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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #5726
    Want to provide an update regarding RFE. My 485J is approved. I and my wife received RFE for medical n biographic sheet.

  2. #5727
    Quote Originally Posted by Umesh1209 View Post
    Want to provide an update regarding RFE. My 485J is approved. I and my wife received RFE for medical n biographic sheet.
    Hi Umesh,

    1. when did you last submit your medicals .
    2. When you file the Supplement J , do you get a formal letter saying its approved ?
    3. Which Service center is your application and the Priority date

    For RFEs there is no acknowledgement I understand for Supplement J and Medicals.

    Can you plz share more info ,

  3. #5728
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    I was looking at the EAD renewals. From what I see it is taking 6 months at NSC . So if you don't file on the very first day then you risk being out of status . They are processing June 21st as of today at NSC for EADs.
    Once you file for extension before expiry, your EAD is automatically extended for 180 days -

    https://www.uscis.gov/working-united...-ead-extension

  4. #5729
    Quote Originally Posted by paramjit74 View Post
    Once you file for extension before expiry, your EAD is automatically extended for 180 days -

    https://www.uscis.gov/working-united...-ead-extension
    Thanks Paramjit. I had read that but some of the employers create a fuss about it . While they might still be OK (requires you to talk to HR and get an exemption), getting a refi on your home or getting any loan with an expired EAD or nearly expiring EAD is next to impossible .

  5. #5730

    Approval for supplement J

    My response below
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Hi Umesh,

    1. when did you last submit your medicals .
    Umesh: Last time I submitted medical is 2012

    2. When you file the Supplement J , do you get a formal letter saying its approved ?
    Umesh: I submitted supplement J in June’19. We get a receipt letter as well as an approval. I got this approval last week
    3. Which Service center is your application and the Priority date
    Umesh: mine is TSC, 22-Dec-2009

    For RFEs there is no acknowledgement I understand for Supplement J and Medicals.

    Can you plz share more info ,

  6. #5731
    Quote Originally Posted by Umesh1209 View Post
    My response below
    Thanks Umesh. I had submitted by Supplement J at NSC but received no approval . The lawyers "BAL in my case" told me that USCIS does not give any approvals for RFEs . I had submitted medicals and the supplement J together last September .

  7. #5732
    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Thanks Umesh. I had submitted by Supplement J at NSC but received no approval . The lawyers "BAL in my case" told me that USCIS does not give any approvals for RFEs . I had submitted medicals and the supplement J together last September .
    Here is what it says on my case status online:

    On October XX, 2018, we received your response to our Request for Evidence for your Form I-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status, Receipt Number LINXXXXXX. USCIS has begun working on your case again. We will send you a decision or notify you if we need something from you. If you move, go to www.uscis.gov/addresschange to give us your new mailing address.

  8. #5733

  9. #5734
    Disappointing, as usual

  10. #5735

    RFE may not get an approval

    Quote Originally Posted by Moveon View Post
    Here is what it says on my case status online:

    On October XX, 2018, we received your response to our Request for Evidence for your Form I-485, Application to Register Permanent Residence or Adjust Status, Receipt Number LINXXXXXX. USCIS has begun working on your case again. We will send you a decision or notify you if we need something from you. If you move, go to www.uscis.gov/addresschange to give us your new mailing address.
    May you will not an approval if you submit with RFE
    TSC | PD: 12/21/2009 | RD: 02/14/12| ND: 02/16/12 | FP ND: 03/05/12 | FP: 03/26/12 | EAD/AP: ? | GC: ?

  11. #5736
    Very disappointing Jan bulletin, not sure why the SO from FB is not being applied yet :-(. Looks like a very deliberated efforts are being made to slow down GC approvals. Without pending inventory being published it will be same way like 1 or 2 days movement per bulletin for this FY

  12. #5737
    Sophomore
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    FAD for EB3 WW is Current while DF for EB3 is 1 Jan 2019. Can someone explain why that's the case? It doesn't make sense to me.

  13. #5738
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    FAD for EB3 WW is Current while DF for EB3 is 1 Jan 2019. Can someone explain why that's the case? It doesn't make sense to me.
    That's a good catch.

  14. #5739
    Looks like EB3I will be moving three weeks per month in future bulletins. EB2 / EB3 ROW are all current.

    EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)
    Employment First:
    WORLDWIDE: Rapid forward movement expected, potentially becoming Current
    China: Up to three weeks
    India: Little if any forward movement is expected

    Employment Second:
    Worldwide: A date will most likely be imposed at some point during the second half of the fiscal year
    China: Up to one month
    India: Up to one week

    Employment Third:
    Worldwide: A date will most likely be imposed no later than March
    China: Up to six weeks
    India: Up to three weeks
    Mexico: Will remain at the Worldwide date
    Philippines: Up to one month

  15. #5740
    Freshman
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    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Looks like EB3I will be moving three weeks per month in future bulletins. EB2 / EB3 ROW are all current.

