IMO, CO's forecast about wasting numbers, I feel it is a translation error (from Chinese to English) or transcribing error. Everything till that point, he was basically saying USCIS is on track to use up all the numbers.
USCIS has not waster EB numbers for a really long time. We can argue that he has been unfair to EB3-I a couple of times where EB3-C benefited instead. He also seemed unfair with EB2-I last year where EB2-C got 600 GCs more than EB2-I. But then again, he gave EB1-I more than its share.
Since EB2-I and EB3-I are stuck for such a long time, we feel that he needs to sympathize with us a little - which he does not seem to.
I think we what he means is there will no longer be any horizontal numbers available for EB2I. I still do expect a few months movement on EB2I as he knows the demand. There could be visa wastage..but he still can move dates in the last 2 bulletins... its not over till its over..
Is it genuine article from mitbbs.com?
Recent AILA posting: https://www.aila.org/recent-postings
It hasn't posted CO's check-in on 5/29
EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary
AILA website shows the following article viewable only to their members.
Check-in with DOS’s Charlie Oppenheim
5/29/2020
The AILA DOS Liaison Committee provides monthly “check-ins” with Charlie Oppenheim, designed to keep members informed of Visa Bulletin progress and to obtain his analysis of current trends and future projections, beyond the basic visa availability updates provided in the monthly Visa Bulletin.
AILA Doc. No. 14071401
Note: The above number is different; The earlier article number points to the rejection of I-485 from lockbox due to expired forms (incorrectly). If the above is a true copy, in a day or two some law firms will be publishing this in their website.
EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary
The check-in with Charlie information provided is accurate! I have now got it from a different source as well:
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EB1-3 in July: In July, Final Action Dates would advance
EB-5 India would be current in August 2020 - If this happens, then expect a decent spillover to EB1 India next year (provided FB spillover is applied).
EB-2 Worldwide: No longer the imposition of a final action date this summer.
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Just to add what I think means that is the supply of EB visas is more than demand and what I interpret is perhaps that he is not able to gauge the horizontal spill over that is going to be available. I still see this as good news.
If EB1 India dates move in July then expect a big jump for EB2 and EB3 Indians. If EB3 ROW moves ahead in July or it becomes current that is any date after Jan 2020, then the India EB3 dates touching Feb 2010 is very likely.
Please could you throw some wide ballpark estimates, just your opinion..
Mean that after reach and will be current in next fiscal year? CO want EB3 must be reached at the end sept 2020?
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