EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[idliman]

I got an email today. I don't know the details. I got a promotion earlier this year and filed a supplement J 6 months back. The RFE is for my 485 case not my supplement J case.

As discussed earlier, I also got an RFE for I485J. Don't worry it is a standard procedure unless they don't agree to AC21 justification. As I485J gets its own receipt number, you can check the status and see if it has been approved or not. Usually, the I485J RFE is for:
1. I-693 Medicals
2. G-325A Biographic Information Form
3. G-28 Form (if attorney had changed)
4. I485 Supp J (if you had used AC21)
5. Any other concerns or supporting info asked in RFE.
Get ready for your medicals. If you have not taken the flu shot for this season do it. All the vaccinations need to be current for medicals.

[paramjit74]

Hi folks,

I would like to know if anyone in this forum has applied for EAD for minor based on parent's Adjustment of Status. If so could you please share your experiences and any special documents you may need to submit.

Thanks.

If there is 485 pending for the child then he/she can get EAD.

[jimmys]

As discussed earlier, I also got an RFE for I485J. Don't worry it is a standard procedure unless they don't agree to AC21 justification. As I485J gets its own receipt number, you can check the status and see if it has been approved or not. Usually, the I485J RFE is for:
1. I-693 Medicals
2. G-325A Biographic Information Form
3. G-28 Form (if attorney had changed)
4. I485 Supp J (if you had used AC21)
5. Any other concerns or supporting info asked in RFE.
Get ready for your medicals. If you have not taken the flu shot for this season do it. All the vaccinations need to be current for medicals.

He mentioned his RFE is not for 485J. It's for 485 itself.

[idliman]

He mentioned his RFE is not for 485J. It's for 485 itself.

Sorry. Missed that detail. If an existing I485 case is suddenly getting an RFE, then I can think of a) USCIS wants some justification regarding status for a particular period, b)The new officer wants some extra documentation for say BC/medicals c) They want more clarification / justification for AC21 porting job classification... Any other ideas?

[Turbulent_Dragonfly]

Sorry. Missed that detail. If an existing I485 case is suddenly getting an RFE, then I can think of a) USCIS wants some justification regarding status for a particular period, b)The new officer wants some extra documentation for say BC/medicals c) They want more clarification / justification for AC21 porting job classification... Any other ideas?

Dates moving forward?

(/s, *ducks*)

[Moveon]

As discussed earlier, I also got an RFE for I485J. Don't worry it is a standard procedure unless they don't agree to AC21 justification. As I485J gets its own receipt number, you can check the status and see if it has been approved or not. Usually, the I485J RFE is for:
1. I-693 Medicals
2. G-325A Biographic Information Form
3. G-28 Form (if attorney had changed)
4. I485 Supp J (if you had used AC21)
5. Any other concerns or supporting info asked in RFE.
Get ready for your medicals. If you have not taken the flu shot for this season do it. All the vaccinations need to be current for medicals.

Hi idliman,
When was the last time you got an RFE ? In Sept of 2018 USCIS sent out RFEs for those who got EADs in 2012 . Is this a second wave

[idliman]

Hi idliman,
When was the last time you got an RFE ? In Sept of 2018 USCIS sent out RFEs for those who got EADs in 2012 . Is this a second wave

No. Mine was due to filing AC21/I485J. I am in Texas Service Center. As far as I know all the pending I485 in Nebraska Service Center got RFEs around that time frame. My friend with PD in early 2010 got it. AFAIK, TSC did not issue mass RFEs for pending I485s.

[Moveon]

No. Mine was due to filing AC21/I485J. I am in Texas Service Center. As far as I know all the pending I485 in Nebraska Service Center got RFEs around that time frame. My friend with PD in early 2010 got it. AFAIK, TSC did not issue mass RFEs for pending I485s.

thanks idliman . Just make sure you file within 60 days of the Doctor signing it. Medicals are valid for 2 years now .
The updated policy, which goes into effect on Nov. 1, 2018, will require applicants to submit a Form I-693 that is signed by a civil surgeon no more than 60 days before filing the underlying application for an immigration benefit. The Form I-693 would remain valid for a two-year period following the date the civil surgeon signed it.

https://www.uscis.gov/news/alerts/us...-manual-update

[Umesh1209]

Thanks for your clarification

[idliman]

The forum is very quiet regarding predictions. Any predictions for Jan Visa bulletin that is coming out anytime? Some optimistic people are predicting movement (FB visa spillover?). However, nothing has materialized so far. Come on people spill the beans!

[sk1879]

The forum is very quiet regarding predictions. Any predictions for Jan Visa bulletin that is coming out anytime? Some optimistic people are predicting movement (FB visa spillover?). However, nothing has materialized so far. Come on people spill the beans!

Expecting at least a week of movement for EB2-I and a month for EB3-I due to the FB Spillover. Am i being too optimistic?

[anfu02]

thanks idliman . Just make sure you file within 60 days of the Doctor signing it. Medicals are valid for 2 years now .
The updated policy, which goes into effect on Nov. 1, 2018, will require applicants to submit a Form I-693 that is signed by a civil surgeon no more than 60 days before filing the underlying application for an immigration benefit. The Form I-693 would remain valid for a two-year period following the date the civil surgeon signed it.

https://www.uscis.gov/news/alerts/us...-manual-update

Any traction on your Advance Parole application?

[Blue_fairy]

EB2 will move by 3 days.

