EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[h1bh1bh1b]

Wait for EB3 FAD to reach and you can file I140 concurrently. After filing and service center is known you can move 140 to premium .
There are couple of users in October I 485 forum in track it have done it that way

Sorry I meant DF chart date

[newyorker123]

http://immigrationgirl.com/dhs-moves...r-h-4-spouses/

Marked economically significant : In my opinion, it can be potentially gone in 4-6 months. Of course there will be lawsuits etc.

In other news, H4 EAD will require fingerprinting from March 11th onwards, adding delays again.

Well, we knew anyway that the Admin is hostile.

[excalibur123]

As predicted -
https://immfinews.com/a-long-way-for...e-beyond-2009/

[LASHAB]

In absence of clear picture of 485 inventory it seems that EB2I will clear Aug-Sept 2009 in this FY with moderate spillover. EB3 FAD will move in tandem to discourage downgrade while trying to utilize as many unused ROW visas in that category.

[excalibur123]

In absence of clear picture of 485 inventory it seems that EB2I will clear Aug-Sept 2009 in this FY with moderate spillover. EB3 FAD will move in tandem to discourage downgrade while trying to utilize as many unused ROW visas in that category.

Not sure what you mean by moving in tandem to prevent downporting. It is not an objective of the system to discourage anything. People do things (upgrade or downgrade) based on their needs, and those change the numbers and thus the dates.

[altek001]

Can anyone opine on why USCIS has not published the pending inventory since July 2018?

In what ways, do they get to benefit (specifically in mis-allocating immigrant visas) by withholding the current pending inventory?

[qesehmk]

Can anyone opine on why USCIS has not published the pending inventory since July 2018?

In what ways, do they get to benefit (specifically in mis-allocating immigrant visas) by withholding the current pending inventory?

Could be by design, carelessness or inefficiency. My bet is on #1. State dept doesn't want you to know clear picture of when somebody may be greened. Perhaps they think people can conspire against the US if they know when they may be greened. That may sound farfetched ... but it may not be.

[babslak]

Why USCIS has not published the pending inventory ?
This may be the answer...
https://immfinews.com/uscis-eb-485-i...-long-overdue/

[babslak]

I believe there are very less chances for EB2-India to clear August/sep 2009. There are atleast 1000-1500 applicants per each month in 2009. Right now we are in Apr 2009...based on this go ahead and calculate.

[Raj0687]

Could be by design, carelessness or inefficiency. My bet is on #1. State dept doesn't want you to know clear picture of when somebody may be greened. Perhaps they think people can conspire against the US if they know when they may be greened. That may sound farfetched ... but it may not be.

I have a feeling that the uscis is not utilizing all of the visa numbers from past few years (at least from 2015), it is intentionally wasting visas, because of it is being preached, driven by the strong anti-immigrant non profit groups.

At this time, the only information they are sharing is just the annual per country consumption report, I think they can cook up this report, not sure how to prove this.

[rohanvus]

I have a feeling that the uscis is not utilizing all of the visa numbers from past few years (at least from 2015), it is intentionally wasting visas, because of it is being preached, driven by the strong anti-immigrant non profit groups.

At this time, the only information they are sharing is just the annual per country consumption report, I think they can cook up this report, not sure how to prove this.

You maybe right . This goes back to the same thing that Q has been telling which is to take this to court or channelize energies in suing instead of solely doing advocacy . Maybe advocay works - but havent we tried that already many times with 100s of co-sponsors and getting beaten down at the end ? There is saying "To not make a mistake is a mistake , but to keep keep doing the same mistake everytme and expecting different result is foolishness"

[newyorker123]

You maybe right . This goes back to the same thing that Q has been telling which is to take this to court or channelize energies in suing instead of solely doing advocacy . Maybe advocay works - but havent we tried that already many times with 100s of co-sponsors and getting beaten down at the end ? There is saying "To not make a mistake is a mistake , but to keep keep doing the same mistake everytme and expecting different result is foolishness"

Needs someone(or a group) with persistence, and deep pockets to pursue this. Some EB5 China investors recently sued for adding dependents as part of EB5, and it was denied

[altek001]

I have a feeling that the uscis is not utilizing all of the visa numbers from past few years (at least from 2015), it is intentionally wasting visas, because of it is being preached, driven by the strong anti-immigrant non profit groups.

At this time, the only information they are sharing is just the annual per country consumption report, I think they can cook up this report, not sure how to prove this.

I agree on wastage/ reallocation of visa numbers, which is why EB-India is stuck. This correlates to increasing costs in keeping up with filing and visa fees.

