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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #7326
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    I have been reading there is a bill pending to remove massive FB spillover from EB ?
    Why would a bill even exist to stop that? Spillover from FB to EB happens all the time. Do you have any bill #?

  2. #7327
    Long time reader and first post....I really appreciate if someone could answer my following questions.

    I have EB2 I-140 approval with my previous employer Company-A. My PD is July 2011. After working 5 years with them, I joined full time with company-B (Fulltime) in 2015. Company-B filed my PERM and EB2 I 140 & approved after porting the same PD. Now, Comp-A offered that they can file EAD/485 on behalf of me by downgrading to Eb3 as future employment. My spouse is working on H4 EAD. My current H1 and spouse's H4 EAD is expiring early Dec 2020 and HI renewal is expected to be filed in the next 2 weeks in premium by Company B. Company B is not ready to downgrade to EB3 to file now with the latest bulletin.


    1) What are the consequences if I go with my previous employer (comp-A) for filing EAD/I485? Do I have to quit my current job with comp-B before applying EAD/AP/485 with comp-A? Comp A is not asking for it.

    2) Can I keep working with my current Comp-B after I get EAD approval with Comp-A? or should I have to move to Comp-A after EAD approval from comp-A? (Since I like the current job with Comp-B, can I stay with Comp-B but still maintain EAD with Comp-A?)

    3) If I don't start working with Comp-A, does my EAD becomes invalid, after 1 year? I mean can I reapply EAD on my own than through Comp A?

    4) After I apply EAD/485 with Comp-A, any issues in continuing my GC process with Comp-B like filing I485 and then EAD when it is current if I don't have GC yet through Comp A? This is assuming that date retrogress. Does it impact if we process 2 GreenCard applications simultaneously?

    5) Do we have to continue on H1B status even after getting EAD and H1B has to be maintained with the same employer through which we get EAD? or we can have different company sponsoring H1B, in this case Company-B?

    6) After we get EAD approval can we switch employers easily with this new process, after 6 months through AC 21? I mean, can I continue working for Comp B?

    7) If myself & spouse get EAD through Comp A, can my spouse use the EAD and can I continue on H1 for comp B?

  3. #7328
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    Eb2-082011

    Hi,

    My EB2 PD is 08/2011. Sorry, if this has been answered already.

    Do you guys think the EB2 DF would move forward by 3 months in next 1-2 bulletins? even if it is, do we have any chance of getting DF accepted rather than FA? I understand it's highly speculative, but any best guesses with experience? Or is it better to just got for the downgrade to take advantage of EAD? TIA

  4. #7329
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  5. #7330
    Quote Originally Posted by 08jul11 View Post
    Long time reader and first post....I really appreciate if someone could answer my following questions.

    I have EB2 I-140 approval with my previous employer Company-A. My PD is July 2011. After working 5 years with them, I joined full time with company-B (Fulltime) in 2015. Company-B filed my PERM and EB2 I 140 & approved after porting the same PD. Now, Comp-A offered that they can file EAD/485 on behalf of me by downgrading to Eb3 as future employment. My spouse is working on H4 EAD. My current H1 and spouse's H4 EAD is expiring early Dec 2020 and HI renewal is expected to be filed in the next 2 weeks in premium by Company B. Company B is not ready to downgrade to EB3 to file now with the latest bulletin.


    1) What are the consequences if I go with my previous employer (comp-A) for filing EAD/I485? Do I have to quit my current job with comp-B before applying EAD/AP/485 with comp-A? Comp A is not asking for it.
    NO, comp A employment offer can be for the future

    2) Can I keep working with my current Comp-B after I get EAD approval with Comp-A? or should I have to move to Comp-A after EAD approval from comp-A? (Since I like the current job with Comp-B, can I stay with Comp-B but still maintain EAD with Comp-A?)
    YES, YES

    3) If I don't start working with Comp-A, does my EAD becomes invalid, after 1 year? I mean can I reapply EAD on my own than through Comp A?
    The EAD is valid for the term it is issued, 1-3 yrs; YES

    4) After I apply EAD/485 with Comp-A, any issues in continuing my GC process with Comp-B like filing I485 and then EAD when it is current if I don't have GC yet through Comp A? This is assuming that date retrogress. Does it impact if we process 2 GreenCard applications simultaneously?
    NO, No issues

    5) Do we have to continue on H1B status even after getting EAD and H1B has to be maintained with the same employer through which we get EAD? or we can have different company sponsoring H1B, in this case Company-B?
    No; Yes

    6) After we get EAD approval can we switch employers easily with this new process, after 6 months through AC 21? I mean, can I continue working for Comp B?
    Yes

    7) If myself & spouse get EAD through Comp A, can my spouse use the EAD and can I continue on H1 for comp B?
    Yes
    Above are the answers

  6. #7331
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    If the Senate approves and the President signs any bill from the House in it's entirety without any modifications, I will eat my hat.

  7. #7332
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    Doesnt matter as it is now too late for the bill to impact the spillover. Remember, it has not been passed in House or Senate yet and wont be passing tomorrow either as Rs do not agree with the bill.

  8. #7333

    Form I-944 DECLARATION OF SELF-SUFFICIENCY

    Hello All,

    Is form I-944 mandatory to be filed along with I-485 or it be be sent later on with medicals? My lawyer says that if we are filing before Oct 12th I-944 it is not mandatory and can be sent later on after we get RFE.

    Please share if you know this is right or wrong.

