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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #6551
    Hi - Not sure if anyone have a wired situation like me. Some background - I am EB2I with priority date of in Dec-09. I got a RFE in Dec'19 and I responded to it in Feb'20(Medical, 485J for me & my wife). My case was updated again and I got a RFE today(text & web site update). I am yet to get my RFE letter. Did any one get RFE with in a span of 6 months?
    TSC | PD: 12/21/2009 | RD: 02/14/12| ND: 02/16/12 | FP ND: 03/05/12 | FP: 03/26/12 | EAD/AP: ? | GC: ?

  2. #6552
    Quote Originally Posted by Umesh1209 View Post
    Hi - Not sure if anyone have a wired situation like me. Some background - I am EB2I with priority date of in Dec-09. I got a RFE in Dec'19 and I responded to it in Feb'20(Medical, 485J for me & my wife). My case was updated again and I got a RFE today(text & web site update). I am yet to get my RFE letter. Did any one get RFE with in a span of 6 months?
    Hopefully this is for G-325A.

  3. #6553
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Location
    Riverside CA
    Posts
    94
    Quote Originally Posted by bikenlalan View Post
    Just used this form last week to apply for EAD. It was accepted with no issues and received the receipt notice.

    thank you so much Sensei Bikenlalan and Sensei IamGSN. i have sent it using the same expired form. Hoping they dont end up introducing the new forms during the time my mail is in transit.

  4. #6554
    I submitted this as well as part of the response. So curious to know if any one RFE for any other document

  5. #6555
    Quote Originally Posted by Umesh1209 View Post
    I submitted this as well as part of the response. So curious to know if any one RFE for any other document
    Maybe for not penciling A# on the back of photo or it can be request for another set of photos. I can't imagine the mindset of the employees facing Furlough. Stephen Miller had successfully managed to get rid of whatever process chain that was remaining in USCIS.

  6. #6556

  7. #6557
    I don’t think so since its for next year( starts OCT)
    Easiest way for USCIS to collect money for AUG and SEPT , move DOF to 1 year and acknowledge It, they can collect money from new I-485/EAD filings.

  8. #6558
    https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-...l/7508?s=1&r=1

    This one is probably more useful, but to pass both house and senate in 2 weeks seems impossible. Furloughs are almost certain starting 8/3...

  9. #6559
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Location
    United States
    Posts
    90
    Does this bill prevent SO from FB to EB

  10. #6560
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Jun 2020
    Location
    United States
    Posts
    90
    Does the house appropriation bill prevents SO from FB to EB

  11. #6561
    Anyone willing to guess what the FAD will be in the upcoming bulletin? My guess, based on the trends, EB2I : 22-Jul-2009, EB3I : 08-Jul-2009
    (It wouldn't be a surprise, if USCIS doesn't move dates or retrogresses dates due to lack of funds to process)

    I am curious to see who gets it closest.

  12. #6562
    My 2 anaa...

    FA
    EB2: 01AUG09
    EB3: 22SEP09


    FAD
    EB2: 08SEP09
    EB3: 22FEB10
    =========================================
    EB2-I PD -> 19-Oct-2009 | EAD/AP since -> 30-Apr-2012 | GC -> 08-APR-2021

  13. #6563
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    Jhumri Talaiya
    Posts
    19
    ...and if you stick your neck out and predict that dates will go past Oct, 7th, and your prediction turns out to be accurate, I'll send you a gift hamper!

    Quote Originally Posted by getsaby View Post
    My 2 anaa...

    FA
    EB2: 01AUG09
    EB3: 22SEP09


    FAD
    EB2: 08SEP09
    EB3: 22FEB10

  14. #6564
    There has been only 3 EB2-I and 3 EB3-I applications approved in the last 3 weeks (in trackitt). So they have pretty much stopped processing EB2 and EB3 applications. It does not matter what visa bulletin says. EB1 though seems to be still getting approvals.

  15. #6565
    Freshman
    Join Date
    May 2020
    Location
    texas
    Posts
    6
    Please help to interpret this amendment in DHS appropriations bill and impact EB Spillover

    "Rep. Meng – The amendment allows unused FY20 diversity visas, employment visas, and family-based visas to remain available in FY21 in addition to what would otherwise be available for FY21, and allows any unused visas at the end of FY21 to remain available during FY22. The amendment was adopted by voice vote."

    Source :-https://appropriations.house.gov/news/press-releases/appropriations-committee-approves-fiscal-year-2021-homeland-security-funding

  16. #6566
    Freshman
    Join Date
    May 2020
    Location
    texas
    Posts
    6
    Please comment on how spillover will be impacted by amendment in DHS funding bill

    "Rep. Meng – The amendment allows unused FY20 diversity visas, employment visas, and family-based visas to remain available in FY21 in addition to what would otherwise be available for FY21, and allows any unused visas at the end of FY21 to remain available during FY22. The amendment was adopted by voice vote."

    Source :-
    https://appropriations.house.gov/new...curity-funding

  17. #6567

    So no spill over:(

    Quote Originally Posted by gthbvf View Post
    Please comment on how spillover will be impacted by amendment in DHS funding bill

    "Rep. Meng – The amendment allows unused FY20 diversity visas, employment visas, and family-based visas to remain available in FY21 in addition to what would otherwise be available for FY21, and allows any unused visas at the end of FY21 to remain available during FY22. The amendment was adopted by voice vote."

    Source :-
    https://appropriations.house.gov/new...curity-funding
    That means no visas available as spillover . Those seats are reserved to be used at later date. Mmm

  18. #6568
    A couple of days ago DOL released their QTR numbers.

