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Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #4026
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Quote Originally Posted by srimurthy View Post
    As Q shared your extension with the new I-94 is good for Job change. You would only need stamping if you travel out of the country.
    I have done two job changes and my company was merged or acquired thrice while my H1s got extended with I-94 attached. My family travelled out of the country and when ever they did they went to the consulate to get the visa stamped.
    Thank you Srimurthy and Q! Ability to go abroad is one of my big concerns (in the specific case that I join on receipt)
    Lets say I have H1b approval with current company until 2021, and I change companies and join new company on H1b receipt. New H1b is not approved. Can I even go abroad and re-enter in the following 2 cases ?
    1) if I have my H1b stamp on passport with old company only until 2018 ?
    2) if I have my H1b stamp on passport with old company until 2021 ?

  2. #4027
    Congratulations. I agree the analysis here is extremely valuable. On a side note, I am always curious on the cryptic website name "qeshmk" does anyone have any idea what it stands for?

  3. #4028
    Quote Originally Posted by Progress View Post
    My priory date is July 2013 . Any idea how long would be the wait
    I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.

  4. #4029
    Quote Originally Posted by Tandav View Post
    I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.
    👍👍👍👍 good to know

  5. #4030
    Quote Originally Posted by swordfish380 View Post
    How much time is USCIS taking to issue ead/ap for renewals
    Mine took 6 weeks at NSC and one my friend had approval in 4 weeks at TSC. USCIS improved on EAD/AP renewal timelines i guess, most of them i heard were approved between 4-8 weeks.

  6. #4031
    Quote Originally Posted by Tandav View Post
    I am sitting with EB2I Apr 2010 PD and I will be more than happy if I get greened within another 3 years. Do the math for yourself.
    I'm 30th March, 2010 EB2..I was hoping 2020...looks like 2021 ouchh!!

  7. #4032
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    I'm 30th March, 2010 EB2..I was hoping 2020...looks like 2021 ouchh!!
    Anybody with a priority date later than Sep 2009 should seriously consider downgrading to EB3, it is going to go way faster.
    NSC:EB2 India, Priority Date:05/27/09, ND:03/08/12, NRD:03/14/12

  8. #4033
    Why do you say any body. Looks like 2013 is a very long way to go.

  9. #4034
    Quote Originally Posted by Progress View Post
    Why do you say any body. Looks like 2013 is a very long way to go.
    Fair enough, for 2013 priority dates it is better to wait a couple of years and see how it goes.
    NSC:EB2 India, Priority Date:05/27/09, ND:03/08/12, NRD:03/14/12

  10. #4035
    Quote Originally Posted by shekhar_kuruk View Post
    Anybody with a priority date later than Sep 2009 should seriously consider downgrading to EB3, it is going to go way faster.
    I don;t have this option; I will just have to wait it out. People who can port to EB3 from EB2, please do so

  11. #4036
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    36
    January 2019 visa bulletin released. https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...uary-2019.html

    EB3-I filing date moved to April 1, 2010. Good movement, hopefully this will be honored by USCIS for AOS.

  12. #4037
    Visa Bulletin out - EB3 India Filing Dates @01-APR2010

  13. #4038
    Quote Originally Posted by Immigo View Post
    January 2019 visa bulletin released. https://travel.state.gov/content/tra...uary-2019.html

    EB3-I filing date moved to April 1, 2010
    Wow!! Soaring like an eagle but no movement on the FA date though.

  14. #4039
    Good movement indeed. Very interesting thing to note is the NVC data included in the bulletin:

    https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2018.pdf

    Looks like a lot of China folks are applying via Consular route in EB1 category.

  15. #4040
    Quote Originally Posted by GCkaLADDU View Post
    Good movement indeed. Very interesting thing to note is the NVC data included in the bulletin:

    https://travel.state.gov/content/dam...tItem_2018.pdf

    Looks like a lot of China folks are applying via Consular route in EB1 category.
    Baby steps, people. Three month movement for EB3I FD is really good. The last time we had such good news in January, it was year 2012.

  16. #4041
    Gurus

    Per NVC data, there are 21,385 applications waiting at NVC in EB3 India category as of Nov 1st, 2018. Sometime back, we saw that the total number of approved I-140 in EB3-I category was around 55K as of April 2018. Does this mean that there are roughly 34K (55 - 21) approved I-140's which will use AOS route roughly speaking?

    Off course, there's a time difference in between these two reports but just trying to make sense at very high level.

  17. #4042

    so no movement

    for final action dates for EB2I?

  18. #4043
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    By any chance, is it possible to see filing or final dates of Jan 2012 in the next 1/2 years for EB2 or EB3 ?

  19. #4044
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    EB1 A / EB1B / EB1C - the only solutions !

  20. #4045
    Yoda
    Join Date
    Jul 2011
    Location
    New Jersey
    Posts
    313
    Quote Originally Posted by newyorker123 View Post
    By any chance, is it possible to see filing or final dates of Jan 2012 in the next 1/2 years for EB2 or EB3 ?
    No one knows for how long USCIS will keep accepting the filing dates. Jan 2012 in EB2 being able to file in the next two years only when some magic happens and that we can count it as not happening. Most PDs in late 2010 in EB2 are looking at the option of filing a I140 amendment to be considered for EB3 just to get EAD. Things will have more clarity for 2012 may be around Sep'19.

    Someone just got greened after a 10 year wait and that should be the benchmark whether EB2 or EB3 how I look at things.

  21. #4046
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Tragic to note, but 10 yr mark in 2022 is not far away.

  22. #4047
    Quote Originally Posted by srimurthy View Post
    No one knows for how long USCIS will keep accepting the filing dates. Jan 2012 in EB2 being able to file in the next two years only when some magic happens and that we can count it as not happening. Most PDs in late 2010 in EB2 are looking at the option of filing a I140 amendment to be considered for EB3 just to get EAD. Things will have more clarity for 2012 may be around Sep'19.

    Someone just got greened after a 10 year wait and that should be the benchmark whether EB2 or EB3 how I look at things.

    The filing date moved 3 months only for EB3 while rest of the dates for every category had very little or new movement. EB1-ROW is backlogged in the 2nd quarter as well. I was expecting them to be current in Jan 19.
    I expect USCIS to continue to consider filing date for January as well.

  23. #4048
    Gurus in the forum. How fast do you guys foresee FD moving for EB3I from here on? Or when do you expect to see slow down in EBI FD movement?

    Reason I ask this is I am EB3 JAN/14, just trying to see when would I be able to apply for at least EAD/AP

    Thanks in advance

  24. #4049
    Quote Originally Posted by newyorker123 View Post
    Tragic to note, but 10 yr mark in 2022 is not far away.
    Thats a very optimistic estimate

  25. #4050
    Aceman - Where do you think the FD will end up for EB3 at the end of FY19? Please also consider the downgrade scenario once the FD passes May 2010. Thanks.

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