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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #6526
    The chairwoman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Homeland Security said Tuesday that a supplemental bill to address the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services' funding shortfall caused by the pandemic will move through Congress this month in an effort to prevent the agency from furloughing about 70% of its staff on Aug. 3.


    https://www.law360.com/articles/1289...scis-shortfall
    =========================================
    EB2-I PD -> 19-Oct-2009 | EAD/AP since -> 30-Apr-2012 | GC -> 08-APR-2021

  2. #6527
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by karanjohar View Post
    I am stunned by the callousness of the administration and it's agencies (USCIS and DoS) towards the plight of high skilled, legal, tax paying immigrants. How can you prioritize naturalization over GC approvals when there are upwards of 30,000 people waiting in line for more than a decade. How cruel can an agency be after taking thousands of dollars from the same people they are supposed to serve.

    These anti immigrant policies are going to hurt the economy and American way of life in the long term. If you drive away skilled immigrants, they will either go back to their home country or move some where they are accepted. There was a time when people would do desperate things to get a GC, not any more. I see dozens of posts in LinkedIn every day where people are going back home having abandoned the GC process. Also, almost all of my friends who went back have turned in to entrepreneurs. The only thing that is remaining is to stop the spigot of students coming to the US. With the new rule, ICE will accelerate this process.
    Then the question is how many such people who are waiting in GC line leave the US permanently? In my 10+ years, I personally know only a couple of people who left their GC process and went back to India permanently. The rest I know were forced to leave and some came back when they got the chance.

  3. #6528
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1312011_eb2I View Post
    I have so many examples, folks came on L1b in 2013/14, got EB1C filed within an year, got GC in 2015/16 , now talking about Citizenship test.
    People came in 2008 , filed on EB2 ( with Masters degree) still waiting for EAD.
    So frustrating.
    Honestly nothing wrong with that. How EB2 India backlog is EB1-C India's problem?

  4. #6529
    Quote Originally Posted by jimmys View Post
    Honestly nothing wrong with that. How EB2 India backlog is EB1-C India's problem?
    Yes. I think - people allow their frustration to get the best of themselves and then they start thinking that their US degree is better than somebody's EB1C!
    EB1C's have earned their greencards and so have EB2 and all other folks. We all - if we could go back in time - perhaps be making at least a few different choices. But it is unfair to speak of EB1C as if they don't deserve it.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  5. #6530
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Yes. I think - people allow their frustration to get the best of themselves and then they start thinking that their US degree is better than somebody's EB1C!
    EB1C's have earned their greencards and so have EB2 and all other folks. We all - if we could go back in time - perhaps be making at least a few different choices. But it is unfair to speak of EB1C as if they don't deserve it.
    Yes EB1-C’s have their own right for GC’s and there are several well deserved ones but I think most people know many undeserved people got it as well and they applied fully knowing they don’t deserve it. It’s the fault of immigration agencies. They should have proper filters to weed out undeserved and dare I say some fraud cases. In any case, our big fight is against per country caps and not within EB-I categories

  6. #6531
    Quote Originally Posted by vckomara View Post
    Yes EB1-C’s have their own right for GC’s and there are several well deserved ones but I think most people know many undeserved people got it as well and they applied fully knowing they don’t deserve it. It’s the fault of immigration agencies. They should have proper filters to weed out undeserved and dare I say some fraud cases. In any case, our big fight is against per country caps and not within EB-I categories
    Same can be said for EB-2 with masters.

    Its the policies which I will place blame on. If given a chance everyone will file in category to get GC faster whether its EB1, EB2 or downgrade to EB3.

  7. #6532
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    some people found a loophole in the immigration system and they used it. They win. Am I upset, yes. Would I have used that loophole if I was in their position? Sure.

    So there is no point in blaming them. We can blame the system and the gaping holes in the system.

