EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[android09]

https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/a-day...-life-of-uscis
No mention of interviews USCIS Canceled conducting interviews now a days after Biden took over.?

Interesting nugget from the site - USCIS Receive 50,000 phone calls to our toll-free phone line and more than 150,000 inquiries and service requests via online accounts and digital self-help tool

I?m willing to bet half of those calls and the Emma digital requests were made by folks who?s date became current in Oct 2020

[19YRSNOGC]

tried to send you details,got error
https://t.me/joinchat/XfTsBhwvW4YyODU5

[19YRSNOGC]

Which group.. can you ping me the group link ..Thank you

https://t.me/joinchat/XfTsBhwvW4YyODU5

[vsivarama]

If the dates move in EB3 beyond my PD, I don't want to have a pending I-140 at that time and I am thinking that updating to premium processing makes sense but I am worried about an RFE and then further delays with possible rejection for some reason. Also if the dates are definitely not gonna move then I can wait. But just wanted to have some clarity regarding this from you guys.

Prediction of PD is anyone's best guess so I cannot help you there. While there is a good chance of PD movement you most definitely cannot take it to the bank. As far as RFE's/rejections are concerned think of it this way, How does it help your case to get an RFE/rejection a year from now (in normal processing) because Premium does not change the result of your case.

[Jonty Rhodes]

I am just amazed Jonty physicians have the same priority. Well ... what can you do? Good news is, you will be greened quickly now. Godspeed.

Thanks, Q. Yes, almost all physicians also qualify under EB2 only. There are estimates that approximately 15,000-20,000 Indian physicians across the US are currently backlogged. Some of them may have upgraded eventually to EB1A or EB1B but that percentage remains smaller overall. Most physicians post-2014 are on J1 visa (since there are fewer and fewer training programs that offer H1Bs) and are doing their J1 waiver jobs and the newer ones are still in training. In my midsize town only, I know at least 30 Indian Physicians who are backlogged. I have at least 2011 date so have some hope. But I have talked to some physicians who are graduates with their PDs in 2016-2017. They have absolutely no hopes of getting a green card in the next 15-20 years.

[Jonty Rhodes]

Prediction of PD is anyone's best guess so I cannot help you there. While there is a good chance of PD movement you most definitely cannot take it to the bank. As far as RFE's/rejections are concerned think of it this way, How does it help your case to get an RFE/rejection a year from now (in normal processing) because Premium does not change the result of your case.

I agree and that makes sense. If there is a rejection, I would rather know now than find out a year later. As I have said, I am personally leaning towards upgrading to premium. I will contact my attorney.

Thanks for your input.

[AceMan]

Hi Jonty,

Based on my predictions your date will get current (FAD) in EB3I by end of this year so it is better to be ahead in the race by clearing the I140.

I have a different take on this. With the embassies closed now, Eb2 has the potential to go past May 2011 by July bulletin.

[maverick2010]

Friends, Any idea on which/why I-485 applications go to Missouri Service Center(National Benefits Center). I'm from Dallas and my I-485 application was sent to USCIS, Lewisville, Texas drop box.

PD: EB2 India, Sep 2010

Thanks!

[android09]

I have a different take on this. With the embassies closed now, Eb2 has the potential to go past May 2011 by July bulletin.

Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Friends, Any idea on which/why I-485 applications go to Missouri Service Center(National Benefits Center). I'm from Dallas and my I-485 application was sent to USCIS, Lewisville, Texas drop box.

PD: EB2 India, Sep 2010

Thanks!

They do this as part of load sharing between service centers.

https://www.aila.org/infonet/uscis-a...load-transfers

[Mgajsk]

Finally received my EAD.

PRIMARY APPLICANT
PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021 (Grand Rapids Mi ASC)
Combo card Approval update: 02/12/2021
Card Received : 02/27/2021


SPOUSE Status
PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021
Case closed update : 02/12/2021 No Approval
Customer service opened Ticket : 02/17/2021

Spouse needed an EAD to restart her job which she lost because of her H4EAD being still in process. Vermont center will not reuse 1-765 finger prints for H4EAD .. Ridiculous!!