    29483 new PERM applications.

    35058 applications were approved during this period.


    Total 66235 applications approved since Oct 2019.

    Out of those total approvals, 33569(50.7%) applicants are Indians, and 8704(13.1%) applicants are Chinese.

    Perhaps it is too early or it is start of the trend, Applicants from Mexico are increasing and down the line we could see cut off dates for them for EB2 and EB3. At this point they are 2374(3.6%) and if this goes beyond 5% then CO has to adjust between Family Based and Employment Based numbers for Mexicans.

    Over all new Perm applications increased 9.7% compared to last year Q3.

    Last year Q3 71117 applicants were approved, and 37917 Indian applicants and 7891 are Chinese.

  19. #6569
    DHS House Appropriations Bill for next FY2021

    https://appropriations.house.gov/sit...29%2038855.PDF

    (Page 73)

    Unused Visas.—The Committee is concerned that the Departments of Homeland Security and State have neglected their duty
    under the Immigration and Nationality Act to take affirmative
    steps to fully allocate all available immigrant visa numbers to prospective family- and employment-based immigrants. This inaction
    is especially concerning given the unprecedented demand for such
    visa numbers and the availability of ready and willing applicants
    currently within the United States, including many currently employed in occupations deemed essential by the Department of
    Homeland Security. Not later than 30 days after the date of enactment of this Act, the Committee directs USCIS, in consultation
    with the Department of State, to brief the Committee on a plan to
    fully allocate family- and employment-based visas in fiscal year
    2021, and a contingency plan to allocate prior year unused visas in
    the event that such action is required (see, e.g., Silva v. Bell, 605
    F.2d 978 (7th Cir. 1979)).

  20. #6570
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    DHS House Appropriations Bill for next FY2021

    https://appropriations.house.gov/sit...29%2038855.PDF

    (Page 73)

    Unused Visas.—The Committee is concerned that the Departments of Homeland Security and State have neglected their duty
    under the Immigration and Nationality Act to take affirmative
    steps to fully allocate all available immigrant visa numbers to prospective family- and employment-based immigrants. This inaction
    is especially concerning given the unprecedented demand for such
    visa numbers and the availability of ready and willing applicants
    currently within the United States, including many currently employed in occupations deemed essential by the Department of
    Homeland Security. Not later than 30 days after the date of enactment of this Act, the Committee directs USCIS, in consultation
    with the Department of State, to brief the Committee on a plan to
    fully allocate family- and employment-based visas in fiscal year
    2021, and a contingency plan to allocate prior year unused visas in
    the event that such action is required (see, e.g., Silva v. Bell, 605
    F.2d 978 (7th Cir. 1979)).
    Not sure how to interpret this ... Good news or bad news? There is a concern of visas being wasted across the board and looks like they are trying to fix in a way that each category gets it's share even if it's in the future(by no spillover or such contingency plans) that's bad news for EBI. But we now know that the inaction is recognized at some level, hopefully leading to some traction. I think the next visa bulletin will tell if these speculations add up to anything positive for EBI.

  21. #6571
    Freshman
    Join Date
    Jul 2020
    Location
    California
    Posts
    4
    Quote Originally Posted by redtogreen View Post
    Not sure how to interpret this ... Good news or bad news? There is a concern of visas being wasted across the board and looks like they are trying to fix in a way that each category gets it's share even if it's in the future(by no spillover or such contingency plans) that's bad news for EBI. But we now know that the inaction is recognized at some level, hopefully leading to some traction. I think the next visa bulletin will tell if these speculations add up to anything positive for EBI.
    It’s only for 2 years right, Fy2021 & 22.
    Or is it permanent

  22. #6572
    Quote Originally Posted by calking1975 View Post
    It’s only for 2 years right, Fy2021 & 22.
    Or is it permanent
    I didn't read fy22 in the article pasted above and also didn't bother to research beyond that.Things are very volatile and everyone is speculating. The visa bulletin is the only real artifact that will help in gauging the visa wastage. Of course what happens after the fact is to be seen!!

  23. #6573
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Jan 2019
    Location
    Somewhere in US
    Posts
    18
    August VB out
    EB1: Feb 8 2018 (276 days)
    EB2: Jul 1 2009 (No change)
    EB3: Oct 1 2009 (122 days)

    Why wouldn’t EB2 move? Makes no sense to me.

  24. #6574
    Sensei
    Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Location
    Riverside CA
    Posts
    94
    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    August VB out
    EB1: Feb 8 2018 (276 days)
    EB2: Jul 1 2009 (No change)
    EB3: Oct 1 2009 (122 days)

    Why wouldn’t EB2 move? Makes no sense to me.
    thats especially strange given that EB2 ROW has been current for a long time (and has a long list of pre-adjucated cases). Are they trying to apply all unused visas to EB3 rather than EB2 ?

    EB 3 ROW is nearly current now (april 2020). So any that should set up EB3 india for future movement.

  25. #6575
    So early in the morning wow.... what was the point of stalling it so late?

    But very strange for Eb2....may be a lot of applications from prior 2 VB dates are still not approved so they are giving time to USCIS to process those??

    They should honor "DATES FOR FILING" at least in this month, or better alternate it...one month "FINAL ACTION DATES" next month "DATES FOR FILING" and so on...

    I bet there are hardly any applications left in EB3-I for 2009, all have taken EB2's express highway!
    =========================================
    EB2-I PD -> 19-Oct-2009 | EAD/AP since -> 30-Apr-2012 | GC -> 08-APR-2021

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