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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #7626
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    Yes, every detail in BC is very critical.
    so should we go by the city of birth in her Birth Certificate?

  2. #7627
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Woodbury,MN
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    How does concurrent processing work?
    I will be filling downgrade I140,I485,I132 and I765..
    Does 140 and 485 get processed at them same time?
    My priority date is may 25 2011... wondering how long i would need to wait to get GC..

  3. #7628
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    so should we go by the city of birth in her Birth Certificate?
    Check with your attorney, but I believe it should be the one on your birth certificate. I have had a couple of friends who had Indian passports but were actually born in Iran and Sri Lanka respectively. They were able to use ROW and obviously are already citizens for several years 🙂

  4. #7629
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    How does concurrent processing work?
    I will be filling downgrade I140,I485,I132 and I765..
    Does 140 and 485 get processed at them same time?
    My priority date is may 25 2011... wondering how long i would need to wait to get GC..
    http://immigrationgirl.com/can-i-dow...-eb-2-to-eb-3/

  5. #7630
    I think one important thing to note while downgrading is that you should maintain the underlying nonimmigrant status (H1) because if you start using the EAD from the EB3 downgrade filing, you will go out of status if that gets denied.

  6. #7631
    My spouse is a derivative applicant. How do we answer the below:
    1. Are you the primary caregiver, who is over the age of 18, for a child, or an elderly, ill or disabled individual in your household? She was working till March 2020 before she lost her job due to covid. She is now at home full time till covid persists.
    2. Proficiency with english skills: Since she does not have an i140, we need to illustrate her english skills. Her entire education has been in English. however, the forms is asking for specific english certification/courses

  7. #7632
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    I think one important thing to note while downgrading is that you should maintain the underlying nonimmigrant status (H1) because if you start using the EAD from the EB3 downgrade filing, you will go out of status if that gets denied.
    Why should this be applicable for downgrade only ? Isn't this true regardless of downgrade/upgrade ? ..What am i missing here ?

  8. #7633
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    Right here in galaxy
    Posts
    70
    Hello Gurus , admins , readers ..
    Could we start a new thread for queries on 485 documentation/ GC processes etc?
    I can start too, but need to wait till my PD becomes current

    This prediction thread is amazing place with lots of analysis (right or wrong), awesome data and words on keeping hopes up. I am hoping we can keep this thread like that.

    Is there a way to move post from this thread to another?

  9. #7634
    Quote Originally Posted by rohanvus View Post
    Why should this be applicable for downgrade only ? Isn't this true regardless of downgrade/upgrade ? ..What am i missing here ?
    Sorry I didn’t mean to indicate this is only for the downgrade. But since so many are downgrading, it would be worthwhile to remember that.

  10. #7635
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    My spouse is a derivative applicant. How do we answer the below:
    1. Are you the primary caregiver, who is over the age of 18, for a child, or an elderly, ill or disabled individual in your household? She was working till March 2020 before she lost her job due to covid. She is now at home full time till covid persists.
    2. Proficiency with english skills: Since she does not have an i140, we need to illustrate her english skills. Her entire education has been in English. however, the forms is asking for specific english certification/courses
    I am NOT endorsing this site but I had looked it up while filling the form.

    https://citizenpath.com/faq/primary-caregiver-i-944/

    You don’t have to provide English certification unless you already have it due to other reasons.

    Best to check with your attorney.

  11. #7636
    Yoda
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    369
    Friends... sorry to post in this Thread. I will request this to be moved.

    My PD is EB2 Dec 2010.

    My PERM was file by Company X. Company X is a subsidiary of Company A. Company A was acquired by Company B and retained the name 'B' for the entire company. Now Company X is a subsiadiary of Company B.

    In other words, my employer is still same except that the Parent company has changed name due to acquisition.

    My company's attorney says I need to file Amended I140 along with I1485.

    Questions:

    1. Do I really need to file Amended I140 to change the parent company.
    2. If we need to file I140, is it recommended that we I file in EB3 instead of EB2?
    3. My wife's passport has expired and it is in renewal limbo with Passport office in Atlanta initiating police verification in India Police station. Can we apply I485 with expired passport?

  12. #7637
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    so should we go by the city of birth in her Birth Certificate?
    Please Talk to your Lawyer along with the paralegal . There was a thread years ago where a person's DOB mismatched and he had to fix his passport . Maybe there is an easier way out if the city mismatched . City names change too in India , so maybe its not a big deal .
    Please update the thread on what your lawyer recommends so that others benefit.

