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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #8401
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Thank you. Yes I am not expecting any outcome on my case anytime soon( my PD is not current either) , hence was surprised they even touched the file
    don't try to make sense because they work in their own mysterious ways. As I mentioned before applicants who are not current are receiving RFEs and GCs whereas applicants who have been current since three months are not seeing any movement....LOL.
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  2. #8402
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Thank you. Yes I am not expecting any outcome on my case anytime soon( my PD is not current either) , hence was surprised they even touched the file
    My case also got updated, but just with the message that fingerprints were accepted for the I-485 and I-765s.

  3. #8403
    American government agencies generally are run with a very consistent set of laws regulation rules and processes. There almost used to be NO political interference in how they were run until Trump. But even today I will say you should rest assured that USCIS and DOS will do their job as per their policy objectives and processes laid our and according to the law.

    So if you have filed 485 then you should just let things take their course.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  4. #8404
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    313
    I moved the dual status of EAD and H1 and work opportunities and the discussion to a new thread:
    https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...d-opportunites

  5. #8405
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    My case also got updated, but just with the message that fingerprints were accepted for the I-485 and I-765s.
    Yes I got that update as well last week.
    PD EB3-I 10-28-2010; RD 10-23-2020 LPR 08-26-2021

  6. #8406
    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    What is your wish list for 2021? Now with the possibility of EAD within first couple of months, anybody actively looking for a change?

    The biggest wish now has to be getting the GC if possible in the year 2021. Few other wishes like improved covid situations and travel back to India after not leaving the country for more than a decade. Yes immediate family members visited you, but nothing like taking you teen kids to a nostalgic trip down your memory lane.

    I can assure that they will just shrug it off anyways as usual, but I want to do it for myself. Like the song, Chinna chinna asai, which I enjoyed for a long without knowing the meaning, later appreciated even more after understanding the lyrics.
    Guess change probably is going to be the norm for most of the people who get freed from H1B. Other than that, hopefully the world becomes safer to travel again and new normal would be bearable. I guess 2020 hit the psyche of people so badly and made all realize that we are nothing but a speck of dust at the mercy of elements powerful (and yet tiny) than us.

  7. #8407
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    American government agencies generally are run with a very consistent set of laws regulation rules and processes. There almost used to be NO political interference in how they were run until Trump. But even today I will say you should rest assured that USCIS and DOS will do their job as per their policy objectives and processes laid our and according to the law.

    So if you have filed 485 then you should just let things take their course.
    I completely understand and agree Q. However, processing of 485 cases seems to be handled quite differently between NSC and TSC. Do you know, by any chance, why majority of applicants whose cases are with TSC have not received RFE yet. Is TSC in holding pattern and waiting for some direction?
    TSC; EB2-I: PD: 17-SEP-09; I-485 RD: 25-APR-12

  8. #8408
    Quote Originally Posted by ak7419 View Post
    I completely understand and agree Q. However, processing of 485 cases seems to be handled quite differently between NSC and TSC. Do you know, by any chance, why majority of applicants whose cases are with TSC have not received RFE yet. Is TSC in holding pattern and waiting for some direction?
    Yes. TSC has always been a holdout but eventually at the end of every year they have no way other than coming to parity with NSC. I do not know why it has been like that. But yes your observation about TSC is correct.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  9. #8409
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    So very true.. and only way being on EAD for 7 years would have been advantageous if one improved on the situation ( spouse employment, secondary income which might not in line with H1B rules etc.). Not to forget hassles with H1-B extensions
    Opportunity cost is very very hard to determine in any situations..
    If one stays with single income - same employer, then definitely getting GC 1 year earlier is the better outcome.
    I am on EAD for 8 years now. Switching to EAD helped my wife get a job almost immediately and she was not working before that. I travel out of the country almost every month (pre-covid era) for work and not having to stamp the visa was extremely helpful and extension of EAD was free of cost and virtually guaranteed. I personally would rather wait for GC extra couple of years and be on EAD for longer period than waiting on H1B for several years and get GC early. Maybe useful tip for people who are trying to decide between the two.

  10. #8410
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    My case also got updated, but just with the message that fingerprints were accepted for the I-485 and I-765s.
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Yes I got that update as well last week.
    Guys,
    Does this mean that your biometrics were waived and you don't need biometrics appointment? Or did you guys do biometrics?

  11. #8411
    Quote Originally Posted by rocketfast View Post
    Guys,
    Does this mean that your biometrics were waived and you don't need biometrics appointment? Or did you guys do biometrics?
    No, I had to do Biometrics and it almost instantly updated after that.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  12. #8412
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Thank you. Yes I am not expecting any outcome on my case anytime soon( my PD is not current either) , hence was surprised they even touched the file
    If you are Sep 2009 PD (EB2I), I would expect things to even move (as a pleasant surprise). A good friend of mine (first hand) got their GC by mail a few days ago and had no clue about it. Their PD is May-2010 - yes you read it right (originally filed in EB2 and later downgraded to EB3). Looks like things are beginning to move.

  13. #8413
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    No, I had to do Biometrics and it almost instantly updated after that.
    If I may ask, how long did it take to get the Biometrics Appt. for you after filing. Also, did the case status change at all after you received the appointment notice. Mine shows a status of "your biometrics fee was received" and my 485 notice creation date was 11/12 with a received date of 10/22. Still awaiting the biometrics appointment notice to arrive!

  14. #8414
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    @Zenzone, sorry to be a downer here. Please ask your friend to check with a lawyer ASAP. I have heard some cases in the past where GC's were approved by mistake and later they had to go through hell when they wanted to naturalize. Getting a GC when PD is not current should always raise a red flag. Maybe it's nothing and you are right, but it's always best to check to have some peace of mind. Maybe they can also check with USCIS.

