EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[eb2may2010]

Completely does not make sense..they should have atleast moved it to build inventory for next year when there will be a spill over..missed the boat in 2012 by 3 weeks ..seems like this wait is forever

[IamGSN]

So early in the morning wow.... what was the point of stalling it so late?

But very strange for Eb2....may be a lot of applications from prior 2 VB dates are still not approved so they are giving time to USCIS to process those??

They should honor "DATES FOR FILING" at least in this month, or better alternate it...one month "FINAL ACTION DATES" next month "DATES FOR FILING" and so on...

I bet there are hardly any applications left in EB3-I for 2009, all have taken EB2's express highway!

Guys,

Finally my date is current this morning!!! Once I get the Green card, howlong I should stay with same employer?

[idliman]

Guys,

Finally my date is current this morning!!! Once I get the Green card, howlong I should stay with same employer?

Congratulations. There is no official requirement. However, I have come across people who stay for 6 months with the same employer. It shows your intent and will help you to avoid unnecessary trouble if and when you decide to go for Citizenship.

[vsivarama]

I bet there are hardly any applications left in EB3-I for 2009, all have taken EB2's express highway!

It could also be a result of the EO and no visas are being processed at the consulate. Last I checked there were some ~11k (I don't have the stats in front of me) cases in EB3 that are consular processing. Also to add the vast majority of the 2800 for EB3-I were CP cases as per the trends in the recent years.

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Any silver lining for EB2I based on EB2-ROW being current?

[IamGSN]

Congratulations. There is no official requirement. However, I have come across people who stay for 6 months with the same employer. It shows your intent and will help you to avoid unnecessary trouble if and when you decide to go for Citizenship.

I was thinking in the same line. Thanks for the input @idliman. Hope I see the "Card is being produced" soon and not sure if I will have to go for interview yet. My interview was cancelled last time in April due to Covid.

[EB2IndSep09]

August VB out
EB1: Feb 8 2018 (276 days)
EB2: Jul 1 2009 (No change)
EB3: Oct 1 2009 (122 days)

Why wouldn’t EB2 move? Makes no sense to me.

Now what all EB3 to EB2 porters are going to come back into EB3? Weaving in traffic

[qesehmk]

Guys,

Finally my date is current this morning!!! Once I get the Green card, howlong I should stay with same employer?

There is no rule that I know of. So if you leave the next day for another employer, the USCIS and justice department can't necessarily deport you easily.

[IamGSN]

Thanks Q for Clarifying, I am getting my GC after 12 years wait. And I am getting FT the current client, so I want to move to new employer legally without any issues.

[qesehmk]

Thanks Q for Clarifying, I am getting my GC after 12 years wait. And I am getting FT the current client, so I want to move to new employer legally without any issues.

I wish you and everybody else the best money for your skills. You totally deserve it. Just keep EB backlogged folks in mind and do what you can even after earning your GC - even if it means simply speaking about it. My best!

[gkjppp]

Hi Guys, what is happening with EB2 I? why no forward movement? anyone has idea how many pending I-485 cases between Jul 08/2009 to May 1st, 2010?. I am an optimistic guy, expected mine will become current by Dec 2020. Looks like chances are bleak.

[redtogreen]

Now what all EB3 to EB2 porters are going to come back into EB3? Weaving in traffic

Not sure why such treatment for EB2. Not even a month's movement to generate RFEs. Did EB2 even get any spillover this year based on the movement so far and the pending inventory that we are aware of?! If the same attitude continues, then EB2I may reach late 2009@ FY21 due to the potential spillover ( which may OR may not happen due to numerous bills circulating) and remain the usual stagnant after that!! I have a PD of early 2010, so I think all this cut my wait by a year or so. I had 4 years in mind at the start of fy20, now maybe 2-3 years. I am generally an optimist. But looking at the current scenario, prefer to be realistic!! Ciao for sometime now.

[h1bh1bh1b]

Finally my date is current! What are the next steps? And how long (?!) it will take to get GC

[gcvijay]

I wish you and everybody else the best money for your skills. You totally deserve it. Just keep EB backlogged folks in mind and do what you can even after earning your GC - even if it means simply speaking about it. My best!

I will be current in EB2 and EB3 categories starting August. Is there any chance to get my GC or the USCIS furlough is going to hinder that process this time after a 11 yr wait time? Any updates on whether USCIS will be funded?