Thanks to All the Gurus ( @qesehmk, @Idliman, @VSivarama and others.... ) for being a voice of reason for me all this years when frustrated with the process.

no on to next phase .....

[AceMan]

Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?

Why not? EB1 filing date was September 2020 at the start of FY. The final dates is already at August 2020 within 5 months, and will be current in the next bulletin. It is the start of 3rd quarter and where do you expect the spill over to go? EB3? Do not accuse me of the EB3 bias here as this person has date beyond May 15 2011 which is after my February 2011 PD.

We got more than 3 months movement for March bulletin. If we get a 4+ month movement for the next 3 bulletins which is highly possible with EB1 current and no additional demand from anywhere, the final dates would be at May 15th 2011 at the beginning of the 4th quarter of this FY.

I am not sure why people cannot see this, rather obsessed with downgrading, adding premium, filing more 485. All these steps make your lawyer rich and you get a feel of doing something with nothing in return.

[maverick2010]

Really? Would DoS and USCIS really move dates beyond the FA of May-15, 2011 for the financial year? Or are you speculating for EB3I ? What gives ?

If USCIS becomes extremely efficient starting now and tries to not waste the spill over numbers, then.....Will it happen? too many variables in this equation to draw conclusion at this point Anything is possible though...

[EB32010]

Finally received my EAD.

PRIMARY APPLICANT
PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021 (Grand Rapids Mi ASC)
Combo card Approval update: 02/12/2021
Card Received : 02/27/2021


SPOUSE Status
PD : Mar 2011 (EB2-I)
485 Filing date : Oct 19 2020
485 Receipt notice date: Nov 11 2020
765,131 Filing Date: Dec 07 2020 ( No receipts yet)
Biometric notice received date: 01/02/2021
Biometric appointment date: 01/12/2021
Case closed update : 02/12/2021 No Approval
Customer service opened Ticket : 02/17/2021

Spouse needed an EAD to restart her job which she lost because of her H4EAD being still in process. Vermont center will not reuse 1-765 finger prints for H4EAD .. Ridiculous!!

Thanks to All the Gurus ( @qesehmk, @Idliman, @VSivarama and others.... ) for being a voice of reason for me all this years when frustrated with the process.

no on to next phase .....

Why no EAD approval for spouse? Did you check why? And H4EAD doesn?t need fingerprints. I am in same situation as you. I am waiting for biometrics for 485 and H4EAD is in progress at Vermont. H4 is approved

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

If USCIS becomes extremely efficient starting now and tries to not waste the spill over numbers, then.....Will it happen? too many variables in this equation to draw conclusion at this point Anything is possible though...

You can take this info with a grain of salt, but there are multiple EB2-I Oct/Nov 2009 folks on trackitt who got their I-485s approved yesterday, the first day they got current. So there is some hope if you can believe these posts.

[Mgajsk]

Why no EAD approval for spouse? Did you check why? And H4EAD doesn?t need fingerprints. I am in same situation as you. I am waiting for biometrics for 485 and H4EAD is in progress at Vermont. H4 is approved

We called 1800 number. They said they send it back to NBC center and us a ticket number. we were informed to expect a call in 15 days. Otherwise call again.

[AceMan]

You can take this info with a grain of salt, but there are multiple EB2-I Oct/Nov 2009 folks on trackitt who got their I-485s approved yesterday, the first day they got current. So there is some hope if you can believe these posts.

One of my old coworker/friend who downgraded in 2018 to EB3 with a November 09 PD, got his I-485 approved yesterday. He had a prior EB3, got EB2 when he changed jobs, and he downgraded couple of years back.

It might be a coincidence, he has been current in EB3 for 5 months, he did not get his GC, but got his 485 approved on the first day EB2 got current.

I am not ready to brag on my theory of USCIS ignoring the downgrades for GC with a single case.