Not releasing Pending inventory for 8 months is very fishy. AILA not questioning USCIS on this, is quite frustating. It appears there are many stakeholders who have a benefit in withholding this information.

Even since Dates of Filiing were introduced in 2015, the Visa bulletin movement of dates have been miserable.

[altek001]

I agree on wastage/ reallocation of visa numbers, which is why EB-India is stuck. This correlates to increasing costs in keeping up with filing and visa fees.

Not releasing Pending inventory for 8 months is very fishy. AILA not questioning USCIS on this, is quite frustating. It appears there are many stakeholders who have a benefit in withholding this information.

Even since Dates of Filiing were introduced in 2015, the Visa bulletin movement of dates have been miserable.

Attachment 1447Attachment 1448

Pending inventory over the years

[AceMan]

Attachment 1447Attachment 1448

Pending inventory over the years

Pending inventory beyond Jan 18 does not include field office information for Eb1 and 3

[EB2/eb3]

https://immfinews.com/uscis-eb-485-i...a-long-overdue

As per this article, USCIS may not release the inventory ever!

[LASHAB]

I believe there are very less chances for EB2-India to clear August/sep 2009. There are atleast 1000-1500 applicants per each month in 2009. Right now we are in Apr 2009...based on this go ahead and calculate.

Since the pending inventory data is not available since Jul 18, its tough to make any assessment, even with unreliable nos in the pending inventory report. My guess is based on a SO of 4-5k and clearing up of Jan-March 09 in last FY. With this assumption the dates can clear Aug 09. But again these are all assumptions in absence of any concrete and reliable data.

[vyruss]

When will spillover, if available, be applied? The third or the fourth quarter?

[altek001]

https://immfinews.com/uscis-eb-485-i...a-long-overdue

As per this article, USCIS may not release the inventory ever!

USCIS ultimately had to resort to this rule, as lot of folks in EB India (including EB1) have gamed the system to apply in the category where Green Card is obtained in the least time. Many folks petitioned for in EB2/EB3, think of getting EB1C by working overseas for sometime in Indian IT firms. Though there is nothing wrong with doing this, this hurts others who wait patiently in their queue category. This has compounded to severe visa retrogression in a few categories.

Atleast we should appreciate someone in USCIS/DOS has noticed and making regulatory changes to alleviate this problem. Who knows they made end up NOT counting dependents in EB visa allocation when enough comments are received.

[EB22010Dec]

USCIS ultimately had to resort to this rule, as lot of folks in EB India (including EB1) have gamed the system to apply in the category where Green Card is obtained in the least time. Many folks petitioned for in EB2/EB3, think of getting EB1C by working overseas for sometime in Indian IT firms. Though there is nothing wrong with doing this, this hurts others who wait patiently in their queue category. This has compounded to severe visa retrogression in a few categories.

Atleast we should appreciate someone in USCIS/DOS has noticed and making regulatory changes to alleviate this problem. Who knows they made end up NOT counting dependents in EB visa allocation when enough comments are received.

stockholm syndrome

[vsivarama]

https://immfinews.com/uscis-eb-485-i...a-long-overdue

As per this article, USCIS may not release the inventory ever!

This sounds like bad news for EB2-I. EB2-I never moved because of the upgrades from EB3-I. Now once EB3-I has caught up and moved ahead looks like (the rule if enacted) downgrades will be prevented. Am I correct in understanding the article? Just when I thought it cannot get any worse....

[redsox2009]

2019 YOD DOS Data total.

	China	India	Mexico	Philippines	ROW	Total
FB	4072	4420	8634	4539	44430	66095
EB	1343	0882	0143	1754	5260	9382
Total	5415	5302	8777	6293	49690	75477

[redsox2009]

Here is the 2019 January DOS data.

	China	India	Mexico	Philippines	South Korea	Vietnam	ROW-SK-VET	Total
EB1	104	15	00	00	13	01	88	221
EB2	09	07	05	10	152	02	136	321
EB3	011	226	031	404	050	016	688	1426
EB4	03	08	02	04	01	08	141	167
EB5	082	022	000	002	000	012	054	172
Total	209	278	038	420	216	039	1107	2307

[texas_]

i dont know how to interpret this table

Can someone shed on light ?

[swordfish380]

2019 YOD DOS Data total.

	China	India	Mexico	Philippines	ROW	Total
FB	4072	4420	8634	4539	44430	66095
EB	1343	0882	0143	1754	5260	9382
Total	5415	5302	8777	6293	49690	75477

Pardon my ignorance, based on this report DOS has ißued 800 GCs to EB2i? If this is correct then EB2i has 2000 GCs to receive ?