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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #5251
    Quote Originally Posted by Dondraper View Post
    there is no Eb2/3 line of india. its two long lines where everyone steps to the fastest line and than if the next one gets faster they step to that one. so all lines become slower cause everyone is in every line. its like the matrix neo is everywhere
    Still can't understand why the USCIS weed out two applications or treat a candidate with a PD in EB2 and EB3 as one application

  2. #5252
    Quote Originally Posted by vyruss View Post
    A couple of explanations:

    1. There are folks with both EB3 and EB2 I-140's in the months of April, May and June 2009. It is possible they are getting GCs in the EB3 category and not EB2. Also the reason EB2 is trudging along 3 days a month.
    2. Not every EB3 applicant ported to EB2. There are a few people who have not and they probably have spouse+children also filing in EB3.

    What's astounding is that, us desis found a way to file for GC in the peak of great recession . Between EB2 and EB3, the average filings per month may have taken some dip during the time, but does not reflect the overall job loss around that time.
    I agree that the GC filings were really aggressive between April, May, June of 2009 and remember those times in 2009 when everything appeared gloomy as far as economy was concerned but I still think one line is empty if the other line is clogged up and the dates are not moving faster in the empty line, in fact its retrogressed

  3. #5253
    Posting here for better visibility, any inputs:

    Field 485 back in 2012. Working on EAD since 2014. I work in a different location than where my perm was filed and indicated. I understand GC is for future job. But is there any risk working at different location than the one mentioned in perm ? Appreciate any inputs.

    Thanks in advance.

  4. #5254
    As EB-3 India is retrogressed, any idea how much EB-3 India will move forward in October 2019 bulletin?

  5. #5255
    Quote Originally Posted by karukon View Post
    Posting here for better visibility, any inputs:

    Field 485 back in 2012. Working on EAD since 2014. I work in a different location than where my perm was filed and indicated. I understand GC is for future job. But is there any risk working at different location than the one mentioned in perm ? Appreciate any inputs.

    Thanks in advance.
    You have NOT clearly stated whether you are working for the same company and in the same job description that filed for your PERM & I140? I believe we had a similar question earlier in this forum. For AC21, location change should not affect your AOS. As you are on EAD, you don't need to do H1B amendment for location change. You may need to file an AR-11 form and you might get an RFE for I-485 Supplement J. Consult with your attorney on the best strategy.

    Updated:
    If you decide to file I-485 Supp J, then an AR-11 may not be needed.

  6. #5256
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    You have NOT clearly stated whether you are working for the same company and in the same job description that filed for your PERM & I140? I believe we had a similar question earlier in this forum. For AC21, location change should not affect your AOS. As you are on EAD, you don't need to do H1B amendment for location change. You may need to file an AR-11 form and you might get an RFE for I-485 Supplement J. Consult with your attorney on the best strategy.

    Updated:
    If you decide to file I-485 Supp J, then an AR-11 may not be needed.
    Thanks much idliman. Working for the same employer with same job duties and don’t have an intention for job change with a JUN PD. Just wondering as I have seen some weird RFE's for 485 adjudication on the other forum (track..). Thanks again for the reply.

  7. #5257
    Quote Originally Posted by karukon View Post
    Thanks much idliman. Working for the same employer with same job duties and don’t have an intention for job change with a JUN PD. Just wondering as I have seen some weird RFE's for 485 adjudication on the other forum (track..). Thanks again for the reply.
    You are in much better shape than most of us (same employer, same job). Stay put. Hopefully you will be current once the next fiscal year starts. Don't worry. Your attorney should be able to handle any issues. There are a lot of experienced folks (experts) here and will help you out if there are any weird RFEs. Good Luck.

  8. #5258
    Thanks again, that's comforting!

  9. #5259
    Dear All,
    My date (May 1st 2009) just became current in the August Bulletin. Anyone able to advise what to expect or how it does (or can) pan out. Any insight would be much helpful. I have a few things lined up in anticipation of the GC and don't want to waste anymore time then I have to. If there is anything that can be done to expedite it then that would be much appreciated?
    Thanks in advance

  10. #5260
    AR-11 is an easy online thing and should be done by default IMO. Its just a change of address for your pending application.

    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    You have NOT clearly stated whether you are working for the same company and in the same job description that filed for your PERM & I140? I believe we had a similar question earlier in this forum. For AC21, location change should not affect your AOS. As you are on EAD, you don't need to do H1B amendment for location change. You may need to file an AR-11 form and you might get an RFE for I-485 Supplement J. Consult with your attorney on the best strategy.

    Updated:
    If you decide to file I-485 Supp J, then an AR-11 may not be needed.
    EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary

  11. #5261
    Stay put for a little bit and let USCIS do its job. Its likely that your date will remain current in future. If there is no progress, then you can do usual follow-ups with USCIS and more aggressive follow-up such as Congressman/Senator office enquiry.