  8. #6533
    Quote Originally Posted by getsaby View Post
    The chairwoman of the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Homeland Security said Tuesday that a supplemental bill to address the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services' funding shortfall caused by the pandemic will move through Congress this month in an effort to prevent the agency from furloughing about 70% of its staff on Aug. 3.


    https://www.law360.com/articles/1289...scis-shortfall
    Great!! Let's see what happens! From EB2I perspective, CO can always move dates much further, even with a resource crunch. He already knows that there is a huge spillover happening soon, so he can account for that. In any case, these candidates will receive GC next fiscal year! Atleast let the RFEs start coming in ( some of us have not received a single RFE since 2012 and seeing the trend@Trackitt, TSC is not overly active in sending out RFEs to folks that are already current). This is very logical. I am not sure why CO is being so cautious...maybe it's to do with the 2015 fiasco?!!
    Another reason could be the potential eb3 - eb2 porting that he is foreseeing ( maybe trying to prevent that
    in some way).

  9. #6534
    Sensei
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    Quote Originally Posted by GC-Immigrant View Post
    So Green card and Naturalization cases handled by the same resources in USCIS? CO and DHS can ask USCIS to reserve green card for people who filed I485 (April 2010 for EBI).
    In your earlier(few years back)posts, you have mentioned that, you don't like country quota removal and supported ROWs faster green card approvals.

    People who already filed I485, please call house home land committee members explain to them that CO and USCIS bias towards Indian immigrants, ask them to reserve(even if its not approved) GC for already filed 485 applications.
    Remember paper ready (2014 May) episode, same CO and USCIS opposed advancing priority dates, informed Obama admin that they don't have resources to handle 485 applications, but they accepted h4 ead and processed for backlogged applicants, also DACA EAD.
    In 2007 July USCIS processed nearly million application.
    Just a note here: i dont think being negative helps when contacting committed members etc.

    its better to write to your senator/congress rep for your area, asking that visas not be wasted. And at least pre-adjudicated cases be processed before wasting visa number. The excuse that USCIS lacks the processing capacity for pre-adjucated cases does not hold water as all background checks, interviews, medicals have already been done for these.

  10. #6535
    Quote Originally Posted by rabp77 View Post
    Just a note here: i dont think being negative helps when contacting committed members etc.

    its better to write to your senator/congress rep for your area, asking that visas not be wasted. And at least pre-adjudicated cases be processed before wasting visa number. The excuse that USCIS lacks the processing capacity for pre-adjucated cases does not hold water as all background checks, interviews, medicals have already been done for these.
    Yes. People who filed 485 should call congress home land security members and ask them to direct CO to apply for all backlogged Indian applicants, pre-adjudicated cases needs only visa numbers. Hope new admin investigate USCIS and review visa allocations.

  11. #6536
    Quote Originally Posted by GC-Immigrant View Post
    Yes. People who filed 485 should call congress home land security members and ask them to direct CO to apply for all backlogged Indian applicants, pre-adjudicated cases needs only visa numbers. Hope new admin investigate USCIS and review visa allocations.
    Could you please share more about which sub-committee deals with this issue? Is it Border Security, Facilitation, & Operations or Oversight, Management, & Accountability? Some more direction, such as a link to the members will be appreciated.

  12. #6537
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    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Could you please share more about which sub-committee deals with this issue? Is it Border Security, Facilitation, & Operations or Oversight, Management, & Accountability? Some more direction, such as a link to the members will be appreciated.
    Immigration related matters of DHS are handled by immigration subcommittee of Senate Judiciary committee.

  13. #6538
    So what type of date movement in DF/FD will be encouraging for EB2I/EB3I folks in the next bulletin?

  14. #6539
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    So what type of date movement in DF/FD will be encouraging for EB2I/EB3I folks in the next bulletin?
    CURRENT [Sorry couldnt resist ]. When you are given a choice, ask for all, correct ?

    Will be reaching out to the members of the subcommitee today to putforth the points again. Part of me doing something rather than do nothing.
    If anyone believes we have a legal way to challenge against the wastage, do let me know. Willing to pitch in and pay for the legal fees as well...

  15. #6540

    How the Trump administration is turning legal immigrants into undocumented ones WaPo

    Quote from a Recent WaPo Article 09JUL2020

    The Trump administration is turning legal immigrants into undocumented ones.