  13. #7638
    Does anyone know (or have a guess) on what "rapid forward movement" and "steady forward movement" mean in visa bulletin? I am thinking that if they have used such phrases in the past, we can get some sense of what the movement will look like in Nov.

    I'd appreciate if someone can add what their lawyers are saying. I'm asking this so that I can decide whether to downgrade from EB2 to EB3. My PD date is Dec 2010. Thanks for any help.

    Also, I saw some people on forums claim that in Oct 2020, no spillover was applied. Essentially, FY21 quota was used to advance the dates. Spillover will be applied from Nov 2020. I am not sure how true this is.

    Any thoughts?

  14. #7639
    To iamdeb

    I had similar issue , my birth certificate has only first name with initials.

    Along with it I provided a India notary signed declaration from parents.

    I think you can get one similar stating so and so village is in this city and X km from this city

    Check with lawyer

  15. #7640
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
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    313
    Quote Originally Posted by h1bh1bh1b View Post
    To iamdeb

    I had similar issue , my birth certificate has only first name with initials.

    Along with it I provided a India notary signed declaration from parents.

    I think you can get one similar stating so and so village is in this city and X km from this city

    Check with lawyer
    I guess if the vicinity or within range cities or villages may be fine with Affidavits. But the Birth Cert is stating one city or town and passport is stating another city or town, you may have to get the Passport corrected. Like Vizag, Vishakapatnam or Waltair (old name) are the same cities and may be affidavits would do same for Chennai or Madras. But the BC is stating as Chennai and Passport as Vizag, I guess that is a complete mismatch and we have to get the Passport corrected.
    And not sure if that is a easy process.

    Rest where the name mis-matches, full names, short names in BC can be supported by affidavits. Rest an opinion of Lawyer is always the best.

    Having said that do we know if for the general new states formation, do we need to submit any affidavits or it is fine that the towns or cities are in the new states now.
    Like Dehradun in UP earlier is now in Uttarakhand and Hyderabad in AP earlier is in Telangana now.

  16. #7641
    Hi
    My priority date in Oct, 2009 in EB2. I got EAD in 2012 and have renewed RAD since then. My 485J was approved 2 years back and I haven't changed employer since then. My medicals have expired.
    Once I called USCIS and they mentioned that I am pre adjudicated. I have following questions to experts:

    1. My medicals have expired. Should I get medicals done in anticipation of my PD to be current or should I wait for medical RFE. Do I need to go to Doctor for medicals with RFE notice.
    2. I read about I-944 in the forums. Will it be applicable for me.

  17. #7642
    Quote Originally Posted by Dallas111 View Post
    Hi
    My priority date in Oct, 2009 in EB2. I got EAD in 2012 and have renewed RAD since then. My 485J was approved 2 years back and I haven't changed employer since then. My medicals have expired.
    Once I called USCIS and they mentioned that I am pre adjudicated. I have following questions to experts:

    1. My medicals have expired. Should I get medicals done in anticipation of my PD to be current or should I wait for medical RFE. Do I need to go to Doctor for medicals with RFE notice.
    2. I read about I-944 in the forums. Will it be applicable for me.
    1. You are in the similar situation as myself. Your FA PD will become current in November or Dec bulletins. However, as you know medicals have a time clock to it. USCIS should receive it within x days from the signature by the physician. I would not do doctor's signature now. As you had done medicals recently, please collect the supporting material (my doctors office gave me a copy of everything) and call the doctors office to inquire about fees and timeline for doing it again. You will have to do the blood-work and flu vaccines. They should be able to do it fast for you. So no worries. I would go to the same doctor who did it last time, so that it is easier on you.

    2. It is applicable only for new I-485. Send only what is asked in RFE nothing more nothing less. Most likely it will only be medicals.

    Update: Oct2009 for EB2I / EB3I is current. Wait for 3 weeks and open a SR with USCIS. This will speedup the RFE process. There is no need to rush things. Just make sure that you can submit medicals as soon as you get RFE notice in hand.

  18. #7643
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Guys, I had a question about the timelines. I see on USCIS website that time to process i140 is 5-7 months and for i485 is 8-23 months for employment based. It leads me to wonder that for EB3 specifically, most of the numbers could end up wasted by end of the year. Even if the admin wanted to use all the available numbers, I don't get it how the wastage could be avoided based on the processing times. Am I missing something here? Any experts can explain this?

