Page 139 of 390 FirstFirst ... 3989129137138139140141149189239 ... LastLast
Results 3,451 to 3,475 of 9731

Thread: EB2-3 Predictions (Rather Calculations) 2015-2020

  1. #3451
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    Still can't see it on the main site, but it's currently at this page.

    A quick glance says it's not showing anything much after February 2017, so it's of limited value.
    It does not show the pending inventory anymore. Looks like USCIS removed it. But by the posts above, it seems that the inventory was useless to begin with anyway.

  2. #3452
    Quote Originally Posted by EB3Iwaiting View Post
    It does not show the pending inventory anymore. Looks like USCIS removed it. But by the posts above, it seems that the inventory was useless to begin with anyway.
    It looks like it is useless by design, not by accident. In other words USCIS/DOS whoever is responsible, want to make a show that they are transparent but don't really want to reveal the correct data. They apparently can hit a camel's ass with a tomhawk missile from a 1000 miles away but can't provide real time data of how many people are in the 485 queue.
    This post is not legal advice nor is a sale of any product or service. Speak with your lawyer for legal advice.
    WhereismyGC Website | Twitter | FB Page | or join our Green Card Backlog FB Group

  3. #3453
    Here is the 2018 July DOS data.


    China India Mexico Philippines South Korea Vietnam ROW-SK-VET Total
    EB1 00 00 18 00 28 00 171 217
    EB2 17 10 01 08 089 000 103 228
    EB3 012 099 013 382 045 004 342 897
    EB4 001 032 000 003 000 001 101 138
    EB5 074 039 005 000 030 001 195 344
    Total 104 180 037 393 192 006 912 1824

  4. #3454
    YOD DOS Data total.


    China India Mexico Philippines South Korea Vietnam ROW-SK-VET Total
    EB1 1457 0183 0073 0012 0281 0018 1796 3820
    EB2 0079 0068 0040 0339 1064 0029 1261 2880
    EB3 0498 0656 0199 4371 0417 0085 3333 9559
    EB4 033 184 005 046 036 038 1247 1589
    EB5 3722 0315 0058 0009 0411 0658 1826 6999
    Total 5789 1406 0375 4777 2209 0828 9463 24847

  5. #3455
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Excuse my ignorance, but
    - why are EB2 numbers for China/India so low ?
    - Why is EB1 China number so much higher than EB1 India ?

  6. #3456
    I have been thinking of posting my situation for quite some time but I am not sure if folks would take issue with my post since I am looking for personal advice. Please delete if it is inappropriate.

    I am on EB2 with a priority date of Sep 2009. We are currently in NY but my spouse (J1) needs to move to Nevada in June 2019 and then to Alabama in June 2020. I really want to be with my family and I am not sure which option I should take.
    Option 1 - Keep my current job and fly into NY every other week and permanently move to Alabama after Green Card is finalized. (I assume that I will be greened before June 2020 - optimistic)
    Option 2 - Ignore green card and just move with my spouse to NV/ AL. I guess I could try to get a job in Alabama starting end of 2019 but I am not sure if any employer would start the green card process before I join and It might delay my green card for a year or 2.
    A lot of my friends think Option1 is the best, but I would really like to get perspective from different folks in the forum. Thanks

  7. #3457
    Guru Spectator's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Location
    A Galaxy Far far Away
    Posts
    3,337
    Quote Originally Posted by newyorker123 View Post
    Excuse my ignorance, but
    - why are EB2 numbers for China/India so low ?
    - Why is EB1 China number so much higher than EB1 India ?
    Remember these are figures for Consular Processing approvals only.

    The figures do not include AOS cases, which make up around 90% of overall approvals within EB1 to EB3.

    India in particular does not have very many people who use the Consular Processing route. For example, in FY2017, it was 0.9% for EB1, 2.5% for Eb2 and around 3.1% for EB3 of the total approvals.

    In FY2017, China had higher figures for these categories (10.2%, 4.5%, 15.9%).

    As you can see, The EB1 use of CP by China is very different to India. Current months show no use because the EB1 FAD has been retrogressed to 01JAN12 since April.
    Without an irritant, there can be no pearl.

  8. #3458
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Thank you for the explanation Spectator !

  9. #3459
    Pandit
    Join Date
    Jul 2014
    Location
    Tampa Bay
    Posts
    132
    Quote Originally Posted by unknownindian1 View Post
    I have been thinking of posting my situation for quite some time but I am not sure if folks would take issue with my post since I am looking for personal advice. Please delete if it is inappropriate.

