FAD will reach your PD for sure in FY21.Originally Posted by sandykolu
FAD will reach your PD for sure in FY21.
The ratio doesn't matter. If EB3 FAD stays ahead of EB2 by 6 months then scores of people will jump to the EB-3 category. In 2018/2019, just for a few weeks/months a lot of people jumped EB2 to EB3. People are not going to let EB3 go any faster than EB2. I would say file it in EB2 and after a few months you can see the trend. Then, you can decide if you want to do the downgrade. Just remember, there are going to be tens of thousands of new I-140s to be filed for EB2-EB3 downgrades between May 2011 and Jan 1,2015.
Need some help here. My wife has an approved I-140 and her date is from 2011 and we’re filing for I-485 on that basis. I have an approved I-140 with 2014 dates. In I-944 there is a section(Part 4) where it asks “Do you have an approved form I-140 as an alien worker?” My wife filed her I-944 and I’m doing mine. Do I mention my 2014 I-140 receipt #or my wife’s 2011 receipt # for this question ?
You need to say Yes on this and provide your I-140 receipt number.
Not many think and believe this will happen. I was predicting this to happen for several years now. The logic is simple.. if administration is successful in allocating 261K visas by Sep 2021 then atleast 50k visas should go to EB3I and that brings down the EB3I final action dates to 2015 and beyond.
Needless to say, the outcome of the election will weigh heavily on if they will consume these visas. USCIS/DoS have played their hand and openly declared the availability of these visas. Now it remains to be seen if the admin will put the brakes on the processing through nefarious means if it comes back. I have a sneaky feeling if the admin loses, Durbin will become Senate Judiciary Chair and he will try to get the FBs recaptured. Don't see that happening without laws being passed but who knows what games they will play, we are just pawns. Hopefully it's not such a lose-lose scenario...
The problem is not the admin. If it is only EB3 then it could go but it's going to be 3 years and 7 months worth of EB2-EB3 downgrades along with EB-3. That amount is going to be massive. I personally know 3 direct EB-3 cases along with 10-12 EB-2 to EB-3 cases. 50K, even if it's completely given, is peanuts for the demand that's going to be generated. BTW, EB-3 India won't get 50K or even 40K. There's a lot of pent up demand for CP Philippines and EB-3 ROW.
What do u expect eb2 and eb3 india will be at end of September 2021
Keep an eye on the fast moving discussions in the House of Representatives today. The call between Spkr. Pelosi and Steve Mnuchin is most important. The latest offer from the WH is 1.5Trillion with an escalator to S2trillion if the virus persists. The Democrats want 2.2T. It depends on whether the speaker is really wanting to help or just needs a messaging bill.
It is for the same reason that I am staying grounded. It is not over till your FA PDs are current and you get an approval. A few days ago I had posted that if the 5K quota (with 7% country cap) is divided quarterly, then we will see such movement in Oct. IMO what we saw for EB2I and EB3I FA dates was the quarterly number. However, CO had mentioned "aggressive forward movement". I am waiting to see if it materializes in the next few bulletins. Hopefully the admin is busy with their own things and the DOS will make regular PD movements without political interference so that full SO numbers can be used.
The average time for GC for new EB applicants in 8 to 10 months. So there is a good chance that the people who file in Oct / Nov get their GCs in 2021. Be positive at the same time don't spend all your money partying.
That's a Million dollar question. If they want to issue 261,500 GCs in next 365 days i.e. 30 cards per hour.. it's not that easy.. but will wait and watch.. I am confident on the agency.
They could always waive biometrics and interviews. They ten print us every time we come in. What’s the point of doing that again?
The speaker in all likelihood will stay firm because Trump has everything to lose here with an election on Nov 3rd. My guess is he is going to blink.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
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Quick question. Can we travel right after applying for I-485 and while EAD/AP is pending? Will the I-485 be denied because of this? Appreciate the inputs
What happens to immigration stuff in it?
According to my estimates if they issue 261,500 GCs in next 365 days then Indians will get atleast 150,000 GCs. Even more is a possibility but I want to be accurate.
