EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

[Spectator]

Perhaps the expiry of H1C visas contributing to less EB3 Philippines workers in US?

That was very restrictive visa.

Only 500 could be issued a year and the number of qualifying hospitals who could sponsor it was very low (about 14 according to Wikipedia).

The validity was for 3 years, non-renewable and once held, the person could never apply for it again.

Most adjustments would be from H1B for specialty nurses, but the vast majority of Filipino nurses in the past were RN who used Consular Processing.

There certainly was a period where EB3 was quite heavily retrogressed for Philippines and many probably abandoned, while others just waited it out. With relatively low wait times currently, I don't see any reason why the numbers would lower, especially as many have become wiser about qualifying at at least the BSN level which allows use of the H1B visa.

[suninphx]

Thanks all for chiming in.

At one of the very large bay area company where my friend works, the HR had following reply (after receiving multiple queries):

"They would want to see more data and how (much) it actually benefits employee to switch the priority queue. Then they will formulate a policy and make a decision case by case basis". So I was trying to gauge some early data.

I really really hope that people show diligence and not harm each other's chances by multiple filings in a hurry thus providing excuse to not move dates.

But after years and years of waiting if some people want to take their own chances can't blame them.

This is going to be very interesting FY.. hopefully we get best case scenario for every one.

[march272010]

Lawyer has sent RFE reply (medicals and 325a) and in a single day got alerts RFE response received. How come Uscis working so diligently and will they come to March 2010 at all in FY 2019 ��

[EB2/eb3]

Any idea what this new proposed rule of in admissibility on public charge grounds is, when this tsunami will likely hit and how bad?

[redsox2009]

August CO Visa Issuance data is out.


Here is the 2018 August DOS data.

	China	India	Mexico	Philippines	South Korea	Vietnam	ROW-SK-VET	Total
EB1	00	00	01	00	00	00	25	26
EB2	10	01	02	31	85	03	91	229
EB3	011	088	018	356	29	08	345	855
EB4	003	004	000	011	000	003	109	130
EB5	060	033	008	003	027	000	108	239
Total	84	126	029	401	141	014	684	1479

[redsox2009]

YOD DOS Data total.

	China	India	Mexico	Philippines	South Korea	Vietnam	ROW-SK-VET	Total
EB1	1457	0183	0074	0012	0281	0018	1821	3846
EB2	0089	0069	0042	0370	1149	0032	1358	3109
EB3	0509	0744	0217	4727	0446	0093	3678	10414
EB4	036	188	005	057	036	041	1356	1719
EB5	3782	0348	0066	0012	0438	0658	1934	7238
Total	5873	1532	0404	5178	2350	0842	10147	26326

[texas_]

EB3 Phillipines got the highest chunk in August. Now getting an H1B approval and applying for GC is hard i believe eb3 I would benefit to some extent

Just my thought!!

[srisri]

I

Any idea what this new proposed rule of in admissibility on public charge grounds is, when this tsunami will likely hit and how bad?

If you happen to find any info let me know... i’m also eagerly waiting for actual verbiage in the memo.

[Nishant_imt]

Hi Spec, I sent you a question in your mailbox. Can you please give me some insight?

[EB3Iwaiting]

I

If you happen to find any info let me know... i’m also eagerly waiting for actual verbiage in the memo.

Greg has posted a detailed summary - if anyone is interested:

http://blog.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2018...c-charge-rule/
.

Important part to note is that extensions of status forms will contain these questions - forms I-129 and I-539.

" Aliens must remain self-sufficient

for the entire period of their

stay. DHS will now consider an alien

’

s financial status in determining if the alien has maintained

their current nonimmigrant status. Questions will be added to

the I-129 and I-539 regarding

this. Employers will have to ask their workers about this i

n order to complete the forms."

Don't think any H1B will disqualify but as usual...an added hassle.

[akshaya8]

Hi Spec and other gurus

what is your take on below Did EB2 India got 8K+ for Fy2018?

Below is inventory for EB2 india

Year October 2017 Report July 2018 Report
2008 - 8258 227
2009 - 8820 10831
2010 - 1763 4677

Total 19466 15826

1. Total count down by 3,600 this is despite increase in number for 2009 & 2010 about 5K in July 2018 inventory. July 2008 numbers for 2009 and 2010 are in sync with earlier reports.
So 5000 + 3,600 = 8,600 got approved.

2. 2008 number reduced to 277 from 8258 This is down by 8000 + in first 3 months of 2009 the number are down from about 3150 to 1300 about 1800 Reduced for Q1 2009. That means 9500 got approved.

[iatiam]

Greg has posted a detailed summary - if anyone is interested:

http://blog.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2018...c-charge-rule/
.

Important part to note is that extensions of status forms will contain these questions - forms I-129 and I-539.

" Aliens must remain self-sufficient

for the entire period of their

stay. DHS will now consider an alien

’

s financial status in determining if the alien has maintained

their current nonimmigrant status. Questions will be added to

the I-129 and I-539 regarding

this. Employers will have to ask their workers about this i

n order to complete the forms."

Don't think any H1B will disqualify but as usual...an added hassle.

Looks like Credit Scores can be used as a criteria for checking financial eligibility. Would this have an impact?

Iatiam

[dreamze]

Looks like Credit Scores can be used as a criteria for checking financial eligibility. Would this have an impact?

Iatiam

Considering trend from last year during Oct\Nov\Dec, every month EB2I Final Action Date was moved by 22 days. If the same trend continues this year, next bulletin date will be 21 Apr and next month after that will be 15 May. My very very optimistic guess.

