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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #8251
    Quote Originally Posted by fishelusa View Post
    Hi All, if anyone not received receipt notices, I came to know that uscis chat will give 485 receipt no. Is this true
    Yes. If your checks are cashed. I got it like that, before i got my physical reciepts home. I used A # to get reciept numbers.

  2. #8252
    Quote Originally Posted by mesan123 View Post
    i have it on my I-485 reciept notice
    Maybe because mine was filed concurrently - there was no priority date mentioned on the 85 receipt notice. That is only plausible reason I can think of.

  3. #8253
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Maybe because mine was filed concurrently - there was no priority date mentioned on the 85 receipt notice. That is only plausible reason I can think of.
    I filed normal EB2. Priority date was indicated only on my I-485 filing receipt, not on the other 5 receipts.

  4. #8254
    Yoda
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    369
    Quote Originally Posted by mesan123 View Post
    Yes. If your checks are cashed. I got it like that, before i got my physical reciepts home. I used A # to get reciept numbers.
    Was there a live person in the chat? If yes, what options did you choose to get it?

    I am chatting with a bot and it just says

    You will have to wait for your receipt number to arrive in the mail, or be sent to you electronically if you filed G-1145 along with your application/petition. If it has been more than 30 days since you submitted your application/petition and you have not received your receipt notice, please check to make sure your payment was cashed by USCIS.

    If your payment was not cashed, your application/petition might have been lost in the mail or rejected by the Lockbox for some reason. Please email the Lockbox at lockboxsupport@uscis.dhs.gov to inquire about your application/petition.

    If your payment was cashed, please call the USCIS Contact Center at 1-800-375-5283 or 1-800-767-1833 (TTY).

  5. #8255
    Quote Originally Posted by skpanda View Post
    Was there a live person in the chat? If yes, what options did you choose to get it?

    I am chatting with a bot and it just says

    You will have to wait for your receipt number to arrive in the mail, or be sent to you electronically if you filed G-1145 along with your application/petition. If it has been more than 30 days since you submitted your application/petition and you have not received your receipt notice, please check to make sure your payment was cashed by USCIS.

    If your payment was not cashed, your application/petition might have been lost in the mail or rejected by the Lockbox for some reason. Please email the Lockbox at lockboxsupport@uscis.dhs.gov to inquire about your application/petition.

    If your payment was cashed, please call the USCIS Contact Center at 1-800-375-5283 or 1-800-767-1833 (TTY).
    Depending on the chat volume, they do that periodically. You just have to keep trying periodically. You could also try calling the number. If your A-number has not changed, then you may be able to get your receipt numbers. If it has changed, they will not be able to pull it up unless they have a way to pull up the updated A number using your name, dob and address.

  6. #8256

  7. #8257
    Dec 2020 VB is out.
    EB1 FA - 01APR19 -> + 121 days
    EB1 DF - 01NOV20 -> + 61 days

    EB2 FA - 01OCT09 -> + 9 days
    EB2 DF - 15MAY11 -> No Change

    EB3 FA - 15MAR10 -> + 14 day
    EB3 DF - 01JAN14 -> - 365 days
    LPR Since 07MAY2021

  8. #8258
    The massive Eb2-EB3 downgrades are already having an effect. Wonder how long they are going to keep inching EB2 FAD like this?!

  9. #8259
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    The massive Eb2-EB3 downgrades are already having an effect. Wonder how long they are going to keep inching EB2 FAD like this?!
    I bet not too long...once they receipt the applications filed, things should start moving. Plus the change in admin.

  10. #8260
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    Right here in galaxy
    Posts
    70
    I did anticipate filing date to retrogress..
    But I was also hoping that FAD moves ahead, it seems really odd that FAD moved in few days inspite of the huge spillover. I can think of only two reasons - 1. interference, 2. And/or manpower


    Quote Originally Posted by Sebiswaiting View Post
    I feel eb2 FAD should move my 4 months, considering they expects it to reach FD my sept21. EB3 is still tricky as they still won't have clear numbers of downgrade, but I think EB3 FAd should move by 3.5 months.
    They might still consider FD for December, but more and more I look at numbers and downgrade news , I feel FD for EB3 might be moved up to mid of 2014 as precaution.
    By end of December, with reciepts/rejection trend, and possibly CO's insight, we get clearer picture.