The latest news is that Steven Mnuchin is coming to the Capitol to meet with Speaker Pelosi at 12:45 today to present the administration’s Covid relief counter proposal. The details are what I mentioned before. There is incentive for both sides here. The speaker is under pressure from the moderates in her ranks to have something tangible to show their constituents especially the ones in tight races.They have already passed multiple messaging bills and passing another one is not going to help move the needle. Unlike the senate every congressman is up for re-election in November. The WH has obvious reasons to shift attention away from last night. The fact that he is going to meet in person and the fact that the House leadership on both sides have asked members to keep Thursday/Friday flexible is another indication that there might be concessions made. Obviously the Senate is another issue but it is hard to see a deal brokered by the WH being torpedoed in the Senate. There is always going to be a bunch of GOP senators who will not vote for anything and in the end it will a lot of Democrats and some GOP senators pushing the Bill through. Another incentive is that the Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has clearly stated that the Fed has run out of monetary options and there has to be a fiscal stimulus by Congress to prevent the economy from sliding further
Guys,
I saw Spec post that EB2 will get an additional 40k visa this years ( from the FB spillover and this is not another new additional number to be confused with). However, can you guys point me to info on how much of this 40k will be allocated to various countries... would all of this go to the most backlogged countries ? or worse india will only get 7% of this towards final action date or is it that if all countries become current then the left overs will come to India ?
Does anyone know about the lawsuit filled on USCIS for increase in fees for I-485 and all.. he was mentioning to watch today if USCIS again flip dates from Filling dates to FAD .. that got me curious... can someone shed light on that.... thanks in advance for response
I found below link in reference to that
https://www.aila.org/advo-media/issu...s-fee-schedule
Attachment 1713
my demand analysis show above.
You're deviating from my point. I'm certain EB-3 India FAD dates won't reach Jan 1,2015 in FY 21. I doubt 150K will give be given to Indians. Let's see.
Please see the Murthy article about AP. Please make sure that you know about any changes after the Murthy article date. Things are constantly changing in this adminstration. Also talk to your attorney.
Travel while EAD/AP is pending is not recommended. To be safe wait till you get AP in hand before travel.
11 Mar 2019
The policy regarding overseas travel, while an I-131 application for advance parole (AP) is pending, has been updated by the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS). Effective immediately, the USCIS will not deny a pending I-131 renewal based on overseas travel by the applicant, as long as that individual has an unexpired AP document that remains valid through her/his return date to the United States. However, if a person with a pending I-131 application leaves the U.S. without a valid AP document, or if the AP document expires during the trip abroad, the pending I-131 will be denied.
Updated Policy
A USCIS webpage on emergency travel has been updated to lay out the new policy. “If you file form I-131 … to request an advance parole document and depart the United States without possession of an advance parole document that is valid for the entire time you are abroad, your form I-131 will be considered abandoned. At times, an individual may have an approved advance parole document while a second one is pending. Individuals may travel on the approved advanced parole document, provided the document is valid for the entire duration of the time abroad. The pending form I-131 will not be considered abandoned in this situation.”
Again, the policy regarding pending I-485s remains unchanged. A pending I-485 generally will not be impacted by overseas travel, as long as the individual either is in lawful L-1, L-2, H1B, H-4, K-3, K-4, or V status, and remains eligible for that status upon returning to the U.S., or has an AP document that remains valid through his/her date of return to the U.S. A pending I-131, on the other hand, will be denied if one travels abroad without a valid AP, as described above.
USCIS can consider I485 to be abandoned if you travel abroad when it's pending unless
1. You have advance parole by filing i131
2. You are maintaining lawful h, L, V, K3/k4, and you return using a valid H, L, v, K3/k4 non immigrant visa.
To be doubly sure I would advice you do both, and check with lawyer.
Also check: https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/whi...ing-with-uscis
My thinking is that if they have to roll back any dates due to the fee increase being struck down, they have to do it today. But don’t know why would they do that if moving the dates was a good faith effort reflecting the lack of demand. A lot of people I know are refreshing the visa bulletin page to see if they change that. It’s going to be mayhem if they do that. I already got my medicals done and got everything ready to file. It will be a colossal waste if they mess around again like 2015.
I hear you... i went through it in 2015 along some folks here, had all the stuff ready and USCIS pulling the plug ... hoping USCIS doesnot repeat it...
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