[alpha0]

Hi Guys, what is happening with EB2 I? why no forward movement? anyone has idea how many pending I-485 cases between Jul 08/2009 to May 1st, 2010?. I am an optimistic guy, expected mine will become current by Dec 2020. Looks like chances are bleak.

This is my thinking - CO considered that USCIS willl lose majority of staff on Aug 3 furloughs. Eb2 I who would have filed in 2012 will need more processing (relatively), review of files and RFEs (medical, EVL etc) and may be they dont have staff to process those in case of furloughs. For Eb3 India, all eligible have filed after Oct 2018, interviewed last year by FOs and medicals also current, so much less processing.

I feel that in Oct 2020, both eb2 and eb3i will have same final action date.

[getsaby]

I hope your words do come true....waited so long let's wait for 2 more months...
Do you think they will issue medical RFE again for folks who submitted it in 2018?
This will be my 4th medical...

[jimmys]

I will be current in EB2 and EB3 categories starting August. Is there any chance to get my GC or the USCIS furlough is going to hinder that process this time after a 11 yr wait time? Any updates on whether USCIS will be funded?

EB2 India dates didn't move for the month of Aug. So you should be current in EB-2 in July itself. Am I missing anything?

[jimmys]

This is my thinking - CO considered that USCIS willl lose majority of staff on Aug 3 furloughs. Eb2 I who would have filed in 2012 will need more processing (relatively), review of files and RFEs (medical, EVL etc) and may be they dont have staff to process those in case of furloughs. For Eb3 India, all eligible have filed after Oct 2018, interviewed last year by FOs and medicals also current, so much less processing.

I feel that in Oct 2020, both eb2 and eb3i will have same final action date.

Or the other reason for EB-3 movement is, the consulate closures in FY 20. After June 22,2020 proclamation, the DoS/USCIS decided to distribute the EB-3 numbers among the AOS candidates irrespective of the country (EB-3 CP numbers are usually higher that EB-2 on any given year). I am seeing EB-3 movements across the board to utilize the available visas within the EB-3 category.

On the other hand, EB-2 may be exhausting its annual quota just with AOS candidates.

[gcvijay]

You are right nothing happened.

[qesehmk]

I will be current in EB2 and EB3 categories starting August. Is there any chance to get my GC or the USCIS furlough is going to hinder that process this time after a 11 yr wait time? Any updates on whether USCIS will be funded?

Among backlogged folks - anybody who will be current should get their GC within 3 weeks max. Relax just sit back.

[EB2IndSep09]

EB2 India dates didn't move for the month of Aug. So you should be current in EB-2 in July itself. Am I missing anything?

May be gcVijay's PD is between June 1st 2009 and Jul 8 2009. It was not current last month in EB3 and now in both. But again to Jimmy's point why not file this month in EB2 in that case.

[EB2IndSep09]

Not sure why such treatment for EB2. Not even a month's movement to generate RFEs. Did EB2 even get any spillover this year based on the movement so far and the pending inventory that we are aware of?! If the same attitude continues, then EB2I may reach late 2009@ FY21 due to the potential spillover ( which may OR may not happen due to numerous bills circulating) and remain the usual stagnant after that!! I have a PD of early 2010, so I think all this cut my wait by a year or so. I had 4 years in mind at the start of fy20, now maybe 2-3 years. I am generally an optimist. But looking at the current scenario, prefer to be realistic!! Ciao for sometime now.

Nothing is going to happen unless voiced out. There is only 1 rationale that I can think of for the EB3 movement is due to porting and no demand in EB3.
This movement is inline with the trend from June to July where EB2 FA dates moved less than a month and EB3 by 2 months, but no one saw this coming.

[LASHAB]

My PD has become current in the Aug visa bulletin. I had downgraded from EB2 to EB3 and my 485 was filed in Feb 2020. I recieved my EAD and 131 approval but have not recived letter for bio metric appointment or interview. Want to know from knowledgable people in this forum if I need to do raise a SR for either.

[LASHAB]

My 140 in EB3 was approved a few days back as I had requested for premium processing which was approved.

[Crypto]

Among backlogged folks - anybody who will be current should get their GC within 3 weeks max. Relax just sit back.

I am afraid this is not true Q at least right now. My dates became current last month (July visa bulletin) however I have not heard anything. I am checking every day on thier website however status is still showing approval of my RFE in August 2018. I believe someone posted that per folks on trackit only 3 EB2 and 3 EB3 GCs have been processed so far....