    I am on EB2 with a priority date of Sep 2009. We are currently in NY but my spouse (J1) needs to move to Nevada in June 2019 and then to Alabama in June 2020. I really want to be with my family and I am not sure which option I should take.
    Option 1 - Keep my current job and fly into NY every other week and permanently move to Alabama after Green Card is finalized. (I assume that I will be greened before June 2020 - optimistic)
    Option 2 - Ignore green card and just move with my spouse to NV/ AL. I guess I could try to get a job in Alabama starting end of 2019 but I am not sure if any employer would start the green card process before I join and It might delay my green card for a year or 2.
    A lot of my friends think Option1 is the best, but I would really like to get perspective from different folks in the forum. Thanks
    So your having to choose between Alabama and foregoing your Green Card?

    I don't follow: are your the primary beneficiary of this green card? or is it your spouse? If you are the derivative, then you have many options; but if you are the primary, then my question is do you have an EAD?

    If you quit your current job without another job ready in AL, and you are RFE'd, you might have to scramble. But family comes first: since you are late 2009, and if you believe your job prospects are good, you could quit and move.

    Please give us more background about your current immigration status for comments.

  10. #3460
    Quote Originally Posted by unknownindian1 View Post
    I am on EB2 with a priority date of Sep 2009. We are currently in NY but my spouse (J1) needs to move to Nevada in June 2019 and then to Alabama in June 2020. I really want to be with my family and I am not sure which option I should take.
    Option 1 - Keep my current job and fly into NY every other week and permanently move to Alabama after Green Card is finalized. (I assume that I will be greened before June 2020 - optimistic)
    Option 2 - Ignore green card and just move with my spouse to NV/ AL. I guess I could try to get a job in Alabama starting end of 2019 but I am not sure if any employer would start the green card process before I join and It might delay my green card for a year or 2.
    A lot of my friends think Option1 is the best, but I would really like to get perspective from different folks in the forum. Thanks
    It all depends on AC21 portability. Did you already apply for I485 and have an EAD (I485 pending for 180 days)? It might take Oct 2019 for Sep 2009 to be current. I would advise you to keep the current job and make things work by travel (once or twice a month). Then you can look for a job in same or similar category and then port using AC21.

    If you have not applied for I485, then you need to do a new PERM. That's a different ball game. I would advise you to look for 1.5 years from now. Not just till Jul 2019. Can you work out the relationship by traveling for the next 1.5years. Once a month means 15 trips. Time flies and soon you will reach the light at the end of the tunnel. Good Luck.

  11. #3461
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    Quote Originally Posted by march272010 View Post
    Got rfe today for I-693 and G-325 A

    PD March 2010
    Very interesting. Anyone has a theory behind this wave of RFE's? Can we expect EB2-I dates move into 2010?

  12. #3462
    Quote Originally Posted by Spectator View Post
    Remember these are figures for Consular Processing approvals only.

    The figures do not include AOS cases, which make up around 90% of overall approvals within EB1 to EB3.

    India in particular does not have very many people who use the Consular Processing route. For example, in FY2017, it was 0.9% for EB1, 2.5% for Eb2 and around 3.1% for EB3 of the total approvals.

    In FY2017, China had higher figures for these categories (10.2%, 4.5%, 15.9%).

    As you can see, The EB1 use of CP by China is very different to India. Current months show no use because the EB1 FAD has been retrogressed to 01JAN12 since April.
    This year the CP cases seem to make up almost 20% of total approvals!

  13. #3463
    Thanks folks (nbk1976, idliman ) for your comments and I apologize for not being clearer earlier.

    I am the primary beneficiary of the green card. I have not applied for I-485 and do not have an EAD. I missed it last time (new PERM application after a job change).

    idliman: I think I can work out the relationship by flying back and forth but it will be hard for sure. My spouse is moving to NV in June 2019 and I guess I will have to manage by flying back and forth till I get a GC. Hopefully, I will get the GC by mid-2020

  14. #3464
    Just to be more clear I got my 485 J supplement approval notice along with rfe as it submitted 6 months back itself.

  15. #3465
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Also on 9/11, USCIS Policy of Denials Instead of RFE/NOID is coming into place.

    9/11 is the date to MAGA !

  16. #3466
    Quote Originally Posted by Nishant_imt View Post
    I have jumped ships twice already after getting EAD in 2012. Planning a 3rd Jump now.
    I'm in my second company after getting EAD in the previous one that filed GC. As long as the next company can help with supp J, jump ship without thinking.

  17. #3467
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    Very interesting. Anyone has a theory behind this wave of RFE's? Can we expect EB2-I dates move into 2010?
    These are all NSC cases I believe. I'm March 2010 PD TSC...and it's full sannata since 2012.