[EB32010]

We called 1800 number. They said they send it back to NBC center and us a ticket number. we were informed to expect a call in 15 days. Otherwise call again.

Thank you and pls keep us posted on the development.

And thank you Q for providing this site for all of us. It?s incredibly helpful.

[sudiva]

https://www.uscis.gov/about-us/a-day...-life-of-uscis
No mention of interviews USCIS Canceled conducting interviews now a days after Biden took over.?

Where does the interviews take place? ASC? If yes, below is the only mention of them.
* Fingerprint and photograph 10,000 people at 131 application support centers.

[qesehmk]

thank you Q for providing this site for all of us. It?s incredibly helpful.

It's really a community effort by people who are expert as well as helpful !

[maverick2010]

All,

Latest I-140 data below - please ignore if someone already posted

Approved Employment-Based Petitions Awaiting Visa Availability:
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...2020_Q1_Q2.pdf


Number of Petitions and Approval Status By Fiscal Year Received
https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/...ry_FY09_19.pdf

[getsaby]

Need RFE help, lawyer is asking $$$ to reply. This is what they have requested below, can anyone help me on how to go about it.

Do I have to write a cover letter, explaining about all points 1 through 4. Since I am with the same employer, should I just ignore point 1, or get the letter from my employer again.


1. The record establishes that you are the Principal Applicant of an Employment-Based (EB) Form 1-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status. On August 15, 2018, USCIS received your most recent Supplement J, Confirmation of Bona Fide Job Offer or Request for Job Portability Under INA Section 204(j), confirming the job offer with XYZ Corporation for the position of ABCD .

IF your intended permanent employment is different from the job offer specified in your most recent Supplement J, please submit a properly completed and signed Supplement J showing that the offer of intended permanent employment as stated in the Form 1-140 petition continues to exist or that you intend to port to a new offer of employment in the same or similar occupational classification as the job specified in the underlying Form 1-140.

2. For the record, please submit a properly completed, updated Form G-325A, Biographic Information form.

3. Please submit proof of your continuous employment authorization in the U.S. from June 22, 2020 to the present. Such evidence may include copies of
a) Employment Authorization Documents (Forms 1-688 or 1-766) granted to you by this Service;
b) Form 1-797 approval notices, showing you were granted status in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant classification; and/or
c) Copies of Form 1-94 Arrival/Departure Records showing you were admitted to the U.S. in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant status.

4. The validity of the most recent Form 1-693 (medical examination report) that you submitted to USCIS has expired. Please submit a new Form 1-693 completed by a designated civil surgeon to this office together with a copy of this notice. Including a copy of this notice with your Form 1-693 will facilitate matching the medical report with your file.


Thanks for your help!

[nbk1976]

Need RFE help, lawyer is asking $$$ to reply. This is what they have requested below, can anyone help me on how to go about it.

Do I have to write a cover letter, explaining about all points 1 through 4. Since I am with the same employer, should I just ignore point 1, or get the letter from my employer again.


1. The record establishes that you are the Principal Applicant of an Employment-Based (EB) Form 1-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status. On August 15, 2018, USCIS received your most recent Supplement J, Confirmation of Bona Fide Job Offer or Request for Job Portability Under INA Section 204(j), confirming the job offer with XYZ Corporation for the position of ABCD .

IF your intended permanent employment is different from the job offer specified in your most recent Supplement J, please submit a properly completed and signed Supplement J showing that the offer of intended permanent employment as stated in the Form 1-140 petition continues to exist or that you intend to port to a new offer of employment in the same or similar occupational classification as the job specified in the underlying Form 1-140.

2. For the record, please submit a properly completed, updated Form G-325A, Biographic Information form.

3. Please submit proof of your continuous employment authorization in the U.S. from June 22, 2020 to the present. Such evidence may include copies of
a) Employment Authorization Documents (Forms 1-688 or 1-766) granted to you by this Service;
b) Form 1-797 approval notices, showing you were granted status in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant classification; and/or
c) Copies of Form 1-94 Arrival/Departure Records showing you were admitted to the U.S. in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant status.