    That is, the “show me your papers” administration has literally switched off printers needed to generate those “papers.”

    Without telling Congress, the administration has scaled back the printing of documents it has already promised to immigrants — including green cards, the wallet-size I.D.’s legal permanent residents must carry everywhere to prove they are in the United States lawfully.

    In mid-June, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services’ contract ended with the company that had been printing these documents. Production was slated to be insourced, but “the agency’s financial situation,” USCIS said Thursday, prompted a hiring freeze that required it to ratchet down printing.

    Of the two facilities where these credentials were printed, one, in Corbin, Ky., shut down production three weeks ago. The other facility, in Lee’s Summit, Mo., appears to be operating at reduced capacity.
    AD

    Some 50,000 green cards and 75,000 other employment authorization documents promised to immigrants haven’t been printed, USCIS said in a statement. The agency said it had planned to escalate printing but that it “cannot speculate on future projections of processing times.” In the event of furloughs — which the agency has threatened if it does not get a $1.2 billion loan from Congress — “all agency operations will be affected.”

    Some of the missing green cards are for immigrants newly approved for legal permanent residency. Others are for existing permanent residents who periodically must renew their identity cards, which expire every 10 years but sometimes must be replaced sooner (for example, if lost). These immigrants have completed every interview, required biometric assessment, cleared other hurdles — and often waited years for these critical credentials.

    The Immigration and Nationality Act requires every adult legal permanent resident to carry their green card “at all times.” Failing to carry it is a misdemeanor, subject to jail time or fines. Immigrants must also show their green card to apply for jobs, travel or reenter the United States.

    Understandably, panicked immigrants have been inundating USCIS with calls seeking to locate their documents.

    “Our volume of inquiries [has] spiked concerning cases being approved, but the cards [are] not being produced,” said one agency employee. “A lot are expedite requests, and we can’t do anything about it; it’s costing people jobs and undue stress.”

    This employee added: “It really does frustrate a lot of us to not let applicants know what’s really going on.”

    Normally, within 48 hours of an applicant’s approval, USCIS’s online system indicates that a card has been printed. Immigration attorneys across the country have been puzzled recently because these status updates never appeared. Many thought the delays were tied to covid-19, which has caused other service disruptions.

    One Philadelphia attorney, Anu Nair, said a USCIS officer let slip in early June that all contractors were about to be laid off and to expect long delays with paperwork.

    Memphis-based attorney Elissa Taub inquired about her client’s missing green card and got a cryptic email: “The system has to be updated so that a card can be produced. You will receive the [card] in the mail once the system in updated [sic].”

    USCIS, which is funded almost entirely by fees, is undergoing a budget crisis, largely caused by financial mismanagement by political leadership. The printing disruptions are no doubt a preview of chaos to come if the agency furloughs about 70 percent of its workforce, as it has said it will do in a few weeks absent a congressional bailout.

    In recent conversations with congressional staffers about cutting contracts to save money, USCIS mentioned only one contract, for a different division, that was being reduced — and made no reference to this printing contract, according to a person who took part in those discussions. The company that had this contract, Logistics Systems Inc., did not respond to emails and calls this week requesting comment.

    The administration has taken other steps in recent months that curb immigration. Presidential executive orders have almost entirely ended issuance of green cards and work-based visas for people applying from outside the country; red tape and bureaucracy have slowed the process for those applying from within U.S. borders. For a while, the agency refused to forward files from one office to another. The centers that collect necessary biometric data remain shuttered.

    These pipeline delays are likely to dramatically reduce the number of green cards ultimately approved and issued this year.

    Under normal circumstances, immigrants who need proof of legal residency but haven’t yet received their green card would have an alternative: get a special passport stamp from USCIS. But amid covid-related changes, applicants must provide evidence of a “critical need,” with little guidance about what that means.
    AD

    “The bottom line is that applicants pay huge filing fees, and it appears that these fees have apparently been either squandered through mismanagement or diverted to enforcement-focused initiatives, to the great detriment of applicants as well as the overall efficiency of the immigration process,” says Anis Saleh, an immigration attorney in Coral Gables, Fla. “The administration has accomplished its goal of shutting down legal immigration without actually changing the law.”