  11. #8261
    Quote Originally Posted by Zenzone View Post
    I bet not too long...once they receipt the applications filed, things should start moving. Plus the change in admin.
    February bulletin is one to watch out for Inauguration is Jan 20 which is Wed. Maybe they will open the FAD floodgates that Fri as a welcome present.

  12. #8262
    Quote Originally Posted by Sebiswaiting View Post
    I did anticipate filing date to retrogress..
    But I was also hoping that FAD moves ahead, it seems really odd that FAD moved in few days inspite of the huge spillover. I can think of only two reasons - 1. interference, 2. And/or manpower
    The obvious point being made after every bulletin still stands: why not move EB2 FAD to May 1, 2010 where it was 8 years back. Give those people who have all documents filed their GCs. I don't follow trackitt but looks like there have not been any medical RFEs either, so no idea why they are sitting on their hands.

  13. #8263
    Not sure how they are planning to complete the quota of Q1 by not moving dates? Hope there is not going to be any wastage which is a disservice.

  14. #8264
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Are they focusing/diverting all their energy on collecting applications and will divert them to processing applications starting Q2? At least it will be encouraging if the continue to accept DF.

  15. #8265
    3 Bulletins are out and this simply shows that they would be wasting the visas; this admin is doing everything they can to torture the already frustrated community.

  16. #8266
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    Are they focusing/diverting all their energy on collecting applications and will divert them to processing applications starting Q2? At least it will be encouraging if the continue to accept DF.
    Will be interesting to know if USCIS is going to accept FD or FAD. If they think they have enough applications to process and stop accepting FD, maybe that will be a trigger to start moving FADs.

  17. #8267
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Location
    United States
    Posts
    90
    Every bulletin we expect our dates would move and we give Hopes to others saying next bulletin should be good for indians
    My prediction is both eb2 and eb3 will be somewhere in Q1 of 2011 by end of September 2021
    I dont expect any huge movements for eb3 like 2012 or 2013

  18. #8268
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Dec 2020 VB is out.
    EB1 FA - 01APR19 -> + 121 days
    EB1 DF - 01NOV20 -> + 61 days

    EB2 FA - 01OCT09 -> + 9 days
    EB2 DF - 15MAY11 -> No Change

    EB3 FA - 15MAR10 -> + 14 day
    EB3 DF - 01JAN14 -> - 365 days
    This is disappointing to say the least. Both EB2 and EB3 should move well past 2010 by the end Sept 2020 but these kind of movements it seems impossible to reach that date.

  19. #8269
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Location
    United States
    Posts
    90
    Where r they going to use 65,000 for first quarter- 27% of 261,000?
    Can this number be carried forward for 2nd and 3rd quarters

  20. #8270
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Oct 2020
    Location
    edison NJ
    Posts
    18
    Quote Originally Posted by longwaitgigu View Post
    Every bulletin we expect our dates would move and we give Hopes to others saying next bulletin should be good for indians
    My prediction is both eb2 and eb3 will be somewhere in Q1 of 2011 by end of September 2021
    I dont expect any huge movements for eb3 like 2012 or 2013
    With this pace, if both Eb2/Eb3 after downgrades will not cross June 2010 by end of September 21

  21. #8271
    Hi guys, My priority date is exactly March 15th, 2010. Did I miss it by one day? or does it include the 3/15 as well?

  22. #8272
    Quote Originally Posted by mar2010er View Post
    Hi guys, My priority date is exactly March 15th, 2010. Did I miss it by one day? or does it include the 3/15 as well?
    Unfortunately you missed by 1 day. As its FAD, I hope you have already filed for your EAD which you can do so any time (DF is 2014 till Nov-30, 2013 from Dec-1 onwards)

  23. #8273
    Hey good news is that they are accepting DF for December.

    https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gre...-visa-bulletin

  24. #8274
    Quote Originally Posted by monsieur View Post
    Unfortunately you missed by 1 day. As its FAD, I hope you have already filed for your EAD which you can do so any time (DF is 2014 till Nov-30, 2013 from Dec-1 onwards)
    Thanks Monsieur. Yes, I have EAD already. Hope to get it next time (sigh)

  25. #8275
    Quote Originally Posted by mar2010er View Post
    Thanks Monsieur. Yes, I have EAD already. Hope to get it next time (sigh)
    You have waited patiently for 10+ yrs, this one month shall pass too. One more reason for you to look fwd to 2021

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