  9. #7334
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    If the Senate approves and the President signs any bill from the House in it's entirety without any modifications, I will eat my hat.
    I will also add that I am 99.99% sure that come Oct 1st, any extra visas available will go to EB and congress will not undo spillover.

    I am aware some lawyers are raising such fears. But I do not put much faith into it at all.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  10. #7335
    Sensei
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    What are the spillover rules
    If the extra green cards- 34,000 ( r not utilized by ROW, Philippines, SK or CP)
    Does it go to most backlogged country- india
    Or equally divided between india and China

  11. #7336
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    Any thoughts on DF date moving for EB2 in november?

  12. #7337
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    Any thoughts on DF date moving for EB2 in november?
    It should move forward by at least 2 full months each bulletin till Feb. It will definitely clear EB2-I 2009 backlog by September 2021. How much will 2010 folks benefit is too early to tell.

  13. #7338
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    I am 10 days away from filling date right now.. may 25 2011

  14. #7339
    Quote Originally Posted by cool_dude View Post
    I am 10 days away from filling date right now.. may 25 2011
    Has the filing date ever been moved forward after being established in the beginning of the FY? If there is any year that is possible, it should be this. There is going to be massive porting from EB2 to EB3 as long as the keep the FD for EB3 where it is, thus reducing the demand for EB2. But at the same time, it may take a few bulletins even for them to figure out which way the trend is.

  15. #7340
    Quote Originally Posted by maverick2010 View Post
    Hello All,

    Is form I-944 mandatory to be filed along with I-485 or it be be sent later on with medicals? My lawyer says that if we are filing before Oct 12th I-944 it is not mandatory and can be sent later on after we get RFE.

    Please share if you know this is right or wrong.
    We are sending one on the attorney's recommendation as they said it would be better to avoid any RFEs at all as no one knows how backed up they are going to be.

  16. #7341
    Quote Originally Posted by Krish20 View Post
    Hi All
    I have a question regarding my situation. I’m From India. My Pd is in 4/12/2010 and I have i140 approved from both EB2 and EB3 from same employer. I’m in confused now which category to go with for AOS filing chance of getting GC faster. I opting to go with EB3, but concerned about downgrading application volume. I don’t want EB3 dates to retrogress after applying.What are your thoughts? Plse advise.
    I am in the similar boat. EB2 and EB3 India - Sep 2010. Any thoughts from Gurus???

  17. #7342
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    do we need to pay the renewal fee for renewing EAD? i got the EAD in 2012, and it is due for renewal now. gurus?

  18. #7343
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by richie.rich View Post
    I am in the similar boat. EB2 and EB3 India - Sep 2010. Any thoughts from Gurus???
    Please watch this for some perspective:

    https://youtu.be/KOFbMwHy-wc

  19. #7344
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Krish20 View Post
    Hi All
    I have a question regarding my situation. I’m From India. My Pd is in 4/12/2010 and I have i140 approved from both EB2 and EB3 from same employer. I’m in confused now which category to go with for AOS filing chance of getting GC faster. I opting to go with EB3, but concerned about downgrading application volume. I don’t want EB3 dates to retrogress after applying.What are your thoughts? Plse advise.
    This might help: https://youtu.be/KOFbMwHy-wc

  20. #7345
    Quote Originally Posted by nbk1976 View Post
    It should move forward by at least 2 full months each bulletin till Feb. It will definitely clear EB2-I 2009 backlog by September 2021. How much will 2010 folks benefit is too early to tell.
    If what you predict happens, it means USCIS wasted HUGE number of visas!

  21. #7346
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    YTEleven, you were the first ever to forecast EB3I will take over EB2I. What are your predictions for the final action dates (Both eb2 and eb3) by the end of FY21?

  22. #7347
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zenzone View Post
    If what you predict happens, it means USCIS wasted HUGE number of visas!
    I might come off as being pessimistic but I rather not be overly optimistic. Just because we have spillover and CO says "rapid progression" doesn't mean everyone (2009-2011+) will automatically get the spillover benefit. There are so many factors, variables, forces that are against us. Let's take this one month at a time. I am very optimistic for 2009 folks, and maybe third of 2010 folks, but foretelling any more ahead (at this point in time) is dangerous.

  23. #7348
    Quote Originally Posted by nbk1976 View Post
    I might come off as being pessimistic but I rather not be overly optimistic. Just because we have spillover and CO says "rapid progression" doesn't mean everyone (2009-2011+) will automatically get the spillover benefit. There are so many factors, variables, forces that are against us. Let's take this one month at a time. I am very optimistic for 2009 folks, and maybe third of 2010 folks, but foretelling any more ahead (at this point in time) is dangerous.
    So basically you are saying that you are very optimistic about currently pending EB2I inventory which was built in 2012. Anything beyond that is the cherry on the cake.

  24. #7349
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by vedu View Post
    So basically you are saying that you are very optimistic about currently pending EB2I inventory which was built in 2012. Anything beyond that is the cherry on the cake.
    I suppose so. Let us at least start seeing some late 2009/early 2010 RFEs and also see how things progress in the next month's bulletin. If it moves forward by X months, then we can be more sure that that will be the pace of movement for the next 6 months.

    But I don't think CO is going to move the dates by more than 2 months at a time. He is also being very cautious here.

  25. #7350
    Quote Originally Posted by nbk1976 View Post
    This guy made an interesting point which I am not sure of. According to him, if you are current in EB2 filing date, you cannot file in EB3 filing date as a downgrade (around 4 min 15 sec+). Is that accurate?

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