  16. #6541
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    Quote Originally Posted by GC-Immigrant View Post
    Yes. People who filed 485 should call congress home land security members and ask them to direct CO to apply for all backlogged Indian applicants, pre-adjudicated cases needs only visa numbers. Hope new admin investigate USCIS and review visa allocations.
    Quick question reg. Pre-adjudicated cases. I have filed 485 in 2012 and responded to a RFE for medicals and employment letter in 2015. I believe my case is pre-adjudicated. In this case, if visa number is available in future, will I receive RFE for medicals and employment letter again? or they will simply approve my case?

  17. #6542
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    you will receive a RFE for medicals as they are not valid anymore. Medicals validity nowaways is 2 years.

  18. #6543
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    Anyone here who had interview in last one or two weeks ? My interview is scheduled for July 27 and would like to know what to expect. I know we are supposed to wear mask, bring pens and what else ? How are they going to take our photo with mask on ? LOL or verify if it's the correct person for interview ?

  19. #6544
    Quote Originally Posted by prabakarb View Post
    Quick question reg. Pre-adjudicated cases. I have filed 485 in 2012 and responded to a RFE for medicals and employment letter in 2015. I believe my case is pre-adjudicated. In this case, if visa number is available in future, will I receive RFE for medicals and employment letter again? or they will simply approve my case?
    June and July current folks have been getting RFE for medicals, G-325A and EVL/Supp. J. In some cases even people who submitted medicals in the last year of so still got a template RFE requesting for everything. NSC is better as they asked for medicals for all folks in 2018. So NSC has been got about 60% approval whereas TSC is only below 20%.

    If I were in your shoes, I would start planning for medical. Maybe time to look at the old paperwork and enquire with your favorite USCIS approved civil surgeon about cost, test return timing, etc. Compared to 2012, you are required to take new tests for TB and STDs.

  20. #6545
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Quote from a Recent WaPo Article 09JUL2020
    What?!!This is a roller coaster ride that we are on. The upcoming visa bulletin should throw more light.

  21. #6546
    Quote Originally Posted by redtogreen View Post
    What?!!This is a roller coaster ride that we are on. The upcoming visa bulletin should throw more light.
    Ride's just begun. The President just announced he's going to sign a big immigration executive order that has some sort of path to citizenship for DACA among other "Merit based" things. I think it means higher wage levels for sure among other things.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/adminis...nship-for-daca

  22. #6547
    Sensei
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    Just noticed that the i765 form on USCIS website has expired (the expriation date is 5/31/2020). Dont know if we can still use this form. Any thoughs on whether this form can even be used now ?

  23. #6548
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    Talking

    Quote Originally Posted by android09 View Post
    Ride's just begun. The President just announced he's going to sign a big immigration executive order that has some sort of path to citizenship for DACA among other "Merit based" things. I think it means higher wage levels for sure among other things.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/adminis...nship-for-daca
    Wow, looks like Trump using his powers to give new EO, which includes broad Immigration regulations.
    He indirectly quoting, SCOTUS gave more powers to President, they couldn't stop ex President's EO.
    So it's my time to give BIG EO

  24. #6549
    Quote Originally Posted by rabp77 View Post
    Just noticed that the i765 form on USCIS website has expired (the expriation date is 5/31/2020). Dont know if we can still use this form. Any thoughs on whether this form can even be used now ?
    Despite the expired form , this is what my attorney indicated from USCIS site, the form can still be used:

    “12/26/19. We will publish a new edition of this form soon. In the meantime, you may continue using the 12/26/19 edition despite the expiration date. You can find the edition date at the bottom of the page on the form and instructions.

    Dates are listed in mm/dd/yy format.”

  25. #6550
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabp77 View Post
    Just noticed that the i765 form on USCIS website has expired (the expriation date is 5/31/2020). Dont know if we can still use this form. Any thoughs on whether this form can even be used now ?
    Just used this form last week to apply for EAD. It was accepted with no issues and received the receipt notice.

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