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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #4676
    Quote Originally Posted by rocketfast View Post
    Anytime, you criticize USCIS (like the aila report), they will show how much more worse they could do, if they want
    You guys are reading too much into it. The bulletin has nearly always come out on the first Thursday or Friday after 10th of the month.

  2. #4677
    That is not the case always Ex: Nov2018 bulletin was released on October 5, 2018 which is first Friday.
    I went back and check for several years mostly it was released on or before 12th.

  3. #4678
    Someone on trackitt said they’re waiting for the spending bill to get signed so they can correctly decide EB4/5 dates

  4. #4679
    Quote Originally Posted by Nov2010 View Post
    That is not the case always Ex: Nov2018 bulletin was released on October 5, 2018 which is first Friday.
    I went back and check for several years mostly it was released on or before 12th.
    Where did you see this?

    I checked Oct 2018 visa bulletin - it is dated for Sep 10, but if you check trackitt forums it was made public on Sep 12. Similarly Dec 2018 bulletin is dated Nov 8, but was made public Nov 13.

    And Nov 2018 bulletin was made public on Oct 11.

  5. #4680
    Quote Originally Posted by ferric View Post
    Someone on trackitt said they’re waiting for the spending bill to get signed so they can correctly decide EB4/5 dates
    You will have the VB out tomorrow morning before 9 AM EDT.

  6. #4681
    Quote Originally Posted by EB32010 View Post
    YT, I am revisiting this prediction of yours. Do you think it will still be just 25% only on the downgrades? If you look at trackitt, there are many many downgrades happening. I am expecting downgrading to spike up exponentially once it pass May 2010.
    I agree. I am expecting that it will be a 2 yr jamba lakidi pamba, before EB2 goes ahead again(given that no immigration bill will be passed anymore)

  7. #4682

  8. #4683
    Quote Originally Posted by Maxray View Post
    Very disappointing for EB2I, moved only by 3 days to April 9 2009, it is like torturing, ours is April 17 2009 and the last few months have been really annoying. Can anyone in this forum - Spec, YT - provide any insight, how many more painful months to wait before my date becomes current.

  9. #4684
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    Quote Originally Posted by saagar_is_cool View Post
    Very disappointing for EB2I, moved only by 3 days to April 9 2009, it is like torturing, ours is April 17 2009 and the last few months have been really annoying. Can anyone in this forum - Spec, YT - provide any insight, how many more painful months to wait before my date becomes current.
    Yes. It’s very painful for EB2.

    Also I am very disappointed with EB3 movement too. I expected little more.

  10. #4685
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    Quote Originally Posted by saagar_is_cool View Post
    Very disappointing for EB2I, moved only by 3 days to April 9 2009, it is like torturing, ours is April 17 2009 and the last few months have been really annoying. Can anyone in this forum - Spec, YT - provide any insight, how many more painful months to wait before my date becomes current.
    I am in no way a prediction guru but at this point any kind prediction will be more like speculation rather that a calculated guess.

  11. #4686
    Did'nt some folks say that EB3 FAD will move ahead 3 months every VB ? This time it moved out only by 1 month.

  12. #4687
    This VB is going to change a lot of discussions we had especially around the 3 months movement in EB3. It seems we may end up with only 3 months movement by May VB. This is a total bummer!

  13. #4688
    1 month for EB3 is surprising, but last year EB3 moved 13 months between March and April so maybe next month will be better.

  14. #4689
    Quote Originally Posted by ferric View Post
    1 month for EB3 is surprising, but last year EB3 moved 13 months between March and April so maybe next month will be better.
    There might be better movement next month; given its the new quarter. Also, I think everyone should be a little more patient. EB2I moved five months in last one year.

  15. #4690
    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    There might be better movement next month; given its the new quarter. Also, I think everyone should be a little more patient. EB2I moved five months in last one year.
    Pretty sure EB2/3I folks are the epitome of patience ;-) I think the surprising part was that the bulletin projected movement up to 3 months yet moved only one month, why not project 1 month in that case or, offer up a reason for the difference?

    Are they just being cautious or have they received more 485s than they were expecting?

  16. #4691
    Quote Originally Posted by ferric View Post
    Pretty sure EB2/3I folks are the epitome of patience ;-) I think the surprising part was that the bulletin projected movement up to 3 months yet moved only one month, why not project 1 month in that case or, offer up a reason for the difference?

    Are they just being cautious or have they received more 485s than they were expecting?
    Yes we are. And honest truth is that we are better off than most Americans and other demographics as well. A green card will give lots of peace but that's pretty much about it

  17. #4692
    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    Yes we are. And honest truth is that we are better off than most Americans and other demographics as well. A green card will give lots of peace but that's pretty much about it

    Do you understand hindi/urdu - "dil ko khush rakhne ko, ghalib, yeh kahyal bhi achcha hai".

  18. #4693
    Please dont take this the wrong way but ....

    I am not sure you can say that. "We are better off than most americans" really? How ? Could you please educate us?

    Is that how we wanna project overselves? with Empty words?

  19. #4694
    specs any plans for updating rackitt data for fy2019?
    EB2-I, PD - 03/25/2009

  20. #4695
    This bulletin's EB3-I movement has shown, "DON"T DOWNGRADE NOW". Wait and watch, its seems the EB3-I might not pass Oct-2009. CO had said multiple times that EB2 and EB3 will be very close. So people who are rushing towards the downgrade might have to strongly reconsider else they will again kick themselves for downgrading.

  21. #4696
    Quote Originally Posted by EB2-03252009 View Post
    specs any plans for updating rackitt data for fy2019?

    Not trying to be rude here but no amount of analysis is going to help us anymore as the DOS/ USCIS are hellbent on making this wait miserable. We are wasting our time in false hopes and uncertainty every month. They could at least make a statement that in a particular month in the last quarter- they will apply spillover or some rules to that effect.

  22. #4697
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    My BIL Moved to Australia on 2017. He might have made a smart move

  23. #4698
    In a cliffhanger, my EB3I-140 - I485 concurrent filing application reached USCIS on 1/30. Did anyone who filed late Jan get a receipt notice? I am still waiting for mine. Seems a long wait compared to earlier filings.

  24. #4699
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    Quote Originally Posted by mcmilers View Post
    My BIL Moved to Australia on 2017. He might have made a smart move
    BIL's are always smart... proved again!

  25. #4700
    Quote Originally Posted by Turbulent_Dragonfly View Post
    Any advice on what to do for EB2I PD of May 10, 2010? Just hang tight until FAD reaches that or do all the shenanigans of down porting when the EB3 Filing Date crosses that? No issues with the job as such and going on year 12 now so stability is not a concern. Another couple of years and my wife can apply in EB1A or B. Thanks!
    Wait for EB3 FAD to reach and you can file I140 concurrently. After filing and service center is known you can move 140 to premium .
    There are couple of users in October I 485 forum in track it have done it that way

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