  15. #8415
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    @Zenzone, sorry to be a downer here. Please ask your friend to check with a lawyer ASAP. I have heard some cases where GC's were approved by mistake and later they had to go through hell when they wanted to naturalize. Getting a GC when PD is not current should always raise a red flag. Maybe it's nothing and you are right, but it's always best to check to have some peace of mind. Maybe then can also check with USCIS.
    Ahh...Got it. I don't know how I will break this news to them though May be will casually mention. I also had another friend of mine who went to an interview and the officer told him that although your PD is current now I don't have the visa anymore because its all been issued for your country and told him that they have a current tally of inventory available real-time to allot visas. I was thinking may be they released new visa numbers adjusting for demand although the bulletin didn't have that PD current. I'm hoping that their case is a real approval. As you can imagine the couple was ecstatic!

  16. #8416
    Quote Originally Posted by Zenzone View Post
    If I may ask, how long did it take to get the Biometrics Appt. for you after filing. Also, did the case status change at all after you received the appointment notice. Mine shows a status of "your biometrics fee was received" and my 485 notice creation date was 11/12 with a received date of 10/22. Still awaiting the biometrics appointment notice to arrive!
    I filed on Oct 8th. I received paper receipt notices around Nov 11th. I received FP notices just a couple of weeks after that. FP was done on Dec 8th. And no, there was no separate status update when they sent out the fingerprint notices. It only directly updated the status after the fingerprints were in the system.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  17. #8417
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    I filed on Oct 8th. I received paper receipt notices around Nov 11th. I received FP notices just a couple of weeks after that. FP was done on Dec 8th. And no, there was no separate status update when they sent out the fingerprint notices. It only directly updated the status after the fingerprints were in the system.
    I believe the appointment for biometrics is based on where we live. I live in Seattle and I'm not aware of anyone getting a biometric appointment who filed in October for the 1st time. I guess, it depends on how busy ASC offices are in your location and probably USCIS does not have control over the availability of biometric appointment at your local ASC office. some people may get biometric appointment sooner based on where they live.

    FYI -
    I filed for AOS on October 20th (EB2-I; PD:07/12/2010).
    Receipt notice received on November 13. Status online says "Fingerprint Fee Was Received".

  18. #8418

    ASC Biometrics Backlog at USCIS Likely to Take Months to Clear


  19. #8419
    Quote Originally Posted by rainmaker12 View Post
    I believe the appointment for biometrics is based on where we live. I live in Seattle and I'm not aware of anyone getting a biometric appointment who filed in October for the 1st time. I guess, it depends on how busy ASC offices are in your location and probably USCIS does not have control over the availability of biometric appointment at your local ASC office. some people may get biometric appointment sooner based on where they live.

    FYI -
    I filed for AOS on October 20th (EB2-I; PD:07/12/2010).
    Receipt notice received on November 13. Status online says "Fingerprint Fee Was Received".
    Yeah, without revealing identity, I live in a complete gaav with an acre around me :-D) there was literally no one at the ASC. So likely that's the reason why it may have gotten done quickly.
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  20. #8420
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by Zenzone View Post
    Ahh...Got it. I don't know how I will break this news to them though May be will casually mention. I also had another friend of mine who went to an interview and the officer told him that although your PD is current now I don't have the visa anymore because its all been issued for your country and told him that they have a current tally of inventory available real-time to allot visas. I was thinking may be they released new visa numbers adjusting for demand although the bulletin didn't have that PD current. I'm hoping that their case is a real approval. As you can imagine the couple was ecstatic!
    https://www.facebook.com/rnlawgroupU...3761023770515/

    Ask them to check out this video at 25:25 mark. Hope it's a real approval but cannot be too careful these days.

  21. #8421
    Looking at some of the trackitt folks from early 2010 starting to get RFEs, is the expectation for FADs to move more than the paltry couple of weeks it's been moved thus far?
    GC Approved 7/29/2021

  22. #8422
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    Right here in galaxy
    Posts
    70
    In my 10 years here, I have visited native Assam each year, so I wish I don't miss that in 2021... I.e. hoping for a vaccine, so we all meet like each hear and worry less about covid.

    3 other wishes..
    2. Get more time for kids.. work from home is making us spending less quality time with kids..Even though we are seeing them more.
    3. Faster clearing of GC backlog, as I am still not seeing any light towards my case.
    4. People all around get less political and see each other as fellow human..

    Quote Originally Posted by AceMan View Post
    What is your wish list for 2021? Now with the possibility of EAD within first couple of months, anybody actively looking for a change?

    The biggest wish now has to be getting the GC if possible in the year 2021. Few other wishes like improved covid situations and travel back to India after not leaving the country for more than a decade. Yes immediate family members visited you, but nothing like taking you teen kids to a nostalgic trip down your memory lane.

    ......

  23. #8423
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Location
    Riverside CA
    Posts
    94
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    Looking at some of the trackitt folks from early 2010 starting to get RFEs, is the expectation for FADs to move more than the paltry couple of weeks it's been moved thus far?
    Yes. Once the horizontal spillover starts getting applied, the pace of movement should increase. Hoping all necessary biometrics and interviews are done fast enough, or have a process to waive them for straightforward cases. But that is where the bottleneck that could result in not using the spillover will be if nothing is done.

    People who have applied getting rfe's is definitely a very good sign

  24. #8424
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Any news on the S386 / HR 1044 work in the House ? When is the last date for the combined bill to pass both houses ?

  25. #8425
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Location
    CA. RD: 10/20/2020 Biometrics: 12/2/2020
    Posts
    34
    Since December 25th is a Friday, what are the chances that the January visa bulletin will get released on the 18 ?
    Hoping for the dates to more at least a couple of months !

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