[LASHAB]

My assessment is that with low to moderate SO and fast movement in EB3I resulting in downward porting the dates for EB2I can move to later part of 2009 (Oct/Nov) in this FY. Worst case scenario is Aug, best is Dec

[AceMan]

649, 1429, 1411 are the April, May and June data for India. For FY18 we had counted 3500 EB2 I till July 2018.

From July 2009 through to December 2009 we have another 6000.

The only way I see is absolutely low demand for Eb2-ROW in FY 19 which may result in about 10-12 K SO along with 2900 standard ones. That way EB2 can reach May 1st 2010 by the end of FY 19.

[EB3Iwaiting]

649, 1429, 1411 are the April, May and June data for India. For FY18 we had counted 3500 EB2 I till July 2018.

From July 2009 through to December 2009 we have another 6000.

The only way I see is absolutely low demand for Eb2-ROW in FY 19 which may result in about 10-12 K SO along with 2900 standard ones. That way EB2 can reach May 1st 2010 by the end of FY 19.

Don't think there is low demand in ROW. PERM approvals continue to be high. I also noticed interviews are being scheduled around 6-7 months after I-485 submittal.

[AceMan]

Don't think there is low demand in ROW. PERM approvals continue to be high. I also noticed interviews are being scheduled around 6-7 months after I-485 submittal.

You need to see the possibility somewhere. No SO from EB1, EB3 SO if any will be eaten by EB1 again, EB2 I has no where to look, and the only place would be EB2-ROW, China or Philippines.

[srisri]

Greg has posted a detailed summary - if anyone is interested:

http://blog.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2018...c-charge-rule/
.

Important part to note is that extensions of status forms will contain these questions - forms I-129 and I-539.

" Aliens must remain self-sufficient

for the entire period of their

stay. DHS will now consider an alien

’

s financial status in determining if the alien has maintained

their current nonimmigrant status. Questions will be added to

the I-129 and I-539 regarding

this. Employers will have to ask their workers about this i

n order to complete the forms."

Don't think any H1B will disqualify but as usual...an added hassle.

Thanks for the link.

[canada]

http://immigrationgirl.com/dhs-to-pr...nge-of-status/


DHS proposals for visa/ I485/ Green card approval- credit scores, medical condition, financial liabilities as requirements

[maverick23]

I have an urgent question and request some guidance/advice.

My priority date is 31 July 2007 (EB3-I) and my AOS was applied in April 2018 when dates got current (missed the opportunity in July 2007). However, since a part of my company was bought last year (my employment got transferred as well), the new employer applied for 140 amendment (successor in interest) along with AOS.

The 140 amendment is filed in regular processing and is still pending (5 months). The original 140 was approved by Texas and the current 140 amendment is also pending with the same center.

My question is do I have the option to convert to premium at this point? I have scoured the internet and have not got a definitive answer. Some lawyers say USCIS will not accept premium processing for 140 SII as the original labor is provided with the application. However, I have seen some say that premium processing can be requested after the application has been pending for a while (assuming to give time to USCIS to pull the original labor out of the archive file).

If I do have the option to convert to premium, I am willing to pay the fees on my behalf. Can someone please advice?

[HarepathekaIntezar]

I have an urgent question and request some guidance/advice.

My priority date is 31 July 2007 (EB3-I) and my AOS was applied in April 2018 when dates got current (missed the opportunity in July 2007). However, since a part of my company was bought last year (my employment got transferred as well), the new employer applied for 140 amendment (successor in interest) along with AOS.

The 140 amendment is filed in regular processing and is still pending (5 months). The original 140 was approved by Texas and the current 140 amendment is also pending with the same center.

My question is do I have the option to convert to premium at this point? I have scoured the internet and have not got a definitive answer. Some lawyers say USCIS will not accept premium processing for 140 SII as the original labor is provided with the application. However, I have seen some say that premium processing can be requested after the application has been pending for a while (assuming to give time to USCIS to pull the original labor out of the archive file).

If I do have the option to convert to premium, I am willing to pay the fees on my behalf. Can someone please advice?

You are saying you already applied for AOS. Where does the question of premium processing arise?

[maverick23]

You are saying you already applied for AOS. Where does the question of premium processing arise?

I am referring to the I-140 Successor In Interest amendment which is currently filed under regular processing. Do I have the option to switch the application to premium processing ? I am of the opinion that USCIS does not allow for premium processing in SII cases but had also read conflicting opinions on some immigration forums.

[saagar_is_cool]

649, 1429, 1411 are the April, May and June data for India. For FY18 we had counted 3500 EB2 I till July 2018.

From July 2009 through to December 2009 we have another 6000.

The only way I see is absolutely low demand for Eb2-ROW in FY 19 which may result in about 10-12 K SO along with 2900 standard ones. That way EB2 can reach May 1st 2010 by the end of FY 19.

Does this mean that EB2I April 2009 will clear in this FY19 within the 2800 quota without needing any spillover. Ours is April 17 2009 and eagerly waiting to be greened due to some unfortunate/uncontrollable scheme of events happening at work. We recently got RFEs for Medicals and 485J and after responding, got 485J approval notice recently.

[Ind2009]

Came to learn USCIS has flipped back to Final Action dates for Oct filing.

[Ind2009]

I am only hoping someone who is responsible for updating the HTML messed up and took the September page and did a save as and updated.
The mainpage shows only Final Action dates will be accepted for Employment Category for Oct 18.

https://www.uscis.gov/visabulletininfo

The link inside shows Filing dates will be used for Employment Category for Oct 18.

https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gre...s-october-2018