I'm a silent member. PD is Mar 2010. Going by the current movement is 2023 - 2025 a realistic timeline? Couple of my friends with Apr 2009 PD just became citizens. What a difference 12 months makes! I'm looking at opportunities in UK so do not want to take a drastic step unless this looks like a lost cause
Hypothetical scenario:Originally Posted by gamma2
Your best bet for EB2I PD (Mar2010) to become current in 2023 is if economy crashes (worse than 2009 ).
Relasitic scenario:
Based on last demand data and porting considered, EB2I 2010 March will become current in 2027-2031.( Every year dates may move up to 2 months).
This is my take. (I am not a jotshi)
Yes 2023-25 is a realistic timeline. EB2 had been unduly stuck due to EB3 porting which should ease off by at of this year as EB3 crosses EB2. My estimate is combined EB2/3 movement of 3 months per year after that.
I disagree with you.. Porting will never end. Indians or Chinese will jockey between eb2 and eb3 as long as one moves ahead of other.
If you combine eb2 and eb3 visas for India , you are looking at approximately 5400 visas.
If you combine eb2 and eb3 you will have around 5000 applicants in 2 months.
. It will take 7 to 10 years for eb2 i to reach 2010 March.
yes porting will never end, but eb2 would move on its own merit once eb3 is past eb2.
also how are you getting 5000 per 2 months. As per last published PIs the number would be 2500 for eb2, and about 1200 for eb3 based on perm filings.
last he is in mar 2010 not may
The current president is pro immigration (LEGAL). He proposed merit based legal immigration. He is anti Illegal immigration. I strongly believe on his next term, he will accomplish legal immigration reform which will greatly benefit us. Please do not watch leftwing propaganda media, they are nothing but spreading lies about this administration which is doing great. Do the research with facts.You have the 2500 number form 485 inventory.Without pending 485 inventory you can only guesstimate what's in store for eb3i.
Perm filing number (1200 for eb3i) needs to be multiplied by 2.5 for dependents. Eb3i is 5 months behind eb2i, that means porting is happening as we dicuss. This means eb2i may or may not cross into July of 2009 this year.
Now you do the math if eb2i moves at the rate of LESS THAN 2 months, 2009 march is 10 months away. You need at least 7 or more years to reach Mar of 2009.
REALITY:
With current president in the office for next 5 years, economy may remain between OK to GOOD. So very little to no possibility of spill over.
( Lighter side) On top of this he does not like immigration, he may shut down USCIS
The current president is pro LEGAL immigration and he is anti illegal immigration. I strongly believe that the administration will achieve legal merit based immigration in next term, which will greatly benefit us. Please do not listen to left wing media which is mostly propaganda and spreading lies.
EB2 I is already in May 2009. Why it takes 7 years to reach March 2009?
Think he meant March 2010 which is fair given the speed with which dates are moving. They were May 2009 in 2014 and still in May 2009. Do not see this changing anytime soon
Typo's Corrected :
You have the 2500 number form 485 inventory.Without pending 485 inventory you can only guesstimate what's in store for eb3i.
Perm filing number (1200 for eb3i) needs to be multiplied by 2.5 for dependents. Eb3i is 5 months behind eb2i, that means porting is happening as we dicuss. This means eb2i may or may not cross into July of 2009 this year.
Now you do the math if eb2i moves at the rate of LESS THAN 2 months, 2010 march is 10 months away. You need at least 7 or more years to reach Mar of 2010.
REALITY:
With current president in the office for next 5 years, economy may remain between OK to GOOD. So very little to no possibility of spill over.
( Lighter side) On top of this he does not like immigration, he may shut down USCIS
I feel your pain being a May 2010 PD myself :-) Couple of my friends too had April 2009 PD and just became USC and will be voting this year. USCIS and DoS have basically combined to slowly hide more and more data points so that it is impossible to make any predictions or hold them accountable. I have given up on my GC dream as of now as it has no more bearing on my career or life. The only reason I visit this forum for updates is because it has become increasing relevant in the past year for my wife to get a GC as she works on govt. projects and starting to get excluded in bits and parts of some because of not being a PR/USC (her name can't be issued in commendations though she can work on the projects, BS like that). Anyways, cheer up and hopefully things will work out, I am 40 now and these things are starting to become less relevant as long as I am allowed to continue staying and working here.
Full agree. However it really hits you hard if you have India born kids.
My priority date is June 11 2010. I am currently on EB3 but my original I-140 application through a different employer was EB2. When should i expect to be able to file 485 and get EAD ? H1 is getting tougher by the day and my Canadian immigration invite is expiring. Would appreciate any insights.
They may extend the filing date to June for EB3 by the end of this year, but you may still have to wait another 4-8 months before you get your EAD in hand.
That helps ! Even if there is a good chance of getting EAD by end of next year, at least there is hope at the end of the tunnel. Thank you very much.
Sorry if this has been discussed: is the EB3 final action cutoff 1JAN09 or 01FEB10?
https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...uary-2020.html
https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gre...s-january-2020
This was discussed on trackitt. As per USCIS this is an error.
USCIS release 2019 I-485 data, and I-140 data.
I-140 Received I-140 Approved I-485 Received I-485 Approved 2017 139566 126213 139555 114480 2018 136585 135653 132708 109275 2019 142451 146361 103584 105059
What concerns me is the number of I-140 Applications received/approved. Since we don't know which category these are falling under and there could be more 485 waiting for filing. But the good thing is less 485's received compared to previous years, as the EB1 category has cut off date for filing.
485 applications received in the last 3 quarters are 23272;25986;26433.
redsox,
Could you provide a link to the figures please.
I couldn't find them on the USCIS Immigration and Citizenship Data page or any search I made.
The figures for I-485 received figures stack up. Q1 2019 was 27,893 from the Q3 All Forms Report and added to your figures for the last 3 quarters totals the 103,584 you quoted.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Damn they removed most of the files which they posted on Jan 14th
redsox,
Thanks a lot.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Regarding Bulletin, I think CO is waiting for the data from the CO processing and USCIS. Last month as soon as Bulletin got released, the monthly CO data came out.
Hope there's a reduced demand for all the categories.
For last 7 years many reports have come and gone yet eb2i is still where it was 7 years.
These reports are like mirage in a desert. There is no water in desert.
Tomorrow there will be a Visa bulletin with 2 days movement.
Dont hold your breath.
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