4. The validity of the most recent Form 1-693 (medical examination report) that you submitted to USCIS has expired. Please submit a new Form 1-693 completed by a designated civil surgeon to this office together with a copy of this notice. Including a copy of this notice with your Form 1-693 will facilitate matching the medical report with your file.


Thanks for your help!

I will let experts address the details. I just want to say regarding your thought of ignoring RFE #1: NEVER ignore what they are asking for, even if it is not applicable. Say it is not applicable, and say why. Since they are asking for proof of original employment, send them the form J with a company letter.

I would STRONGLY urge you to hire a competent attorney to reply on your behalf. This is the last piece of information they are seeking before the GC is issued. You do not want to mess this up.

Many good attorneys will not charge beyond a few hundred dollars for this. My attorney charges $750 for AOS handling.

[AceMan]

Need RFE help, lawyer is asking $$$ to reply. This is what they have requested below, can anyone help me on how to go about it.

Do I have to write a cover letter, explaining about all points 1 through 4. Since I am with the same employer, should I just ignore point 1, or get the letter from my employer again.


1. The record establishes that you are the Principal Applicant of an Employment-Based (EB) Form 1-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status. On August 15, 2018, USCIS received your most recent Supplement J, Confirmation of Bona Fide Job Offer or Request for Job Portability Under INA Section 204(j), confirming the job offer with XYZ Corporation for the position of ABCD .

IF your intended permanent employment is different from the job offer specified in your most recent Supplement J, please submit a properly completed and signed Supplement J showing that the offer of intended permanent employment as stated in the Form 1-140 petition continues to exist or that you intend to port to a new offer of employment in the same or similar occupational classification as the job specified in the underlying Form 1-140.

2. For the record, please submit a properly completed, updated Form G-325A, Biographic Information form.

3. Please submit proof of your continuous employment authorization in the U.S. from June 22, 2020 to the present. Such evidence may include copies of
a) Employment Authorization Documents (Forms 1-688 or 1-766) granted to you by this Service;
b) Form 1-797 approval notices, showing you were granted status in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant classification; and/or
c) Copies of Form 1-94 Arrival/Departure Records showing you were admitted to the U.S. in an employment-authorized nonimmigrant status.

4. The validity of the most recent Form 1-693 (medical examination report) that you submitted to USCIS has expired. Please submit a new Form 1-693 completed by a designated civil surgeon to this office together with a copy of this notice. Including a copy of this notice with your Form 1-693 will facilitate matching the medical report with your file.


Thanks for your help!

It looks like USCIS has clearly mentioned of what they require and you appear to have a clear idea of what you are doing. Except for 485-J which has to be signed by employer, everything else in the RFER is in your control.

However if it was me, I would definitely get the service of a competent lawyer and I personally will verify every single line or points in the RFER being submitted. It is my GC petition and I would ensure the accuracy over the lawyer fees.

[idliman]

Need RFE help, lawyer is asking $$$ to reply. This is what they have requested below, can anyone help me on how to go about it.

Your FA dates are current. The moment USCIS AO reviews your RFE reply, He/She is going to approve your GC. As an analogy: You had already made your train journey and various TTE's have validated the journey in the last 9+ years or so. Now as a final step, you deboarded the train and you are waiting for station staff to check ticket on exit. Just get an attorney, pay whatever it takes and get out of the green card backlog and enjoy freedom. Do whatever it takes.

I would STRONGLY urge you to hire a competent attorney to reply on your behalf. This is the last piece of information they are seeking before the GC is issued. You do not want to mess this up.

I agree.

However if it was me, I would definitely get the service of a competent lawyer and I personally will verify every single line or points in the RFER being submitted. It is my GC petition and I would ensure the accuracy over the lawyer fees.

I agree.

If it was just I-693 and G-325A RFE, you might have attempted it yourself. They are also asking for employment, I485-J or attestation of permanent job offer from your side. Something in your application made the AO to ask for confirmation. So give the AO what He/She wants. Good Luck.