Originally Posted by Spectator
Well they are busy stealing FEMA money so that they can run those detention camps.
Besides their turd in chief has asked them to only count people from Norway.
Well they are busy stealing FEMA money so that they can run those detention camps.
Besides their turd in chief has asked them to only count people from Norway.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
No specific reason. Sometime uscis does that just for fun and to harass. You were just unlucky this time.
Last time my wife got 1 year AP; this year back to 2 yr combo. So, just a matter of luck and how pissed off the person approving file is.
https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/gre...s-october-2018
EB3-I dates are honored by USCIS.
Question for the Gurus:
Final/Filing dates for India EB1 are in 2016/2017 now.
Any chance or scenario in coming 1-2 years when they might go back to Jan 2012 ?
And if so, when could that happen ?
You are still lucky with EAD in Hand for many years.
My PD is June 2010, no EAD, still on H1B, with lot of uncertainties at Job and H1b extn/travel.
Ye Gods!!!
It's a miracle!!!
This is only the 6th time in 37 months that Filing Dates for EB have been accepted by USCIS.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Great news!
Oh Yeah! 10 months jump for EB3-I (Jan to Oct) is phenomenal!
For a change this one dream looks kind of reality for EB3. Lets hope they don't do an U-turn like September 2015.
I don't see any iota of evidence why USCIS should do that. They need to generate demand for EB-3 India.
Looks no inventory in EB3 caused this. Appears it will be crossing end of 2010 by end of FY 19 or at-least in 2020.
It has been so long since we see a decent piece of information from USCIS. So please forgive me if I appear skeptical. Its just the mindset !!!
How will final action dates of EB2-India and EB3-India get impacted for FY 2019 with USCIS honoring the filing dates?
NOTE from the visa bulletin: Numbers are authorized for issuance only for applicants whose priority date is earlier than the final action date listed.
The final action date for EB3-I is Jan 2009. Since only a maximum of 2800/4 = 700 green cards can be given in a quarter, would it fair to say that the materialized demand for EB3-I before Jan 1 2009 is around 700 so far?
That was always the case, nothing new here.
Looks fishy to me, where is the final action date then? or do they mean filing date as final action date?
Anyway people!!! be careful with stupid USCIS, I am a victim of Oct 2015.
Breaking news
For Employment-Based Preference Filings:
You must use the Dates for Filing chart in the Department of State Visa Bulletin for October 2018.
https://www.uscis.gov/visabulletininfo
Based on Oct Bulletin, I think DOS and USCIS wanted to run a tight ship. So they might be moving filing dates slowly. Until the inventory is build up. Then ignore the filing dates.
On another note - swordfish also had commented that this site takes a lot of time for some (NEW users') posts to appear.
This is true for NEW users whose first few posts are manually moderated. We do not have enough moderators anymore as most of the old guard is now greened.
If some of you would like to moderate, let me know. This way we can speed up moderation for new users.
I no longer provide calculations/predictions ever since whereismyGC.com was created.
I do run this site only as an administrator. Our goal is to improve clarity of GC process to help people plan their lives better.
Use the info at your risk. None of this is legal advice.
Forum Glossary | Forum Rules and Guidelines | If your published post disappeared, check - Lies and Misinformation thread
Thank you for the insight. I had noticed it last time but when my post appeared right away i thought it may have been a glicth last time so i re edited my post.
There's such a dearth of information at the moment and some of what is available is suspect.
I thought I'd look again at the various USCIS reports to see if more information could be extracted.
The assumption is that the USCIS quarterly reports correctly report the number of pending I-485. I've used these ones, since they separate out Service Center (SC) and Field Office (FO) data. Time wise, they are very close to the Inventory Report dates.
Despite having a line for National Benefits Center (NBC), no figures are given.
We then have the USCIS Inventory, which purports to show cases at the Service Centers, although it clearly does not show cases at NBC.
With some simple addition and subtraction, it's possible to identify the number of missing cases and hypothesize that these are at the NBC awaiting distribution to the FO.
Diff. refers to the difference between total number of pending cases reported by USCIS to the number reported in the Inventory Report. We could say that this number equals those at either the FO or NBC.
FO/NBC gives the % of total pending cases that are at either FO or NBC. It's an overall number - it's likely lower for India due to the number of pending cases submitted before March 2017 and correspondingly higher for other countries.
------------- From USCIS _485 Report
------------ SC ------ FO ------ Total -- Inventory ----- Diff. ---- NBC?? -- FO/NBC
Aug-17 -- 144,272 --- 4,275 -- 148,547 ---- 144,223 ---- (4,324) ------ 49 ---- 2.9%
Oct-17 -- 139,768 --- 9,614 -- 149,382 ---- 133,502 --- (15,880) --- 6,266 --- 10.6%
Jan-18 -- 114,734 -- 27,843 -- 142,577 ---- 103,675 --- (38,902) -- 11,059 --- 27.3%
Apr-18 -- 115,084 -- 47,591 -- 162,675 ----- 48,190 -- (114,485) -- 66,894 --- 70.4%
Comparable figures are not available for the July Inventory because USCIS has not published Q3 figures yet.
It may be rubbish. I've tried to lay out the logic behind the calculations, so decide for yourself whether it makes sense or not.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
Hi Spec
How did the July 2018 inventory numbers show up beyond Jan 2009 when the priority dates didn't move beyond Jan 2009? Also, if those numbers are to be believed then with downgrading don't you think that EB3 INDIA should even move beyond Oct 2009?
I've created a thread for the discussion of EB2 to EB3 reverse porting.
Please post in this thread, rather than the Calculations and Predictions thread, since I think this will become quite sizable in its own right.
I suggest someone also creates a new thread to discuss the actual experiences and timelines of the process at the appropriate time.
Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.
The only clear number we have is EB2 I has about 14000 numbers already with AOS and just waiting for GC. This number is gold for now. In a situation where are the other parameters are static, we can safely say Eb2-I till May 2010 would take 3 years (19,20,21) to clear this.
Now for the hard part for EB3. Last year we got 6600 for EB3-I and for FY 18 also we might be getting a similar number. EB3-I primaries with approved 140's from 2007 to 2018 beginning is 55,000. Ignore 30% duplicates/ported/spouse primary/greened in 2018 f this number should be around under 37,000. Add one dependent average for calculation would give us a rough total demand of 75,000 (just a ball park from calculations) till 2018. This averages to a demand of 7500 per year.
However 2009 and 2010 US recession would have resulted in less filing in any case. Now with no premiums for I140, I would put my neck out and say, that EB3 I has the potential to clear both 2009 and 2010 in FY 2019. I am also including the porters from 2009 and 2010 in this list who did not do the AOS.
So by FY 19 end, EB2-I might have a September 2009 date, EB3 -I with May 2010 date. A conservative take.
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