  18. #3468
    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    These are all NSC cases I believe. I'm March 2010 PD TSC...and it's full sannata since 2012.
    Same here. I am Aug 2009 TSC. No news since 2012.

    Iatiam

  19. #3469

    AOS EAD and AP extension denial

    Quote Originally Posted by smuggymba View Post
    These are all NSC cases I believe. I'm March 2010 PD TSC...and it's full sannata since 2012.
    Friends,

    Have you seen a case recently where EAD/AP extension has been declined for an AOS applicant?

    I’ve just heard of 2 cases at work where H-1B extension was denied even though the guys had an approved I-140 since 2011.

    Is EAD/AP extension also getting denied these days?

  20. #3470
    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    Same here. I am Aug 2009 TSC. No news since 2012.
    Iatiam
    Do you think you will be current by Summer 2019? It used to be that we can predict with some level of confidance. It is strange, but I have no idea of date movements going forward. Just an educated guess of 6 months movement in 2019. Maybe Sep2009 by Oct 2019 bulletin?

  21. #3471
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Do you think you will be current by Summer 2019? It used to be that we can predict with some level of confidance. It is strange, but I have no idea of date movements going forward. Just an educated guess of 6 months movement in 2019. Maybe Sep2009 by Oct 2019 bulletin?
    Hi All

    My PD is 02/2010 EB2. Today I have received RFE for medicals, G-325 and Supplement J.

  22. #3472
    Sophomore
    Join Date
    May 2018
    Location
    California
    Posts
    25
    Quote Originally Posted by incredible View Post
    Hi All

    My PD is 02/2010 EB2. Today I have received RFE for medicals, G-325 and Supplement J.
    Please let us know your service center, NSC or TSC?

  23. #3473
    Quote Originally Posted by march1612 View Post
    Please let us know your service center, NSC or TSC?
    It is NSC. I am not sure if that has any significance and most importantly not sure why they are asking for the information for 2010 PD.

  24. #3474
    Quote Originally Posted by idliman View Post
    Do you think you will be current by Summer 2019? It used to be that we can predict with some level of confidance. It is strange, but I have no idea of date movements going forward. Just an educated guess of 6 months movement in 2019. Maybe Sep2009 by Oct 2019 bulletin?
    Idliman, I am optimistic that dates will move to end of 2008 by October 2019. There are multiple reasons,
    1. With EB3 moving forward, porting will come to an end and even lead to reverse porting from EB2I.
    2. From June 2008 to Dec 2009, PERM filings are very low due to recession. The existing inventory might be very conservative 1000 per month which needs about 9,000 visas to clear
    3. The crackdown on H1B filings is going to help. Anecdotal evidence and personal experience shows that it's not just Indians who are feeling the heat from Trump policies - ROW folks are also getting affected
    4. Interview requirements and scrutiny of WITCH firms will reduce EB1C demand. Already CTS a big beneficiary of EB1C is having major issues to get H1B renewals

    Iatiam

  25. #3475
    Sensei
    Join Date
    May 2013
    Location
    San Francisco
    Posts
    84
    Quote Originally Posted by iatiam View Post
    Idliman, I am optimistic that dates will move to end of 2008 by October 2019. There are multiple reasons,
    1. With EB3 moving forward, porting will come to an end and even lead to reverse porting from EB2I.
    2. From June 2008 to Dec 2009, PERM filings are very low due to recession. The existing inventory might be very conservative 1000 per month which needs about 9,000 visas to clear
    3. The crackdown on H1B filings is going to help. Anecdotal evidence and personal experience shows that it's not just Indians who are feeling the heat from Trump policies - ROW folks are also getting affected
    4. Interview requirements and scrutiny of WITCH firms will reduce EB1C demand. Already CTS a big beneficiary of EB1C is having major issues to get H1B renewals

    Iatiam
    I appreciate your optimism, but with this admin, NOTHING is for sure.
    We take a hunch at the numbers, but at the end of the day, it could all be utter hogwash. It could just be somebody crunching these numbers in the mind.

    On 3. Indians + Chinese are 80-90 % of the H1b's. Its not sure if ROW folks are getting impacted.
    On 4. There is NO proof that all this will reduce EB1C demand. On the contrary, I feel that if CTS is having trouble with H1b renewals, they will start filing MORE EB1C's (as the H1b extension route is getting closed).

    Sorry for the rant, but I do not see the light at the end of the tunnel, unless this admin goes away which (if polls are to be believed) could take 6 more years !

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 2 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 2 guests)

Tags for this Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •