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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #8176
    Any chance of VB this week?

    I hope from this month at least FAD should move minimum 2 to 3 months for EB2I and EB3I

    Any predictions number gurus

  2. #8177
    Quote Originally Posted by gcconnect View Post
    Any chance of VB this week?

    I hope from this month at least FAD should move minimum 2 to 3 months for EB2I and EB3I

    Any predictions number gurus
    Just take it easy and enjoy the month of Nov, gcconnect .
    I have taken Nov 30th as the day the VB will be out - Better to keep the expectations low and plan for a good holiday season. Zen mode after many years of being there and getting disappointed - LOL

  3. #8178
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    It was filed with Dallas lockbox but the notification came from the National Benefits Center (Receipt number starts with MSC). It’s a regular EB2 case, no downgrade.
    My downgrade application was mailed on the Oct. 9. No word yet, checks are yet to be cashed. I have wondered what I will do if they reject it because it was filed as a standalone I-140 for EB3 and not an amendment. I am not worried about running out of time, it will likely be decided this month. The worry is if I want to file as an amendment even if there is time to do so.

  4. #8179
    Quote Originally Posted by Positive View Post
    My downgrade application was mailed on the Oct. 9. No word yet, checks are yet to be cashed. I have wondered what I will do if they reject it because it was filed as a standalone I-140 for EB3 and not an amendment. I am not worried about running out of time, it will likely be decided this month. The worry is if I want to file as an amendment even if there is time to do so.
    From what I have read, the issue with rejected I-485 downgrades have to majorly do with them being having filed in premium. So attorneys started adjusting for that and recommending to first wait for the receipts first before seeking premium processing.

  5. #8180
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    From what I have read, the issue with rejected I-485 downgrades have to majorly do with them being having filed in premium. So attorneys started adjusting for that and recommending to first wait for the receipts first before seeking premium processing.
    Thanks, that is reassuring.

  6. #8181
    Whats the prediction from December Visa bulletin?

  7. #8182
    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    Whats the prediction from December Visa bulletin?
    Wouldn't it be fun if the DoS asks the admin to go pound sand and massively move the dates?

    Pessimistic view is the EB2-I will move to Nov 22, 09 and Eb3-I moves to May 1, 10

  8. #8183
    Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
    Thoughts?

  9. #8184
    Quote Originally Posted by 1312011_eb2I View Post
    Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
    Thoughts?
    That's what I was also expecting, or at least the dates moving 3 months in Oct and Nov so that as a whole it can move toward May 2011 at a gradual but consistent pace. But nothing is logical and if this continues they will end up wasting visas at the end of the fiscal. The only hope is a new admin coming in Jan and setting things straight and use all the numbers available at least for this fiscal and check if Congress is going to do anything about spillover for FY2022. That's why Democrats not having the Senate is a double edged sword. No immigration reform but no other bills will also pass. That's just my opinion.

  10. #8185
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    Wouldn't it be fun if the DoS asks the admin to go pound sand and massively move the dates?
    Sounds like Thousandwala . Diwali wishes are pouring from Admin.

  11. #8186
    Prediction, EB3I will be 1 May 2010 , EB2I will be 15 Nov 2009.

  12. #8187
    Quote Originally Posted by 1312011_eb2I View Post
    Logically, they should move FAD for both Eb2 and EB3 to 1 May,2010, since almost all the cases are pre-adjudicated and just need a Visa.
    Thoughts?
    They can move as much as they want but the applicants who were current since three months have not even received RFE

  13. #8188
    So, what I understand is , current processing time for I-485 is up to 45 Months , timer will start once FAD is current, correct?

  14. #8189
    Quote Originally Posted by 1312011_eb2I View Post
    So, what I understand is , current processing time for I-485 is up to 45 Months , timer will start once FAD is current, correct?
    45 months might be an exaggeration but it is taking anywhere from 3 to 6 months.

  15. #8190
    Happy Diwali to all. May you and your loved ones live happier healthier and more prosperous lives!

    As you celebrate Diwali don't forget India's farmers who have been forced into selling their produce at below cost prices since 1947 and have been driven into abject poverty today. To the extent you can support fair prices for agricultural produce in India.

    Attachment 1717
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  16. #8191
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Happy Diwali to all. May you and your loved ones live happier healthier and more prosperous lives!

    As you celebrate Diwali don't forget India's farmers who have been forced into selling their produce at below cost prices since 1947 and have been driven into abject poverty today. To the extent you can support fair prices for agricultural produce in India.

    Attachment 1717
    Happy Diwali to you too, Q and everyone else here!

  17. #8192
    We received Biometric appointment for 1st December.

  18. #8193
    Sophomore
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    Quote Originally Posted by inspired_p View Post
    We received Biometric appointment for 1st December.
    Thank you for the update. looks like you filed on 23rd October. did you receive the receipt notice along with appointment letter?

  19. #8194
    I know there was some debate on A numbers and whether they change. Well, I was trying to look up my wife's case and they couldn't find it and when we received the notices, her A number was different than what was previously issued for OPT EAD. So it looks like it can change between applications maybe between F1 and other types.

  20. #8195
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabp77 View Post
    Friends, happy to inform you all that we just received the approval notice. Extremely thankful to q and spec for the forum, comments, encouragement and advice. You guys rock. Hoping the queue keeps moving ahead fast, and we see lots of approvals in the next year.
    rabp77,

    Congrats on your approval.




    I've updated the FACTS & DATA PERM section with the full FY figures for FY2020.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  21. #8196
    Quote Originally Posted by rabp77 View Post
    Friends, happy to inform you all that we just received the approval notice. Extremely thankful to q and spec for the forum, comments, encouragement and advice. You guys rock. Hoping the queue keeps moving ahead fast, and we see lots of approvals in the next year.
    . Congratulations rabp77 on your approval

  22. #8197
    If the response to a service request came from Texas Service Center, does it mean that my I-485 case is being handled by TSC? My receipt number starts with LIN.

  23. #8198
    Sensei
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    Inspired p
    Did u file at Texas service center?
    And file eb2 to eb3 downgrade in premium

  24. #8199
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    I've updated the FACTS & DATA PERM section with the full FY figures for FY2020.
    Thanks Spec. I took another look through the numbers - and man is the situation dire!! More than 50K/year PERMs for India and like 13K for China - and no regulatory relief on the horizon. Covid will help matters for long suffering folks - but those that entered the queue in last couple years are looking at decades of wait.

    Interesting that EB-2/3-China will likely be the big sufferer going forward as well. They will soon need spillover as their annual demand will significantly outpace annual quota - but the giant backlog of India will suck up any spillover.
    EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary

  25. #8200
    Quote Originally Posted by longwaitgigu View Post
    Inspired p
    Did u file at Texas service center?
    And file eb2 to eb3 downgrade in premium
    It was filed in Nebraska - EB3 fresh application with PERM

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