The forum is very quiet regarding predictions. Any predictions for Jan Visa bulletin that is coming out anytime? Some optimistic people are predicting movement (FB visa spillover?). However, nothing has materialized so far. Come on people spill the beans!

[canada]

The forum is very quiet regarding predictions. Any predictions for Jan Visa bulletin that is coming out anytime? Some optimistic people are predicting movement (FB visa spillover?). However, nothing has materialized so far. Come on people spill the beans!

We simply do not have the pending inventory report. The last one is from July 2018. No offense to anyone but when the predictions are done here- no matter how many times you chew the same old information- the Priority dates are not moving anymore. They may move few days, even with FB spillover, probably a week at best. We are into 2020 in 2 weeks and dates are going to not go past beyond 2009 for the next 5 years. That’s the reality

[jimmys]

Speaking of FB spillover, if EB2 WW demand is close to last year's, then EB2 India may see a couple of months movement late in this FY. If that happens it's going to be in Apr-June quarter. But, CO talked about EB2 WW demand at 11K in the first 45 days or so of this FY. So let's wait and watch.

CO also said EB3 WW demand is at 13K in the first 45 days of this FY. This is not a good sign for EB3 India. CO already talked about retrogressing EB3 WW in Jan. I hope the 13K demand is due to retrogression from last year and there's no retrogression in EB3 WW dates in Jan (or this FY).

Also, Oct CP processing had about 200 cases for EB3 India. Hopefully this is just pent up demand from last year due to retrogression.

[newsletter1978]

Speaking of FB spillover, if EB2 WW demand is close to last year's, then EB2 India may see a couple of months movement late in this FY. If that happens it's going to be in Apr-June quarter. But, CO talked about EB2 WW demand at 11K in the first 45 days or so of this FY. So let's wait and watch.

CO also said EB3 WW demand is at 13K in the first 45 days of this FY. This is not a good sign for EB3 India. CO already talked about retrogressing EB3 WW in Jan. I hope the 13K demand is due to retrogression from last year and there's no retrogression in EB3 WW dates in Jan (or this FY).

Also, Oct CP processing had about 200 cases for EB3 India. Hopefully this is just pent up demand from last year due to retrogression.

Jimmy, hope EB2I moves couple of months as you say. If it moves how many months are you talking about. Would you expect to clear September?

[sk1879]

Expecting the EB2-I dates to move by a week if the FB spillover is used in this quarter. and EB3-I as usual might stay at the same date for this quarter as well.

[Moveon]

Any traction on your Advance Parole application?

Hi Anfu02 ,
No its still saying "Received" . The current processing date is May 16th for NSC. I applied on June 15th .
It now officially taking 8 months at NSC to issue an AP that lasts for 12 months.

[Moveon]

We simply do not have the pending inventory report. The last one is from July 2018. No offense to anyone but when the predictions are done here- no matter how many times you chew the same old information- the Priority dates are not moving anymore. They may move few days, even with FB spillover, probably a week at best. We are into 2020 in 2 weeks and dates are going to not go past beyond 2009 for the next 5 years. That’s the reality

I feel that it will take a minimum 3 years from now to clear 2009 even with some spillovers. EB3 porting may not impact us much as they will go hand in hand .
Sad but true..

[canada]

We are ever hopeful something good will happen next, next, next, next visa bulletin, year ..... I think 2023- we will still be clearing 2009 with some random excuse ahem... reason/ theory with no basis. The situation is intended to make it as if uneducated people come to Dubai to work with no path to citizenship... the difference here being educated waiting decades in line hoping to get the greencard.

[anfu02]

Hi Anfu02 ,
No its still saying "Received" . The current processing date is May 16th for NSC. I applied on June 15th .
It now officially taking 8 months at NSC to issue an AP that lasts for 12 months.

Thanks for the reply. I am religiously following the receipt dates as well, question was more out of desperation. Unfortunately, there is no recourse. You can't expedite the application, can't appear for Infopass appointment unless there is an emergency. Just wait and watch.

[Moveon]

Thanks for the reply. I am religiously following the receipt dates as well, question was more out of desperation. Unfortunately, there is no recourse. You can't expedite the application, can't appear for Infopass appointment unless there is an emergency. Just wait and watch.

Yes , it is very painful. Imagine having an emergency on Friday evening and you can't get an apt till Monday. If it is a long weekend then Its even longer . The USCIS wants to make life hell for immigrants hoping that people will abandon their plans just out the feeling of hopelessness. Neither Democrats nor Republicans care .

[Moveon]

Yes , it is very painful. Imagine having an emergency on Friday evening and you can't get an apt till Monday. If it is a long weekend then Its even longer . The USCIS wants to make life hell for immigrants hoping that people will abandon their plans just out the feeling of hopelessness. Neither Democrats nor Republicans care .

I was looking at the EAD renewals. From what I see it is taking 6 months at NSC . So if you don't file on the very first day then you risk being out of status . They are processing June 21st as of today at NSC for EADs.

[tendlya]

I was looking at the EAD renewals. From what I see it is taking 6 months at NSC . So if you don't file on the very first day then you risk being out of status . They are processing June 21st as of today at NSC for EADs.

Is it possible to send renewal application more than 6 months before the expiry of EAD/AP cards?

[Moveon]

Is it possible to send renewal application more than 6 months before the expiry of EAD/AP cards?

No its 180 days strict. It was 120 before .