    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    Dear All,
    My date (May 1st 2009) just became current in the August Bulletin. Anyone able to advise what to expect or how it does (or can) pan out. Any insight would be much helpful. I have a few things lined up in anticipation of the GC and don't want to waste anymore time then I have to. If there is anything that can be done to expedite it then that would be much appreciated?
    Thanks in advance
    EB2I NSC | PD: 08/07/2009 | Forum Glossary

  12. #5262
    Quote Originally Posted by almost View Post
    Dear All,
    My date (May 1st 2009) just became current in the August Bulletin. Anyone able to advise what to expect or how it does (or can) pan out. Any insight would be much helpful. I have a few things lined up in anticipation of the GC and don't want to waste anymore time then I have to. If there is anything that can be done to expedite it then that would be much appreciated?
    Thanks in advance
    Almost there .... perhaps simply call USCIS for case status after mid august or better yet have your congressman / senator call them. I had requested late Sen. John McCain to do so and boy oh boy he at least responded to me. God bless his soul. Whether he did something or anything I don't know. But I did receive my GC within a couple of months max.

    Take it easy ... 99.99% chance you should get it within month.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  13. #5263
    there are about 80,000 indians ( just the applicants ) in 2010 both EB2+3. Hmm lets think about how long that will take. Any guesses ??

  14. #5264
    Quote Originally Posted by Dondraper View Post
    there are about 80,000 indians ( just the applicants ) in 2010 both EB2+3. Hmm lets think about how long that will take. Any guesses ??
    To clear just the applicants-it would take 14.5 years in 2010 for EB2 and EB3.

    80000/5600

    5600=2800+2800

    Now factor in dependents too.... Its pretty bleak

  15. #5265
    Quote Originally Posted by qesehmk View Post
    Almost there .... perhaps simply call USCIS for case status after mid august or better yet have your congressman / senator call them. I had requested late Sen. John McCain to do so and boy oh boy he at least responded to me. God bless his soul. Whether he did something or anything I don't know. But I did receive my GC within a couple of months max.

    Take it easy ... 99.99% chance you should get it within month.
    Interesting Q. late Sen. John McCain's office also helped me get my AP (a couple weeks earlier than I was expecting) as I had to leave the country due to a family member's medical condition.

  16. #5266
    Quote Originally Posted by vyruss View Post
    Interesting Q. late Sen. John McCain's office also helped me get my AP (a couple weeks earlier than I was expecting) as I had to leave the country due to a family member's medical condition.
    Good guy! Wasn't he? I never knew you were in AZ. There are a few others like suninphx.
    I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
    I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
    Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.

    Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread


  17. #5267
    Here’s a thought experiment . When amnesty comes up and they have a rule saying that
    If you have lived here for past 3 years they will setup a pathway for you to get permanent green card and
    You would rather join that queue and not wait 14 years - in that case
    If you go to Mexico and then cross the border illegally and take a picture of you crossing the border does it make you eligible for amnesty?

    ^ please don’t do this without adequate legal consultation. Desperate times desperate measures
    EB-2 I Priority Date - 06/19/2009 I-485 Filed - 10/2015

  18. #5268
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dondraper View Post
    there are about 80,000 indians ( just the applicants ) in 2010 both EB2+3. Hmm lets think about how long that will take. Any guesses ??
    Not sure where you are getting that figure from. Care to elaborate?

    There were about 22.4k PERM certifications for India that approximately correspond to a 2010 PD.

    There'll be a few more NIW and Schedule A cases, but that would still be a long way away from your 80k figure.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  19. #5269
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  20. #5270
    Quote Originally Posted by Dondraper View Post
    there are about 80,000 indians ( just the applicants ) in 2010 both EB2+3. Hmm lets think about how long that will take. Any guesses ??
    You may want to look at the below for accurate data:

    https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...hina-amp-India

  21. #5271
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    First time poster here. Can I get your best guesses for when I might be able to file my I-485 with my EB2 India PD of July 7, 2009? This process has been one long tease over the last couple of years...Thanks much!

  22. #5272
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLureoftheGreen View Post
    First time poster here. Can I get your best guesses for when I might be able to file my I-485 with my EB2 India PD of July 7, 2009? This process has been one long tease over the last couple of years...Thank much!
    May 22, 2009 here. Was hoping to get GC 3 yrs ago when I moved cross country, changed job to jump in EB2 from EB3. It's been painful. Last year when they accepted filing dates, it was stuck on May 22, 2009 and I could not file it.

  23. #5273
    Quote Originally Posted by lville View Post
    May 22, 2009 here. Was hoping to get GC 3 yrs ago when I moved cross country, changed job to jump in EB2 from EB3. It's been painful. Last year when they accepted filing dates, it was stuck on May 22, 2009 and I could not file it.
    Just curious. Were you not able to use EB3 date of May 22, 3009 (like use the I-140 from EB3) to get GC when dates became current recently. I read elsewhere that USCiS was in fact reaching out to folks with I-140s in multiple categoris and asking which one they would like to proceed with. Not sure how that worked in their case.

  24. #5274
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    Quote Originally Posted by NJMavarick View Post
    You may want to look at the below for accurate data:

    https://www.qesehmk.org/forums/showt...hina-amp-India
    Thanks for this. Am I reading this right? There were approximately 3,800 EB2 and EB3 PERM certifications made in the months of May, June and July 2009. Assuming that 2,800 of those were EB2 petitions, can we expect EB2 petitions filed through, say June 2009, to clear in FY 2020?

  25. #5275
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    Quote Originally Posted by lville View Post
    May 22, 2009 here. Was hoping to get GC 3 yrs ago when I moved cross country, changed job to jump in EB2 from EB3. It's been painful. Last year when they accepted filing dates, it was stuck on May 22, 2009 and I could not file it.
    With 2,800 GCs EB2 is entitled to, I think that you are almost there. Perhaps the October 2019 bulletin gets it done for you. Hang in there.

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