Q,

    As last time can you get 'ur sources' to give hints for this aug bull movement?
    (You can obfuscate the info further if you think its not good to reveal in full

  23. #3373
    My priority date is Sep 24, 2007 (EB2). Do the experts here think I have any chance of being current in the Sep 2011 visa bulletin. Obviously, I had missed the July 2007 fiasco and waiting since ages to apply for I-485 and EAD/AP. Thanks.

  24. #3374
    Yes. Very good chance. If you spend some time reading the thread you will understand much more why. If u r short on time, just read the header of the thread.
    Quote Originally Posted by gchopeful123 View Post
    My priority date is Sep 24, 2007 (EB2). Do the experts here think I have any chance of being current in the Sep 2011 visa bulletin. Obviously, I had missed the July 2007 fiasco and waiting since ages to apply for I-485 and EAD/AP. Thanks.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  25. #3375
    Great stuff..thanks

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