    EMPLOYMENT-based categories (potential monthly movement)
    Employment First:
    WORLDWIDE: Rapid forward movement expected, potentially becoming Current
    China: Up to three weeks
    India: Little if any forward movement is expected

    Employment Second:
    Worldwide: A date will most likely be imposed at some point during the second half of the fiscal year
    China: Up to one month
    India: Up to one week

    Employment Third:
    Worldwide: A date will most likely be imposed no later than March
    China: Up to six weeks
    India: Up to three weeks
    Mexico: Will remain at the Worldwide date
    Philippines: Up to one month
    I may be wrong but it says it in coming months not per month. They used the same language in October bulletin for EB2 I and it moved 1 week in last quarter ( 1 day, 3 days and then 3 days for Jan 2020 bulletin). So I guess they are predicting that each of these category movement for coming quarter. That’s what I’m gathering from their message.

  16. #5741
    what is the reason for EB3-India to move upto 3 weeks next month, but not this month? Is the prediction just based on usage of yearly visa allocation since there is no spillover ?

  17. #5742
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by IamGSN View Post
    what is the reason for EB3-India to move upto 3 weeks next month, but not this month? Is the prediction just based on usage of yearly visa allocation since there is no spillover ?
    It's indeed within yearly visa allocation. If they have priority dates for EB3 ROW in the coming months, EB3 India will end up with only 7% i.e. 3K visas for this year.

  18. #5743

  19. #5744
    Quote Originally Posted by NJMavarick View Post
    If I understand correctly from the link ;

    These many people have filed I-485 and waiting for approval:

    EB2 - India 15,651 (Prior to July 1st 2009)
    EB3 - India 20,751 (Feb 1st 2010)

    It doesn't reflect correct numbers for EB3 if there were not much people prior to Jun 2009. And this figure doesn't include consular processing numbers. Scary... big backlog with no spillover

  20. #5745
    Quote Originally Posted by IamGSN View Post
    If I understand correctly from the link ;

    These many people have filed I-485 and waiting for approval:

    EB2 - India 15,651 (Prior to July 1st 2009)
    EB3 - India 20,751 (Feb 1st 2010)

    It doesn't reflect correct numbers for EB3 if there were not much people prior to Jun 2009. And this figure doesn't include consular processing numbers. Scary... big backlog with no spillover
    I believe the pending applications for EB2 India are up until Feb 2010

  21. #5746
    Sophomore
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    Quote Originally Posted by IamGSN View Post
    If I understand correctly from the link ;

    These many people have filed I-485 and waiting for approval:

    EB2 - India 15,651 (Prior to July 1st 2009)
    EB3 - India 20,751 (Feb 1st 2010)

    It doesn't reflect correct numbers for EB3 if there were not much people prior to Jun 2009. And this figure doesn't include consular processing numbers. Scary... big backlog with no spillover
    These numbers does not make any sense to me. If indeed EB3 waiting list in 20,751, the PD should be way back in 2006 or 2007 or something. Not at 2009. Something doesn't add up.

  22. #5747
    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    These numbers does not make any sense to me. If indeed EB3 waiting list in 20,751, the PD should be way back in 2006 or 2007 or something. Not at 2009. Something doesn't add up.
    Yup! Big backlog...waiting for other gurus to make sense of this.

  23. #5748
    Quote Originally Posted by NJMavarick View Post
    My quick reaction is:
    1) These are just the CP numbers .... i.e. people who file for GC outside United States (99.99% in their own home country).
    2) The CP numbers are growing at 5% per year when the GC quota has been stationary for years. That is quite telling.
    3) The EB1 and EB5 categories have come under tremendous stress. Even Indians are significantly filing in EB5. EB1 is already heavily dominated by Indians. The chinese are doing terrible in EB5 because the last I remember they were pretty much banned under EB5. I haven't quite followed if that is still true.
    4) Across the board ROW numbers too are increasing ... partly due to a healthy US economy.
    5) Last and most important EB2 and EB3 India numbers are increasing as people are forced to go back to India as well as choosing to go back to India while the employers are willing to keep sponsoring.

    Hope this helps.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  24. #5749
    Pandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJMavarick View Post
    Something is really amiss. EB2 India 15K, EB3 India 20K, and EB1 India only 1282.

    If it's just before Nov 1,2019 PDs, it's unbelievable to see 15K EB2 are still pending before May,2009 and 20K EB3 are pending before Jan 1,2009. If so, why the dates are even in 2009?

    If it's only the filed applications, in which EB2 till May 1,2010 and EB3 till Apr 1,2010, then it short of makes some sense. Then, EB1 India filed applications can't be 1282 as mentioned in the report. CO himself told a couple of months ago that EB1 has about 17K applications pending.

    Things don't add up as is. I don't know how to interpret these numbers.

  25. #5750

    Question Travel on AP after your date becomes current

    Can you travel on AP after your priority date becomes current? My lawyer recommends against that. In the event your GC is approved while you are away, the lawyer said you may be denied re-entry. Is that true? One of my friend was in a similar situation 5 years ago and she re-entered on AP after GC approval. Is this a recent change? do any of you have personal experience?

    Thanks

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