  19. #7644
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    Guys, I had a question about the timelines. I see on USCIS website that time to process i140 is 5-7 months and for i485 is 8-23 months for employment based. It leads me to wonder that for EB3 specifically, most of the numbers could end up wasted by end of the year. Even if the admin wanted to use all the available numbers, I don't get it how the wastage could be avoided based on the processing times. Am I missing something here? Any experts can explain this?
    Unfortunately we can't control how fast the USCIS will process our applications. Only thing we can do is to make sure that there are no delays on our side in submitting the application and responding to RFE. In an Utopian world, everybody should submit their applications on the first day they are eligible, and respond to RFE immediately the next day after they receive it. But in real world, think of how much time is going to be wasted by people, their lawyers, etc. in submitting their applications. That wasting of time is on us.

    10 years ago, if I would have pushed my employer to start my GC processing a little earlier, I wouldn't have been waiting here for 10 years. Same punishment will be given to other people who will sit on their ass, can't convince their employers/lawyers, and miss this golden opportunity. The countdown has already started, and come September 30th, 2021, all visas will be gone.

  20. #7645
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    TX
    Posts
    323
    Quote Originally Posted by vedu View Post
    Unfortunately we can't control how fast the USCIS will process our applications. Only thing we can do is to make sure that there are no delays on our side in submitting the application and responding to RFE. In an Utopian world, everybody should submit their applications on the first day they are eligible, and respond to RFE immediately the next day after they receive it. But in real world, think of how much time is going to be wasted by people, their lawyers, etc. in submitting their applications. That wasting of time is on us.

    10 years ago, if I would have pushed my employer to start my GC processing a little earlier, I wouldn't have been waiting here for 10 years. Same punishment will be given to other people who will sit on their ass, can't convince their employers/lawyers, and miss this golden opportunity. The countdown has already started, and come September 30th, 2021, all visas will be gone.
    I get that, and I have made the similar mistake of not taking GC processing that seriously in 2009. But even if you consider the utopian case, I do not see how USCIS can use up all the numbers based on the processing times. I guess my thought process is that shouldn't USCIS be accepting applications on filing dates for two years from now to build inventory rather than the immediate fiscal year. Shouldn't they have started accepting for FY 2021 the start of FY 2020?

  21. #7646
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    .....

    I guess my thought process is that shouldn't USCIS be accepting applications on filing dates for two years from now to build inventory rather than the immediate fiscal year. Shouldn't they have started accepting for FY 2021 the start of FY 2020?
    In Sep-2019 there was no cases of covid, Economy was booming, Prez Trump was still to be impeached, Consulate was issuing FB GC day in day out. So no, there was no data model for USCIS which would have indicated 120k spillover.

    With that said, I cross my fingers that on avg I-485 processing times is closer to 8-10 months and only for few countries (Iran, Syria, N. Korea comes to mind) has processing times of 20+ months for obvious reasons.

  22. #7647
    Quote Originally Posted by vsivarama View Post
    I get that, and I have made the similar mistake of not taking GC processing that seriously in 2009. But even if you consider the utopian case, I do not see how USCIS can use up all the numbers based on the processing times. I guess my thought process is that shouldn't USCIS be accepting applications on filing dates for two years from now to build inventory rather than the immediate fiscal year. Shouldn't they have started accepting for FY 2021 the start of FY 2020?
    The estimates provided on the USCIS website are generally very conservative, and the range 8-23 months is very wide. The lower end of it does come under a year. So, the filing dates at the beginning of the year are still the best estimate of where the final action dates will end up by the end of the year. Let's stay positive and hope for raining RFEs sooner than later.

  23. #7648
    QQ: anyone doing premium processing for EAD? Lawyer (Fragomen) says that its not enabled yet.

  24. #7649
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Jan 2018
    Location
    Seattle, WA
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    29
    Quote Originally Posted by iamdeb View Post
    Hi,

    The place of birth listed on my wife's passport differs from the one listed on her birth certificate.

    For I-485 purposes, is the birth certificate the more important document? Should we go by the city of birth on her Birth Certificate or on her passport?

    Any feedback/info is deeply appreciated!

    Thanks!
    You can provide 2 things for birth certificate.
    1. Non availability of birth certificate from the government agency even after searching the records. this need to be notarized. usually the DTP centers near the city hall will be able to get this on a spamp/estamp paper.
    2. affidavit from both parents (or a relative atleast 7 years elder to to the applicant) confirming the date and place of birth. this need to be notarised aswell. i this document you can specify the place of birth same as the one in the passport.

  25. #7650
    Quote Originally Posted by bones20 View Post
    QQ: anyone doing premium processing for EAD? Lawyer (Fragomen) says that its not enabled yet.
    This option is not made available yet. We have to wait for official announcement.

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