EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[idliman]

Here is the thing I do not get. USCIS is fee driven. So I am not sure if there is any regular budget allocation specifically to USCIS (DHS may be a different issue) every year. So I didn't see it as funding only for the month of September. I thought that was the loan USCIS will receive and will have to payback to the govt in future with the fee it collects. So if it does not get the loan, My assumption is the furlough will extend beyond the month of September. Please do correct me if my understanding was wrong.

They pushed the date to Aug 30, and the furlough notices should come today. As there is no activity yet, I think they are not doing it.

Employees will receive another notice informing them of the new possible furlough date before July 30, a USCIS spokesman said.

They can easily overcome the funding issue, by opening up the I485 filing dates. For every 10K I-485 applications, USCIS brings in $11.25 million ($1125 x 10K). Just moving the DF by 2 years will bring them about 30 to 40 million USD within a month. I think it is politics. They want to destroy immigration and the political appointees are making it happen. I wonder how the USCIS staff feel, especially when their own management wants to send them home without pay.

I really don't know how the funding works in a self-funded agency (carry over to next year). Is the agency even telling the truth about deficit?

Got the magic text and email this morning for Card Production 2 months after being current.

Congratulations. Even though we have not crossed paths, it gives pleasure to see another backlogger achieving his goals. Peace.

[jimmys]

Got the magic text and email this morning for Card Production 2 months after being current.

Congrats!!

[alpha0]

I believe that is accurate. The fight now is for the month of September to be funded.

I can think of a way they can get some revenue in Sept 🤪

I thought as per Sen Leahy's letter, USCIS had surplus for this year which would have taken care of Sep payroll as well. I get a feeling this administration is knowingly playing this furlough game to reduce approvals.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

I thought as per Sen Leahy's letter, USCIS had surplus for this year which would have taken care of Sep payroll as well. I get a feeling this administration is knowingly playing this furlough game to reduce approvals.

Yes that's correct. After Sen. Leahy brought that up, they just pushed the deadline from end of July to end of August, just kicking the can down the road. Close to end of August, it will again be brought up and debated. That's how things work in Capitol Hill, unfortunately.

[texas_]

https://judiciary.house.gov/calendar...x?EventID=3145


Interesting around post 27 Minutes

[rocketfast]

https://judiciary.house.gov/calendar...x?EventID=3145


Interesting around post 27 Minutes

His numbers are bizarre. As of July 16th, he claims, 106,000 GCs were approved in EB. And he says that is 86.8% of total available. I wonder they are calculating it based of last year's USCIS approvals (i.e only 85% of 140,000 and 86.8% on top of it.) which comes close to his number.

[vsivarama]

106K is just 75% of 140K. He is not taking into account 16K spillover from FB. Looks like USCIS does not understand concepts of basic math which explains its bungling on the budget calculations.

[skpanda]

Got the magic text and email this morning for Card Production 2 months after being current.

Congratulations! Happy for you... happy to hear people getting greened! njoy!

[H1b2006]

Hello All,

Joined new in this forum. i have been silent reader for many months.

14 yrs in US already.

PD: Feb 11,2011
EB2, thr Emp A

H1b transfer + extension approved till dec 2022

My new employer is initiating my perm in Eb3 in upcoming month. Hoping Filing dates will move to file for I-485 next year atleast.

which is the best bet EB2 or EB3 for next 3 years for PD: Feb 11, 2011

Thanks,
H1b2006

[longwaitgigu]

May be this is the weird question to ask in this intelligent forum
But I will still ask as it increases my anxiety.
Is it possible for AILA lawyers to stop the spillover from happening or can USCIS hold it in the same category ( bunch of discussion is going on trackitt)
As visagate scandal 2015 lawyer is encouraging from stopping the spillover ( I understand law has to pass through congress for stopping spillover)
What other ways it could be stopped?

[rocketfast]

May be this is the weird question to ask in this intelligent forum
But I will still ask as it increases my anxiety.
Is it possible for AILA lawyers to stop the spillover from happening or can USCIS hold it in the same category ( bunch of discussion is going on trackitt)
As visagate scandal 2015 lawyer is encouraging from stopping the spillover ( I understand law has to pass through congress for stopping spillover)
What other ways it could be stopped?

We do know that lawyers lobbied USCIS to water down I-140 EAD regulation during Obama admin. So yes, some lawyers will use their contacts in USCIS to lobby to f*ck us over. This time around, there will also be CIS lobbying USCIS to f*ck us over. So we need these things to happen


1. Spillover to actually happen. (No changes in law)
2. CO to actually move dates aggressively - both final action dates and filing dates (instead of saying he will only move dates based on USCIS capacity)
3. USCIS actually honoring CO dates. It is very unlikely that USCIS will do 250,000 GC processing with current admin. With Joe Biden's admin, things will be a little better.

[excalibur123]

Got the magic text and email this morning for Card Production 2 months after being current.

Congratulations !

I hope you get to do certain things which you were holding off - implement any business ideas you may have.

I wish the same for the guys here, waiting for 15-20 years.... once they have the GCs they create the businesses and be job creators - show to those who think H1Bs can't do that...

(Keep the fire burning !)

[getsaby]

More mullah for USCIS without any accountabilty shame on the whole org.

Attachment 1711



USCIS is moving forward with fee increases for most employment-based applications and petitions. The new fees will take effect October 2, 2020.

As part of the fee increase, USCIS is also increasing the clock for premium processed petitions. Currently, USCIS must act on a premium processing petition within 15 calendar days. Beginning October 2nd, that will increase to 15 business days.

Another major impact of this change is on new adjustment of status (I-485 applicants). Currently, adjustment of status applicants can file an application for employment authorization EAD and travel document AP without paying any additional fee and these can be renewed every two years without paying any additional fee. USCIS is reverting back to pre-2007 and will now require a separate fee to be paid for each EAD and each AP. Although the fee new fee schedule shows the I-485 filing fee is reduced by $10. When taking into account the new fee for the EAD and AP, the I-485 filing fee is actually doubled and the EAD and AP fees have to be paid each time a renewal is needed if USCIS fails to process the I-485 within 1 year of filing. In addition, adjustment of status applicants with children currently have a reduced filing fee of $750. Going forward, the filing fee will be the same as adults.

[vsivarama]

I wish the same for the guys here, waiting for 15-20 years.... once they have the GCs they create the businesses and be job creators - show to those who think H1Bs can't do that...

(Keep the fire burning !)

It's unfortunate but that may never happen. Most of us have spent peak working years in limbo instead of working towards a startup or any business. Frankly, I see an increasing trend where people with capital are moving towards investment properties/land acquisitions/stock market which do not create additional employment for the local residents. These unfortunately are the unintended consequences of a broken/antiquated immigration system.

[srimurthy]

His numbers are bizarre. As of July 16th, he claims, 106,000 GCs were approved in EB. And he says that is 86.8% of total available. I wonder they are calculating it based of last year's USCIS approvals (i.e only 85% of 140,000 and 86.8% on top of it.) which comes close to his number.

Can it be considered lying and lying to congress an offence? Or simply clarify that I misquoted the figures!

[srimurthy]

May be this is the weird question to ask in this intelligent forum
But I will still ask as it increases my anxiety.
Is it possible for AILA lawyers to stop the spillover from happening or can USCIS hold it in the same category ( bunch of discussion is going on trackitt)
As visagate scandal 2015 lawyer is encouraging from stopping the spillover ( I understand law has to pass through congress for stopping spillover)
What other ways it could be stopped?

That is called lobbying and perfectly legal I guess.

[longwaitgigu]

That is called lobbying and perfectly legal I guess.

Slowing down processing of I 485 will possibly happen and not use all spillover is 100% possible too.
But I cant see them not giving the spillover until and unless law passes through congress( which might not happen before oct 2020)

[excalibur123]

It's unfortunate but that may never happen. Most of us have spent peak working years in limbo instead of working towards a startup or any business. Frankly, I see an increasing trend where people with capital are moving towards investment properties/land acquisitions/stock market which do not create additional employment for the local residents. These unfortunately are the unintended consequences of a broken/antiquated immigration system.

Only partly true - the peak is not gone. Lots of businesses are created after 40s. The system may have dented the zeal but you are now more wise and secure.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/at...ars-2019-09-24

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-40504764

[idliman]

More mullah for USCIS without any accountabilty shame on the whole org.

USCIS is moving forward with fee increases for most employment-based applications and petitions. The new fees will take effect October 2, 2020.

That background of the picture is a dead giveaway of its source (Hint: That "girl" played a role with Reddi Garu in I-140 EAD issue).

Is USCIS planning for a YUGE (Yuuuuge) PD movement starting Oct 2020 bulletin?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Only partly true - the peak is not gone. Lots of businesses are created after 40s. The system may have dented the zeal but you are now more wise and secure.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/at...ars-2019-09-24

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-40504764

Very true! I did not start a company but considered a defacto co-founder non-legally since I was the third person. We grew the company to 140+ and sold off a division last year with 40+ people, all while being on just a H1B. Though I don't get to call myself any fancy titles or be in publications, it's just a satisfaction to have provided a living to 100+ families and also providing for my own. Sometimes at the end of the day, that's all that matters.

[texas_]

http://s3.amazonaws.com/public-inspe...2020-16389.pdf

New Proposed Fee hike at USCIS

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

http://s3.amazonaws.com/public-inspe...2020-16389.pdf

New Proposed Fee hike at USCIS

Step 1: Don't accept new applications.
Step 2: Cry that you are in deficit and furlough workers.
Step 3: Raise fees bajillion percent across the board.
Step 4: Profit.

[redtogreen]

http://s3.amazonaws.com/public-inspe...2020-16389.pdf

New Proposed Fee hike at USCIS

Are applicants who filed AOS in 2012 also expected to pay the renewal fee for EAD/ AP starting next FY?

[rabp77]

Hi All,

Does the USCIS fee increase mean no more furlough in September 2020?

Interested in knowing your thoughts on this, as this is likely to impact visa wastage and dates I'm coming months.

[usvisas]

Me thinking same. Thanks for posting